in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns ......in a sector that has been the...

2

Upload: others

Post on 12-Oct-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns ......in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns. As an illustration, at the start of 2017, Facebook,
Page 2: in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns ......in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns. As an illustration, at the start of 2017, Facebook,

in a sector that has been the primary driver of index returns. As an illustration, at the start of 2017, Facebook,

Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Google, combined, accounted for 11% of the S&P 500 Index; by the end of year

the ‘FAAMG’ stocks had risen 44% in aggregate and accounted for a fifth of the increase in the index taking their

index weight to 13.4%.

With the onset of the sharp decline in early February, we took further equity risk out of the portfolios, adding the

proceeds to already above benchmark cash and short term money market funds. So long as economic

fundamentals remained robust, driving higher earnings growth, our preference for equities relative to bonds has

remained consistent; serving portfolios well in recent years. However, we have written extensively on the

burgeoning risks to equities as valuations have risen and the cycle has evolved. With global trade relations

deteriorating we have, more recently, rationalised our technology exposure, aware that trade barriers are likely

to benefit no one. With excess liquidity at a time when political grandstanding is building, our preference is to

maintain a heightened level of caution in the portfolios until equity valuations improve and a more settled

environment emerges.

Figure 2

Source: Bloomberg, 04/04/2018

i The Nasdaq is a stock market index of the companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange in the US with a heavy bias to

technology companies.

ii The VIX is the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility index. It is a forward looking measure that estimates how volatile

options contracts on the S&P 500 will be between the current date and the option’s expiration date. It is more commonly known

as the ‘fear index’.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

James Hambro & Partners LLP is a Limited Liability Partnership incorporated in England and Wales under the

Limited Liability Partnerships Act 2000 under Partnership No: OC350134. James Hambro & Partners LLP is

authorised & regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a SEC Registered Investment Adviser.

Registered office: 45 Pall Mall, London, SW1Y 5JG. A full list of partners is available at the Partnership’s

Registered Office. Opinions and views expressed are personal and subject to change. No representation or

warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Firm or its partners or any other person as

to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this document, and no

responsibility or liability is accepted for any such information or opinions (but so that nothing in this paragraph

shall exclude liability for any representation or warranty made fraudulently). The value of an investment and

the income from it can go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount invested. This may be

partly the result of exchange rate fluctuations in investments which have an exposure to foreign currencies. You

should be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Tax benefits may vary as a

result of statutory changes and their value will depend on individual circumstances.