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DIRECTORATE GENERAL FOR INTERNAL POLICIESPOLICY DEPARTMENT A: ECONOMIC AND SCIENTIFIC POLICY

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human healthSTUDYAbstractThis study discusses the possible impacts of hydraulic fracturing on the environment and on human health. Quantitative data and qualitative impacts are taken from US experience since shale gas extraction in Europe still is in its infancy, while the USA have more than 40 years of experience already having drilled more than 50,000 wells. Greenhouse gas emissions are also assessed based on a critical review of existing literature and own calculations. European legislation is reviewed with respect to hydraulic fracturing activities and recommendations for further work are given. The potential gas resources and future availability of shale gas is discussed in face of the present conventional gas supply and its probable future development.

IP/A/ENVI/ST/2011-07 PE 464.425

June 2011 EN

This document was requested by the European Parliament's Committee on Environment, Public Health and Food Safety

AUTHORS Mr Stefan LECHTENBHMER, Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy Mr Matthias ALTMANN, Ludwig-Blkow-Systemtechnik GmbH Ms Sofia CAPITO, Ludwig-Blkow-Systemtechnik GmbH Mr Zsolt MATRA, Ludwig-Blkow-Systemtechnik GmbH Mr Werner WEINDRORF, Ludwig-Blkow-Systemtechnik GmbH Mr Werner ZITTEL, Ludwig-Blkow-Systemtechnik GmbH

RESPONSIBLE ADMINISTRATOR Lorenzo VICARIO Policy Department Economic and Scientific Policy European Parliament B-1047 Brussels E-mail: [email protected]

LINGUISTIC VERSIONS Original: EN Executive summary: DE/FR

ABOUT THE EDITOR To contact the Policy Department or to subscribe to its newsletter please write to: [email protected] ___________ Manuscript completed in June 2011. Brussels, European Parliament, 2011. This document is available on the Internet at: ________ DISCLAIMER The opinions expressed in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily represent the official position of the European Parliament. Reproduction and translation for non-commercial purposes are authorized, provided the source is acknowledged and the publisher is given prior notice and sent a copy.

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

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CONTENTSLIST OF ABBREVIATIONS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. INTRODUCTION1.1. Shale gas1.1.1. 1.1.2. What is shale gas? Recent development of unconventional gas extraction

5 8 8 9 121212 14

1.2. Shale oil1.2.1. 1.2.2. What is shale oil and tight oil? Recent development of tight oil extraction

1515 16

2.

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS2.1. Hydraulic fracturing and its possible impacts on the environment 2.2. Impacts on Landscape 2.3. Air Pollutant Emissions and Soil Contamination2.3.1. 2.3.2. Air pollutants from regular operations Pollutants from well blowouts or accidents at drilling sites

1717 20 2222 24

2.4. Surface and ground water2.4.1. 2.4.2. 2.4.3. Water consumption Water contamination Waste water disposal

2525 27 29

2.5. Earthquakes 2.6. Chemicals, Radioactivity and Impacts on Human Health2.6.1. 2.6.2. 2.6.3. Radioactive Materials Chemicals to be used Impacts on human health

30 3030 31 34

2.7. Possible long term ecological benefits 2.8. Discussion of risks in public debates 2.9. Resources consumption

35 36 37

3.

GREENHOUSE GAS BALANCE3.1. Shale and tight gas3.1.1. 3.1.2. 3.1.3. Experiences in North America Transferability to European conditions Open issues

393939 43 46

3.2. Tight oil3.2.1. Experiences in Europe

4646

3

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

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4.

EU REGULATORY FRAMEWORK4.1. Extractive Industry specific Directives 4.2. Non-specific Directives (focus: environment and human health)4.2.1. 4.2.2. General Mining Risks covered by EU-Directives Specific shale gas and tight oil risks covered by EU-Directives

4848 5151 54

4.3. Gaps and open issues

61

5.

AVAILABILITY AND ROLE IN A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY5.1. Introduction

6464

5.2. Size and location of shale gas and oil deposits compared to conventional deposits 655.2.1. 5.2.2. Shale gas Shale oil and tight oil 65 68

5.3. Analysis of producing shale gas plays in the United States of America5.3.1. 5.3.2. 5.3.3. 5.3.4. 5.3.5. 5.3.6. First month production rate Typical production profiles Estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) per well Some examples in the USA Key parameters of major European gas shales Hypothetical field development

7070 71 71 71 73 74

5.4. Role of shale gas extraction in the transition to a low-carbon economy and the long-term reduction of CO2 emissions 745.4.1. 5.4.2. 5.4.3. Conventional gas production in Europe Role of shale gas production for long-term reduction of CO2 emissions 74 76 Probable relevance of unconventional gas production on European gas supply 75

6.

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

77 80 88

REFERENCES ANNEX: CONVERSION FACTORS

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONSACP Africa, Caribbean and Pacific ac-ft acre-foot ( 1 acre foot =1215 m!) ADR Agreement Concerning the International Carriage of Dangerous Goods by Road AGS Arkansas Geological Survey BAT Best Available Technique bbl Barrel (159 litre) bcm Billion m" BREF Best Available Technique Reference CBM coalbed methane CO Carbon monoxide CO2 Carbon dioxide D Darcy (Measure for Permeability) EIA Environmental Impact Assessment EU European Union EUR Estimated ultimate recovery (amoun of oil which is believed to be recovered ultimatly Gb Gigabarrel (109 bbl) GHG Greenhouse gases GIP gas in place, amount of gas contained in a gas shale IEA International Energy Agency IPPC Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control km Killometre

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kt Kiloton LCA Life Cycle Analysis m Metre m! Cubic meter MJ Megajoule MMscf Million standard cubic feet Mt Million tons MW Mining Waste NEEI Non-energy-extracting-industries NMVOC Non methane volative organic compounds NORM Normally occuring radioactive substances (often also abbreviated as N.O.R.M.) NOx Nitrogen oxide OGP International Association of Oil & Gas Producers PA DEP Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection PLTA Pennsylvania Land Trust Association PM Particulates ppb Parts per billion ppm Parts per million Scf Standard cubic feet (1000 Scf = 28.3 m") SO2 Sulfur dioxide SPE Society of Petroleum Engineers TCEQ Texas Commission on Environmental Quality Tm! Tera cubicmeter (1012 m")

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

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TOC Total organic carbon UK United Kingdom UNECE United Nations Economic Commission for Europe US-EIA United States Energy Information Administrtion USGS United States Geological Survey VOC Volatile organic compounds WEO World Energy Outlook

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

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LIST OF TABLESTable 1: Typical specific emissions of air pollutants from stationary diesel engines used for drilling, hydraulic fracturing and completion ....................................................... 24 Table 2: Water demand of various wells for shale gas production (m3)....................... 27 Table 3: Selected substances used as chemical additives for fracturing fluids in Lower Saxony in Germany ........................................................................................ 34 Table 4: Estimated quantities of materials and truck movements for activities associated with natural gas development [NYCDEP 2009] .................................................... 37 Table 5: Methane emissions from flow-back fluids for four unconventional natural gas wells 40 Table 6: Emissions of shale gas exploration, extraction and processing related to the LHV of the produced gas ........................................................................................ 41 Table 7: GHG from the supply of electricity from natural gas CCGT from various NG sources compared with the supply of electricity from coal in g CO2 equivalent per kWh of electricity................................................................................................... 45 Table 8: All EU Directives developed specifically for the extractive industries ................. 49 Table 9: Most relevant legislation affecting the extractive industries ............................. 53 Table 10: Relevant EU-Directives on Water ............................................................... 55 Table 11: Relevant EU Directives on the Protection of the Environment ......................... 57 Table 12: Relevant EU Directives on safety at work .................................................... 58 Table 13: Relevant Directive on Radiation Protection .................................................. 59 Table 14: Relevant EU Directives on Waste ............................................................... 59 Table 15: Relevant EU Directives on Chemicals and associated accidents....................... 60 Table 16: Assessment of conventional gas production and reserves compared to shale gas resources (Gas-in-Place as well as technically recoverable shale gas resources); GIP = gas in place; bcm = billion m" (the original data are converted into m" by 1000 Scf= 28.3 m") ....................................................................................................... 66 Table 17: Assessment of major gas shale developments in the USA (the original data are converted by 1000 Scf= 28.3 m" and 1 m = 3 ft)................................................ 67 Table 18: Estimates of shale oil resources in Europe (in Mt) ........................................ 68 Table 19: Assessment of key parameters of major European Gas shales (the original data are converted into SI units and rounded) ........................................................... 73

LIST OF FIGURESFigure 1: Potential flows of air pollutant emissions, harmful substances into water and soil, and naturally occurring radioactive materials (NORM) .......................................... 20 Figure 2: Tight-gas sandstone drilling....................................................................... 21 Figure 3: Composition of the fracturing fluid used at Goldenstedt Z23 in Lower Saxony in Germany ....................................................................................................... 33 Figure 4: CH4 emissions from shale gas exploration, extraction and processing .............. 40 Figure 5: Greenhouse gas emissions of shale and tight gas production, distribution and combustion compared to conventional natural gas and coal .................................. 44 Figure 6: Structure of the extractive industry ............................................................ 50 Figure 7: Most important EU Directives effective on extractive waste ............................ 53 Figure 8: World production of shale oil; original units are converted with 1 ton of oil shale equals 100 l of shale oil ................................................................................... 70 Figure 9: Gas production from the Fayetteville shale in Arkansas ................................. 72 Figure 10: Typical shale development by adding new wells at a constant development rate of one well per month ..................................................................................... 74

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYRECOMMENDATIONSThere is no comprehensive directive providing for a European mining law. A publicly available, comprehensive and detailed analysis of the European regulatory framework concerning shale gas and tight oil extraction is not available and should be developed. The current EU regulatory framework concerning hydraulic fracturing, which is the core element in shale gas and tight oil extraction, has a number of gaps. Most importantly, the threshold for Environmental Impact Assessments to be carried out on hydraulic fracturing activities in hydrocarbon extraction is set far above any potential industrial activities of this kind, and thus should be lowered substantially. The coverage of the water framework Directive should be re-assessed with special focus on fracturing activities and their possible impacts on surface water. In the framework of a Life Cycle Analysis (LCA), a thorough cost/benefit analysis could be a tool to assess the overall benefits for society and its citizens. A harmonized approach to be applied throughout EU27 should be developed, based on which responsible authorities can perform their LCA assessments and discuss them with the public. It should be assessed whether the use of toxic chemicals for injection should be banned in general. At least, all chemicals to be used should be disclosed publicly, the number of allowed chemicals should be restricted and its use should be monitored. Statistics about the injected quantities and number of projects should be collected at European level. Regional authorities should be strengthened to take decisions on the permission of projects which involve hydraulic fracturing. Public participation and LCAassessments should be mandatory in finding these decisions. Where project permits are granted, the monitoring of surface water flows and air emissions should be mandatory. Statistics on accidents and complaints should be collected and analysed at European level. Where projects are permitted, an independent authority should collect and review complaints. Because of the complex nature of possible impacts and risks to the environment and to human health of hydraulic fracturing consideration should be given to developing a new directive at European level regulating all issues in this area comprehensively.

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_________________________________________________________________ Environmental Impacts An unavoidable impact of shale gas and tight oil extraction is a high land occupation due to drilling pads, parking and manouvering areas for trucks, equipment, gas processing and transporting facilities as well as access roads. Major possible impacts are air emissions of pollutants, groundwater contamination due to uncontrolled gas or fluid flows due to blowouts or spills, leaking fracturing fluid, and uncontrolled waste water discharge. Fracturing fluids contain hazardous substances, and flow-back in addition contains heavy metals and radioactive materials from the deposit. Experience from the USA shows that many accidents happen, which can be harmful to the environment and to human health. The recorded violations of legal requirements amount to about 1-2 percent of all drilling permits. Many of these accidents are due to improper handling or leaking equipment. Furthermore, groundwater contamination by methane, in extreme cases leading to explosion of residential buildings, and potassium chloride leading to salinization of drinking water is reported in the vicinity of gas wells. The impacts add up as shale formations are developed with a high well density of up to six well pads per km!. GHG Emissions Fugitive Methane emissions from hydraulic fracturing processes can have a huge impact on the greenhouse gas balance. Existing assessments give a range of 18 to 23 g CO2equivalent per MJ from the development and production of unconventional natural gas. The emissions due to methane intrusion of aquifers are not yet assessed. However, project specific emissions might vary up to a factor of ten, depending on the methane production of the well. Depending on several factors, greenhouse gas emissions of shale gas relative to its energy content are as low as those of conventional gas transported over long distances or as high as those of hard coal over the entire life cycle from extraction to combustion. EU Regulatory Framework The purpose of a mining law is to provide a legal framework for mining activities in general. The aim is to facilitate a prosperous industry sector, a secure energy supply and to secure sufficient protection for health, safety and the environment. At EU level, there is no comprehensive mining framework. However, four Directives specifically designed for mining do exist. Additionally, there is a plenitude of non-mining-specific Directives and Regulations affecting the extractive industry. Focussing on regulatory acts concerning the environment and human health, the 36 most relevant Directives from the following fields of legislation were identified: water, protection of environment, safety at work, radiation protection, waste, chemicals and associated accidents. Due to the multitude of relevant legislation from various fields, the specific risks of hydraulic fracturing are not sufficiently covered. Nine major gaps were identified: 1. lack of a mining framework Directive, 2. insufficient threshold in the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Directive for natural gas extraction, 3. declaration of hazardous materials not mandatory, 4. approval of chemicals remaining in the ground not required, 5. no Best Available Technique Reference (BREF) on hydraulic fracturing, 6. The waste water treatment requirements are insufficiently defined, and the capacities of water processing facilities are probably insufficient if underground injection and disposal is to be banned, 7. insufficient public participation in decision-making at regional level, 8. effectiveness of water framework directive insufficient, and 9. LCA not mandatory.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Availability of shale gas resources and role in a low-carbon economy The potential of unconventional gas availability must be seen in the context of conventional gas production: European gas production has been in steep decline for several years and is expected to decline by another 30 per cent or more until 2035; European demand is expected to rise further until 2035; Imports of natural gas will unavoidably rise further if these trends become reality; It is by no means guaranteed that required additional imports in the order of 100 billion m" per year or more can be realised. The resources for unconventional gas in Europe are too small to have any substantial influence on these trends. This holds even more as the typical production profiles will allow extracting only a certain share of these resources. In addition, greenhouse gas emissions from unconventional gas supply are significantly higher than from conventional gas supply. Environmental obligations will also increase project costs and delay their development. This will reduce the potential impact further. It is very likely that investments in shale gas projects if at all might have a short-living impact on gas supply which could be counterproductive , as it would provide the impression of an ensured gas supply at a time when the signal to consumers should be to reduce this dependency by savings, efficiency measures and substitution. Conclusions At a time when sustainability is key to future operations it can be questioned whether the injection of toxic chemicals in the underground should be allowed, or whether it should be banned as such a practice would restrict or exclude any later use of the contaminated layer (e.g. for geothermal purposes) and as long-term effects are not investigated. In an active shale gas extraction area, about 0.1-0.5 litres of chemicals are injected per square metre. This holds even more as the potential shale gas plays are too small to have a substantial impact on the European gas supply situation. The present privileges of oil and gas exploration and extraction should be reassessed in view of the fact that the environmental risks and burdens are not compensated for by a corresponding potential benefit as the specific gas production is very low.

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

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1.

INTRODUCTIONThis study 1 gives a survey of unconventional hydrocarbon activities and their potential environmental impacts. The focus is on future activities in the European Union. The assessments of this study concentrate predominantly on shale gas, briefly touching shale oil and tight oil. The first chapter gives a short survey of the characteristics of production technologies, mainly the process of hydraulic fracturing. This is followed by a brief review of experiences from the USA as this is the only country where hydraulic fracturing has been applied increasingly at large scale since many decades. The second chapter concentrates on the evaluation of greenhouse gas emissions associated with natural gas produced with hydraulic fracturing methods. Existing assessments are reviewed and extended by an own analysis. The third chapter reviews the legislative framework at EU level relevant for hydraulic fracturing. After reviewing the legislative framework covering mining laws, the focus lies on directives protecting the environment and human health. The legislative deficits concerning the potential environmental impacts of hydraulic fracturing are outlined and discussed. The fourth chapter gives resource assessments and discusses the possible impact of shale gas extraction on European gas supply. For that reason experiences from US shale gas production are analysed and the common characteristics of production profiles are used to sketch a typical shale development. Concerning European gas production and demand, the probable role of shale gas extraction is discussed in relation to present production and supply with extrapolations to the next decades. The final chapter draws conclusions and gives recommendations on how to deal with the specific risks of hydraulic fracturing. 1.1. 1.1.1. Shale gas What is shale gas?

Geological hydrocarbon formations are created under specific conditions from organic compounds of marine sediments. Conventional oil and gas originate from the thermochemical cracking of organic material in sedimentary rocks, the so-called source rocks. With increasing burial below other rocks these formations were heated, on an average 30 C every 1 km increment, and the organic material decomposed into oil once a temperature of about 60 C was attained, and later gas. Depth, temperature and exposure time determined the grade of decomposition. The higher the temperature and the longer the exposure time, the more the complex organic molecules were cracked, finally being decomposed into its simplest constituent methane with one carbon and 4 hydrogen atoms.

1 We gratefully acknowledge the critical reading and helpful comments on chapter 4 (EU regulatory framework) by Dr. Jrgen Glckert (Heinemann & Partner Rechtsanwlte, Essen, Germany) and Mr. Temer (Rechtsanwlte Philipp-Gerlach + Temer, Frankfurt, Germany).

Fruitful discussions with Prof. Blendinger, Jean Laherrere, and Jean-Marie Bourdaire, and valuable comments are gratefully acknowledged.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Depending on the geological formation, the emerging liquid or gaseous hydrocarbons escaped from the source rock and migrated generally upwards into porous and permeable strata, which in turn had to be covered by impermeable rock, the so-called seal in order to create a hydrocarbon accumulation. These hydrocarbon accumulations form the conventional oil and gas fields. The relatively high oil content, the position within a few kilometres from the surface, and easy access on land make them easy to extract by drilling wells. Some hydrocarbon accumulations exist in reservoir rocks with very low porosity and permeability. These occurrences are called tight oil or tight gas. Typically the permeability is 10-100 times smaller than in conventional fields. Hydrocarbons can also be stored in large volumes in rocks which are in principle not reservoir rocks at all, but shales and other very fine grained rocks in which the volume necessary for storage is provided by small fractures and extremely small pore spaces. Such rocks possess extremely low permeability. This is called shale gas or shale oil. The latter do not contain mature hydrocarbons , but only the precursor called kerogene, which can be transformed into synthetic crude oil in chemical installations. A third group of unconventional gas is coal bed methane, which is confined in the pores of coal deposits. Depending on the deposit characteristics the gas contains different constituents in varying shares, including methane, carbon dioxide, hydrogen sulphide, radioactive radon etc. All unconventional deposits have in common that the gas or oil content per rock volume is small compared to conventional fields, that they are dispersed over a large area of tens of thousand of square kilometres and that the permeability is very low. Therefore, special methods are necessary to extract that oil or gas. In addition, due to the low hydrocarbon content of the source rocks, the extraction per well is much smaller than in conventional fields, making their economic production much more challenging. It is not the gas itself that is unconventional, but the extraction methods are. These methods need sophisticated technologies, lots of water and the injection of additives, which may be harmful to the environment. There is a no sharp distinction between conventional and unconventional gas or oil deposits. Rather, there is a continuous transition from conventional gas or oil production from fields with high specific gas content, high porosity and permeability over tight gas fields with worse performance parameters to shale gas extraction from deposits with small specific gas content, low porosity and very low permeability. Especially, the distinction between conventional and tight gas production is not always clear, as in former times the official statistics did not clearly distinguish these two methods. The unavoidable side effects concerning water use, environmental risks etc. also increase along this chain of extraction methods. For instance, hydraulic fracturing in tight gas formations typically needs several hundred thousand litres of water per well for each fracturing process mixed with proppants and chemicals while hydraulic fracturing in shale gas formations consumes several million litres of water per well. [ExxonMobil 2010]

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ 1.1.2. Recent development of unconventional gas extraction

North American experience Due to the maturity of conventional gas plays in the United States companies have more and more been forced to drill in less productive formations. In the beginning well pads were extended to the vicinity of conventional formations, producing from slightly less permeable formations. During this gradual shift the number of wells increased while the specific production volume declined. More and more dense formations were explored. This phase started in the 1970ies. The wells in tight gas formations were not separated from conventional statistics as there was no clear criterion differentiating them. The reduction of the methane emissions is a target since the climate change debate has started. Though the theoretical resource of coal bed methane (CBM) is huge, the contribution rose only slowly in the USA over the last two decades to about 10 percent until 2010. Due to the inhomogeneous development in different coal regimes, some US states discovered this source of energy faster than others. New Mexico was the largest producer of coal bed methane during the 1990ies. However, it passed peak production in 1997 being substituted by the developments in Colorado peaking in 2004 and Wyoming which at present is the largest CBM producer. The most challenging gas prospects are developed last. These are the shale gas deposits which are almost impermeable, or at least less permeable than other gas containing structures. Its development was triggered by technological progress in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing using chemical additives on the one hand, but probably even more important by the exemption of hydrocarbon industry activities with hydraulic fracturing from the Safe Drinking Water Act [SDWA 1974], as legalised with the Energy Policy Act of 2005 [EPA 2005]. In Section 322 of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 hydraulic fracturing was exempted from majorEPA regulations. Early activities already started decades ago with the development of the Bossier Shale during the 1970s and the Antrim shale during the 1990s. But the fast access to shale gas plays started around 2005 with the development of the Barnett Shale in Texas. Within 5 years almost 15,000 wells have been drilled there. A side effect of this economic success story is the selection of small companies like Chesapeake, XTO, or others who performed the drilling. The companies grew up with this boom becoming multi billion dollar companies attracting the attention of big companies like ExxonMobil or BHP Billiton. XTO was sold for more than $ 40 billion to ExxonMobil in 2009, Chesapeake sold its Fayetteville assets for $ 5 billion in 2011. During this time the environmental side effects became more and more obvious to citizens and regional politicians. Most prominently, the development of the Marcellus shale has been discussed as this play covers large parts of the state of New York. Its development is suspected to be in conflict with areas protected for the water supply of the city of New York. At present, the US Environmental Protection Agency performs a study on the risks associated with hydraulic fracturing, the technology of choice for the development of unconventional gas fields. The results of this study will probably be published in the course of 2012 [EPA 2009].

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ European development In Europe, these developments are delayed by several decades compared to the USA. Tight gas formations have been developed with hydraulic fracturing in Germany for about 15 years (Shlingen), though at a very low level. The total European production volume of unconventional gas is in the order of several million m" per year compared to several hundred billion m" per year in the USA [Kern 2010]. However, since late 2009 the activities have been increasing. Most exploration concessions are granted in Poland [WEO 2011, p. 58], but corresponding activities also started in Austria (Vienna Basin), France (Paris basin and South East Basin), Germany and the Netherlands (North Sea-German Basin), Sweden (Scandinavia Region) and UK (Northern and Southern Petroleum System). For instance, in October 2010, the State mining authority of the German land of North-Rhine-Westphalia granted exploration authorisations 2 for an area covering 17,000 km!, half of the state area. Triggered by the information from the USA, public opposition against these projects has risen fast. For instance, in France the National Assembly set a moratorium for such drilling activities and banned hydraulic fracturing. The proposed law passed the National Assembly in May, but was not adopted by the Senate. The French industry minister proposes a different bill which would allow hydraulic fracturing only for scientific reasons under strict control of a committee composed of lawmakers, government representatives, NGOs and local citizens [Patel 2011]. This modified law was approved by the Senate in June. In the German state of North Rhine-Westphalia, affected citizens, local politicians from almost all parties and representatives from water supply authorities and mineral water companies raised their concerns opposing hydraulic fracturing. The State Parliament of North Rhine-Westphalia also pledged for a moratorium until improved knowledge would be available. A first step was to set water protection at the same level as mining laws and to ensure that permits are not granted until water authorities agree. The discussion process is not yet finalised. Also, the most strongly involved company ExxonMobil started an open dialogue-process to discuss the concerns of the citizens and to assess the possible impact. 1.2. 1.2.1. Shale oil What is shale oil and tight oil?

Like shale gas, shale oil consists of hydrocarbons being trapped in the pores of the source rock. The oil itself is still in a premature status, called kerogen. To transform kerogen into oil it needs to be heated up to 450 C. Therefore, the production of shale oil rather compares to conventional mining of shales, followed by the heat treatment. Its early uses trace back more than 100 years. Today, Estonia is the only country with a large share of shale oil on its energy balance (~50%). Very often, the kerogen is mixed with layers of already mature oil in structures in between the source rocks with low permeability. This oil is classified as tight oil, though very often the separation is unclear and the transition is fluent by gradual changes of maturity. In its pure state, tight oil is mature oil trapped in layers of impermeable rock of low porosity. Thus, tight oil extraction in general requires hydraulic fracturing techniques.

2

Aufsuchungserlaubnis

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ 1.2.2. USA Projects of unconventional oil production from oil shale first started in North America around the year 2000 with the development of the Bakken Shale, which is located in North Dakota and Montana and covers an area of more than 500,000 km! [Nordquist 1953]. The Bakken formation contains a combination of kerogen rich shales and tight oil layers in between. France/Europe Besides the shale oil production in Estonia, the Paris Basin in France received new attention when a small company, Toreador, acquired exploration licences and announced that it starts to develop the tight oil reservoirs within this basin by means of many wells with hydraulic fracturing. Since the basin covers a large area including Paris and the vine rich area close to Champagne, opposition rose despite the fact that the basin has already been developed with conventional oil wells for about 50 years. [Leteurtrois 2011] Recent development of tight oil extraction

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

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2.

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTSKEY FINDINGSUnavoidable impacts are area consumption due to drilling pads, parking and manouvering areas for trucks, equipment, gas processing and transporting facilities as well as access roads. Major possible impacts are air emissions of pollutants, groundwater contamination due to uncontrolled gas or fluid flows due to blowouts or spills, leaking fracturing fluid, and uncontrolled waste water discharge. Fracturing fluids contain hazardous substances, and flow-back in addition contains heavy metals and radioactive materials from the deposit. Experience from the USA shows that many accidents happen, which can be harmful to the environment and to human health. The recorded violations of legal requirements amount to about 1-2 percent of all drilling permits. Many of these accidents are due to improper handling or leaking equipments. Groundwater contamination by methane, in extreme cases leading to explosion of residential buildings, and potassium chloride leading to salinization of drinking water is reported in the vicinity of gas wells. The impacts add up as shale formations are developed with a high well density (up to six wells per km!). 2.1. Hydraulic fracturing and its possible impacts on the environment

Dense hydrocarbon containing geological formations have in common their low permeability. For that reason, the production methods for the extraction of shale gas, tight gas and even coalbed methane are quite similar. Nonetheless, they differ on the quantitative level. Since shale gas formations are by far the most impermeable structures, the effort required to get access to the gas pores is the highest. This results in the highest risk for environmental impacts from the development of these formations. However, there is a continuous transition from the permeable conventional gas containing structures, over tight gas to the almost impermeable gas shales. The common characteristic is that the contact between the drilled wells and the pores must be enhanced artificially. This is done by the so called hydraulic fracturing, which sometimes is called stimulation or in short fracing or fracking.

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ Figure 1 shows a cross section of a typical well. The rig drills vertically into the gas bearing layer. Depending on the thickness of that layer only vertical wells are drilled or these are turned into horizontal wells in order to maximize the contact with the gas layer. Within the layer explosives are used to create small fractures by perforating the casing. These fractures are artificially widened by means of filling with over pressurized water. The number of artificial fractures, their length and their positioning within the layer (horizontal or vertical) depend on the details of the formation. These details have an impact on the length of the artificial cracks, on the well spacing (vertical wells are more densely drilled than horizontal wells) and on the water consumption. The over pressurized water opens the fractures gaining access to as many pores as possible. Once the pressure is reduced the waste water mixed with heavy or radioactive metals from the rock formation reflows to the surface including the gas. Proppants, usually grains of sand, are mixed to the water. These work as spline to keep the cracks open and to allow for further gas extraction. Chemicals are added to this mixture in order to achieve a homogeneous distribution of the proppant by forming a gel, to reduce friction and finally to break the gel structure at the end of the fracturing process for the backflow of the fluid.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Figure 1 might be used to identify the possible impacts on the environment along this way. These are Consumption of landscape as the rig pads need space for technical equipment, fluid storage and road access for their delivery. Air and noise pollution as the machinery is operated by combustion engines, the fluids (also waste water) might allow harmful substances to evaporate into the air, the trucks with frequent transport activity might emit volatile organic compounds, other air pollutants and noise. The water might be contaminated with chemicals from the fracturing process, but also with waste water from the deposit that contains heavy metals (e.g. arsenic or mercury) or radioactive particles. Possible migration paths to ground and surface waters could be accidents by truck transport, leaks of gathering lines, waste water ponds, compressors etc., spills from accidents (e.g. blow out with a fountain of fracturing fluid or waste water), damages to the cementation and casing or simply uncontrolled subsurface flows through artificial or natural cracks of formations. Earthquakes induced by the hydraulic fracturing process or waste water injection. The mobilization of radioactive particles from the underground. Finally, the huge natural and technical resources consumption with respect to the recoverable gas or oil must be assessed in a cost/benefit analysis of such operations. Impacts on biodiversity could be possible, though at present none are documented.

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ Figure 1: Potential flows of air pollutant emissions, harmful substances into water and soil, and naturally occurring radioactive materials (NORM)

SO2 NOx, PM NMVOC CO

NMVOC

SO2 NOx, NMVOC PM NMVOC CO

NMVOC

Flow-back NG processing Diesel EnginesHarmful substances NORM

Drinking water well

~1500 m

Harmful substances NORM

Cap rock

Harmful substances NORM

Shale

Cap rockSource: own source based on [SUMI 2008]

Hydrofrac zone

2.2.

Impacts on Landscape

Experiences in North America The development of gas shales requires well pads allowing for the storage of technical equipment, the trucks with compressors, chemicals, proppant, water and containers for waste water if these are not delivered from local water wells and collected in ponds. A typical multi-well pad size in Pennsylvania during the drilling and fracturing is about 4-5 acres (16,200-20,250 m!). After partial restoration the production pad size might average between 1 3 acres (4,050-12,150 m!). [SGEIS 2009] For comparison, if such an area (~10,000 m!) would be occupied by a solar power plant, about 400,000 kWh of electricity could be generated per year 3 , corresponding to about 70,000 m" of natural gas per year if this would be converted to electricity at 58% efficiency. The typical gas production of wells in the Barnett shale (Texas, USA) amounts to about 11 Mio. m" per well in the first year, but only about 80,000 m" in the 9th year and about 40,000 m" in the 10th year [Quicksilver 2005]. In contrast to fossil energy extraction, the solar power plant generates electricity for more than 20 years. At the end of its life time the solar plant can be substituted by a new one without additional land consumption.3

Solar irradiation: 1000 kWh per m! and year; efficiency photovoltaic panel: 15%; performance ratio: 80%; panel area: 33% of land area

20

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ The development of shale or tight gas formations requires a dense spacing of these well pads. In the USA the well spacing depends on the states regulations. Typical spacing in conventional fields in the USA is one well per 640 acre (1 well per 2.6 km!). In the Barnett shale the typical spacing in the beginning was reduced to one well per 160 acres (1.5 wells per km!). Later-on so called infill wells were permitted and drilled at 40 acre spacing (~6 wells per km!). This seems common practise in most shales when these are intensively developed. [Sumi 2008; SGEIS 2009] By the end of 2010, almost 15,000 wells had been drilled in the Barnett Shale, while the total shale extends over an area of 13,000 km! [RRC 2011; ALL-consulting 2008]. This results in an average well density of 1.15 wells per km!. Figure 2 shows wells for the production of tight gas in the USA. In case of tight gas production the wells are surface well pads with up to 6 wells per pad. The spacing is tighter than in the case of the Barnett shale because most of the tight gas wells are drilled vertically. Figure 2: Tight-gas sandstone drilling

Source: Photograpf by EcoFlight, courtesy of SkyTruth www.skytruth.org

The well pads are connected with roads for truck transport, which further increases land consumption. In the USA, surface area is also consumed for waste water ponds collecting the back flowing waste water before it is disposed of or removed by truck or pipe. These areas are not yet included in the well pad sizes sketched above. Including them could easily double the area consumed by gas producing operations.

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ After extraction, the gas must be transported to the distribution grids. As most wells have a small production rate with a steep decline profile, very often the gas is stored at the well pad and periodically loaded on trucks. If the well density is high enough gathering networks with compressor stations are built. Which storage or transport mode is chosen and whether the lines are built above or below ground depends on the specific parameters of the projects and on the applicable regulations. Transferability to European conditions and open questions The permission of well pads is granted by mining authorities based on relevant laws and regulations (see chapter 4). These might determine the minimum allowed spacing of wells. This may follow the practise in the USA to start the shale development with larger spacing and to increase the density the more exhausted the producing wells become. As outlined in chapter 5, the typical amount of gas resources per area in most European shales is probably comparable to those of the Barnett or Fayetteville shales in the USA. Completed wells must be interconnected with gathering networks. Whether these lines will be constructed above or below ground will depend on corresponding regulations and economic considerations. Here, existing regulations should be adapted and maybe harmonized. 2.3. Air Pollutant Emissions and Soil Contamination Emissions from trucks and drilling equipment (noise, particulates, SO2, NOx, NMVOC and CO); Emissions from natural gas processing and transportation (noise, particulates, SO2, NOx, NMVOC and CO); Evaporative emissions of chemicals from waste water ponds; Emissions due to spills and well blow outs (dispersion of drilling or fracturing fluids combined with particulates from the deposit). The operation of drilling equipment consumes large amounts of fuels which are burnt to emit CO2. Also, some fugitive emissions of methane, a greenhouse gas, might occur during production, processing and transport. These are assessed in the following chapter 4 which is dedicated to greenhouse gas emissions. 2.3.1. Air pollutants from regular operations

The emissions potentially originate from the following sources:

Experiences in North America Many complaints of human illnesses and even animal deaths around the small city of Dish, Texas, forced the Mayor of the city to commission an independent consultant to undertake an air quality study of the impacts of gas operations within and around the city [Michaels 2010, and references therein]. Though such complaints are also reported from other sites, the investigations in Dish are the best referenced. As there are no other industrial activity in that region, natural gas extraction activities in and around the city are believed to be the only source of these impacts.

22

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ The study, conducted in August 2009, confirmed the presence in high concentrations of carcinogenic and neurotoxin compounds in ambient air and/or residential properties. And further on: Many of these compounds verified in laboratory analysis were metabolites of known human carcinogens and exceeded both, short-term and long-term effective screening levels according to TECQ regulations. Of particular concern are those compounds with potential for disaster as defined by TECQ [Texas Commission on Environmental Quality]. [Wolf 2009] According to the study, also numerous complaints had been made to the Town in regards to the constant noise and vibration emanating from the compressor stations as well as foul odours. Of particular concern, according to the study were reports of young horses becoming gravely ill and several deaths over the years 2007-2008 with unknown etiology. [Wolf 2009]. Also the region around Dallas-Fort Worth has seen dramatic impacts on its air quality from natural gas drilling in the Barnett Shale, according to [Michaels 2010]. A comprehensive study on Emissions from Natural Gas Production in the Barnett Shale Area and Opportunities for Cost-Effective Improvements was published in 2009. [Armendariz 2009] According to the analysis, five of the investigated 21 counties where almost 90% of all natural gas and oil activities take place dominate the emissions by far. For instance, the portion of smog-forming compounds originating from these five counties was calculated at 165 tons per day during peak in summer 2009 compared to 191 tons per day peak summer emission from all oil and gas sources (including transport) in these 21 counties. [Armendariz 2009] Thus, state average values conceal the fact that in the five most active counties, air pollutant emissions are very much higher than average leading to poor air quality levels. The Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) has established a monitoring program, partly confirming extraordinarily high hydrocarbon vapours escaping from drilling equipment and storage tanks, and significant levels of benzene in some locations [Michaels 2009]. In January 2010, the TCEQ published an interoffice memorandum on its monitoring program. Some of their key findings are [TCEQ 2010]: Thirty-five chemicals were detected above appropriate short-term comparison values in one instantaneous canister sample collected at Devon Energy natural gas well-head with a benzene concentration of 15,000 ppb. This air sample close to the well-head - 5 feet from the source - was taken as reference. In addition to the benzene concentration in the sample collected at the well-head, benzene was detected above the short-term health-based comparison value of 180 ppb at one of the 64 monitoring sites. The Toxicology Division has some concerns about areas where benzene was detected above the long-term health-based comparison value of 1.4 ppb. Benzene was detected above the long-term health-based comparison value at 21 monitoring sites. Transferability to European conditions The emissions of aromatic compounds such as benzene and xylene observed in Texas predominantly come from the natural gas compression and processing where the heavier components are discharged into the atmosphere. In the EU the emissions of such substances are limited by law.

23

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ The machines used for the drilling and extraction processes such as diesel engines are probably the same, and also the air pollutants emitted by these machines. Table 1 shows the emission of air pollutants from stationary diesel engines used for drilling, hydraulic fracturing and well completion based on diesel engine emission data from [GEMIS 2010], the diesel requirement and a natural gas yield assumed for the Barnett Shale in [Horwarth et al 2011]. Table 1: Typical specific emissions of air pollutants from stationary diesel engines used for drilling, hydraulic fracturing and completion Emissions per engine mechanical output [g/kWhmech] SO2 NOx PM CO NMVOC 0.767 10.568 0.881 2.290 0.033 Emissions per engine fuel input [g/kWhdiesel] 0.253 3.487 0.291 0.756 0.011 Emissions per natural gas throughput of well [g/kWhNG] 0.004 0.059 0.005 0.013 0.000

It is recommended that besides emission factors also their total impact is restricted as the emissions from multiple drilling pads will add up when a shale is developed with one or even more wells per km!. The emissions during development need to be restricted and monitored as well as emissions from gas processing and transportation later-on when many gathering lines add up. These aspects should be included in the discussion of relevant directives, e.g. the Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive 97/68/EC on emissions of gaseous and particulate pollutants from engines in non-road mobile machinery. 2.3.2. Pollutants from well blowouts or accidents at drilling sites

Experiences in North America Experiences in the USA show that several serious well blowouts have occurred. Most of them are documented in [Michaels 2010]. Excerpts of that reference list are: On June 3, 2010 a gas well blow-out in Clearfield County, Pennsylvania, sent at least 35,000 gallons of wastewater and natural gas spewing into the air for 16 hours. In June 2010 an explosion at a gas well in Marshall County, West Virginia, sent seven injured workers to hospital. On April 1, 2010 both a tank and an open pit used to store hydraulic fracturing fluid caught fire at an Atlas well pad. The flames were at least 100 feet (33 m) high and 50 feet (15 m) wide. In all of the above-mentioned cases the involved companies were fined. It turns out that these accidents are mostly related to incorrect handling, either by untrained personal or through incorrect behaviour. Moreover, it seems that there are significant differences between individual companies. Further accidents are listed in the following subchapters.

24

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Transferability to European conditions In order to minimize the risk of spills in Europe, strict regulations and their strict monitoring are recommended. Specifically, it is recommended to collect the statistics about accidents at European level, to analyse the causes of the accidents and to draw corresponding consequences. In case specific companies have particularly negative track records it may be considered to exclude them from further exploration or production rights. These cases are being discussed in the European Parliament in relation to offshore oil and gas activities. An own initiative report on this issue will be voted on in the Committee on Industry, Research and Energy in July 2011. 2.4. 2.4.1. Surface and ground water Water consumption

Large volumes of water are consumed during conventional drilling of the bore hole in order to cool and lubricate the drilling head, but also to remove the drilling mud. About a factor of ten more water is consumed in hydraulic fracturing for the stimulation of the well by injecting over pressurized water for the creation of the cracks. A comprehensive study of the water demand for the development of the Barnett shale has been performed on behalf of the Texas Water Development Board [Harden 2007]. This study contains a literature review about the specific water consumption: Elder uncemented horizontal wells with a single frac-stage needed about 4 MGal (~15 million litres) of water. Newer cemented horizontal wells usually perform the fracturing job at multi stages on several perforation clusters at once. A typical distance between two fracturing stages at the same horizontal well is 400-600 ft (130-200 m). Typically, a horizontal well has about 3 fracturing stages, but this is not mandatory. Statistical analysis from about 400 wells resulted in a typical water consumption of 2000-2400 gal/ft (25-30 m"/m) for water fracs [Grieser 2006] and about 3900 gal/ft (~42 m"/m) for slickwater fracs which are used more recently where the distance is the length covered by the horizontal part of the well. [Schein 2004] This study from 2007 also includes scenarios on the water consumption for the Barnett Shale exploration in 2010 and 2025. For 2010, the water demand was estimated at 10,00020,000 ac-ft (12-24 Mio. m") further developing until 2020 to 5,000-20,000 ac-ft (6-24 Mio. m"), depending on future exploration activities.

25

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ Table 2 lists more recently available data for typical new wells. For a rough upscaling, 15,000 m" per well seem to be realistic in the Barnett Shale. Based on these numbers, the 1146 newly developed wells in 2010 (see chapter 4) would result in a water consumption of about 17 billion litres in 2010. This is coherent with the above-cited forecast for 2010. This consumption must be compared with the water consumption of all other consumers, which was about 50 billion litres [Harden 2007]. For that comparison, the water consumption of those counties was used where the drilling activities predominantly took place (Denton, Hood, Johnson, Parker, Tarrant and Wise).

26

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Table 2: Water demand of various wells for shale gas production (m3) Site/Region Total (per well) 17000 14000 no data 22500 40000 15000 1500 45000 13000 1135 34000 12000 4500 -13250 Only Fracturing Source Chesapeake Energy 2011 Chesapeake Energy 2011 Duncan 2010 Burnett 2009 PTAC 2011 Arthur et al. 2010 NYCDEP 2009 Questerre Energy 2010

Barnett Shale Barnett Shale Barnett Shale Barnett Shale Horn River Basin (Canada) Marcellus Shale Marcellus Shale Utica shale, Qubec

Furthermore, wells drilled for producing shale gas may have to be fractured several times over the course of their operation time. Each additional fracture operation may require more water than the previous one [Sumi 2008]. In some cases, the wells are refractured up to 10 times [Ineson 2010]. 2.4.2. Water contamination

Experiences in North America Possible water contaminations might be induced by Spills of drilling mud, flowback and brine, from tailings or storage tanks causing water contamination and salinization. Leaks or accidents from surface activities, e.g. leaking fluid or waste water pipes or ponds, unprofessional handling or old equipment. Leaks from inadequate cementing of the wells. Leaks through geological structures, either through natural or through artificial cracks or pathways. Actually, most of the complaints against hydraulic fracturing are because of possible groundwater contamination. Basically, besides specific spills and accidents the intrusion of fracturing fluids or methane from the deeper structures is in the focus.

27

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ A detailed analysis was performed in 2008 for Garfield County, Colorado. The Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission maintains records of reported spills from oil and gas activities. In the period from January 2003 to March 2008 a total of 1549 spills is referenced. [COGCC 2007; referenced in Witter 2008] Twenty percent of the spills involved water contamination. It is noteworthy that the number of spills was increasing. For instance, while five spills are reported in Garfiled County in the year 2003, 55 spills are reported in 2007. A subsequent study on ground water contamination identified that there is a temporal trend of increasing methane in groundwater samples over the last seven years that is coincident with the increased number of gas wells installed in the Mamm Creek Field. Predrilling values of methane in groundwater established natural background was less than 1 ppm, except in cases of biogenic methane that is confined to ponds and stream bottoms. The isotopic data for methane samples show that the most samples with elevated methane are thermogenic origin. Concurrent with the increasing methane concentration there has been an increase in groundwater wells with elevated chloride that can be correlated to the number of gas wells. [Thyne 2008] Obviously, there is a clear coincidence in space and time: Methane levels are higher in areas with a high density of wells and methane levels increased over time coinciding with the increasing number of wells. A more recent study by [Osborne 2011] confirms such findings in aquifers overlaying the Marcellus and Utica shale formations of north eastern Pennsylvania and upstate New York. In active gas extraction areas, the average methane concentrations in drinking-water wells was 19.2 mg/litre with maximum levels up to 64 mg/litre, a potential explosion hazard. Background concentration in neighbouring non-gas extracting regions of similar geological structure was 1.1 mg/litre. [Osborn 2011] In total, more than 1000 complaints of drinking water contamination are documented. A report which claims to be based on Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection data records counts 1614 violations of state oil and gas laws during drilling operation in the Marcellus Shale over a two-and-a-half-year-period [PLTA 2010], two-thirds of them are most likely to harm the environment. Some of them are included in [Michaels 2010]. The most impressive documented accident was the explosion of a dwelling house which was caused by drilling operations and subsequent methane invasion into the houses water system [ODNR 2008]. The Department of Natural Resources report identified three factors which led to the explosion of the house: (i) inadequate cementing of the production casing, (ii) the decision to proceed with hydraulic fracturing of the well without addressing inadequate cementing of the casing, and, most significantly, (iii) the 31-day period after the fracturing, during which the annular space between the surface and production casings was mostly shut in (quoted after [Michaels 2010]). In most cases, methane or Chloride contamination of water could be shown, while the intrusion of benzene or other fracturing fluids rarely can be proven. However, sampling of drinking water wells in Wyoming by the Environmental Protection Agency in 2009 detected chemicals which are widely used in hydraulic fracturing: Region VIII earlier this month released its results of water well sampling in Pavillion, WY requested by local residents showing drilling contaminants in 11 of 39 wells tested, including the chemical 2butoxyethanol (2-BE), a known constituent in hydraulic fracturing fluids, in three of the wells tested, as well as the presence of methane, diesel range organics and a type of hydrocarbon known as adameantenes. [EPA 2009]

28

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ In many cases, companies are already fined for violating state laws. For instance, Cabot Oil & Gas received a note from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection stating: Cabot has caused or allowed gas from lower formations to enter fresh groundwater. [Lobbins 2009] Based on historical data in New York State an accident rate of 1 to 2% was estimated. [Bishop 2010] This sounds plausible. However, the above mentioned more than 1600 violations only in the Pennsylvania part of the Marcellus shale suggest a much larger rate when compared to about 2300 wells, drilled there until the end of 2010. Transferability to European conditions Most of the accidents and ground water intrusions seem to be due to incorrect handling, which could be avoided. Regulations exist in the USA, but monitoring and supervision of operations is rather poor, be it for lack of available budgets of public authorities or for other reasons. Therefore, the basic problem is not inadequate regulation, but their enforcement through adequate supervision. It must be guaranteed that best practice is not only available, but also commonly applied. In addition, a certain risk remains that undetected pathways (e.g. old abandoned, but not registered wells with incorrect cementing, unpredictable risks due to earthquakes etc.) pave the way for methane or chemicals into groundwater levels. 2.4.3. Waste water disposal

The fracturing fluids are injected into the geological formations at high pressure. Once the pressure is released, a mixture of fracturing fluid, methane, compounds and additional water from the deposit flow back to the surface. This water must be collected and properly disposed of. According to industry sources, between 20% and 50% of the water used for hydro-fracing gas wells returns to the surface as flowback. Part of this water will be recycled to fracture future wells. [Questerre Energy 2010] According to other sources, between 9% and 35% recover to the surface. [Sumi 2008] Experiences in North America The proper disposal of waste water seems to be a major issue in North America. The core problem is the huge quantity of waste water and the improper configuration of sewage plants. Though recycling might be possible, this would increase project costs. Many problems associated with the improper disposal are reported. For instance: In August 2010 Talisman Energy was fined in Pennsylvania for a spill in 2009 that sent over 4200 gallons (~16 m") of hydraulic fracturing flow-back fluid into a wetland and a tributary of Webier Creek, which drains into the Tioga River, a coldwater fishery. [Talisman 2011] In January 2010 Atlas Resources was fined for violating environmental laws at 13 well sites in south-western Pennsylvania, USA. Atlas Resources failed to implement proper erosion and sedimentation control measures, which led to turbid discharges. Furthermore, Atlas Resources discharged diesel fuel and hydraulic fracturing fluids into the ground. Atlas Resources holds more than 250 permits for Marcellus wells. [PA DEP 2010] Range Resources was fined for an October 6, 2009 spill of 250 barrels (~40 m") of diluted hydraulic fracturing fluid. The reason for the spill was a broken joint in a transmission line. The fluid leaked into a tributary of Brush Run, in Hopewell Township in Pennsylvania. [PA DEP 2009]

29

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ In August 2010, Atlas Resources was fined in Pennsylvania for allowing a hydraulic fracturing fluid overflow from a wastewater pit contaminating a high-quality watershed in Washington County. [Pickels 2010] At a drilling pad with three gas wells in Troy, Pennsylvania, Fortune Energy illegally discharged flow-back fluids into a drainage ditch and through a vegetated area, eventually reaching a tributary of Sugar Creek (quoted after [Michaels 2010]). In June 2010, the West Virgina Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) released a report concluding that in August 2009 Tapo Energy discharged an unknown quantity of a petroleum based material associated with drilling activities into a tributary of Buckeye Creek in Doddridge County. The spill contaminated a thee-mile-long segment of the creek (quoted after [Michaels 2010]). Transferability to European conditions Again, most of these water contaminations are due to improper practices. Therefore, very strict handling of these issues is mandatory. Also in Europe,e.g. in Germany, accidents have already happened in hydraulic fracturing operations. For instance, waste water pipes from the tight gas field Shlingen in Germany leaked in 2007. This caused groundwater contamination with benzene and mercury. Though the corresponding Mining Agency of Lower Saxony (Landesbergbehrde) was correctly informed, the public noticed the accident only in 2011 when the company started to replace the agricultural soil where the fluids had leaked into the ground. [NDR 2011; Kummetz 2011] 2.5. Earthquakes

It is well known that hydraulic fracturing can induce small earthquakes in the order of 1 3 at the Richter scale. [Aduschkin 2000] For instance, in Arkansas, USA, the rate of small earthquakes has increased over the last years tenfold. [AGS 2011] Concerns rose that these are induced by the steep increase in drilling activities in the Fayetteville Shale. Also, the Fort Worth region has experienced at least 18 smaller earthquakes since December 2008. The city of Cleburne alone experienced 7 earthquakes between June and July 2009 in an area where during the 140 years before no earthquake at all was registered. [Michaels 2010] In April 2011, the city of Blackpool in the UK experienced a small earthquake (1.5 at the Richter scale) which was followed in June 2011 by a larger one (2.5 at the Richter scale). The company Cuadrilla Resources which was conducting hydraulic fracturing operations in the earth quake area, stopped its operations and commissioned an investigation of the issue. It announced that it would cease its operations in case a relation of the earthquakes to its drilling activities would be shown. [Nonnenmacher 2011] 2.6. 2.6.1. Chemicals, Radioactivity and Impacts on Human Health Radioactive Materials

Naturally occurring radioactive materials (so called N.O.R.M.) are part of any geological formation, though with a very small share in the ppm to ppb range. Most black shales in the USA have uranium contents in the range of 0.0016-0.002 per cent. [Swanson 1960] Through the hydraulic fracturing process, these naturally occurring radioactive materials such as uranium, thorium and radium bound in the rock are transported to the surface with the flow-back fluid. Sometimes, radioactive particles are injected with the fluids for special purposes (e.g. as tracer). N.O.R.M. can also move through the cracks in the rock into the ground and surface water. Usually, N.O.R.M. accumulates in pipes, tanks and pits.

30

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ The amount of radioactive substances differs from shale to shale. The Marcellus shale, e.g., contains more radioactive particles than other geological formations. During gas processing activities, N.O.R.M. can occur as radon gas in the natural gas stream. Radon decays to 210Pb (a lead isotope), then to 210Bi (a bismuth isotope), 210Po (a polonium isotope), and finally to stable 206Pb (lead). Radon decay elements deposit as a film on the inner surface of inlet lines, treating units, pumps, and valves principally associated with propylene, ethane, and propane processing streams. Because the radioactive materials become concentrated on oil and gas-field equipment, the highest risk of exposure to oil and gas N.O.R.M. is to workers employed to cut and ream oilfield pipe, remove solids from tanks and pits, and refurbish gas processing equipment. [Sumi 2008] Experiences in North America In Onondaga County, New York, the radioactive substance radon (222Rn) was measured in indoor air in the basements of 210 homes. All of the homes underlain by Marcellus shale had indoor air levels of 222Rn above 148 Bq/m", and the average concentration in these homes was 326 Bq/m" 4 , which is more than twice the U.S. Environmental Protection Agencys (EPA) action level (i.e. the level at which it is recommended that homeowners try to reduce the radon concentration) of 148 Bq/m". The average indoor radon level in the USA is 48 Bq/m". [Sumi 2008] An increase by 100 Bq/m" of air leads to an increase of lung cancer of 10%. [Zeeb et al 2009] Rock cuttings from shale gas development at the Marcellus Shale are highly radioactive (25 times higher than surface background). Partly, the waste has been spread over the soil. Measurements of soils in 1999 show a 137Cs (a radioactive caesium isotope) concentration of 74 Bq per kg of soil. [NYDEC 2010] 137Cs is used for the analysis of a geological formation during shale gas exploration. Transferability to European conditions Naturally occurring radioactive materials (N.O.R.M.) also occur in Europe. Therefore, the same problems with N.O.R.M. may occur in Europe. However, the amount of N.O.R.M. differs from location to location. Therefore, the relevance of radioactive particles has to be evaluated at each individual shale and tight gas basin separately. For that reason the composition of a core sample of a specific shale under investigation should be disclosed before any production permission is granted. 2.6.2. Chemicals to be used

The fracturing fluid typically consists of about 98% water and sand, and 2% chemical additives. The chemical additives include toxic, allergenic, mutagenic, and carcinogenic substances. Experiences in North America Because of trade secrets the composition of the additives is not fully disclosed to the public. [Wood et al 2011] An analysis of a list of 260 substances provided by the New York State leads to the following results: 58 of the 260 substances have one or more properties that may give rise to concern.

4

Converted from picocuries per liter to Bq per m", 1 Ci = 3.7 1010 Bq

31

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ 6 are present in list 1 of lists 1-4 of priority substances, which the European Commission has published for substances requiring immediate attention because of their potential effects to man or the environment: Acrylamide, Benzene, Ethyl Benzene, Isopropylbenzene (cumene), Naphthalene, Tetrasodium Ethylenediaminetetraacetate. One substance (Naphthalene bis (1-methylethyl) is currently under investigation as persistent, bioaccumulative and toxic (PBT). 2 substances (Naphthalene and Benzene) are present on the first list of 33 priority substances established under Annex X of the Water Framework Directive (WFD) 2000/60/EC - now Annex II to the Directive on Priority Substances (Directive 2008/105/EC). 17 are classified as being toxic to aquatic organisms (acute and/or chronic). 38 are classified as being acute toxins (human health) such as 2-butoxy ethanol. 8 substances are classified as known carcinogens such as benzene (GHS classification: Carc. 1A) and acryl amide, ethylene oxide, and various petroleum based solvents containing aromatic substances (GHS 5 classification: Carc. 1B). 6 are classified as suspected carcinogens (Carc. 2) such as Hydroxylamine hydrochloride. 7 are classified as mutagenic (Muta. 1B) such as benzene and ethylene oxide. 5 are classified as having reproductive effects (Repr. 1B, Repr. 2). 2-butoxy ethanol (also called ethylene glycol monobutyl ether) is often used as chemical additive. [Bode 2011], [Wood et al 2011] It is toxic at relatively low levels of exposure. The half-life of 2-butoxy ethanol in natural surface waters ranges from 7 to 28 days. With an aerobic biodegradation rate this slow, humans, wildlife and domestic animals could come into direct contact with 2-butoxy ethanol through ingestion, inhalation, dermal sorption, and the eye in its liquid or vapour form, as the entrapped water reaches the surface. Aerobic biodegradation requires oxygen, which means that the deeper 2-butoxy ethanol is injected into underground layers the longer it will persist. [Colborn 2007] Transferability to European conditions Figure 3 shows the composition of the fracturing fluid (6405 m") used at the tight gas well Goldenstedt Z23 in Lower Saxony in Germany.

5

Global Harmonized System of Classification and Labeling of Chemicals

32

Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Figure 3: Composition of the fracturing fluid used at Goldenstedt Z23 in Lower Saxony in Germany

Water 89.0%

CO2 6.5% Ceramic proppants 3.0% Additive 1.5%

The fractions fluid contains 0.25% of toxic substances, 1.02% of substances which are harmful or toxic to human health (where 0.77% are classified as harmful Xn and 0.25% are classified as acute toxic T), and 0.19% substances which are harmful to the environment. At the well Goldenstedt Z23 in Lower Saxony in Germany, a total of about 65 m" (more than the equivalent of two road tankers with a gross weight of 40 t and a net payload of 26 t) of substances which are harmful to human health have been applied, thereof about 16 t of acute toxic substances. Often, the detailed composition of the chemical additives is confidential and therefore not published. One of the substances is tetramethylammoniumchloride which is toxic and harmful for drinking water already if small amounts are released. According to [Bode 2011], toxic substances such as such as 2-butoxy ethanol, 5-Chloro-2-methyl-4isothiazolin-3-one, and 2-Methylisothiazol-3(2H)-one have been used as chemical additives for hydraulic fracturing in Lower Saxony, Germany.

33

Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ Table 3: Selected substances used as chemical additives for fracturing fluids in Lower Saxony in Germany CAS number 111-76-2 Substance 2-butoxy ethanol Formula C6H14O2 Health effect toxic Classification GHS GHS07 GHS05 C4H4ClNOS toxic GHS08 GHS09 GHS05 C4H5NOS toxic GHS08 GHS09 GHS05 toxic GHS07 GHS09 Tetramethylammoniumchloride C4H12ClN toxic GHS06 GHS07

26172-55-4

5-Chloro-2-methyl-4isothiazolin-3-one

2682-20-4

2-Methylisothiazol3(2H)-one

9016-45-9

Nonylphenolethoxylate

CmH2m+1C6H4OH(CH3CH2O)n

75-57-0

Source: GHS: Global Harmonised System (GHS)

Furthermore, hydraulic fracturing may affect the mobility of naturally occurring toxic substances present in the subsurface such as mercury, lead and arsenic. These substances can find a pathway to an underground source of drinking water if fractures extend beyond the target formation, or if the casing or cement around the drilling fails under the pressures exerted during hydraulic fracturing. Other toxic substances may be formed by complex biogeochemical reactions with chemical additives used for the fracturing fluid. [EPA 2011] The naturally occurring toxic substances can also be found in the flow-back. Knowledge about the efficacy of current treatment processes for adequately removing certain flowback and produced water constituents. [EPA 2011] 2.6.3. Impacts on human health

Possible health effects are mainly caused by the impacts of the relevant emissions into air or water. These are predominantly headache and long-term effects from volatile organic compounds. Groundwater contamination may be dangerous when inhabitants come into contact with contaminated water. For instance, when small children are frequently washed with contaminated water this may have an effect on allergies and health. Also, wastewater pits and blow out fluids are a matter of concern when the skin is exposed.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ Experiences in North America Beyond potential effects actual health effects and their direct link to hydraulic fracturing activities are rarely documented. Usually, reports on headaches are leading the list. In the vicinity of the community of Dish, Texas, USA, the illness and deaths of young horses are documented as already cited in chapter 2.3. [Wolf 2009] Two extreme examples are quoted in the following as these are documented fairly well, though the relation to gas drilling activities cannot be proven. The first one is stated in a written testimony to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, USA: A woman [Laura Amos] from Silt, Garfield County, Colorado called to tell me that she had developed a very rare adrenal tumor and had to have the tumor and her adrenal gland removed. One of the effects of 2-BE [2-butoxy ethanol] was adrenal tumors. She told me that she lived within 900 feet of a busy gas well pad where fracing took place frequently. During one fracing episode her domestic water well erupted. She also began describing the health problems of others who lived near her. [Colborn 2007] and: In midAugust [2008] the Colorado debate intensified when news broke that Cathy Behr, an emergency room nurse in Durango, Colorado, had almost died after treating a wildcatter who had been splashed in a fracking fluid spill at a BP natural gas rig. Behr stripped the man and stuffed his clothes into plastic bags. A few days later Behr lay in critical condition facing multiple organ failure. [Lustgarten 2008] 2.7. Possible long term ecological benefits

There are no obvious potential long term ecological benefits of shale gas extraction with the exception of possible greenhouse gas emission reductions. The latter may occur in case more strongly polluting fossil resources, notably coal and oil, are replaced by shale gas, and shale gas extraction proves to have lower greenhouse gas emissions along the entire fuel chain than coal and oil. Results of chapter 3 indicate that this may not be the case, or only to a limited extent. Results of chapter 5 show that shale gas can only make small or even marginal contributions to European energy supply. The impacts described in the the above sections demonstrate that a number of serious risks to the environment are associated to shale gas extraction. Consequently, a reduced risk compared to conventional oil and gas operations including the risk of large scale accidental pollutions such as the recent catastrophe in the Gulf of Mexico cannot be claimed. It must be emphasized here that risks types, risk probabilities and potential impacts are quantitatively and qualitatively different. A detailed appreciation is beyond the scope of the present analysis.

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ 2.8. Discussion of risks in public debates

A number of arguments are put forward in public debates of hydraulic fracturing aimed at weakening the assessment of environmental impacts described above. These include the following: Proven accidents and violations are due to bad practises by companies, which are predominantly small companies and which are not involved in European activities. This political argument may be seen to underline the importance of independent monitoring of possible risks and impacts of hydraulic fracturing operations. Groundwater contamination by methane is due to natural methane levels from the decomposition of biogenic methane in the underground. Scientific analysis of isotope composition and statistical analyses of correlations between increasing methane levels and increasing fracturing activities unambiguously prove that methane contaminations of groundwater are caused by fossil methane from geological formations. There is no clear evidence that groundwater contamination is related to hydraulic fracturing activities. Obviously, it is very complex to prove direct relations between specific contaminations and individual activities. Nonetheless, there are some instances where such proof has been found, and there are many cases of circumstantial evidence demonstrating the correlation When state-of-the-art technology and trained personal is used the accidents and problems known from US activities can and will be avoided in Europe. It is a major objective of the present analysis to assess the potential impacts and risks in order to allow Europe to avoid them. It should be noted, however, that necessary requirements will come at a certain cost and will decelerate developments which may make shale gas extraction economically unattractive and may reduce the energetic contribution to marginal levels. Remaining (small) risks must be balanced against the economic benefits of developing domestic natural gas fields. The economics of shale gas extraction are beyond the scope of the present analysis. Nonetheless, it should be pointed out the hydraulic fracturing activities are much more costly than conventional extraction. The economic attractiveness of European shale gas development has not yet been proven. A cost benefit analysis including all aspects in an LCA should be done for each well as a prerequisite of granting extraction permits.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________ 2.9. Resources consumption

Experiences in North America Table 4 summarises the materials and truck movements for activities associated with natural gas developments. Table 4: Estimated quantities of materials and truck movements for activities associated with natural gas development [NYCDEP 2009] Activity Material/waste Quantities (1) Associated truck trips Single-well pad with total well length of 1500 to 4000 m, consisting of 900 to 2100 m depth and 600 to 1800 m of lateral length with a 6 inch diameter production casing and 8 inch diameter borehole. Lateral is cased but not grouted. 0.8 to 2.0 ha site, Site access and drill Cleared vegetation plus access roads as 20 to 40 pad construction and earthwork needed Drill rig setup Equipment 40 Drilling chemicals Various chemicals Drilling water Water 40s to 400s of m" 5 to 50 2100 to 4600 m (60 Pipe 25 to 50 Casing to 130 t) of casing Cement (grout) 14 to 28 m" 5 to 10 Rock/earth/formation Depends on fate of Drill cuttings 71 to 156 m" material cuttings Drilling waste water Waste drilling fields 40s to 400s of m" 5 to 50 Stimulation setup Equipment 40 Single charge ~25 g, no estimate on Casing Perforation Explosives number of charges per length of lateral Fracturing fluid Water 11,355 to 34,065 m" 350 to 1,000 water Assuming 1 to 2% of fracture fluid volume Fracturing fluid Various chemicals is comprised of 5 to 20 chemicals chemicals yields 114 to 681 m" Fracturing fluid Waste fracturing 11,355 to 34,065 m" 350 to 1000 waste water fluids Well-pad completion Equipment 10 57 m" per year and Gas collection Produced water 2 to 3 per well average Total estimated truck trips per well 800 to over 2000 (1) US units converted to metric units Transferability to European conditions

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Policy Department A: Economic and Scientific Policy

_________________________________________________________________ The information available so far leads to the conclusion that the resources consumption, the energy requirements (and the associated GHG emissions see chapter 3) for shale gas field development are higher than for conventional natural gas field development. There is a large bandwidth concerning the natural gas yield per well with a spread of more than a factor of ten. Thus, the specific resources and energy consumption and the associated GHG emissions per m" of natural gas extracted vary by more than a factor of ten. Consequently, an individual assessment for each shale gas formation needs to be carried out in order to get relevant and reliable data.

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Impacts of shale gas and shale oil extraction on the environment and on human health

_________________________________________________________________________

3.

GREENHOUSE GAS BALANCEKEY FINDINGSFugitive methane emissions have a huge impact on the greenhouse gas balance. Existing assessments give a range of 18-23 g CO2-equivalent per MJ as indirect GHG emissions from the production and processing of unconventional natural gas. The potential emissions due to methane intrusion of aquifers are not yet assessed. However, project specific emissions might vary up to a factor of ten, depending on the total methane production of the well. Depending on several factors, greenhouse gas emissions of shale gas relative to its energy content are as low as those of conventional gas transported over long distances or as high as those of hard coal over the entire life cycle from extraction to combustion. 3.1. 3.1.1. Shale and tight gas Experiences in North America

CO2 emissions occur during combustion processes in gas turbines, diesel engines and boilers required for shale gas exploration, extraction and processing. Depending on the CO2 content of the extracted natural gas non-combustion CO2 emissions can also occur in the natural gas processing stage. The CO2 content of the extracted gas can amount up to 30% [Goodman et al 2008] which would lead to specific emissions of about 24 g CO2 per MJ of extracted gas. Furthermore, methane is released which has a global warming potential of 25 g CO2 equivalent per g of CH4 (according to IPCC for a time horizon of 100 years). During the exploration and development phase, methane emissions occur during drilling (shallow gas vented), during flow back of the liquids from the hydraulic fracturing process and from plug drill-out after the hydraulic fracturing process. During the extraction and processing phase methane is leaking from valves and compressors, during liquid unloading (unloading