indias inv. nd trade summary
TRANSCRIPT
EXPORT-IMPORT BANK OF INDIA
CATALYSING INDIA’S TRADE AND INVESTMENT
2
India’s International Trade
Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India
Towards Increased Global Integration through Trade
India’s total merchandise trade increased over
three-fold from US$ 252 bn in FY 2006 to
US$ 794 bn in FY 2012
Both exports and imports have trebled during
the period
Trade-GDP ratio increased from 30.2% in
FY 2006 to 42.9% in FY 2012
Exports-GDP ratio increased from 12.4% in
FY 2006 to 16.5% in FY 2012
Share of India in world merchandise export –
1.67% in 2011; Rank– 19 (up from 28th in 2006)
103 126 163 185 179 251 305 149 186 252
304 288
370 489
252 312
415 489 467
621
794
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Exports Imports Trade
CAGR: 19.8% 21.9% 21.1% (2006-2012)
(Values in US$ bn)
3
India’s Export: Shifting Southwards
Direction of exports moving towards the Southern countries, particularly Asia and Africa region
Share of Asia, Africa and LAC regions increased sharply from 47% in 2001-02 to 62.7% in 2011-12; Of this,
share of Asia region rose from 40% to 52% during this period
Future trade flows to be geared towards the developing nations (buttressed by GOI policies)
India’s Export Destinations 2001-02 (US$ 44 bn) India’s Export Destinations 2011-12 (US$ 305 bn)
Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India
Africa 6.6%
North America
11.9%
LAC 4.5%
Others 5.5%
Europe 19.0% CIS 1.0%
Asia 51.6% Africa 4.9%
North America
20.8%
LAC 2.2%
Others 4.9%
Europe 24.8%
CIS 2.2%
Asia 40.2%
4
India’s Major Trading Partners
Top Export Markets (FY 2012, US$ bn)
Top Import Sources (FY 2012, US$ bn)
Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India
Total Exports: US$ 304.6 bn
36
34
18
17
13
9
9
8
7
7
UAE
USA
China
Singapore
Hong Kong
Netherlands
UK
Germany
Belgium
Indonesia
58
36
32
31
23
19
16
16
15
15
China
UAE
Switzerland
Saudi Arabia
USA
Iraq
Kuwait
Germany
Australia
Indonesia
Total Imports: US$ 489.2 bn
5
India’s Trade Basket
Top Export Items (FY 2012, US$ bn)
Top Import Items(FY 2012, US$ bn)
Source: Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India
56
47
24
21
14
14
10
9
7
7
Petroleum Products
Gems & Jewellery
Pharma Products
Transport Equipments
Machinery & Instruments
Readymade Garments
Manufactures of Metals
Electronic Goods
Rubber, Glass & Products
Cotton Yarn & Fabrics
155
62
33
31
30
19
17
14
13
12
Petroleum Crude
Gold & Silver
Electronic Goods
Pearls & Precious Stones
Non-electrical Machinary
Organic & Inorganic Chemicals
Coal, Coke & Briquettes
Transport Equipment
Metalliferrous Ores & Products
Iron & Steel
6
India’s Trade in Services
Total Trade in Services (US$ bn)
Software Exports (US$ bn)
Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
57.7
73.8
90.3
106.0 95.7
131.7 140.9
34.5 44.3
51.5 52.0 59.5
83.0 76.9
92.2
118.1
141.8
158.0
155.2
214.7
217.8
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Exports Imports Total Trade
23.6
31.3
40.3
46.3 49.7
55.5
62.2
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
7
India’s Direct Investment Flows
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows &
Outflows (US$ bn)
Sectoral pattern of Indian outward FDI (FY 2012)
Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Manufacturing
32%
Financial, Insurance, Real Estate
and Business Services
20%
Transport, Storage and Communica
tion Services
14%
Wholesale, Retail Trade,
Restaurants and Hotels
11%
Construction
11%
Agriculture, Forestry
and Fishing 7% Others
5%
Note: FDI Outflows include Equity, Loan and Guarantee Issued
22.8
34.8
41.9
37.7 34.8
46.6
13.3
18.5 18.6
14.8 16.8
14.6
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
FDI Inflows FDI Outflow
8
India’s Outward Direct Investment Flows
Source: Reserve Bank of India
Destinational analysis of Indian ODI flow
reveals that the share of developing and
emerging countries is relatively higher vis-à-
vis that of developed countries
Mauritius was the largest destination of
Indian ODI in 2011-12, followed by
Singapore
Other important ODI destination among
emerging markets include, Australia,
Netherlands, Panama, UK and USA
Mauritius 24%
Singapore 19%
Australia 8%
Netherlands
7%
Panama 6%
U.K 6%
USA 6%
British Virgin Island
5%
UAE 4%
Switzerland 3%
Others 12%
Diversified Regional ODI Flows (FY 2012)
Website
www.eximbankindia.in