in-situ sea level measurements mark a. merrifield university of hawaii 1.the gcos network - progress...

44
In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level Rise 4.Extreme Events

Upload: chloe-mcdaniel

Post on 14-Jan-2016

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

In-Situ Sea Level MeasurementsMark A. Merrifield

University of Hawaii

1. The GCOS Network - Progress Report

2. Global Sea Level Rise

3. Relative Sea Level Rise

4. Extreme Events

Page 2: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 3: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 4: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 5: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

ESEAS

Page 6: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

ESEASUK, France, Australia, Japan, Canada

Page 7: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

ESEASUK, France, Australia, Japan, Canada

ODINAFRICA

Page 8: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

ESEASUK, France, Australia, Japan, Canada

ODINAFRICATsunami Networks

Page 9: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

ESEASUK, France, Australia, Japan, Canada

ODINAFRICATsunami Networks

NOAA Partnerships - Indonesia, Argentina, Philippines, Korea, China, Russia

Page 10: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea level curve from Topex & Jason (1993-2004)Sea level curve from Topex & Jason (1993-2004)

After correction of post-glacial rebound: 3. mm/yr

A. Cazenzave

Page 11: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Past reconstruction of global mean sea level changePast reconstruction of global mean sea level changebased on tide gauges and altimetry data (1950-2000)based on tide gauges and altimetry data (1950-2000)From Church et al. (2004)From Church et al. (2004)

Church et al., 2004A. Cazenzave

Page 12: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

G. Mitchum

Page 13: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

UHSLC - PGF CGPS/TG Stations

Page 14: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

GPS Reference Frame Issues

• Need a global GPS reference frame designed for estimating vertical rates

• Several analysis groups are considering this problem

• Relative vertical GPS rates provide insights into RSL

Example - the Hawaiian Islands

Page 15: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Hawaii Sea Level Rise

• A general rise in sea level has been observed since the early 1900’s

• Rate at Hilo is higher than at Honolulu

• Interpretation: Oahu is stable, the Big Island is sinking

Page 16: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Honolulu Tide Gauge Honolulu Tide Gauge

Page 17: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

GPS Velocities

Hilo-Honolulu Differential

Sea Level* 1.9 ± 0.9 mm/yr

GPS -0.4 ± 0.4 mm/yr95% Confidence intervals. * entire time series

KOKB -0.2 mm/yr

KOK1 -1.2 mm/yr

HNLC -1.4 mm/yr

MAUI -1.5 mm/yr

MKEA -1.8 mm/yr

HILO -1.9 mm/yr

Page 18: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Steric Trend at HawaiiSteric Trend at Hawaii

• Similar in structure to decadal ocean signals (e.g. PDO)

• Hilo-Honolulu differential = 0.7mm/yr

• Not definitive given available hydrographic data, but self-consistent with sea level trends

• Midway (not shown) agrees with this steric trend

Page 19: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Trend Changes 1945-2002Trend Changes 1945-2002

Computation of the average rate of relative sea level rise from time t0 to Dec. 2002, for various starting times t0, as well as the associated 95% confidence interval

Page 20: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

TOPEX/Poseidon SSH TrendsTOPEX/Poseidon SSH Trends

Page 21: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Interferometric Point Target Anaysis of SAR Data - Applications for

Interpreting Relative and Absolute Sea Level Change

Charles Morgan and Ben Brooks

Page 22: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 23: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Greater Los Angeles

Page 24: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Coastal Land Motion and RSL

Page 25: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 26: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Tuvalu and Sea Level Rise

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 27: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea Level Extremes vs. Sea Level Rise

Page 28: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 29: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea Level Extremes vs. Sea Level Rise

Tuvalu

Page 30: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea Level Extremes and Mesoscale Variability

Honolulu Sea Level Highest recorded daily sea level

• Flooding of low-lying coastal areas

• Enhanced beach erosion

• Disruption of coastal engineering projects

Firing and Merrifield, 2004

Page 31: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

High Event

Honolulu Sea Level

Satellite SSH

Sea Level Extremes and Mesoscale Variability

Firing and Merrifield, 2004

Page 32: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

NCOM SSH

Anticyclonic Eddy

Sea Level Extremes and Mesoscale Variability

Firing and Merrifield, 2004

Page 33: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea Level Extremes and Mesoscale Variability

Firing and Merrifield, 2004

Page 34: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Sea Level Extremes and Mesoscale Variability

Firing et al., 2004

Page 35: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Extreme Events and Climate Variability

Woodworth and Blackman, 2004

Page 36: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

The Indian Ocean Tsunami

Merrifield et al., 2005

Male, Maldives - GLOSS Tide Gauge Stations

Page 37: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

March 2005 Tsunami

Male, Maldives

Page 38: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

The Indian Ocean Tsunami

Merrifield et al., 2005

Male, Maldives - GLOS Tide Gauge Stations

Page 39: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 40: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

The Indian Ocean Tsunami

Merrifield et al., 2005

Page 41: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

The Indian Ocean Tsunami

Merrifield et al., 2005

Page 42: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level
Page 43: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Regional distribution of sea level trendsRegional distribution of sea level trends (Jan.1993 - Jul. 2004) from Topex/Poseidon(Jan.1993 - Jul. 2004) from Topex/Poseidon

A. Cazenzave

Page 44: In-Situ Sea Level Measurements Mark A. Merrifield University of Hawaii 1.The GCOS Network - Progress Report 2.Global Sea Level Rise 3.Relative Sea Level

Percent Contribution to Global Trend

0

5

10

15

20

-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50

% C

on

trib

uti

on

to G

lob

al T

ren

d

Latitude Band60

A. Cazenzave