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In the New Mexico Tradition The Impacts of MainStreet – 1986-2013

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Page 1: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

In the New Mexico Tradition The Impacts of MainStreet – 1986-2013

Page 2: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

New Mexico Main Street Communities

Currently Active Previously Active

Albuquerque - Barelas Las Cruces Albuquerque - United South Broadway Hobbs

Albuquerque - DAT Las Vegas Aztec Los Ranchos de Albuquerque

Albuquerque - Nob Hill Los Alamos Town of Bernalillo Ruidoso

Artesia Lovington Chama Salt Mission Belen Portales Cuba Santa Rosa

Carlsbad Raton Espanola Socorro

Clovis Roswell

Clayton Silver City

Corrales South Valley (Bernalillo County)

Deming Taos

Farmington Truth or Consequences Gallup Tucumcari Grants Zuni

Harding County

Page 3: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Survey of Current Main Street Executive Directors

New Mexico Main Street Annual Reports 1986 – 2013

Local Main Street programs’ quarterly reports to New Mexico Main Street

Community Economic Assessments prepared by University of New Mexico Bureau of Business and Economic Research

Data from US Department of Commerce and US Department of Labor

Economic Multipliers from IMPLAN

Additional interviews and assorted publications

Sources of Report Data

Page 4: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Caveats on the Data Data from 1985 through 1995 was available on

aggregated basis only

Data on a town by town basis not available on all years between 1995 and 2000

Some data categories have been added in recent years

Local numbers provided by executive directors of active Main Street programs (semi-annually, quarterly)

Very robust, quarterly data since 2003

Page 5: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

The Big Numbers

Page 6: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$272,376,367

$283,733,345

$415,031,993

$66,327,451

$0

$200,000,000

$400,000,000

$600,000,000

$800,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1 Billion Invested in NM MainStreet Districts

Private Rehab New Construction Public Projects Public/Private Projects

Page 7: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

2013

Cumulative Number of Net New Jobs in New Mexico MainStreet Districts

Page 8: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

Cumulative Net New Businesses in New Mexico MainStreet Districts

Page 9: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

Cumulative Number of New Mexico MainStreet Building Rehabs

Page 10: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

Cumulative Investment in New Mexico MainStreet Buildings

Rehabilitation New Construction

Page 11: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

$1,000,000

1986

19

87

1988

19

89

1990

19

91

1992

19

93

1994

19

95

1996

19

97

1998

19

99

2000

20

01

2002

20

03

2004

20

05

2006

20

07

2008

20

09

2010

20

11

2012

New Mexico MainStreet Program Budget

Page 12: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Behind the Numbers

Page 13: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Ratio of Business Openings to Business Closings

New Mexico Main Street Districts United States

Page 14: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Year to Year Change in Jobs New Mexico Statewide vs MainStreet Programs

Change in Jobs NM (x100) Net New Jobs NM MainStreet Districts

Page 15: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

State Budget to Net New Jobs in New Mexico MainStreet Districts

Average over Life of Program $1,048.68

Page 16: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

State Budget to Net New Businesses in New Mexico MainStreet Districts

Average over Life of Program $3,364.10

Page 17: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

50

100

150

200

250 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

Private Investment to NMMS Program Budget

Average over Life of Program 44.5 to 1

Page 18: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Real Estate

Page 19: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$50,000,000

$100,000,000

$150,000,000

$200,000,000

$250,000,000

$300,000,000

1986

19

87

1988

19

89

1990

19

91

1992

19

93

1994

19

95

1996

19

97

1998

19

99

2000

20

01

2002

20

03

2004

20

05

2006

20

07

2008

20

09

2010

20

11

2012

20

13

Cumulative Private Investment – Rehabilitation NM MainStreet Districts

Page 20: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700 19

86

1987

19

88

1989

19

90

1991

19

92

1993

19

94

1995

19

96

1997

19

98

1999

20

00

2001

20

02

2003

20

04

2005

20

06

2007

20

08

2009

20

10

2011

20

12

Jobs from MainStreet District Building Rehabilitations

Direct Jobs Indirect/Induced Jobs

Page 21: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

Income from Building Rehabilitation Projects

Direct Income Indirect/Induced Income

Page 22: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Building Construction Jobs in NM MainStreet Districts

Average 430 jobs/year For the life of the program

Page 23: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

Building Construction Income – NM MainStreet Districts

Average $11,493,987/year For the life of the program

Page 24: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Building Purchase Prices in NM MainStreet Districts 2008-2012

~150 Buildings Purchased over last 5 years

Page 25: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Is MainStreet a Job Creating Program?

If “Job Creating” means subsidizing employers to hire new workers, then no.

If “Job Creating” means helping to create an economic environment where

businesses hire new workers themselves, than absolutely YES.

Page 26: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 Average Jobs/Business – NM MainStreet Districts

Page 27: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Jobs/MainStreet Community

Page 28: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Capital Outlay Projects

Page 29: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Year Towns State Expenditure

2000 7

2005 4 $93,000

2006 6 $1,142,500

2007 10 $2,000,000

2008 13 $1,500,000

2009 9 $1,000,000

2010 10 $1,000,000

2012 11 $1,000,000

2013 4 $500,000

Page 30: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

What Happened as a Result of Capital Outlay Fund?

Increased rents Buildings sold More pedestrian traffic Business expansions Reduced vacancy More event attendance Individual building improvements New businesses opening

Page 31: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

What the data showed

Page 32: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

New Mexico MainStreet Today

Page 33: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

$2-$6

$6-$10

$10-14

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Rent Levels in NM MainStreet Districts ($/sq. ft./year)

Page 34: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Liquor stores, Wine shop, Office supply, Stationery stores

Drug stores and Pharmacies Movie theaters Grocery stores

Hardware stores, Paint stores Camera, Computer, Electronics

Sporting goods, Hobby, Game stores Shoe stores

Bars, Taverns Household goods

Jewelry stores Clothing stores

Financial Institutions Bookstores, Gift stores, Art dealers, Music …

Personal Services firms Cafes, Restaurants, Coffee shops

Professional Services firms

Who Does Business on NM MainStreet?

Page 35: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Who is coming in? Who is going out?

Page 36: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Opened Closed

Restaurants/Cafes/Bars Opened vs Closed

Page 37: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

25%

17%

19%

19%

15%

5% Who are the Customers?

Downtown Workers Nearby Residents Other City Residents Market Area Residents Tourists Other

Page 38: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

19%

12%

69%

Tourists as Percent of MainStreet Customers

30% or More 11% - 29% 10% or Less

Page 39: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Downtown Housing Opportunity?

• 50% of NM MainStreet communities report having downtown housing

• Average rents (excluding Albuquerque DAT) are ~$620/month

• That means downtown residential rents are 1.5 to 2 times storefront rents

• Big Impacts of Downtown Residents

Page 40: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Benefit to a New Mexico downtown economy from an upper floor housing unit rented to a couple for between $400 and $800/month

Food at home $1,472 - $2,405

Food & drink out $622 - $1,119

Alcohol and tobacco $301 - $499

Rent $4,800 - $9,600

Other housing costs $2,406 - $3,867

Furniture, equipment & electronics $266 - $444

Apparel & apparel services $361 - $581

Vehicular and transportation related $2,304 - $ 3,198

Health care related $1,048 - $1,713

Entertainment $801 - $1,369

Personal Services $208 - $347

Other $332 - $540

Total Annual Economic Impact of an Upper Floor Apartment in a New Mexico Downtown

$15,321 - $26,482

Page 41: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Towns Getting a Closer Look

Page 42: In the New Mexico Tradition - New Mexico MainStreetnmmainstreet.org/pdfs/Econ Impact NM MainStreet Rypkema Dec 12 2013.pdfPowerPoint Presentation Author: Donovan Created Date: 12/14/2013

Prepared for the National Main Street Center and New Mexico Main Street

PlaceEconomics Washington, DC December, 2013