iea clean coal centre: building a pathway to efficient ... · pathway to efficient, low emissions...
TRANSCRIPT
IEA Clean Coal Centre: building a
pathway to efficient, low emissions
coal use worldwide
Dr Andrew Minchener
General Manager
Presentation to two Joint Minerals Council of Australia
and ACA Low Emissions Technologies Roundtables
On 23 and 24 April 2014
Scope of presentation
• Overview of the IEA Clean Coal Centre
• Global challenges for coal utilisation
• Overview of global energy use to 2035
• Coal vs gas worldwide
• CCT HELE initiatives as precursors to CCS implementation
• Overview of the CCS technology options
• Broad comment on regional CCS programmes
• Hurdles to be overcome
• Final thoughts
IEA Clean Coal Centre
mission statement
The IEA CCC will disseminate to a wide community objective analysis
and information on the efficient, low emissions use of coal worldwide
according to a programme agreed by the Membership: In order to
achieve this objective, the focus of the IEA CCC activities comprises
three broad categories:
Towards zero emissions – including carbon abatement, emissions and effects, pollution
control technology, residues.
Coal utilisation and analysis – including coal properties, fuel handling, power generation
technologies, coal conversion technologies, and industrial uses of coal.
Economics and markets – including supply, transport and markets development,
country studies, capital and operating cost reviews of current and new build
technologies, including comparisons with non-coal options.
Services will be delivered through direct advice, review reports,
workshops and conferences, facilitation of R&D, provision of networks
and web based instruments.
Members of the IEA Clean Coal
Centre
Italy Japan
Republic
of Korea
UK
Glencore Xstrata
BHEL
Anglo American
Thermal Coal
USA
S Africa
Austria
Canada
Germany CEC
Beijing Research
Institute of Coal Chemistry
Australia
Coal
Association
NZ
Suek Electric Power Planning &
Engineering Institute of China
Banpu
Poland
Some of the products and services
offered by the Centre
Webinars
• 10th Workshop on Mercury Emissions
from Coal, Clearwater, Florida, USA, 22-
25 April 2014
• 3rd Workshop on Upgrading and
improving power plant efficiency,
Shanghai, China, 16-17 September 2014
• 2nd Workshop on Advanced Ultra-
supercritical power plants development,
Rome, Italy, 14-15 October 2014
• 4th workshop on Cofiring Biomass with
Coal, State College, Pennsylvania, USA,
5-6 November 2014
• 7th International Conference on Clean
Coal Technology, Krakow, Poland, May
2015
External initiatives
• Support with existing members
• More general outreach activities
• New member initiatives
• Possible collaborations
• Commercial contracts
Support with existing members
• Participation at BCIA Brown Coal
Seminar, Australia
• Participation at the 3rd Low Rank Coal
Symposium, Australia, and
• Participation in the young engineer
support programme
• Implementation of UCG workshop in
Australia
• Member visits to Australia
• Participation at UNEP BAT/BEP Working
Group on Minamata Convention in
Canada
• Discussions re clean coal power
efficiency improvements and events
opportunities in China
• Attendance at CIAB and WPFF meetings,
IEA, France
• Participation in various VGB events in
Germany
• Participation in Step Trec Conference,
India
• Member visits to New Zealand
• Attendance at International Coal and
Climate Summit, Poland
• Participation at 59th EXCO, Thailand
and in BANPU clean coal seminar
• Participation in the UK Team review
meeting
• Attendance at the Coal Research
Forum Combustion Meeting, UK
• Participation in Zimbabwe Energy
Conference, held in South Africa
• Participation in US EPA-AWMA
Information Exchange Meeting in USA
• Implementation of MEC 10 workshop in
USA
More general outreach activities
• Participation at the World CTX 2014
Conference, Beijing, China
• Participation at the International Power
Summit 2014, Munich, Germany
• Participation at the Asian Subbituminous
Coal Users Meeting, Penang, Malaysia
• Participation at the International Coal
Markets Seminar, Singapore
• Participation at the IChemE New
Horizons in Gasification Conference,
Rotterdam, The Netherlands
• Participation at the IEA/ESI coal
roundtable in Singapore
• Attendance at the IEA World Energy
Outlook presentation by Dr Fatih Birol,
London, UK
• Participation in the SCI event: A New
Age for Coal with Carbon Capture and
Storage, London, UK.
• Input to the 2nd Conference Organising
Committee Meetings for ECCRIA 10,
Nottingham, UK
• Participation in The Changing Dynamics
of Global Energy Markets meeting,
Chatham House, London UK
• Meeting at the US Embassy in UK to
discuss general coal technology and
CCS issues
• Participation at the IHS Pacific Basin
Coal Conference, Kauai, USA.
Strategic considerations for the IEACCC
• Greater emphasis on Asia, emerging economies and
developing countries
• Advancing the HELE concept as consistent with the case for
CCS
• Building up the dissemination and outreach activities
• Need to ensure that we can address the issues through the
continued provision of high quality, impartial information to
all stakeholders
Global challenges for coal utilisation
• Overview of IEA projections
• HELE initiatives
• Lending attitudes for new coal plant
• Regional variations for coal use
• Issues arising
IEA WEO 2013: Fossil energy resources by
type
The world's remaining energy resources will not constrain the projected energy demand growth to 2035 & beyond, but large-scale of investment is required
Total remaining recoverable resources
Proven reserves
Cumulative production to date
Coal Natural gas Oil
3 050 years
233 years 178 years
142 years
61 years 54 years
IEA WEO 2013: World energy
demand by fuel
Demand increases for all forms of energy, with gas growing the most; the share of fossil fuels in the world’s energy mix falls from 82% to 76% in 2035
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2035
Mtoe Oil Coal Gas
Biomass
Nuclear
Hydro Other renewables
IEA WEO 2013: Growth in total primary
energy demand
Today's share of fossil fuels in the global mix, at 82%, is the same as it was 25 years ago; the strong rise of renewables only reduces this to around 75% in 2035
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000
Nuclear
Oil
Renewables
Coal
Gas
Mtoe
1987-2011
2011-2035
the strong rise of renewables only reduces this to around 75% in 2035
IEA WEO 2013: Energy demand growth
continues to move to non-OECD Asia
Primary energy demand, 2035 (Mtoe)
China is the main driver of increasing energy demand in the current decade, but India takes over in the 2020s as the principal source of growth
4%
65%
10%
8%
8% 5%
OECD
Non-OECD Asia
Middle East
Africa
Latin America
Eurasia
Share of global growth 2012-2035
480
Brazil 1 540
India
1 000 Southeast
Asia
4 060
China
1 030
Africa
2 240 United States 440
Japan
1 710
Europe 1 370
Eurasia
1 050 Middle East
North America coal power
• In the USA, coal use has shown
a significant decline due to
displacement by lower cost
shale gas, leading to a boom in
low cost coal exports to EU and
Asia.
• However, current gas
availability in USA is actually in
decline as prices do not make it
economic to drill new wells to
maintain production levels. If
prices rise, consumers revert to
coal
• Gas exports may be essential
to ensure further development
of the US shale gas sector
• Diminishing returns to scale
and depletion of high
productivity low cost production
in the USA (EIA 2013) makes
future predictions very
uncertain
.
Coal power in Asia
Projection looks to be a significant
underestimate, just based on likely
capacity additions planned for
China and India
Coal power in China planned to
grow in absolute terms but fall in
relative terms in overall power
sector energy mix.
India’s plans less convincing but
the intention is to grow coal use
significantly, including use of
imports.
In both countries, coal use for
non-power applications is
expected to increase
considerably.
Projections need to better factor in
increase in coal use in SE Asia
Coal power in Europe
Within EU, low priced imports of
USA coal are fuelling a surge in
demand. New coal plants being
built and planned in Holland,
Germany and Poland. In many
countries, natural gas use is
squeezed between lower priced
coal and renewables obligations.
In Eastern Europe and the
Balkans, new coal plants are being
built with large market prospects.
Turkey represents a major market
for new coal power plant, both
using imported hard coal and
indigenous low grade coal.
RWE’s WTA lignite drying process
Lignite drying
Vattenfall’s PFBD process
There should be cost savings in a new boiler that will largely offset
the cost of the drier (including elimination of beater mills and hot
furnace gas recycle systems, smaller flue gas volume). It will also
allow plants to have greater turndown
Coal power in ANZ-Oceania
Different drivers to EU but similar
trends.
Domestic gas prices rising due to
LNG demand for export.
Domestic gas use being squeezed
by the ongoing renewables
mandate and lower cost coal
power.
Shale gas facts of fiction?
Is shale gas plentiful, cheap and more climate
friendly than coal?
• IEAGHG study suggests that carbon footprint is quite high due to
methane escaping during fracking process
• USA shale gas is perceived to be cheap but elsewhere likely
extraction and transport costs will be higher
• In USA, wells produce at an average of $4/1000scf ($14/100 m3)
• If selling price falls below $2.50/1000scf, then almost no wells are
profitable
• Prices need to rise to $5-6 to make currently paid for leases
profitable from now on
• Prices need to rise to $7-8 to make new leases worth pursuing
• Diminishing returns to scale and depletion of high productivity low
cost production in the USA (EIA 2013)
Role of clean coal technology
High efficiency low emissions technologies are critical to maintain
coal based energy security and as a precursor to the longer term
deployment of CCS
Essential to assist developing countries in making this choice as
part of their efforts to escape from poverty through access to
reliable sources of power
Lending criteria by multi-lateral donors not overly helpful
Towards 50% cycle efficiency with
advanced USC technology
Metals used in boiler and turbine hot spots:
• Steels well proven in USC at 600ºC
• Nickel based alloys proving capable in
A-USC at 700ºC
Flue gas
Turbine
Mill Boiler
De-NOx EP De-S
Generator Condenser
Steam Water
Coal
CO2 Storage Pollutants to be reduced
•SO2, NOx, •Particulate matter
CO2
CO2 Capture
(2) Reducing non-GHG emissions
(3) Carbon Capture and Storage
(1) Reducing coal consumption
Technologies for cleaner coal generation
EP: Electrostatic Precipitator
HELE Technologies
Focus on technologies to reduce both GHG and non-GHG (NOx, SO2, PM) emissions.
N2, H2O
Decrease generation from subcritical Install CCS* on plants over supercritical
Increase generation from high-efficiency technology (SC or better)
Glo
ba
l co
al-
fire
d e
lectr
icity
genera
tion (
TW
h)
Supercritical
HELE Plants with CCS*
USC
Subcritical
*CCS (Post-combustion, Oxyfuel, Pre-combustion CO2 capture)
IGCC
Improve efficiency, then deploy CCS (IEA 2012)
* CCS fitted to SC
(or better) units.
Three processes essential to achieve a low-carbon scenario
Data for hard coal-fired power plants from VGB 2007; data for lignite plants from C Henderson, IEA Clean Coal Centre; efficiencies are LHV,net
CO2 emissions reduction by key
coal utilisation technologies
Energy Efficiency makes big change but deep cuts of CO2 emission can be done only by Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
>2030
but deep cuts only by CCS
Average worldwide hard coal
30.0%
1116 gCO2/kWh
38%
881 gCO2/kWh
EU av hard coal
45%
743 gCO2/kWh
State-of-the art PC/IGCC hard coal
50%
669 gCO2/kWh
Advanced R&D Hard coal
Latrobe Valley lignite (Australia)
28-29.0%
1400 gCO2/kWh EU state-of- the-art lignite
43-44%
930 gCO2/kWh
55%
740 gCO2/kWh
Advanced lignite
Drax, UK’s most recent 6*660MWe
Torrevaldaliga Nord 3*660MWe
Shar
e o
f C
CS
(1=1
00
%)
Efficiency improvement
CO2
abatement by CCS
Avera
ge C
O2 in
tensity f
acto
r in
2D
S
(gC
O2/k
Wh)
33% 34% 37% 42% 43%
Raising efficiency significantly reduces the CO2/kWh
emitted (source: IEA HELE Roadmap, Dec 2012)
Efficiency in 2DS
Impact of efficiency improvement
on CO2 abatement
Unhelpful policy drivers
• The World Bank has amended its lending policies for new coal-fired
power projects, restricting financial support to countries that have
"no feasible alternatives" to coal, as it seeks to balance
environmental efforts with the energy needs of poor countries.
• The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has a
pragmatic approach to lending for coal power projects in that they
are supportive where a country has indigenous coal supplies, with
few alternative options, but intend to ensure acceptable
environmental compliance and an awareness of CCS. This could
be reflected in loans for new power plants being linked to some
level of CCS-readiness being included.
Boiler Air and coal Amine
scrubbing CO2 to
storage
N2, excess
O2, H2O, etc
De-NOx,
FGD, ESP
Post combustion
Flue gas scrubbing
Boiler Oxygen and
coal
Moisture
removal
CO2 to
storage
Recycle
combustion
gases
Oxyfuel combustion
Contaminants
removal
Gasification Shift reaction CO + H2
H2O
CO2 + H2 Separation
H2
CO2 to
storage Oxygen, steam
and coal
Pre-combustion
First generation CO2 capture processes
CCS status worldwide
Extensive activities under way in Europe, USA, Canada,
Australia, Japan and China
Some work beginning in Indonesia and elsewhere in SE
Asia
Very large amount of R&D on all aspects of CO2 capture
and CO2 storage characterisation
Several industrial scale pilot projects under way
Increasing focus on legal and regulatory issues
Many large scale integrated projects proposed (GCCSI) but,
apart from some EOR based initiatives, limited progress
being made to establish commercial prototype
demonstrations
Possible hurdles for CCS deployment
Technical issues are not the main worry. All three capture
routes will work; they will get better and cheaper from
learning by doing
Big issues are non-technical
Regulation – especially long term liability for storage
Finance – incentives are needed for investment
Public acceptance of overland transport and
underground storage
The way forward
• Coal extraction and utilisation are set to continue to expand over the next 2
decades
• Coal has an important role in a secure and sustainable energy future but it
will ultimately need to be a low carbon future
• Increasingly, the focus for coal use will be China, India and the rest of Asia
• While China is taking very significant steps to improve efficiency and limit
environmental impact, there is considerable scope to do better in many of
the other Asian countries by creating conditions to enable the use of
advanced, cleaner, more efficient technologies
• Need to incentivise best practice, high efficiency and low emissions, rather
than just focus on CCS.
• Knowledge transfer will remain important and the Clean Coal Centre can
fulfil a key role in disseminating technical, policy and regulatory information
on a global basis
For further information:
Visit: www.iea-coal.org
Phone: +44 (0) 20 8877 6280
Email: [email protected]