improved assessment of personal exposure to air … · equivalent pm10 average daily concentration...
TRANSCRIPT
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 1 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
IMPROVED ASSESSMENT OF PERSONAL
EXPOSURE TO AIR POLLUTANTS USING AGENT
BASED MODELLING (ABM) COUPLED WITH MULTI-
SENSORS NETWORKS
D. Chapizanis1, D.A. Sarigiannis1,2,3, S. Karakitsios1,2
1Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Chemical Engineering, Environmental Engineering Laboratory,
University Campus, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece
2HERACLES Research Center on the Exposome and Health, Center for Interdisciplinary Research and Innovation,
Balkan Center, Bldg. B, 10th km Thessaloniki-Thermi Road, 57001, Greece
3School for Advanced Study (IUSS), Science, Technology and Society Department, Environmental Health
Engineering, Piazza della Vittoria 15, Pavia 27100, Italy
http://www.enve-lab.eu
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 2 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
• Use sensors for tracking personal location and activities in order to assess
exposure at a personal level.
• Hurdles involved in collecting real data for large populations.
• Development of an individual exposure model based on Agent Based
Modelling (ABM).
Introduction
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 3 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Time
Data Analysis & Interpretation Multi-sensor Campaign
Time – Activity Diary
& Questionnaire
PM,
Location,
Temp,
Humidity
Steps,
Activities,
Heart Rate,
Organic
chemicals
Exposure
modelling
Location
Activities
Pollutants’
Concentration
Statistical
Models
CO, CO2, VOCs, PM2.5, O3, NO2,
Temp, Humidity, Air pressure.
Methodology
2019 wearable sensors campaign
Personal Exposure
9 EU cities
100 participants/city
Duration: 7 days
Summer & Winter period
Online Platform
Smart Data Collection
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 4 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Methodology
PM and PAHs sampling
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 5 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Methodology
PAHs analysis
Extraction of filters with organic solvents
GC-MS analysis
Determination of concentrations using
internal standards
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 6 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Place Settings Duration
(h)
LR NLR MLR MLR_RV ANN
PM1 PM2.5 PM10 PM1 PM2.5 PM10 PM1 PM2.5 PM10 PM1 PM2.5 PM10 PM1 PM2.5 PM10
Lab Laboratory Conditions 24 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.83 0.81 0.80 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.85
Closed Windows / AC Off 17 0.84 0.81 0.70 0.89 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.80 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96
Closed Windows / AC On 24 0.85 0.83 0.79 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.97
Open Windows / AC Off 24 0.86 0.84 0.67 0.90 0.90 0.86 0.88 0.83 0.67 0.96 0.95 0.91 0.97 0.96 0.94
Closed Windows - Battery Low 6 0.52 0.53 0.45 0.58 0.60 0.56 0.63 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.87 0.90 0.84 0.91 0.91
Mixed - Fri/Sat/Sun 72 0.85 0.86 0.77 0.91 0.89 0.83 0.88 0.86 0.78 0.95 0.93 0.87 0.97 0.96 0.90
Office Closed Windows / AC On 24 0.85 0.84 0.47 0.91 0.88 0.64 0.92 0.88 0.62 0.97 0.96 0.80 0.97 0.97 0.84
Open Windows / AC On 10 0.70 0.56 0.19 0.74 0.62 0.20 0.67 0.60 0.37 0.84 0.77 0.68 0.89 0.79 0.65
Open Windows / AC Off 11 0.81 0.78 0.72 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.86 0.84 0.82 0.86 0.86 0.85
Living Open Windows / Fan Off 18 0.86 0.84 0.71 0.90 0.89 0.80 0.90 0.89 0.78 0.97 0.95 0.87 0.97 0.96 0.89
Room Open Windows / Fan On 12 0.88 0.86 0.70 0.92 0.90 0.80 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97
Closed Windows / Fan On 12 0.87 0.83 0.77 0.91 0.88 0.85 0.91 0.89 0.82 0.96 0.96 0.92 0.96 0.97 0.94
Closed Windows / Fan Off 12 0.81 0.68 0.37 0.85 0.77 0.49 0.85 0.73 0.46 0.93 0.82 0.56 0.94 0.86 0.68
Methodology
AQ sensors data validation
• Test device under diverse environmental conditions prior deployment
• Include additional environmental parameters that influence concentration
• Properly interpret the physicochemical phenomena and use the right statistical tools
*work in progress – testing period: 15 days (Aug – Sept 2018), results from 5 sensors
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 7 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Methodology
PM and PAHs deposition
• Μultiple Path Particle Deposition Model: Tidal Volume, Functional
Residual Capacity, URT volume and Breathing Frequency as inputs
Major:
• Diffusion
• Sedimentation
• Inertial Impaction
Minor:
• Interception
• Electrostatic
Aerosol property
• Size distribution
• Concentration
• Particle hygroscopicity
• Gas-particle interaction
• Chemical reaction
• Particle surface
Air Flow property
• Lung capacity
• Breathing frequency
Respiratory tract
• Lung structure and morphology
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 8 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
• A system is modelled as a collection of agents and the relationships
between them.
• The agents, programmed as autonomous decision-makers, react and act in
their environment.
• Take into account the heterogeneity of the entities
composing the system.
• Behaviours emerge through the agents interactions. building agents
human agents
Methodology
Agent Based Modelling (ABM)
road agents
spatially explicit ABM platform
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 9 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Buildings Network
Roads Network
Methodology
Buildings & Road Network
road agents
building agents
human agents
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 10 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Gender
Age
movement
Time-Use
Surveys
Campaigns
findings
Literature
associations
----- sources ----- -------------- attributes -------------- ------------- behavioural rules ------------
IF
THEN
Pactivity = f(age, gender, income, education, Po )
activities
Interaction
between
human agents
Socio-Economic Status
o Level of education
o Occupational status
o Marital status
o Income
Methodology
Human agents spatiotemporal behaviour
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 11 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
ABM simulation preview
Sleeping
Indoor activities
In transit
Working
Relaxing
Sports
Activities
Road Network
Buildings,
Land Use
Time Activity Place Vehicle
0:00 sleep home
8:10 commute road car
8:20 paidwork work
11:20 commute road car
12:00 eatdrink home
13:00 tvradio home
18:30 selfcare home
19:10 clean home
20:10 selfcare home
20:50 tvradio home
Human Agent
Trajectories
Air Quality
Data
Methodology
Personal exposure modelling Human agent X – Exposure to PAHs (ng/m3)
Human agent X –
Daily intake of PAHs (ng/kg-day)
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 12 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Results
Ambient air PAHs
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
PM1 - ΣPAHs
PM1 -TEQ
PM2.5 - ΣPAHs
PM2.5 -TEQ
PM10 - ΣPAHs
PM10 -TEQ
PM1 - ΣPAHs
PM1 -TEQ
PM2.5 - ΣPAHs
PM2.5 -TEQ
PM10 - ΣPAHs
PM10 -TEQ
Urban background Traffic
ΣP
AH
s -
TE
Q (
ng
/m3 )
ΣPAHs - TEQ
5%-95%
Median
Mean
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 13 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
31,5 28,2 28,8
25,4
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
Equivalent PM10 average daily concentration (ug/m3)
Outdoor Concentration
Indoor Concentration
Exposure
Inhalation Adj. Exposure
Civstatus
1
Education
2
Income
2
Employment
1
Age
23
Gender
M
Region
centre
M_House
D_Thessalonikis
M_Work/School
D_PavlouMela
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
PA
Hs (
ng
/m3)
Indoors (home/store/bar) Indoors (work/school) Outdoors (park/forest) In transit
00:00 | leisure
08:30 | paidwork
15:20 | commute (car)
15:30 | selfcare
16:00 | commute (car)
18:20 | foodprep
21:40 | shopserv
20:50 | commute (car)
00:20 | sleep
16:30 | forest walk
17:00 | commute (car)
19:10 | tvradio
20:20 | maintain
22:10 | commute (car)
23:40 | eatdrink Gender: Female
Age: 27 years old
Civil status: in a relationship
Employment: full time job
Income: medium
Education: secondary
Residential place: Centre
Work place: North
14,9
13,3 13,6
12,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
PAHs Daily intake dose per body weight (ng/kg-day)
Outdoor Concentration
Indoor Concentration
Exposure
Inhalation Adj. Exposure
Female, 27 years, medium income, secondary education, full-time job, in a relationship
Results
Human agent exposure profile – PAHs
08:20 | commute (car)
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 14 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
PA
Hs (
ug
/m3)
Indoors (home/store/bar) Indoors (work/school) Outdoors (park/forest) In transit
Civstatus
2
Education
3
Income
2
Employment
1
Age
35
Gender
M
Region
centre
M_House
D_Thessalonikis
M_Work/School
D_Kordeliou_Evosmou
00:00 | eat-drink
09:30 | paidwork
18:20 | selfcare
19:20 | leisure
20:20 | tv-radio
22:20 | compint
08:40 | commute (motorbike)
01:40 | sleep
17:30 | commute (motorbike)
22:50 | eatdrink
23:20 | read
Gender: Male
Age: 37 years old
Civil status: single
Employment: full time job
Income: medium
Education: higher
Residential place: Centre
Work place: West
14,9
13,6 13,9
17,1
10,0
15,0
20,0
PAHs Daily intake dose per body weight (ng/kg-day)
Outdoor Concentration
Indoor Concentration
Exposure
Inhalation Adj. Exposure
31,5 28,8 29,4
36,1
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
Equivalent PM10 average daily concentration (ug/m3)
Outdoor Concentration
Indoor Concentration
Exposure
Inhalation Adj. Exposure
Results
Human agent exposure profile – PAHs
Male, 37 years, medium income, higher education, full-time job, single
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 15 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
To
tal
Lo
w E
du
c. le
ve
l
Hig
h E
du
c. le
ve
l
Lo
w In
co
me
Hig
h In
co
me
Ma
le
Fe
ma
le
Ce
ntr
e
Ea
st
West
Outdoors
Da
ily i
nta
ke
(n
g/k
g-d
ay)
Intake Dose Variation (ABM)
Results
Human agent population subgroups
• Exposure can differ by 32% between housemates and up to 77% for neighbours
• Exposure was found to vary based on SES conditions
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 16 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Results
Human agent population subgroups
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 17 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Results
campaign exposure vs. ABM exposure data
sensors
campaign
ABM
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 18 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
• cost-effective construction of refined time-activity diaries & exposure profiles
• estimations based onto emerging properties of the agent system behaviour
• ΑΒΜ model especially useful for vulnerable groups of population
• evaluation of the probable impacts of different public health policies, prior to
implementation
• Combined data of sensors, chemical analysis and advanced exposure
modelling are able to further elucidate differences among individuals and
population groups
Conclusions
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 19 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki Acknowledgements
Funding
HBM4EU project
ICARUS project
The HBM4EU project has received funding from the Horizon 2020
Research and Innovation Programme under grant agreement No 733032
The ICARUS project has received funding from the European Union’s
H2020 Framework Programme under grant agreement No - 690105
2nd European Exposure Science Strategy Workshop 20 / 15 July 4-5, 2019 Bilthoven, The Netherlands
Environmental
Engineering
Laboratory
Dep. of Chemical Engineering
School of Engineering
Aristotle Univ. of Thessaloniki
Agent Based
improved exposure assessment
Demographic & socioeconomic determinants
Personal exposure Artificial societies
Heterogeneity
vulnerable population
integration of Modelling
from the bottom up
emergent behaviour
Thank you!
Thessaloniki, Greece