india vision zero
TRANSCRIPT
Claudia Adriazola-SteilDirector of Health and Road Safety
The challengeWhat is Vision Zero and Safe
Systems?International policies
AGENDA
The number of traffic fatalities in 2015
have risen by
4.6% from previous year
DATA FROM INDIA
Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport and Highway (Government of India)
According to WHO estimates
207,551 lives were lost in
India due to traffic deaths
It is estimated that
3% of India’s GDP is lost due to road traffic crashes
Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport and Highway (Government of India)
DATA FROM INDIA
Accidents are killing more people in India than terrorism or natural disasters and yet we never talk about them.
Nitin GadkariMinister for Road Transport and Highways
62% Of all crashes were
due to speeding
More than
50% of all traffic crash victims are below 29 years of age
Between 2008-2012 In New Delhi
and Mumbai
83-89% of all road crash
victims were pedestrians/cyclists
/motorized two-wheeler users.
Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)
Indonesia Mexico
Brazil
TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS
India
Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)
Switzerland United Kingdom
Sweden
TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS
Denmark
THE BIG TRANSFORMATION
WHAT’S DIFFERENT NOW? UNPRECEDENTED SCALE
Source: World Urbanization Prospects report, United Nations Economics and Social Affairs, U.N. Annex. Table 1.
+200Mumbai s
By 2050
AN INCREASINGLY URBAN, CAR-FILLED WORLD
1 billion motor vehicles
today will triple by 2050
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 20500
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
World Car Numbers(billions)
FINANCEOf the 2050
infrastructure is yet to be
built
75%
CLIMATE
2%of the land
but
70%of the CO2emissions
AN UNSUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION PATH
Source: Land use and emissions, UN-HABITAT. Infrastructure needs, Resilient Cities. Air pollution and traffic fatalities, WHO.
PEOPLE1.2 Million Traffic Fatalities
3.7 Million Air Pollution
premature deaths
3.2 MillionPhysical Inactivitypremature deaths
PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS
Source: WHO (2013), NIH (2009)
27% of traffic deaths worldwide are
pedestrians and bicyclists
In China, pedestrians accounted for
25% of all traffic deaths,
while cyclists accounted for
16%
Pedestrians and cyclists accounted for
60% of road deaths in
Indian city of Chandigarh
MOTORCYCLES
Photo: M M/ Flickr
In India, 25%
of traffic victims were motorcyclists
22%in China
Motorcycle deaths in Latin America
increased227% in 12 years
Motorcycles have 16x
the rate of serious injuries compared to
cars (UK)
THE VULNERABLE
Photo: Richard Stanley, FIA Foundation
Traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of death
for the young, between 5 to 19 years old. (WHO)
Source: Jung and Sul 2014
92% of traffic fatalities occur in middle- and low-
income countries
Research from South Korea shows that
One-third of traffic crash victims
experienced job loss due to their disability
The victims’ average income level was 40%
lower than the national average.
.Photo: http://www.hdprc.gov.ph/multimedia/
TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS AND POVERTY
THE THREE PRINCIPLES
1.Humans make mistakes
2.Vulnerable bodies3.Speed perception
Claes Tingvall
FATALITY RISK FOR PEDESTRIANS AT DIFFERENT SPEEDS
Source: OECD, 2006
SAFE SYSTEMS
Leadership + Targets + Knowledge
Source: Swedish Road Administration, 2015
SWEDEN
VISION ZERO AND SAFE SYSTEMS IN THE WORLD
DIFFERENT MODELS, VERY DIFFERENT OUTCOMES
Sources: Alain Bertaud (2012) Clearing the air in Atlanta: Transit and smart growth or conventional economics?
AtlantaUSA
BarcelonaSpain
Population (1990) : 2.5 millionBuilt-up area : 4,280 km2Traffic fatality rate : 9.7/ 100,000 pop.Mode share : Car 77%,
Transit 3%,
Biking 0%,
Walking 1%
2.8 million162 km21.9/ 100,000 pop.Car 20%Transit 33%Biking 12% Walking 35%
INCREASING RISKS ON ROADS
Source: FHWA Highway Statistics, 2008 Regression Analysis: EMBARQ
Study from U.S. states
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 -
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
f(x) = 0.837971492907558 x − 10.0533134848698R² = 0.699344660545067
Daily VMT per person (urban roads)
Traffi
c fa
taliti
es p
er 1
00,0
00 p
eopl
e (u
rban
road
s)
PRIVATE VEHICLE VS. MASS TRANSIT
Source: Guadalajara Case Study
URBAN DESIGN MATTERS
Sources: Dumbaugh and Rae 2009, Ewing and Cervero 2010Photo: Mexico City
3% increase in severe
crashes for every 10 meters between
signalized intersections.
For an increase in density of 100 persons / square mile, there was a 6% reductionin injurious crashes
SAFETY AND ECONOMICS, NYC
Source: http://www.nyc.gov/html/dot/downloads/pdf/2012-10-measuring-the-street.pdf
Injury crashes fell by 26%
49% fewer commercial
vacancies
49% Increase in retail
sales
INTERNATIONAL POLICIES
In my view, what the SDGs ask us to do is two-fold. First, work together to create a world free of high-risk killer roads. And second, ensure that the benefits of safe mobility are evenly shared.Margaret Chan Second Global High-level Ministerial Meeting on Road SafetyBrasilia, Brazil 18 November 2015
UN HABITAT III
THANK YOU!Claudia Adriazola-Steil, Director of Health and Road Safety
ProgramWRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities