image resources nl (ima) - hartleys...the company is currently generating solid cash flow from its...
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Page 1 of 26
Image Resources NL (IMA)
Min
era
ls S
and
s:
Pro
ducer
IMA.asxSpeculative Buy
Share Price
Valuation $0.26
Price Target (12 month) $0.33
Brief Business Description:
Hartleys Brief Investment Conclusion
Chairman & MD
Top Shareholders
Murray Zircon Pty Ltd 19.7%
Vestpro International 17.8%
Orient Zirconic Resources (Australia) Pty Ltd 5.3%
Company Address
Issued Capital 972.0m
- fully diluted
Market Cap
- fully diluted
Cash (30 Jun 19a) A$35.2m
Debt (30 Jun 19a) A$64.7m
EV
FY18a FY19e FY20e
EBITDA -8.6 59.5 106.8
Op Cash Flw -2.4 44.6 90.4
Norm NPAT 3.3 42.6 86.0
CF/Share (cps) -0.3 4.6 9.3
EPS (cps) 0.4 4.4 8.8
P/E 65.7 5.4 2.7
Michael Scantlebury
Associate Analyst
Ph: +61 8 9268 2837
Trent Barnett
Head of Research
Ph: +61 8 9268 3052
A$262.8m
A$241.9m
A$233.3m
1007.8m
Analyst has a beneficial interest in IMA shares.
West Perth, W.A. 6005
16 Sep 2019
$0.240
Patrick Mutz (MD)
Robert Besley (Chairman)
High grade mineral sands producer, with operations
80km north of Perth. The Boonanarring zircon dominant
project commenced production in December 2018 and
has successfully ramped up to nameplate capacity.
The Company is currently generating solid cash flow
from its operations which have been assisted by higher
than expected grades.
Ground Floor, 23 Ventnor Avenue
IMAGE RESOURCES NL (IMA)
Picturing higher grades at Boonanarring Image Resources NL (“Image”, “IMA”, “the Company”) owns the high-grade
Boonanarring mineral sands project, 80km north of Perth. The project was
commissioned in December 2018, quickly ramping up to full nameplate
production in the MarQ CY19. Approximately 85% of the Company’s revenue
is from zircon with the remaining mostly ilmenite. The Company has guided
production of 240-260kt HMC (Heavy Mineral Concentrate) in CY19, implying
102-122kt HMC in 2HCY19. The decrease in production in 2H is due to the
high-grade core not being as prominent within the southern portion of mining
block B (see Fig.4 within). Production is forecast to increase to 280-300kt in
CY20, which Image believes will generate between A$55-65m (CY19) and
A$90-100m (CY20) EBITDA; we model ~A$60m and ~A$107m. We expect
the Company to be net cash by early CY20 assuming it achieves its
production guidance.
Eastern strand high grade core to lift HM reserve grade The initial Ore Reserve drill spacing for the Boonanarring deposit was 15-20m
wide. This drilling largely missed a high-grade core of Heavy Mineral (HM)
located in the eastern strand as the highest-grade core appears to be <20m
wide. The high-grade core became evident to the Company in the MarQ as
the HM ore feed grade was 76% higher than the budgeted grade (mining was
predominantly from the Eastern strand). YTD HM grade has been 43% above
budget. Over a 6-day period in March, a section of the eastern strand was
mined and the HM grade averaged 19% compared to a budgeted grade of
8%. Subsequent to these results the Company commenced a close spaced
(5m) infill drill program in early April to delineate the high-grade core. The
Company has delayed the announcement of the updated Mineral Resource
and Ore Reserve to the DecQ (previously SepQ) due to additional infill drilling.
CY21 and beyond in focus We forecast the Company to generate free cashflow of ~$85m in CY20, with
the Company processing 11% HM material through its plant. In CY21, IMA’s
mine plan forecasts a HM grade of 6% which will reduce cashflow. The Ore
Reserve upgrade should improve grade this year. The Company has
numerous dredge and strand style deposits in the North Perth Basin, amongst
these is the Atlas deposit. Atlas is due to come online after Boonanarring is
depleted and has a mine life of 3 years with potential for extensions. Atlas will
require capex of ~A$21m to relocate the processing facility. It has a relatively
low strip ratio of 1.4:1 compared to Boonanarring’s 6:1, offsetting the lower
value HMC product value. We have modelled a combined mine life of 10
years (7 years at Boonanarring and 3 years at Atlas).
Initiate coverage with a Speculative Buy recommendation We initiate coverage of IMA with a Speculative Buy recommendation. We
have a valuation of 26cps and a price target of 33cps. Our valuation is based
largely on the most recent Company guidance, along with the DFS throughput
and grade schedule. Our 12-month price target is based on blended
weightings from various scenarios and valuation methods, including HM ore
reserve grade uplift of 10% and 15%, spot commodity and fx prices, 3 and 5
times 1-year forward EV/EBITDA and net cash backing. Post the end of the
JunQ the Company had A$35.2m in cash and A$64.7m in debt.
Hartleys Limited ABN 33 104 195 057 (AFSL 230052) 141 St Georges Terrace, Perth, Western Australia, 6000
Hartleys does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the
firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single
factor in making their investment decision. Further information concerning Hartleys’ regulatory disclosures can be found on Hartleys
website www.hartleys.com.au
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
.
5.
10.
15.
20.
25.
30.
Sep-19May-19Jan-19Oct-18
Volume - RHS
IMA Shareprice - LHS
Sector (S&P/ASX SMALL RESOURCES) - LHS
A$ M
Image Resources NL
Source: IRESS
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 2 of 26
SUMMARY MODEL
Image Resources NL
IMA Speculative Buy
Key Market Information Directors Company Information
Share Price $0.240 Robert Besley Chairman Ground Floor, 23 Ventnor Avenue
Market Capitalisation - ordinary A$233m Patrick Mutz Managing Director West Perth, W.A. 6005
Net Debt (cash) $30m George Sakalidis Executive Director +61 8 9485 2410
Market Capitalisation - fully diluted A$242m Chaodian Chen Non-Executive Director www.imageres.com.auEV A$267m Aaron Chong Veoy Soo Non-Executive Director
Issued Capital 972.0m Peter Thomas Non-Executive Director
Options 35.8 Fei (Eddy) Wu Non-Executive Director
Issued Capital (fully diluted inc. all options) 1007.8m Huang Cheng Li Non-Executive Director
Top Shareholders m shares %
Valuation $0.26 Murray Zircon Pty Ltd 192 19.7%
12month price target $0.33 Vestpro International 173 17.8%
1 Orient Zirconic Resources (Australia) Pty Ltd 52 5.3%
P&L Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21 2
Net Revenue A$m 0.0 158.9 223.0 143.1 3
Total Costs A$m -8.6 -99.4 -116.2 -109.3 4
EBITDA A$m -8.6 59.5 106.8 33.8 5 Reserves & Resources Mt HM% Ilm% Rut% Zr%
- margin 37% 48% 24% Boonanarring + Atlas Resource 61.6 5.7% 48% 3.8% 15.6%
Depreciation/Amort A$m -0.4 -9.5 -9.6 -9.6 6 Boonanarring + Atlas Reserves - Aug 2017 29.3 7.5% 51% 4.2% 18.4%
EBIT A$m -8.9 50.0 97.2 24.2
Net Interest A$m -0.5 -7.4 -4.3 -1.0 7 Total Dredge Deposit Resources 236 2.1% 74% 2.9% 8.6%
Pre-Tax Profit A$m -9.4 42.6 93.0 23.3 Total Strand Deposit Resources 103 6.2% 55.7% 4.0% 13.2%
Tax Expense A$m 12.7 0.0 -7.0 -7.0 8
Normalised NPAT A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3
Abnormal Items A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9
Reported Profit A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3 Production Summary Unit Dec 18 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21
Minority A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Profit Attrib A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3 Mill Throughput Mt 0.00 3.09 3.60 3.70
HM grade % 0.0% 9.1% 11.0% 6.0%
Balance Sheet Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21 Zr production kt 0.0 53.6 73.6 48.5
Cash A$m 11.9 41.3 88.8 101.8 Rutile production kt 0.0 5.0 4.6 3.5
Other Current Assets A$m 14.9 35.3 44.6 34.9 Ilmenite production kt 0.0 91.3 154.0 86.6
Total Current Assets A$m 26.8 76.6 133.3 136.7 Total HMC kt 0 254 352 204
Property, Plant & Equip. A$m 101.1 94.6 88.0 81.5 Revenue to Cost ratio yr 0.0 1.7 2.0 1.4
Exploration A$m 0.0 2.2 2.8 2.8 Mine Life yr 10 9 8 7
Investments/other A$m 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 Costs Unit Dec 18 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21
Tot Non-Curr. Assets A$m 110.6 106.3 100.3 93.8 Rev milled tonne $A/t - 51.4 61.9 38.7
Total Assets A$m 137.4 182.9 233.7 230.5 Total Cost / milled tonne $A/t - 22.3 22.4 20.7
Total Cost / produc - 270.7 229.4 375.1
Short Term Borrowings A$m 12.6 37.1 15.0 - EBITDA / tonne milled ore $A/t - 19.2 29.7 9.1
Other A$m 12.1 25.0 29.1 27.4 C1: Operating Cash Cost = (a) $A/t final product - 339 284 473
Total Curr. Liabilities A$m 24.7 62.1 44.1 27.4 (a) + Royalty = (b) $A/t final product - 369 314 507
Long Term Borrowings A$m 51.4 15.0 0.0 0.0 C2: (a) + depreciation & amortisation = (c) $A/t final product - 376 311 520
Other A$m 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 (a) + actual cash for development = (d) $A/t final product - 339 284 473
Total Non-Curr. Liabil. A$m 55.9 19.5 4.5 4.5 C3: (c) + Royalty $A/t final product - 406 341 554
Total Liabilities A$m 80.6 81.6 48.6 32.0 (d) + Royalty $A/t final product - 369 314 507
Net Assets A$m 56.8 101.2 185.0 198.5 Price Assumptions - CIF Bunbury Unit Dec 18 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21
Net Debt A$m 52.1 10.9 -73.7 -101.8 AUDUSD A$/US$ 0.734 0.692 0.695 0.700
Ilmenite US$/t 180 203 203 204
Cashflow Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21 Zircon US$/t 1394 1503 1505 1510
Operating Cashflow A$m -2.6 52.0 101.6 41.8 Rutile US$/t 945 1029 1106 1186
Income Tax Paid A$m 0.0 0.0 -7.0 -7.0
Interest & Other A$m 0.2 -7.4 -4.3 -1.0 Avg selling price / HMC produced A$/t - 625 634 701
Operating Activities A$m -2.4 44.6 90.4 33.8 US$/t - 433 440 491
Sensitivity Analysis
Property, Plant & Equip. A$m -64.1 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 Valuation FY20 NPAT
Exploration and Devel. A$m -1.4 -2.2 -2.8 -2.8 Base Case 0.27 86.0
Other A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Spot Prices 0.29 (8.0%) 80.9 (-6.0%)
Investment Activities A$m -65.6 -5.2 -5.8 -5.8 Spot USD/AUD 0.69, Ilmenite $173/t,Zircon $1500/t,Rutile $1050/t.
AUDUSD +/--10% 0.18 / 0.37 (-31.5% / 38.5%) 65.0 / 104.0 (-24.4% / 20.9%)
Borrowings A$m 0.0 -11.8 -37.1 -15.0 Ilmenite +/--10% 0.29 / 0.25 (7.8% / -7.8%) 86.6 / 78.5 (0.7% / -8.8%)
Equity or "tbc capital" A$m 23.6 1.8 0.0 0.0 Zircon +/--10% 0.33 / 0.20 (24.0% / -24.0%) 97.1 / 68.0 (12.9% / -20.9%)
Dividends Paid A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rutile +/--10% 0.28 / 0.26 (2.9% / -2.9%) 83.2 / 81.9 (-3.2% / -4.8%)
Financing Activities A$m 74.9 -10.0 -37.1 -15.0 Leucoxene +/--10% 0.27 / 0.27 (0.0% / 0.0%) 82.5 / 82.5 (-4.0% / -4.0%)
Operating Costs +/--10% 0.21 / 0.33 (-21.0% / 21.0%) 73.3 / 91.8 (-14.8% / 6.7%)
Net Cashflow A$m 7.0 29.4 47.4 13.0 Unpaid Capital
Shares Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21 Year Expires No. (m) $m Avg price % ord
Ordinary Shares - End m 957.2 972.0 972.0 972.0 31-Dec-19 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
Ordinary Shares - W'ted m 909.3 964.6 972.0 972.0 31-Dec-20 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
Diluted Shares - W'ted m 945.1 1000.4 1007.8 1007.8 31-Dec-21 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
Ratio Analysis Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21 31-Dec-22 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
Cashflow Per Share A$ cps -0.3 4.6 9.3 3.5 31-Dec-23 35.8 4.4 0.12 4%
Cashflow Multiple x -91.0x 5.2x 2.6x 6.9x 31-Dec-24 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
EV / EBIT x -32.9x 5.1x 1.7x 5.8x 31-Dec-25 0.0 0.0 0.00 0%
EV / EBITDA x -34.3x 4.2x 1.6x 4.1x TOTAL 35.8 4.4 0.12 4%
Earnings Per Share A$ cps 0.4 4.4 8.8 1.7
Price to Earnings Ratio x 65.7x 5.4 2.7 14.3 Valuation Risked Est A$m /shr
Dividends Per Share AUD - - - - 100% Boonanarring (pre-tax NAV at disc. rate of 8%) 311 0.31
Dividend Yield % - - - - Other Assets/Exploration 62 0.06
Net Debt / Net Debt + Equity% 48% 10% -66% -105% Corporate Overheads -38 -0.04
Interest Cover X na 6.8 22.8 25.3 Net Cash (Debt) -30 -0.03
Return on Equity % 6% 42% 46% 8% Tax (NPV future liability) -49 -0.05
Options & Other Equity 3 0.00
Total 259 0.26
Analyst: Michael Scantlebury
+61 8 9268 3052
"tbc capital" could be equity or debt. Our valuation is risk-adjusted for how this may be obtained.
Sources: IRESS, Company Information, Hartleys Research
Last Updated: 16/09/2019
16 Sep 2019
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 3 of 26
INTRODUCTION Image Resources NL (IMA.asx) is an ASX listed mineral sands producer operating in
the North Perth Basin. The Company commissioned its zircon dominant Boonanarring
mineral sands project in December 2018 and completed its first shipment in January
2019. The Company plans to export on average 240ktpa of HMC in the 5-year mine
life at Boonanarring, which will likely be extended by further drilling. Once the mine life
at Boonanarring is exhausted the Company plans to relocate its processing facility to
the Atlas deposit at an estimated capital cost A$21.1m, which currently has a 3-year
mine life and is still open along strike.
At the end of the JunQ the Company had A$25.7m in cash and A$67.2m in debt,
subsequent to the end of the quarter they received a further A$12m from a concentrate
shipment and repaid A$2.5m in debt leaving the Company with A$35.2m in cash and
A$64.7m in debt (net debt of A$29.5m). The Company had 38kdmt of HMC in
inventory which they value at A$22m and a further 2.7kt of high-grade DSO material
containing 78% HM with 61% of the HM being zircon. We estimate that the DSO
material could be worth ~A$3m. The Company is currently looking into pathways to
monetising the high-grade stockpile. We do not include the DSO material in our
valuation.
The Company upgraded guidance in July due to increased production in the 1H of
CY19, as a result of higher than anticipated HM ore grades, however 2H guidance is
unchanged and is based on reserve grade. Updated Ore Reserves could see
improved HM grades going forward, which could see guidance potentially upgraded
in CY20.
Fig. 1: Updated company guidance
Source: IMA 24/7/2019
Post the end of the JunQ in the Company’s half yearly accounts, updated shipment
information was released indicating that the Company is on track to achieve its
updated sales guidance.
Fig. 2: Latest shipment information
Source: IMA 10/9/2019
IMA commissioned its
Boonanarr ing mineral
sands project in
December 2018 and
completed i ts f irst
shipment in January
2019.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 4 of 26
HIGH GRADE CORE WITHIN THE EASTERN STRAND
The initial Ore Reserve drill spacing for the Boonanarring deposit was 15-20m wide,
this has appeared to largely miss a high-grade core of Heavy Mineral (HM) located in
the eastern strand as it is only <20m wide. The high-grade core became evident to the
Company in the MarQ as the HM ore feed grade was 76% higher than the budgeted
grade, mining was predominantly from the Eastern strand. Over a 6-day period in
March a section of the eastern strand was mined and the HM grade averaged 19%
compared to a budgeted grade of 8%. The high-grade core also contains higher than
expected zircon grades within the HM, with YTD zircon content being 12% above
budget which lifts the HMC value.
Subsequent to these results the Company commenced a close spaced (5m) infill AC
drill program in early April to delineate the high-grade core, with the Ore Reserve
update due to be announced in the DecQ. The Company delayed the announcement
of the updated Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve to the DecQ (previously SepQ)
due to additional infill drilling requirements. The Company has completed a total of
579 AC holes for ~24,400m across the project and was completed on the 6th of August.
The most recent drill results were released from mining Block B in the Eastern strand
and showed that a high-grade core (>30% HM) extends the entire 2Km length of the
mining Block.
Fig. 3: HM Ore Grade
Source: IMA 14/3/2019
YTD HM ore head
grade has been 10.1%
or 43% higher than
the Company’s
budget.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 5 of 26
Fig. 4: Boonanarring deposit grade thickness
Source: IMA 2/9/2019
Plan v iew of the inf i l l
dr i l l ing at
Boonanarr ing.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 6 of 26
Fig. 5: Cross section showing infil l drill ing
Source: IMA 2/9/2019
Cross sect ion of the
inf i l l dr i l l ing at
Boonanarr ing with in
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 7 of 26
PRODUCTION GUIDANCE In our base valuation we model close to the most recent Company guidance and BFS
production schedule. In CY21 the Company has forecasted a head grade of 6% HM,
we expect the high-grade core to lift the head grade. We also assume exploration
success at Boonanarring extending the mine life by 2 years at the reserve grade of
7.2% HM for a combined mine life of 10 years (7 years at Boonanarring and 3 years
at Atlas).
Fig. 6: Hartleys vs Company’s guidance
Source: Hartleys Research & IMA
Fig. 7: Boonanarring production forecast
Source: IMA 5/8/2019
Production Summary Unit Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Hartleys Production forecast Boonanarring Atlas
Mill Throughput Mt 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.2
HM grade % 9% 11% 6% 8% 11% 7% 7% 12% 7% 6%
HMC production kt 254 352 204 279 351 234 234 329 185 147
Zr production kt 54 74 48 66 53 50 50 27 13 10
Ru production kt 5 5 4 6 13 10 10 13 7 6
Ilm production kt 91 154 87 123 159 102 102 151 81 58
Company Production forecast Boonanarring Atlas
Mill Throughput Mt 3.1-3.3 3.6-3.8 3.7 3.8 3.5
HM grade % 8% 11% 6% 8% 11%
HMC produced kt 240-260 280-300 168 227 343 190 220 220
Zr production kt ~65 ~85 40 71 42 27 20 16
Ru production kt ~5 ~6 5 5 13 14 17 15
Ilm production kt ~120 ~175 115 118 125 99 110 99
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 8 of 26
Fig. 8: Boonanarring production forecast (old guidance greyed out)
Source: 24/9/2018
DEBOTTLENECKING THE PLANT The Company has also initiated plans to debottleneck the plant largely to
accommodate for higher than expected HM grades. These work programs include,
expanding the HMC cleaning and dewatering circuit, and enhance oversize screening
at the ore feed preparation plan. These improvements are currently underway
however we have not assumed any increase in throughput in our valuation.
Debott leneck
improvements are
current ly underway
however we have not
assumed any increase
in throughput in our
valuation.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 9 of 26
BOONANARRING NORTHERN EXTENSION The Company gained access for drilling in a 1.3km section of the Northern Extension
Area (NEA), which is located across the Brand Highway. Previous drilling by the
Company intercepted what is believed to be the northern extension of the eastern
strand high grade core, extending it 5.6km north of the Boonanarring deposit (ASX
announcement 13/3/2019). The current Boonanarring ore reserve has a mine life of
5.5years and a strike length of 13.2km. The Company is currently in negotiations for
access to other parts of the NEA. Pending approval from the Department of Mines,
the Company will commence drilling this 1.3km section. We note that areas of the NEA
have substantial infrastructure including gas pipelines, powerlines and the Brand
highway which would need to be relocated if mining was to take place. We assume
that the Company will be able to gain access to a portion of this area and have
extended mine life at Boonanarring by 2 years at the current reserve grade with a
capex of $10m in our model.
Fig. 9: Boonanarring Northern Extension area
Source: IMA 17/7/2019
We assume that the
Company wi l l be able
to gain access to a
port ion of th is area
and have extended
mine l i fe at
Boonanarr ing by 2
years.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 10 of 26
Fig. 10: Mineral Resource and Ore Reserves (update expected in the DecQ)
Source: IMA 3/8/2019
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 11 of 26
Mineral sands geology and mining The Boonanarring deposit consists of two parallel mineralised strands both of which
are 80-100m in width and between 0 and 50m apart. Both strands are 10-15m thick
and extend over a strike length of 13.6Km in a south-southeast direction.
Boonanarring is hosted in the Perth Basin, in the Pleistocene Yoganup Formation on
the eastern margin of the Swan Coastal Plain. The Yoganup Formation is a buried
pro-graded shoreline deposit, with dunes, beach ridge and deltaic facies. This
formation lies unconformably over the Lower Cretaceous Leederville Formation and is
overlain by the Pleistocene Guildford Formation and the Quaternary Bassendean
Sand. The Yoganup Formation consists of unconsolidated poorly sorted sands and
gravels, with local interstitial clay and heavy minerals that occur sporadically along the
Gingin Scarp, which is interpreted to be an ancient shoreline that was stable during a
period of marine regression.
Valuable heavy minerals (VHM) in mineral sands deposits were sourced from the
erosion of intrusive or volcanic rocks rich in heavy minerals. Once released from the
parent rock the minerals were transported and redeposited into beaches, dunes,
estuaries or offshore sand bars along modern and ancient coastlines. Wind and wave
action further concentrated the heavy minerals forming concentrated lens like bodies
within the larger sand deposit. In some areas where sea level has dropped these
deposits can be located hundreds of metres, to kilometres, to tens of kilometres inland.
Mineral sands deposits can generally be classified in to two different types: strand or
dunal. Strand deposits are generally finite with well-defined edges, can be several
kilometres long and hundreds of metres wide. Strands are often covered by
overburden and can occur in large numbers marking the gradual retreat of the sea.
Dunal deposits are usually broader more recent deposits that occur at or near surface
with less overburden.
Fig. 11: Development of heavy mineral sand deposits
Source: Hou, B, et al Mesa Journal, May 2005
The Boonanarr ing
deposit consists of
two paralle l
mineralised strands
both of which are 80-
100m in width and
between 0 and 50m
apart. Both strands
are 10-15m thick and
extend over a str ike
length of 13.6Km in a
south-southeast
direction.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 12 of 26
The concentration of heavy minerals within mineral sand deposits can vary widely.
The majority of deposits grade between 1% and 5% total heavy minerals (THM) but a
few are higher. Of the THM assemblage the most important minerals in terms of value
are, in descending order, zircon, rutile, leucoxene and ilmenite. Ilmenite is usually the
most abundant mineral with the other VHM occurring in smaller amounts. The THM
assemblage will also include a percentage of ‘trash’ minerals such as magnetite,
quartz, kayanite, and staurolite.
IMA produces a bulk HMC and does not conduct mineral separation which separates
the concentrate into individual products and waste. Separation of heavy mineral
concentrates is the most complex part of zircon and titanium feedstock production
requiring multiple processes, not having these facilities enabled IMA to reduce their
upfront capex.
Fig. 12: Common mineral sands physical properties and chemistry
Source: ILU
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 13 of 26
GEOGRAPHIC EXPOSURE All of IMA’s mineral sand projects are located in the North Perth Basin in Western
Australia with the Company exporting through the Bunbury port. There is substantial
infrastructure including gas pipelines, powerlines and the Brand highway all within
close proximity to the project.
Fig. 13: Other deposit locations
Source: IMA 5/8/2019
PEERS AND COMPETITORS
Fig. 14: Listed mineral sand companies
Source: Various
Various. *Market cap is quoted ordinary shares from IRESS. It does not dilute for
options, escrow shares, performance shares, non-ASX listed shares, convertible notes, recent
placements etc. These can be meaningful adjustments that should be taken into account.
Company Ticker Last Quot. Mkt CapStatus
Rio Tinto Limited RIO 93.885 34,631 Producer (titanium focus)
Iluka Resources Limited ILU 7.585 3,253 Producer
Tronox Holdings plc TROX.nys 9.65 US 1,304 Producer
Base Resources Limited BSE 0.23 280 Producer (mainly ilmenite)
Image Resources NL IMA 0.25 238 Producer (mainly zircon)
Sheffield Resources Limited SFX 0.4 112 Developer
Strandline Resources Limited STA 0.11 41 Developer
Diatreme Resources Limited DRX 0.013 19 Developer
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 14 of 26
DEBT FACILITY At the end of the JunQ IMA has a senior secured debt facility with Pala Investments
Limited (“Pala”), Castelake IV, L.P. and CL V Investment Solutions LLC of
US$38,865,000 + capitalised interest of US$6,481,821 (for a total debt of
A$64,661,088 at 30 June 2019). Interest rate is 14% for the first fifteen months
following draw down on 25 May 2018 and 13% thereafter for the balance of the loan.
Interest for the first fifteen months is added to the loan amount and thereafter paid
quarterly in arrears. If early repayment of loan is made, interest for full loan term is
due, less any interest the Loan Note Holders might receive if the repaid funds were
held on bank deposit.
The key terms of the loan include a loan period of three years from draw down, an
interest rate of 14% for the first fifteen months following draw down and 13% thereafter
for the balance of the loan. Interest for the first fifteen months is added to the loan
amount and thereafter paid quarterly in arrears. The principal is to be repaid in seven
equal instalments starting in the 18th month following drawdown. Drawdown occurred
on 25 May 2018.
KEY SUPPLIERS & CUSTOMERS All of IMA’s HMC is sold under offtake contract to two parties each taking 50% of the
HMC produced. The off-take contracts are with Hainan Wensheng High-Tech
Materials Co., Ltd (“Wensheng”) and Shantou Natfort Zirconium and Titanium Co., Ltd
(“Natfort”) both located in China. The contracts are based on general terms and
conditions and market-based pricing model. Each shipment departs the Bunbury port
and the offtake partners process the HMC into separate final products. Full payment
for the shipments is usually received by IMA ~1 week after the ship leaves the Bunbury
port.
The mine contract is with Piacentini & Son who are well experienced in the mineral
sands industry.
Qube Bulk is responsible for the road transportation of the HMC to the Bunbury port.
Electricity is supplied from the south-west grid, with the Company singing a heads of
agreement with Sunrise Energy Group (ASX announcement 23/4/2018) which would
supply ~25% of Boonanarring’s energy requirements.
The Company has
A$35.2m in cash and
A$64.7m in debt (net
debt of A$29.5m).
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 15 of 26
MANAGEMENT, DIRECTORS AND
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS
Directors (as summarised from Company website)
Robert Besley, Chairman
Robert Besley is a Director of KBL Mining Limited (ASX:KBL) and Chairman of Silver
City Minerals Ltd (ASX:SCI) and has more than 40 years’ experience in the mining
industry. Mr Besley has served in a number of Government advisory roles including
several years as Deputy Chairman of the NSW Minerals Council. He holds a BSc
(Hons) in Economic Geology from the University of Adelaide and he is a Member of
the Australian Institute of Geoscientists. He managed the creation, listing and
operation of two successful mining companies; CBH Resources Limited which he led
as Managing Director from a small exploration company to Australia’s 4th largest zinc
producer; and Australmin Holdings Limited (acquired by Newcrest) which brought into
production a gold mine in WA and mineral sands mine in NSW. More recently he was
a founding Director of KBL Mining Limited which operates the Mineral Hill copper-gold
mine in NSW, is Chairman of Silver City Minerals Limited, which is actively exploring
for silver-lead-zinc in the Broken Hill District and has been a Non-Executive Director
of Murray Zircon from commencement of development and production from the
Mindarie Mineral Sands Project. Prior to this Mr Besley’s early career was involved in
the exploration and development of mineral deposits for Unocal’s (now Chevron)
mineral activities in S.E. Asia, North America, Latin America, Australia and the Pacific.
His activities have covered projects in precious metals, base metals, ferroalloys,
mineral sands, speciality metals, uranium and coal. Through his corporate
management roles Mr Besley has played a central role in project and corporate
financing covering a wide range of capital structures as well as acquisitions, mergers
and asset sales.
Patrick Mutz, Managing Director
Patrick Mutz has more than thirty years of international mining industry experience in
technical (metallurgist), managerial, consulting and executive roles in all aspects of
Economic Exposure of Board and Key Management Total
Performance Rights Shares Economic
# Exposure
Position millions Rank
Directors
Robert Besley Chairman 0 566,667 566,667 8
Peter Thomas Non-Executive Director 0 2,104,306 2,104,306 5
Chaodian Chen Non-Executive Director 0 0 0 9
Aaron Soo Non-Executive Director 0 12,473,000 12,473,000 2
Fei Wu Non-Executive Director 0 0 0 9
Li Huang Cheng* Non-Executive Director 0 136,445,311 136,445,311 1
Chaodian Chen Non-Executive Director 0 0 0 9
George Sakalidis Executive Director 0 4,806,655 4,806,655 3
Patrick Mutz Managing Director 0 1,900,671 1,900,671 6
Key Management Personal
John McEvoy CFO 0 2,425,887 2,425,887 4
Todd Colton COO 0 716,860 716,860 7
*Li Huang Cheng holdings includes Vestpro International Limited holdings as he is a director.
Board of Directors
have a d iverse
range of exper ience
throughout Austral ia
and International ly
and mining projects,
including Mineral
Sands
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 16 of 26
the industry from exploration through project development, mining and mine
rehabilitation. He has operational experience in open cut, underground, and in-situ
mining and related processing, on projects in the USA, Germany, Africa and Australia.
Since his arrival in Australia from the USA in 1998, he has served as CEO / Managing
Director of a number of publicly listed and private mining companies based in South
Australia, Victoria and Western Australia, primarily involved with project development
and company transitioning from exploration to production. Mr Mutz is a Fellow of the
AusIMM and a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors. He holds a
Bachelor of Science (Honours) and an MBA from the University of Phoenix in the US.
Patrick joined Murray Zircon as a senior advisor in early 2012 and served as its Chief
Operating Officer during the pivotal transition period from development to operational
status in the latter part of 2012. In February 2013 he was invited to take on the role as
CEO and to lead the company on its goal of becoming South Australia’s newest
mineral sands mining company.
George Sakalidis, Executive Director
George Sakalidis is an exploration geophysicist with over 30 years’ industry
experience. His career has included extensive gold, diamond, base metals and
mineral sands exploration. Mr Sakalidis has been involved in a number of significant
mineral discoveries, including the Three Rivers and Rose gold deposits, the Dongara
Mineral Sands Deposits, the Boonanarring-Gingin South-Helene Mineral Sands
Deposits in Western Australia and he was involved in the tenement applications over
the Silver Swan nickel deposit. He was also involved with the tenement application for
the recently discovered Monty Copper mineralisation adjacent to the Degrussa Copper
deposit. He is a founding Director and is currently an Executive Director of Image
(since listing on 4 July 2002) and Meteoric Resources NL (since listing on 16 July
2004). Mr Sakalidis has also been a founding director of ASX listed companies Emu
NL, Magnetic Minerals Limited (taken over by Ticor in 2003), Magnetic Resources NL
and Potash West NL.
Chong Veoy (Aaron) Soo, Non-Executive Director
Mr Soo has been a long term supporter and shareholder in Image. Mr Soo is an
advocate and solicitor practising in West Malaysia with 16 years of experience in legal
practice and is currently a partner in Stanley Ponniah, Ng & Soo, Advocates &
Solicitors.
Peter Thomas, Non-Executive Director
Peter Thomas having served on ASX listed company boards for some 30 years, has
been a non-executive director of Image since 10 April 2002. He resigned as Chair on
29 October 2014. For over 30 years until June 2011, Mr Thomas ran a legal practice
on his own account specialising in the delivery of wide ranging legal, corporate and
commercial advice to listed explorers and miners. Mr Thomas currently a director of
listed companies Emu NL and Middle Island Resources Limited and recently of
Magnetic Resources NL (resigned July 2013) and Meteoric Resources NL (resigned
September 2014).
Chaodian Chen, Non-Executive Director
Mr Chen founded Orient Zirconic in 1995 and has built the company into a leading
company in the zirconium industry. He served as President and Chairman of the
company until mid-2013 when China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) became
the largest shareholder in Orient Zirconic. He became the Chairman of Murray Zircon
when the company was founded in 2011 as a result of Orient Zirconic’s first investment
in mining in Australia. Mr Chen is the Vice President of China non-ferrous metals
industry association titanium zirconium & Hafnium Branch. He holds an EMBA degree
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 17 of 26
and is a Certified Engineer. He also owns a number of patents involving the processing
of zircon.
Fei (Eddy) Wu, Non-Executive Director
Mr Wu has solid operational experience in the Australian resource and mining
industry. He specialises in combining the strengths of Australian upstream mining with
Chinese downstream processing and end use to optimise the strategy for resource
development and maximise the resource value. As the first CEO of Murray Zircon, he
built and led the team to complete the development and start-up at the Mindarie
mineral sands project in late 2012. Mr Wu was appointed as a Non-Executive Director
of Murray Zircon in early 2013. He is currently the CEO and a Director of Queensland
Mining Corporation Limited and the CEO of WIM Resources Pty Ltd. Eddy graduated
from the University of Science and Technology, Beijing. He holds a Master’s Degree
in Commerce (Finance) from the Australian National University and a Master’s Degree
in Science from Cass Business School, City University London.
Huang Cheng Li, Non-Executive Director
Mr Li is an investor from Taiwan, with more than 30 years of experience investing in
various industries ranging from the general merchandising, precious stones and
certification businesses. Mr Li graduated from Tamkang University and in 1981
founded Leecotex International Limited in Taiwan and Capital 88 International Limited
in Hong Kong in 1993 where he served as the Managing Director. In 2015 Mr Li
acquired a 49% ownership interest in Giochi Preziosi Group (“GP Group”) and served
as the Vice President. GP Group is a leading global toy company and has undergone
a process of diversification and has expanded into new sectors and markets where it
has successfully operated. Currently, Mr Li is the co-founder of Lee & Wu Company
Limited, a company focusing support towards high-tech industries in the development
of new material applications.
John McEvoy, Chief Financial Officer
Experienced CFO & Company Secretary with over 25 years post qualification
experience. Mainly mining focussed career for listed & unlisted entities on ASX, TSX
and AIM markets. Over $1 Billion in debt and over $300M in equity during career.
Member of ICAEW and Australian Institute of Company Directors.
All stages of mining projects from early stage exploration through to production
Experience in setting up and managing finance systems and managing finance teams.
Whole of business risk review systems. Implementation and management of hedging.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 18 of 26
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS There are three substantial shareholders.
Fig. 15: Production forecasts
Source: IMA
OPTIONS, CONVERTIBLES AND UNPAID CAPITAL The main holders of the warrants are Jett Capital Advisors LLC Pala Investments
Limited, CLV Investment Solutions and Castlelake IV LP.
There is currently 21.5m warrants exercisable on or before the 24th of May 2023 at
11.385cps and a further 14.3m warrants exercisable on or before 20th of May 2023 at
13.65cps.
FINANCIALS
PROFIT & LOSS Fig. 16: Profit and Loss
Source: Hartleys Research Estimates
Top Shareholders m shares %
Murray Zircon Pty Ltd 192 19.7%
Vestpro International 173 17.8%
Orient Zirconic Resources (Australia) Pty Ltd 52 5.3%
P&L Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21
Net Revenue A$m 0.0 158.9 223.0 143.1
Total Costs A$m -8.6 -99.4 -116.2 -109.3
EBITDA A$m -8.6 59.5 106.8 33.8
- margin 37% 48% 24%
Depreciation/Amort A$m -0.4 -9.5 -9.6 -9.6
EBIT A$m -8.9 50.0 97.2 24.2
Net Interest A$m -0.5 -7.4 -4.3 -1.0
Pre-Tax Profit A$m -9.4 42.6 93.0 23.3
Tax Expense A$m 12.7 0.0 -7.0 -7.0
Normalised NPAT A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3
Abnormal Items A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Reported Profit A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3
Minority A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Profit Attrib A$m 3.3 42.6 86.0 16.3
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 19 of 26
BALANCE SHEET
Fig. 17: Balance Sheet
Source: Hartleys Research Estimates
Gearing ratios
Fig. 18: Gearing Ratios
Source: Hartleys Research Estimates
Balance Sheet Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21
Cash A$m 11.9 41.3 88.8 101.8
Other Current Assets A$m 14.9 35.3 44.6 34.9
Total Current Assets A$m 26.8 76.6 133.3 136.7
Property, Plant & Equip. A$m 101.1 94.6 88.0 81.5
Exploration A$m 0.0 2.2 2.8 2.8
Investments/other A$m 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5
Tot Non-Curr. Assets A$m 110.6 106.3 100.3 93.8
Total Assets A$m 137.4 182.9 233.7 230.5
Short Term Borrowings A$m 12.6 37.1 15.0 -
Other A$m 12.1 25.0 29.1 27.4
Total Curr. Liabilities A$m 24.7 62.1 44.1 27.4
Long Term Borrowings A$m 51.4 15.0 0.0 0.0
Other A$m 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
Total Non-Curr. Liabil. A$m 55.9 19.5 4.5 4.5
Total Liabilities A$m 80.6 81.6 48.6 32.0
Net Assets A$m 56.8 101.2 185.0 198.5
Net Debt A$m 52.1 10.9 -73.7 -101.8
Shares Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21
Ordinary Shares - End m 957.2 972.0 972.0 972.0
Ordinary Shares - W'ted m 909.3 964.6 972.0 972.0
Diluted Shares - W'ted m 945.1 1000.4 1007.8 1007.8
Ratio Analysis Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21
Cashflow Per Share A$ cps -0.3 4.6 9.3 3.5
Cashflow Multiple x -94.7x 5.4x 2.7x 7.2x
EV / EBIT x -34.0x 5.3x 1.8x 6.2x
EV / EBITDA x -35.5x 4.4x 1.7x 4.4x
Earnings Per Share A$ cps 0.4 4.4 8.8 1.7
Price to Earnings Ratio x 68.5x 5.7 2.8 14.9
Dividends Per Share AUD - - - -
Dividend Yield % - - - -
Net Debt / Net Debt + Equity% 48% 10% -66% -105%
Interest Cover X na 6.8 22.8 25.3
Return on Equity % 6% 42% 46% 8%
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 20 of 26
CASH FLOW
Fig. 19: Cash Flow Statement
Source: Hartleys Research Estimates
Capex requirements We assume A$6m of sustaining capex for CY20 and A$10m to extend the mine life at
Boonanarring NEA.
Free cash flow The Company should generate solid cash flow given the modest amount sustaining
capex required.
Dividends We see the potential for dividends in CY21 once the debt has been repaid.
EQUITY ISSUANCE We assume no new equity is required given the expected cash flows should retire all
debt.
Cashflow Unit 31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19 31 Dec 20 31 Dec 21
Operating Cashflow A$m -2.6 52.0 101.6 41.8
Income Tax Paid A$m 0.0 0.0 -7.0 -7.0
Interest & Other A$m 0.2 -7.4 -4.3 -1.0
Operating Activities A$m -2.4 44.6 90.4 33.8
Property, Plant & Equip. A$m -64.1 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0
Exploration and Devel. A$m -1.4 -2.2 -2.8 -2.8
Other A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Investment Activities A$m -65.6 -5.2 -5.8 -5.8
Borrowings A$m 0.0 -11.8 -37.1 -15.0
Equity or "tbc capital" A$m 23.6 1.8 0.0 0.0
Dividends Paid A$m 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Financing Activities A$m 74.9 -10.0 -37.1 -15.0
Net Cashflow A$m 7.0 29.4 47.4 13.0
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 21 of 26
SENSITIVITIES
FX exposure Debt is dominated in USD along with commodity selling prices.
Interest Rate exposure IMA’s interest rate exposure is meaningful, but reducing quickly given we expect
retirement of debt in CY20.
Commodity price exposure IMA is exposed to mineral sands prices, mostly the zircon price although titanium
prices are also meaningful (ilmenite and rutile). About 85% of revenue is from zircon
at current prices.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 22 of 26
VALUATION CONSIDERATIONS AND
PRICE TARGET METHODOLOGY
VALUATION We assume a production profile in line with the updated guidance from the Company,
plus some exploration success at Boonanarring extending the mine life by 2 years at
the reserve grade of 7.2% HM for a combined mine life of 10 years (7 years at
Boonanarring and 3 years at Atlas). We assume total costs slightly above Company
guidance and modest sustaining capex. We have a valuation of 26cps.
Fig. 20: Hartleys Sum of Parts Valuations for IMA
Source: Hartleys Research
PRICE TARGET We have 12-month price target blended weightings from various scenarios and
valuation methods, including our base case valuation, HM ore reserve grade uplift of
10% and 15%, spot commodity and fx prices, 3 and 5 times 1-year forward EV/EBITDA
and net cash backing. We have a 12-month price target of 33cps.
Fig. 21: IMA Price Target Methodology
Source: Hartleys Research
Valuation Risked Est A$m /shr
100% Boonanarring (pre-tax NAV at disc. rate of 8%) 311 0.31
Other Assets/Exploration 62 0.06
Corporate Overheads -38 -0.04
Net Cash (Debt) -30 -0.03
Tax (NPV future liability) -49 -0.05
Options & Other Equity 3 0.00
Total 259 0.26
Price Target Methodology Weighting Today 12 mth out
NPV base case prices 62% $0.26 $0.30
NPV with a 10% ore reserve grade increase 15% $0.34 $0.40
NPV with a 15% ore reserve grade increase 10% $0.37 $0.43
NPV at spot commodity and fx prices 10% $0.29 $0.34
3.0x 1yr fwd EV / EBITDA 1% $0.34 $0.27
5.0x 1yr fwd EV / EBITDA 1% $0.53 $0.38
Net cash backing 1% $0.00 $0.00
Risk weighted composite $0.29
12 Months Price Target $0.33
Shareprice - Last $0.240
12 mth total return 38.1%
We have a valuat ion
of 26cps and a 12-
month price target
of 32cps.
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 23 of 26
RECOMMENDATION & RISKS
INVESTMENT THESIS & RECOMMENDATION We initiate coverage of IMA with a Speculative Buy recommendation. We have a
33cps price target. On our estimates, IMA trades on CY20 EV/EBITDA of 1.7x and
FY21 EV/EBITDA of 4.4x, with an eight-year visible mine life (we assume ten years).
The Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve update due out in the DecQ has the potential
to increase our valuation.
RISKS The key risks for Image Resources (like most mining companies) is earnings
disappointments given the industry is volatile and earnings can disappoint due to
commodity prices, cost overruns, project delays, environmental regulations,
taxation/royalties changes, cost inflation or lower production. Although some earnings
disappointments can be short term and only a timing issue, other disappointments can
be materially value destructive and can sometimes overhang stocks for a long period
of time (for example environmental mismanagement). Such disappointments can be
very difficult to predict and share price reactions can be severe and immediate upon
disclosure by the company. High financial leverage (if it exists at that time) would add
to the problem. Another key risk for miners is maintaining and extending mine life or
making the prudent decision to close a mine, given mines are depleted and many have
reasonably short lives and often with reducing economics.
Fig. 22: Key assumptions and risks for valuation Assumption Risk of not realising
assumption Risk to valuation if
assumption is incorrect
Comment
Remaining mine life of 10 years
Low Upside We assume remaining mine life of 10 years, versus current mine plan life of 8 years.
Commodity prices Moderate High We assume relatively stable zircon, rutile and
ilmenite prices.
No adverse movements in exchange rates
Moderate Moderate IMA has labour and power costs denominated in AUD, with revenue and debt denominated in
USD.
Debt can be repaid
Moderate Moderate Based on our assumptions, the debt can be repaid easily.
Exploration success
Moderate
Low
We attribute a modest value to exploration
potential beyond our assumed mine life extension.
Model parameters Moderate Meaningful We have made a large number of assumptions in our valuation of IMA, changes in these
assumptions can change our valuation to both the upside and downside.
Conclusion We believe our IMA assumptions are realistic.
Source: Hartleys Research
We ini t ia te coverage
of IMA with a
Speculative Buy. We
have a 33cps pr ice
target .
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 24 of 26
SIMPLE S.W.O.T. TABLE Strengths Producing asset
Strong cash generation High grade High value HMC Relationship with customers Well located to port means low operating costs Tier 1 location
Weaknesses Modest mine life for mineral sands project Single asset company
Opportunities Exploration Development of dredge assets
Threats Still has net debt position Takeover Mineral sands price volatility
Source: Hartleys Research
Hartleys Limited Image Resources NL (IMA) 16 September 2019
Page 25 of 26
EV/EBITDA BANDS
Fig. 23: Using Hartleys base case commodity forecasts
Source: Hartleys Estimates, IRESS
Fig. 24: Using spot commodity prices
Source: Hartleys Estimates
.00
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
1.00
IMA Actual
Hartleys Target
8x EV/EBITDA
6x EV/EBITDA
4x EV/EBITDA
2x EV/EBITDA
1x EV/EBITDA
Shareprice
.00
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
1.00
IMA Actual
8x EV/EBITDA
6x EV/EBITDA
4x EV/EBITDA
2x EV/EBITDA
1x EV/EBITDA
Shareprice
Page 26 of 26
HARTLEYS CORPORATE DIRECTORY Research Trent Barnett Head of Research +61 8 9268 3052
Mike Millikan Resources Analyst +61 8 9268 2805
John Macdonald Resources Analyst +61 8 9268 3020
Paul Howard Resources Analyst +61 8 9268 3045
Aiden Bradley Research Analyst +61 8 9268 2876
Oliver Stevens Research Analyst +61 8 9268 2879
Michael Scantlebury Junior Analyst +61 8 9268 2837
Janine Bell Research Assistant +61 8 9268 2831
Corporate Finance Dale Bryan Director & Head of
Corp Fin.
+61 8 9268 2829
Richard Simpson Director +61 8 9268 2824
Ben Crossing Director +61 8 9268 3047
Ben Wale Director +61 8 9268 3055
Stephen Kite Director +61 8 9268 3050
Scott Weir Director +61 8 9268 2821
Scott Stephens Associate Director +61 8 9268 2819
Rhys Simpson Associate Director +61 8 9268 2851
Michael Brown Executive +61 8 9268 2822
Registered Office
Level 6, 141 St Georges Tce Postal Address:
Perth WA 6000 GPO Box 2777
Australia Perth WA 6001
PH:+61 8 9268 2888 FX: +61 8 9268 2800
www.hartleys.com.au [email protected]
Note: personal email addresses of company employees are structured
in the following manner: [email protected]
Hartleys Recommendation Categories
Buy Share price appreciation anticipated.
Accumulate Share price appreciation anticipated but the risk/reward is
not as attractive as a “Buy”. Alternatively, for the share
price to rise it may be contingent on the outcome of an
uncertain or distant event. Analyst will often indicate a
price level at which it may become a “Buy”.
Neutral Take no action. Upside & downside risk/reward is evenly
balanced.
Reduce /
Take profits
It is anticipated to be unlikely that there will be gains over
the investment time horizon but there is a possibility of
some price weakness over that period.
Sell Significant price depreciation anticipated.
No Rating No recommendation.
Speculative
Buy
Share price could be volatile. While it is anticipated that,
on a risk/reward basis, an investment is attractive, there
is at least one identifiable risk that has a meaningful
possibility of occurring, which, if it did occur, could lead to
significant share price reduction. Consequently, the
investment is considered high risk.
Institutional Sales Carrick Ryan +61 8 9268 2864
Justin Stewart +61 8 9268 3062
Simon van den Berg +61 8 9268 2867
Digby Gilmour +61 8 9268 2814
Jayme Walsh +61 8 9268 2828
Veronika Tkacova +61 8 9268 2836
Wealth Management Nicola Bond +61 8 9268 2840
Bradley Booth +61 8 9268 2873
Adrian Brant +61 8 9268 3065
Nathan Bray +61 8 9268 2874
Sven Burrell +61 8 9268 2847
Simon Casey +61 8 9268 2875
Tony Chien +61 8 9268 2850
Tim Cottee +61 8 9268 3064
David Cross +61 8 9268 2860
Nicholas Draper +61 8 9268 2883
John Featherby +61 8 9268 2811
Ben Fleay +61 8 9268 2844
James Gatti +61 8 9268 3025
John Goodlad +61 8 9268 2890
Andrew Gribble +61 8 9268 2842
David Hainsworth +61 8 9268 3040
Murray Jacob +61 8 9268 2892
Gavin Lehmann +61 8 9268 2895
Shane Lehmann +61 8 9268 2897
Steven Loxley +61 8 9268 2857
Andrew Macnaughtan +61 8 9268 2898
Scott Metcalf +61 8 9268 2807
David Michael +61 8 9268 2835
Jamie Moullin +61 8 9268 2856
Chris Munro +61 8 9268 2858
Michael Munro +61 8 9268 2820
Ian Parker +61 8 9268 2810
Matthew Parker +61 8 9268 2826
Charlie Ransom
(CEO)
+61 8 9268 2868
Heath Ryan +61 8 9268 3053
David Smyth +61 8 9268 2839
Greg Soudure +61 8 9268 2834
Sonya Soudure +61 8 9268 2865
Dirk Vanderstruyf +61 8 9268 2855
Samuel Williams +61 8 9268 3041
Disclaimer/Disclosure
The author of this publication, Hartleys Limited ABN 33 104 195 057 (“Hartleys”), its Directors and their Associates from time to time may hold
shares in the security/securities mentioned in this Research document and therefore may benefit from any increase in the price of those securities.
Hartleys and its Advisers may earn brokerage, fees, commissions, other benefits or advantages as a result of a transaction arising from any advice
mentioned in publications to clients. This report was prepared solely by Hartleys Limited. ASX Limited ABN 98 009 642 691 and its related bodies
corporate (“ASX”) did not prepare any part of the report and has not contributed in any way to its content. The role of ASX in relation to the
preparation of the research reports is limited to funding their preparation, by Hartleys Limited, in accordance with the ASX Equity Research
Scheme. ASX does not provide financial product advice. The views expressed in this research report may not necessarily reflect the views of
ASX. To the maximum extent permitted by law, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made and no responsibility or
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contained in this document is unsolicited general information only. Do not act on this advice without first consulting your investment adviser to
determine whether the advice is appropriate for your investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs. Hartleys believes that any
information or advice (including any financial product advice) contained in this document is accurate when issued. Hartleys however, does not
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