ideas: an integrated dynamic environmental assessment system john dymond,tim davie, andrew fenemor,...
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IDEAS: an Integrated Dynamic Environmental
Assessment System
John Dymond,Tim Davie, Andrew Fenemor, Anthony Cole, Oscar Montes de Oca Munguia
(Landcare Research)
Ben Knight, Chris Batstone (Cawthron Institute)
• Integrated
• Dynamic
• Environmental
• Assessment
• System
IDEAS
Required attributes
• Triple bottom-line approach
• Collaborative learning process
• Assessment of future catchment scenarios
• Cumulative effects
• Dynamic
Triple bottom-line approach
Economy Society
Environment
spatial
sector
activity
water
carbonnitrogen
sediment
pollutants
spatial mass-energy flows
spatial demographics
settlements
land ownership
Dynamic assessment of catchment scenarios
Present land and ocean use
Future land and ocean use
Mass/energyflows
Economicactivity
Social demography
Generate futurescenarios
Economic/ environmental input/output tables
3D
visualisation
G.I.S
Land ownership
Physicalmodels
Satellite imaging
Ecosystem service coefficientsEconomic coefficients
Biophysical models (spatial) Economic model (aspatial)
(Catchment Futures Model)
Agent driven model of land use and land management
(Evoland)
Rapid reporting on environment and economy
Reporting on economy and environment
Reporting on environment and economy
Policy tools
Model linkages in IDEAS
Present land-based economic sectors from satellite
Natural – Present – Intensive land use scenarios
Catchment performance of present land use compared withhistoric
Socio-economic performance
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
Agricultural job numbers(FTE*1000)
Gross output ($100/yr) - landand marine
Marine job numbers(FTE*1000)
Gross margin ($100/yr) - landand marine
historic
present
bmp_present
Environmental performance
0.0
100000.0
200000.0
300000.0
400000.0
500000.0
600000.0
Low flow - max.water take -(l/minute)
Nitrogen load inriver (kg/yr)
Sediment yield(tonnes/yr)
Area of naturalecosystems (ha)
Carbon sink rate(t/yr) - land and
marine
Net nitrogen yield tomarine (kg/yr)
historic
present
bmp_present
Catchment performance of intensive land use compared with present and historic
Environmental performance
-2000000.0
-1000000.0
0.0
1000000.0
2000000.0
3000000.0
4000000.0
5000000.0
Low flow - max.water take -(l/minute)
Nitrogen load inriver (kg/yr)
Sediment yield(tonnes/yr)
Area of naturalecosystems (ha)
Carbon sink rate(t/yr) - land and
marine
Net nitrogen yield tomarine (kg/yr)
historic
present
intensive
Socio_economic performance
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Agricultural job numbers(FTE*1000)
Gross output ($100/yr) -land and marine
Marine job numbers(FTE*1000)
Gross margin ($100/yr) -land and marine
historic
present
intensive
IDEAS: an Integrated Dynamic Environmental
Assessment System
John Dymond,Tim Davie, Andrew Fenemor, Anthony Cole, Oscar Montes de Oca Munguia
(Landcare Research)
Ben Knight, Chris Batstone (Cawthron Institute)