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    INDIA

    Serafina Lalany

    APES 1st period

    10/10/10

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    INDIA IS A G20 DEVELOPING NATION

    Developing countryis a term

    generally used to describe a nation

    with a low level of material well-being

    (not to be confused with third worldcountries). Since no single definition

    of the term developed countryis

    recognized internationally, the levels

    of development may vary widely

    within so-called developing countries,

    with some developing countries

    having high average standards of

    living.The G-20 s account for 60% ofthe world's population, 70% of its

    farmers and 26% of worlds

    agricultural exports [

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    GROWTH RATE

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    ADOLESCENT FERTILITY RATE (BIRTHS PER 1,000 WOMEN AGES 15-19)

    ADOLESCENT FERTILITY RATE IS THE NUMBER OF BIRTHS PER 1,000

    WOMENAGES 15-19.

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    INFANT MORTALITY RATE ( PER 1000)

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    CRUDE BIRTH RATE

    CRUDE BIRTH RATE INDICATES THE NUMBER OF LIVE BIRTHS OCCURRING

    DURING THE YEAR, PER 1,000 POPULATION ESTIMATEDAT MIDYEAR.

    SUBTRACTING THE CRUDE DEATH RATE FROM THE CRUDE BIRTH RATE

    PROVID

    ES THE RA

    TE OFNA

    TU

    RA

    LIN

    CREA

    SE, WHI

    CHI

    S EQUA

    L TO THERATE OF POPULATION CHANGE IN THE ABSENCE OF MIGRATION.

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    CRUDE DEATH RATE INDICATES THE NUMBER OF DEATHS OCCURRING

    DURING THE YEAR, PER 1,000 POPULATION ESTIMATEDAT MIDYEAR.

    SUBTRACTING THE CRUDE DEATH RATE FROM THE CRUDE BIRTH RATE

    PROVID

    ES THE RA

    TE OFNA

    TU

    RA

    LIN

    CREA

    SE, WHI

    CHI

    S EQUA

    L TO THERATE OF POPULATION CHANGE IN THE ABSENCE OF MIGRATION.

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    POPULATION PROFILE HISTOGRAM

    Birth Rate starts to fall.Death Rate continues to fall.Population rising.

    Reasons:

    Family planning available Lower Infant Mortality Rate

    Increased mechanizationreduces need for workers

    Increased standard of living

    Changing status of women

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    COMPARISON HISTOGRAMS

    The United States: Stage 4

    Birth Rate and Death Rate both low.

    Population steady.

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    COMPARISON HISTOGRAMS

    Tajikistan :Stage 2

    Birth Rate remains high. Death Rate

    is falling. Population begins to rise

    steadily.

    Reasons

    Death Rate is falling as a result of:

    Improved health care (e.g. Smallpox

    Vaccine)

    Improved Hygiene (Water for drinking

    boiled)

    Improved sanitation

    Improved food production and

    storage

    Improved transport for food

    Decreased Infant Mortality Rates

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    COMPARISON HISTOGRAMS

    Afghanistan :Stage 1

    Birth Rate and Death rate are both high.

    Population growth is slow andfluctuating.

    Reasons

    Birth Rate is high as a result of:

    Lack of family planning

    High Infant Mortality Rate: puttingbabies in the 'bank'

    Need for workers in agriculture

    Religious beliefs

    Children as economic assets

    Death Rate is high because of:

    High levels of disease

    Famine

    Lack of clean water and sanitation

    Lack of health care

    War

    Competition for food from predators

    such as ratsLack of education

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    POPULATIONMOMENTUM

    While India's population growth rate has been decliningover the years, the overall population will continue togrow as 51% of the population is in the reproductive agegroup (15-49). Millions more will join this cohort each

    year. Today 26 million babies are born each year. Atcurrent levels, it may take several decades more tostabilise the population. Vast numbers of people cannotavail of services even when they are available, due toproblems of knowledge and access. The involvement of

    educated people is vitally necessary to create a publicawakening, particularly from among those who areinfluential in their own spheres and possess thecapacity to make a difference.

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    DOUBLING TIME

    Although India has created several impressive goals to reduce its population growth rates, the Indiaand the rest of the world has a long way to go to achieve meaningful population controls in this countrywith a growth rate of 1.6%, representing a doubling time of under 44 years.

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    GNI PER CAPITA(CURRENT US$)

    GDP per capita is gross domestic

    product divided by midyear

    population. GDP is the sum of gross

    value added by all resident producersin the economy plus any product

    taxes and minus any subsidies not

    included in the value of the products.

    It is calculated without making

    deductions for depreciation of

    fabricated assets or for depletion and

    degradation of natural resources.

    Data are in current U.S. dollars.

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    PRESENT POPULATION & PROBLEMS

    Population, total (1,155,347,678 200)

    India is expected to have a population of more than 1.53 billion while China'spopulation is forecast to be at its peak of 1.46 billion in 2040. In 2000, the countryestablished a new National Population Policy to stem the growth of the countryspopulation. One of the primary goals of the policy was to reduce the total fertility rate

    to 2.1 by 2010. One of the steps along the path toward the goal in 2010 was a totalfertility rate of 2.6 by 2002.

    As the total fertility rate in India remains at the high number of 2.8, that goal was notachieved so it is highly unlikely that the total fertility rate will be 2.1 by 2010. Thus,Indias population will continue to grow at a rapid rate. The U.S. Census Bureau doespredict a near-replacement total fertility rate of 2.2 to be achieved in India in the year2050.

    India's high population growth results in increasingly impoverished and sub-standardconditions for growing segments of the Indian population. As of 2007, India ranked126th on the United Nations' Human Development Index, which takes into accountsocial, health, and educational conditions in a country.

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    POPULATION ( BY 2035: 2.88 BILLION)

    This is the population expectancies following

    these possible two scenarios:

    Scenario A, with a final TFR of 2.1 for higher

    fertility states, results in a

    population that does, in fact, reach two

    billion, a milestone that would occur in 2066-

    2071. By the end of the projection period, in

    2101, four states, todays Bihar, Madhya

    Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh would

    account for almost half of the countrys

    population. Scenario B, with a final TFR of

    1.85, does not reach two billion. Under

    Scenario B, growth peaks in 2081-2086,

    after which it begins a period of population

    decrease. S

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    DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION

    Stage 3 - Late Expanding

    Birth Rate starts to fall. Death Rate

    continues to fall. Population rising.

    Reasons:

    Family planning available

    Lower Infant Mortality Rate

    Increased mechanization reduces

    need for workers

    Increased standard of living

    Changing status of women