importance of base stock choice to a finished lubricant ...€¦ · 2 competition law reminder...
TRANSCRIPT
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology,
the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein (and in Item 1A of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K or information set forth
under "factors affecting future results" on the "investors" page of our website at www.exxonmobil.com). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
Importance of Base Stock Choice to a Finished Lubricant Blender
A. (Bob) Duggal Global Basestocks Technical Advisor June 30, 2015
2
Competition Law Reminder
• It is ExxonMobil’s policy to comply strictly with all applicable antitrust and
competition laws.
• These antitrust and competition law rules also apply to this presentation.
• No discussions will be made on any other matter, including:
• Agreements or business transactions that ExxonMobil has with third
parties and/or customers.
• Base stock or lubricant future price moves or production capacity
changes not announced or in the public domain.
3
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Engine Oil Industrial Oil
Relative Composition
Base Oils Additives
Lubricant Relative Composition & Cost Estimates
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Engine Oil Industrial Oil
Relative Cost
Base Oils Additives Package Blending
• Base oils account for ~80-95+% of composition, ~50-75% of lubricant cost
• Have significant impact on lubricant performance and economics
* ExxonMobil assessment of typical cost distribution for example products
blended in a medium sized European blend plant with waterborne access
4
Global Lubricant Demand & Segmentation
• Demand growth in developing markets
• Automotive lubricants ~half of market
• Passenger Vehicle Lubes (cars)
• Commercial Vehicle Lubes (trucks)
• Industrial, Marine, Process Oil
remainder
% Growth
p.a.
’15 – ‘30
1.9
--
kBD
Lubricant Demand
Source: EM assessment of publically available information.
5
API & ACEA Base Stock Groupings
Very wide
chemical
spectrum
Narrow
chemical
spectrum
Classifications based on VI, Sulfur, and Saturates (by silica gel separation)
80 ≤ VI < 120
Sats < 90%
Sulfur > 0.03%
80 ≤ VI < 120
Sats ≥ 90%
Sulfur ≤ 0.03%
VI ≥ 120
Sats ≥ 90%
Sulfur ≤ 0.03%
PAOs All Others
< 80 VI
Paraffinics
Naphthenics
Alkylated
Napthalenes
Esters
Bio-based
Base Stocks
GROUP I GROUP II GROUP III GROUP IV GROUP V
Natural antioxidants,
with excellent solvency;
Good seal compatibility
Can be produced to very
high viscosities
Industrial oils, heat
transfer oils,
conventional greases,
and marine engine oils
Improved oxidation
stability and volatility vs.
Group I
Greater process
flexibility for higher VI
Passenger car motor
oils, heavy duty engine
oils, natural gas engine
oils, automatic
transmission fluid (ATF),
long-life turbine oils,
automotive gear oils
Similar to Group II
but more
isoparaffinic in
nature
Generally not
produced beyond 8
cSt KV at 100°C
Low viscosity, top
tier engine oils;
automatic
transmission fluids,
and some food
grade/white oils
Uniform composition free of impurities Broad viscosity range possible through different oligomerization catalyst technologies Top-tier motor oils; synthetic industrial oils; high performance greases
Unique properties: phosphate esters as fire retardation lubricants Esters as aviation base stocks Complementary to highly paraffinic stocks for seal compatibility and solvency
Source: ExxonMobil Research & Engineering
6
Lubricant Trends Impact on Base Stocks
Diluent
Oil
Marine
Industrial
Heavy
Duty EO
Passenger
Car EO LN
Solvency
Hvy
Sats, Ox Stability
CCS
Noack
GI GII/III
Fuel Economy
Severe
Sub-Categories
Oil Life
Increasing Quality
Changing TBN
and Fuels
Composition
Constraints
Application Trends, Basestock Impact
Source: EM assessment of publically available information.
7
Evolving Base Stock Supply and Demand
Demand Outlook
0%
300%
'10 '20 '30
Group I
Group II / III
• Group II & III demand growth
• Improved performance
• Increasing availability
• Cost competitiveness
• Group I demand declining
(esp. light viscosity)
• Performance constraints
• Sulfur limits
• Soot handling
• Oxidation stability
• Volatility limits
• Supply uncertainty
Source: EM assessment of publically available information.
8
Global Base Stock Capacity*
• Since 1980’s: Group I decline; Group II & III growth
• Group 1 as percentage of total: 1970 – 99%; 2010 – ~65%
• Limited contributions from re-refined, alternative basestocks
0
500
1000
1970 1985 2000 2015
Gp III Gp II Gp I
Source: EM assessment of publically available information.
10
Base Stock & Additive Influence on Lubricants
Base stocks contribute significantly to finished lubricant properties
Primary impact Secondary impact
Lubricant Property Basestock Additive
Oxidation stability
Thermal stability
Solvency
Volatility
Low temperature flow
Deposit control
Demulsibility
Foam prevention
Antiwear / EP
Color
Source: ExxonMobil technical assessment
11
Catalytic
Rearrangement
Base Stock Processing
Crude
Oil
Physical Separation
Wax
Moderate Conversion Catalytic
Hydroprocessing
High Conversion Catalytic
Hydroprocessing
Chemical Synthesis
Group III+
VGO
GTL
Group IV (PAO)
Group III
Group II
Group I
Feed Manufacturing
Processes
Natural
Gas
C=C Steam
Cracking Naphtha
Source: Exxon Mobil Research & Engineering
12
Analysis of Typical Lube Crude
• Hydrocarbon distribution of good lube crude
• Basestocks molecules of interests fall in the 300º C to 700º C distillation range
• Refining is needed to create/isolate the desirable basestock components
Paraffin 1-ring naphthene Multi-ring naphthene Alkyl Aromatics NaphthenoAromatics Residue
Increasing Carbon Number
700oC 300oC
Source: ExxonMobil Research & Engineering
13
Base Stock Composition Impact
Molecule Structure VI Low Temp Oxidation Solubility Toxicity Process
n-paraffin
Excellent Poor
Excellent
Poor Low
Iso-paraffin Good/
Excellent
Good Excellent Good Low
Linear
naphthenic
Good Good Good Good Low
naphthenic Poor Excellent Good Excellent Low
substituted
monoaromatics
Poor Good Good Good Medium
polynuclear
aromatics
Poor Poor Very
Poor
Good Very
high
• Sulfur and nitrogen in crudes are reduced or practically eliminated in refinery processing.
• Sulfur can contribute to oxidation stability in conventionally refined base oil.
• Nitrogen can contribute to product color and is generally eliminated in processing.
Dewaxing
Hydro-
processing
Base
Stock
Source: ExxonMobil Research & Engineering
14
Sales Specifications
Manufacturing Specifications
Application Testing
Process Integrity
Product Design
Elements of Base Stock Quality System
PR
OD
UC
T IN
TE
GR
ITY
Ultimate responsibility for Lubricant Performance lies with the Lube Marketer
15
• Overall formulation cost
• Blends wide range of lubricants
• Minimize Complexity
• Quality
• Reliability
• Logistics
• Business continuity
• Viscometrics
• Engine Performance
• Approvals
• Global Slate
Lubricant Performance
Supply Availability
Affordability Broad
Application
Base Stock Selection Criteria
16
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
No
ack v
ola
tility
lo
ss, w
t %
CCS @ -30 deg.C
Blend Properties of Typical 4 and 6 cSt Basestocks
Group I
Group II
Group III
Group III+ PAO
• Noack vs. CCS charting for blends of 4 & 6 cSt base stocks.
• Low volatility and good low temperature performance are desirable.
CCS / Volatility of Base Stocks
17
Differentiators:
• Volatility
• Especially of light
component
• Heavy viscosity
component
• Dewaxing
• Type, extent impacts low
temperature performance
Not All Group II Base Stocks Are the Same
8
12
16
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Base O
il N
oack V
ola
tility
, w
t%
Base Oil CCS at -25°C, cP
Group III
Group II
Gr II+/II
18
• Grp II+/II Base Stocks meet CCS-Volatility for wide range of PCEO & HDEO lubricants
Optimizing Blend Coverage with Grp II+/II
Note: Shaded areas represent EM technical assessment of base oil volatility / CCS vis ranges
required to blend the designated engine oil with a market general additive. The exact range
depends on the actual additive technology used. Solid lines represent blends of light and medium
viscosity base stocks within a given slate
Grp III base stocks
are “over-designed”
(VI, volatility give-
away)
Grp II light viscosity
base stocks have
high volatility, need
Grp III “corrector
stocks”
19
Broad Engine Oils Coverage
• Broad viscosity coverage with limited number of base stocks
• EHC slate allows read-across reducing development cost, increasing flexibility
• Limits the amount of more expensive Group III required
*Source: ExxonMobil assessment of publicly available information
kBD
PCEO HDEO
20
Well Designed Group II+/II Slate Reduces Need for
Group III Stocks
• Comparison of Grp III appetite
of three Group II base stock
slates
• Same Additive Technology
• Group III needed to meet specs
with “conventional” Group II
• Grp II+/II slate does not require
any Group III “corrector stock”
Source: ExxonMobil technical assessment
Base O
il C
om
positio
n,
%
21
Group II - Broad Industrial Oil Coverage
• Broad viscosity coverage with limited number of base stocks
• Blends well with Brightstock
• Can provide performance improvements in some products
*Source: ExxonMobil technical assessment of publicly available information. Relative volumes estimated AP
22
• Base stocks have a significant impact on lubricant performance, cost
and performance
• Thoughtful choice of base stock slate can enable a wide lubricant
blend coverage with low complexity
• Emerging lubricant requirements are calling for increased use of Grp II
base stocks
• A well designed Grp II slate can meet a broad range of lubricant
applications, while minimizing the need for Grp III corrector stocks
• Lubricant product integrity can be enabled through a multi-layer base
stock quality & integrity system
Importance of Base Stock Choice to a
Finished Lubricant Blender
23
©2015 ExxonMobil. ExxonMobil, the ExxonMobil logo, the interlocking “X” device and other product or
service names used herein are trademarks of ExxonMobil, unless indicated otherwise. This document
may not be distributed, displayed, copied or altered without ExxonMobil's prior written authorization. To
the extent ExxonMobil authorizes distributing, displaying and/or copying of this document, the user may
do so only if the document is unaltered and complete, including all of its headers, footers, disclaimers
and other information. You may not copy this document to or reproduce it in whole or in part on a
website. ExxonMobil does not guarantee the typical (or other) values. Any data included herein is based
upon analysis of representative samples and not the actual product shipped. The information in this
document relates only to the named product or materials when not in combination with any other product
or materials. We based the information on data believed to be reliable on the date compiled, but we do
not represent, warrant, or otherwise guarantee, expressly or impliedly, the merchantability, fitness for a
particular purpose, freedom from patent infringement, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or completeness of
this information or the products, materials or processes described. The user is solely responsible for all
determinations regarding any use of material or product and any process in its territories of interest. We
expressly disclaim liability for any loss, damage or injury directly or indirectly suffered or incurred as a
result of or related to anyone using or relying on any of the information in this document. This document
is not an endorsement of any non-ExxonMobil product or process, and we expressly disclaim any
contrary implication. The terms “we,” “our,” and "ExxonMobil" are each used for convenience, and may
include any one or more of Exxon Mobil Corporation, or any affiliate either directly or indirectly
stewarded.
Thank you
25
• Importance of Base Stock Choice to a Finished Lubricants Blender
• Base stocks are recognized as a key component to lubricant formulations, and a
careful selection of the base stock for each lubrication application is necessary. As
base stocks are generally derived from naturally occurring crude oils, a thoughtful
selection of raw materials, processes and controls is needed to ensure lubricant
performance and product integrity. Performance requirements for engine oils are
constantly evolving, and base stock producers are responding with optimal solutions
to enable lubricant performance. A discussion of the importance of base stocks
parameters and quality to a finished lubricant blender will be presented.
• Speaker Bio:
• A. (Bob) Duggal is a Global Basestocks Technical Advisor at ExxonMobil. A MS
Chemical Engineer by training, Bob’s career spans 20+ years in lubricant additives,
formulations and basestocks development and application. Bob has authored several
industrial patents and publications.
Abstract