improving business performance: demystifying simulation and optimization

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1 May 22-24, 2007 Washington Dulles Hilton The Business Transformation Conference Ed Stephan PMP ® CACI International, Inc. Session Title: Improving Businesses Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization Welcom e Welcome to Transformation and Innovation 2007 The Business Transformation Conference

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This session provides an overview of how to use simulation and optimization techniques and technologies to support business performance improvement. Both of these technologies have been accused of being difficult to apply from a practical sense. This session will help to simplify how to use these powerful toolsets to significantly improve business processes and organizational performance through their application to front-end analysis phases of projects as well as operational monitoring and management activities. Explored will be the types of business problems that can benefit from the use of simulation and optimization including manage risk and uncertainty in implementing BPM and a BPMS, a simplified definition of simulation and optimization techniques, as well as a real-world example of how these technologies are used for design, process monitoring and continual improvement strategies.

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Page 1: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

1 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Ed StephanPMP®

CACI International, Inc.

Session Title:Improving Businesses Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

WelcomeWelcome

to Transformation and Innovation 2007 The Business Transformation Conference

Page 2: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

2 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

This presentation will…

1. Help simplify how to use these toolsets to improve business processes performance

2. ID the types of business problems that can benefit

3. Examine the documentation perspective of simulation

4. Show how simulation and optimization are integrated

Page 3: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

3 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

OverviewHow to achieve business performance improvement:

• Through the use of simulation techniques and technologies• Through the use of optimization techniques and technologies

Page 4: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

4 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

This presentation will…

1. Help simplify how to use simulation to significantly improve business process performance

2. ID the types of business problems that can benefit

3. Examine the documentation perspective of simulation

4. Show how simulation and optimization are integrated

Page 5: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

5 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Object-based Model Development

Page 6: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

6 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Drill-down Approach

Processes unique to NS are distinguished from

processes unique to OS

Page 7: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

7 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Drill-down w/in 1. Announcement & Selection

SIMPROCESS Model of VA Nurse Recruitment & Selection Process:• 144 Individual Tasks• 79 Logical Branches

Top-level View of Process:

Page 8: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

8 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Drill-down within 1.1 Vacancy Occurs

Page 9: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

9 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Comparison of AS-IS & WHAT-IF Histograms

AS-IS

WHAT-IF

Page 10: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

10 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

This presentation will…

1. Help simplify how to use these toolsets to improve business process performance

2. Identify the types of business problems that can benefit from the application of this technology

3. Examine the documentation perspective of simulation

4. Show how simulation and optimization are integrated

Page 11: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

11 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Candidates for Simulation and Optimization

1. Labor-intensive activities (e.g. personnel recruitment)

Page 12: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

12 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Projected Benefits of Specific Improvements

AS-IS

72

WHAT-IF

25

VetPro

22

Mailing

6Approvals

6

Other

9

Apply, 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

AS-IS VetPro Mailing Approvals Apply Other WHAT-IF

WHAT-IF Improvements

Da

ys

to

fill

Page 13: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

13 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Candidates for Simulation and Optimization

1. Labor-intensive activities (e.g. personnel recruitment)

2. Complex combinations of high volume activities where it’s prototyping isn’t feasible (e.g. data capture processing that includes manual keying)

Page 14: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

14 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Enterpri$e$y$tem$

Te$t Lab

EnterpriseModel

Simulation=Cost-effective Alternative to Lab

Page 15: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

15 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Candidates for Simulation and Optimization

1. Labor-intensive activities (e.g. personnel recruitment)

2. Complex combinations of high volume activities where it’s prototyping isn’t feasible (e.g. data capture processing that includes manual keying)

3. Activities where the workload consists of a large volume of small, independent tasks (e.g. call center operation)

Page 16: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

16 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Logic Diagrams of FAA Air Traffic Call Types

Page 17: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

17 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Simulation on Demand

Page 18: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

18 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Candidates for Simulation and Optimization

1. Labor-intensive activities (e.g. personnel recruitment)

2. Complex combinations of high volume activities where it’s prototyping isn’t feasible (e.g. data capture processing that includes manual keying)

3. Activities where the workload consists of a large volume of small, independent tasks (e.g. call center operation)

4. Activities where the combination of a large number of independent variables must be optimized (e.g. supply chain management)

Page 19: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

19 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Supply Chain Management: Execution

S1S1

D1D1 S1S1

M2M2S2S2 D2D2

M1M1 D1D1 S1S1

S2S2

D1D1M1M1

European European RM SupplierRM Supplier

European European RM SupplierRM Supplier

Key Other Key Other RM RM

SuppliersSuppliers

Key Other Key Other RM RM

SuppliersSuppliers

Alpha Alpha RegionalRegional

WarehousesWarehouses

S1S1

DR1DR1 SR1SR1

DR1DR1 SR1SR1 DR1DR1 SR1SR1

DR3DR3 SR3SR3

RM RM SuppliersSuppliers

DistributorsDistributorsALPHAALPHA

DR3DR3 SR3SR3

S1S1

AmericasDistributors

AmericasDistributors

SR1SR1

SR3SR3

Page 20: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

20 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Candidates for Simulation and Optimization

1. Labor-intensive activities (e.g. personnel recruitment)

2. Complex combinations of high volume activities where it’s prototyping isn’t feasible (e.g. data capture processing that includes manual keying)

3. Activities where the workload consists of a large volume of small, independent tasks (e.g. call center operation)

4. Activities where the combination of a large number of independent variables must be optimized (e.g. supply chain management)

5. Forecasts must be continually updated based on the latest operating metrics (e.g. Emergency Dept.)

Page 21: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

21 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Optimization Example

Page 22: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

22 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

This presentation will…

1. Help simplify how to use these toolsets to improve business process performance

2. ID the types of business problems that can benefit

3. Examine the documentation perspective of simulation

4. Show how simulation and optimization tools are integrated with other BPM tools

Page 23: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

23 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Links to Detailed Documentation

Page 24: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

24 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Documentation Links

Page 25: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

25 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Sample

Document

Page 26: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

26 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

This presentation will…

1. Help simplify how to use these toolsets to improve business process performance

2. ID the types of business problems that can benefit

3. Examine the documentation perspective of simulation

4. Show how simulation and optimization tools are integrated with other BPM tools

Page 27: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

27 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Predictive Analytics Using Latest Metrics

1. Paper Assumptions

PaperProcessModel

PaperProcessModel

1b. Volume Projection

WorkflowControlSystem 2a. OCR Start & Stop

1a. Paper Assumptions

OCR Throughput

2b. OCR Processing Time

EnsembleEnsemble

Volume Projection

Paper Process Model

March April MayMarch April MayMarch April May 3. OCR Throughput

2. Poll for Latest Metrics

Page 28: Improving Business Performance: Demystifying Simulation and Optimization

28 May 22-24, 2007

Washington Dulles HiltonThe Business Transformation Conference

Thank YouThank YEd StephanPMP®

CACI International, Inc.

Contact Information:(703) [email protected]

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