icicidirect_dividendyieldstocks

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March 13, 2014 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Dividend Yield Stocks High dividend yield stocks offer a safe haven to investors where safety has greater priority compared to high returns. Hence, even if the market remains volatile, going ahead, an investor can still get a decent return on investment, thanks to good dividend yielding stocks. The dividends are paid no matter what direction the stocks move and can provide a higher yield on investment in a weak market. We have short-listed companies that would provide a decent dividend yield in the near future. For this purpose, we have filtered companies that have made at least 75% of FY14 profits in the nine months ended December 2013 and assumed that the companies would maintain their FY13 dividend payout ratio. We have forecasted the FY14E PAT by taking the actual PAT of nine months ended December 2013 and assumed Q4FY14 as an average of last three quarters net profit. Based on the FY14E net profit and FY13 payout ratio, we have calculated the dividend percent for FY14E. Finally, we have deducted the interim dividends already paid in FY14 to arrive at the expected final dividend and dividend yield. Exhibit 1: Expected high dividend yield stocks Co_Name PAT FY13 (|cr) Payout (%) 9M PAT FY14 (| cr) PAT Q4FY14E ( | cr) PAT FY14E (| cr) Equity (| cr) Face Value (|) CMP (|) Equity dividend % FY13 Equity dividend % FY14E (based on dividend payout) Interim dividend (%) declared till date for FY14 Expected dividend % based on payout % Expected dividend % based on last year dividend (%) Expected dividend Yield (%) based on payout % Expected dividend yield based on last year dividend % GIC Housing Fin 85.0 33.5 72.7 24.2 96.9 53.85 10 103.6 50 60 60 50 5.8 4.8 G N F C 273.1 20.6 207.6 69.2 276.9 155.42 10 74.1 35 37 37 35 5.0 4.7 SJVN 1052.3 40.3 969.8 323.3 1293.1 4136.62 10 20.7 9.6 13 13 10 6.1 4.6 Deepak Fert. 129.3 39.8 152.4 50.8 203.3 88.2 10 118.8 55 92 92 55 7.7 4.6 Graphite India 134.4 55.7 126.0 42.0 168.0 39.08 2 80.6 175 239 239 175 5.9 4.3 Allahabad Bank 1211.9 26.4 1014.3 338.1 1352.4 544.61 10 82.0 60 66 25 41 35 4.9 4.3 T N Newsprint 91.5 40.4 113.1 37.7 150.7 69.21 10 121.7 50 88 88 50 7.2 4.1 VST Inds. 126.3 87.9 98.3 32.8 131.0 15.44 10 1590.0 625 746 746 625 4.7 3.9 Tata Chemicals 400.4 45.3 193.7 64.6 258.3 254.76 10 284.4 100 46 46 100 1.6 3.5 Polaris Finan. 200.8 26.8 153.8 51.3 205.0 49.77 5 143.6 100 110 110 100 3.8 3.5 Tata Inv.Corpn. 173.9 60.3 158.2 52.7 210.9 55.1 10 461.1 160 231 231 160 5.0 3.5 Torrent Pharma. 432.8 48.4 420.0 140.0 560.0 84.61 5 522.6 460 320 100 220 360 2.1 3.4 J & K Bank 1054.9 23.9 931.9 310.6 1242.5 48.48 10 1525.0 500 613 613 500 4.0 3.3 South Ind.Bank 502.3 19.3 382.9 127.6 510.5 134.39 1 22.0 70 73 73 70 3.3 3.2 Navneet Educat. 106.7 43.1 96.9 32.3 129.2 47.64 2 57.1 89 117 117 89 4.1 3.1 Finolex Inds. 136.1 54.6 114.0 38.0 151.9 124.1 10 196.0 55 67 67 55 3.4 2.8 Bharti Infra. 1002.5 136.9 1045.5 348.5 1394.0 1888.93 10 203.3 55 101 101 55 5.0 2.7 Pun. & Sind Bank 339.2 22.1 264.8 88.3 353.0 275.28 10 41.7 26.8 28 16 12 11 3.0 2.6 PTC India 198.3 20.4 182.3 60.8 243.1 296.01 10 63.1 16 17 17 16 2.7 2.5 Bank of India 2819.9 22.6 2171.8 723.9 2895.7 642.26 10 199.1 100 102 50 52 50 2.6 2.5 Mcleod Russel 273.9 28.5 400.4 133.5 533.8 54.73 5 289.7 140 278 278 140 4.8 2.4 Gulf Oil Corpn. 50.2 49.8 40.0 13.3 53.3 19.83 2 93.5 110 134 134 110 2.9 2.4 Hind. Unilever 3829.0 126.0 2995.4 998.5 3993.8 216.26 1 559.4 1850 2327 550 1777 1300 3.2 2.3 Bajaj Auto 3144.1 45.9 2479.4 826.5 3305.9 289.37 10 1964.3 450 524 524 450 2.7 2.3 I D F C 1836.2 22.2 1544.7 514.9 2059.7 1516.22 10 113.6 26 30 30 26 2.7 2.3 eClerx Services 171.6 47.4 191.2 63.7 254.9 30.09 10 1182.6 250 402 402 250 3.4 2.1 NIIT Tech. 213.2 24.6 168.7 56.2 224.9 60.67 10 408.2 85 91 91 85 2.2 2.1 City Union Bank 322.0 15.1 263.7 87.9 351.6 54.27 1 49.5 100 98 98 100 2.0 2.0 Indraprastha Gas 354.1 22.6 269.8 89.9 359.7 140 10 272.9 55 58 58 55 2.1 2.0 Gateway Distr. 126.7 61.4 95.6 31.9 127.4 108.61 10 149.5 70 72 40 32 30 2.1 2.0 Sobha Developer. 217.2 33.4 164.8 54.9 219.7 98.06 10 367.5 70 75 75 70 2.0 1.9 Blue Star 39.1 85.2 33.1 11.0 44.1 17.99 2 169.0 159 209 209 159 2.5 1.9 Hinduja Global 90.6 49.3 134.7 44.9 179.5 20.62 10 557.0 200 429 100 329 100 5.9 1.8 FDC 155.2 27.2 132.6 44.2 176.8 17.78 1 123.0 220 271 271 220 2.2 1.8 Mahindra Holiday 90.9 41.9 70.2 23.4 93.5 88.78 10 235.0 42 44 44 42 1.9 1.8 Vardhman Textile 356.4 12.4 497.6 165.9 663.4 63.65 10 342.9 60 129 129 60 3.8 1.7 Kalpataru Power 129.5 17.7 99.4 33.1 132.5 30.69 2 87.9 75 76 76 75 1.7 1.7 JM Financial 182.9 41.6 150.1 50.0 200.1 75.53 1 26.8 90 110 45 65 45 2.4 1.7 LIC Housing Fin. 1047.5 18.8 947.2 315.7 1262.9 100.93 2 227.5 190 235 235 190 2.1 1.7 Cairn India 12056.4 18.8 9396.4 3132.1 12528.5 1910.9 10 329.5 115 123 60 63 55 1.9 1.7 Yes Bank 1300.7 17.0 1187.6 395.9 1583.4 360.63 10 365.3 60 75 75 60 2.0 1.6 Source: Capitaline, ICICIdirect.com Research

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March 13, 2014ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Dividend Yield Stocks Highdividendyieldstocksofferasafehaventoinvestorswheresafetyhasgreaterprioritycomparedtohighreturns. Hence, even if the market remains volatile, going ahead, an investor can still get a decent return on investment, thanks to good dividend yielding stocks. The dividends are paid no matter what direction the stocks move and can provide a higher yield on investment in a weak market. We have short-listed companies that would provide a decent dividend yield in the near future. For this purpose, we have filteredcompaniesthathavemadeatleast75% ofFY14profitsintheninemonthsendedDecember2013andassumed thatthecompanieswouldmaintaintheirFY13dividendpayoutratio.WehaveforecastedtheFY14EPATbytakingthe actualPATofninemonthsendedDecember2013andassumedQ4FY14asanaverageoflastthreequartersnetprofit. Based on the FY14E net profit and FY13 payout ratio, we have calculated the dividend percent for FY14E. Finally, we have deducted the interim dividends already paid in FY14 to arrive at the expected final dividend and dividend yield. Exhibit 1: Expected high dividend yield stocks Co_NamePAT FY13 (|cr)Payout (%)9M PAT FY14 (| cr)PAT Q4FY14E ( | cr)PAT FY14E (| cr)Equity (| cr)Face Value (|)CMP (|)Equity dividend % FY13 Equity dividend % FY14E (based on dividend payout)Interim dividend (%) declared till date for FY14Expected dividend % based on payout %Expected dividend % based on last year dividend (%)Expected dividend Yield (%) based on payout %Expected dividend yield based on last year dividend %GIC Housing Fin 85.0 33.5 72.7 24.2 96.9 53.85 10 103.6 50 60 60 50 5.8 4.8G N F C 273.1 20.6 207.6 69.2 276.9 155.42 10 74.1 35 37 37 35 5.0 4.7SJVN 1052.3 40.3 969.8 323.3 1293.1 4136.62 10 20.7 9.6 13 13 10 6.1 4.6Deepak Fert. 129.3 39.8 152.4 50.8 203.3 88.2 10 118.8 55 92 92 55 7.7 4.6Graphite India 134.4 55.7 126.0 42.0 168.0 39.08 2 80.6 175 239 239 175 5.9 4.3Allahabad Bank 1211.9 26.4 1014.3 338.1 1352.4 544.61 10 82.0 60 66 25 41 35 4.9 4.3T N Newsprint 91.5 40.4 113.1 37.7 150.7 69.21 10 121.7 50 88 88 50 7.2 4.1VST Inds. 126.3 87.9 98.3 32.8 131.0 15.44 10 1590.0 625 746 746 625 4.7 3.9Tata Chemicals 400.4 45.3 193.7 64.6 258.3 254.76 10 284.4 100 46 46 100 1.6 3.5Polaris Finan. 200.8 26.8 153.8 51.3 205.0 49.77 5 143.6 100 110 110 100 3.8 3.5Tata Inv.Corpn. 173.9 60.3 158.2 52.7 210.9 55.1 10 461.1 160 231 231 160 5.0 3.5Torrent Pharma. 432.8 48.4 420.0 140.0 560.0 84.61 5 522.6 460 320 100 220 360 2.1 3.4J & K Bank 1054.9 23.9 931.9 310.6 1242.5 48.48 10 1525.0 500 613 613 500 4.0 3.3South Ind.Bank 502.3 19.3 382.9 127.6 510.5 134.39 1 22.0 70 73 73 70 3.3 3.2Navneet Educat. 106.7 43.1 96.9 32.3 129.2 47.64 2 57.1 89 117 117 89 4.1 3.1Finolex Inds. 136.1 54.6 114.0 38.0 151.9 124.1 10 196.0 55 67 67 55 3.4 2.8Bharti Infra. 1002.5 136.9 1045.5 348.5 1394.0 1888.93 10 203.3 55 101 101 55 5.0 2.7Pun. & Sind Bank 339.2 22.1 264.8 88.3 353.0 275.28 10 41.7 26.8 28 16 12 11 3.0 2.6PTC India 198.3 20.4 182.3 60.8 243.1 296.01 10 63.1 16 17 17 16 2.7 2.5Bank of India 2819.9 22.6 2171.8 723.9 2895.7 642.26 10 199.1 100 102 50 52 50 2.6 2.5Mcleod Russel 273.9 28.5 400.4 133.5 533.8 54.73 5 289.7 140 278 278 140 4.8 2.4Gulf Oil Corpn. 50.2 49.8 40.0 13.3 53.3 19.83 2 93.5 110 134 134 110 2.9 2.4Hind. Unilever 3829.0 126.0 2995.4 998.5 3993.8 216.26 1 559.4 1850 2327 550 1777 1300 3.2 2.3Bajaj Auto 3144.1 45.9 2479.4 826.5 3305.9 289.37 10 1964.3 450 524 524 450 2.7 2.3I D F C 1836.2 22.2 1544.7 514.9 2059.7 1516.22 10 113.6 26 30 30 26 2.7 2.3eClerx Services 171.6 47.4 191.2 63.7 254.9 30.09 10 1182.6 250 402 402 250 3.4 2.1NIIT Tech. 213.2 24.6 168.7 56.2 224.9 60.67 10 408.2 85 91 91 85 2.2 2.1City Union Bank 322.0 15.1 263.7 87.9 351.6 54.27 1 49.5 100 98 98 100 2.0 2.0Indraprastha Gas 354.1 22.6 269.8 89.9 359.7 140 10 272.9 55 58 58 55 2.1 2.0Gateway Distr. 126.7 61.4 95.6 31.9 127.4 108.61 10 149.5 70 72 40 32 30 2.1 2.0Sobha Developer. 217.2 33.4 164.8 54.9 219.7 98.06 10 367.5 70 75 75 70 2.0 1.9Blue Star 39.1 85.2 33.1 11.0 44.1 17.99 2 169.0 159 209 209 159 2.5 1.9Hinduja Global 90.6 49.3 134.7 44.9 179.5 20.62 10 557.0 200 429 100 329 100 5.9 1.8FDC 155.2 27.2 132.6 44.2 176.8 17.78 1 123.0 220 271 271 220 2.2 1.8Mahindra Holiday 90.9 41.9 70.2 23.4 93.5 88.78 10 235.0 42 44 44 42 1.9 1.8Vardhman Textile 356.4 12.4 497.6 165.9 663.4 63.65 10 342.9 60 129 129 60 3.8 1.7Kalpataru Power 129.5 17.7 99.4 33.1 132.5 30.69 2 87.9 75 76 76 75 1.7 1.7JM Financial 182.9 41.6 150.1 50.0 200.1 75.53 1 26.8 90 110 45 65 45 2.4 1.7LIC Housing Fin. 1047.5 18.8 947.2 315.7 1262.9 100.93 2 227.5 190 235 235 190 2.1 1.7Cairn India 12056.4 18.8 9396.4 3132.1 12528.5 1910.9 10 329.5 115 123 60 63 55 1.9 1.7Yes Bank 1300.7 17.0 1187.6 395.9 1583.4 360.63 10 365.3 60 75 75 60 2.0 1.6 Source: Capitaline, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 2 Pankaj PandeyHead Research [email protected] ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No 7, MIDC Andheri (East) Mumbai 400 093 [email protected] Disclaimer The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmittedto,copiedordistributed,inpartorinwhole,toanyotherpersonortothemediaorreproducedinanyform,withoutpriorwritten consent of ICICI Securities Ltd (I-Sec). The author of the report does not hold any investment in any of the companies mentioned in this report. I-Sec may be holding a small number of shares/position in the above-referred companies as on date of release of this report. This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completenessguaranteed.Thisreportandinformationhereinissolelyforinformationalpurposeandmaynotbeusedorconsideredasanoffer documentorsolicitationofoffertobuyorsellorsubscribeforsecuritiesorotherfinancialinstruments.Nothinginthisreportconstitutes investment,legal,accountingandtaxadviceorarepresentationthatanyinvestmentorstrategyissuitableorappropriatetoyourspecific circumstances.Thesecuritiesdiscussedandopinionsexpressedinthisreportmaynotbesuitableforallinvestors,whomustmaketheirown investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks. I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to futureperformance.Actualresultsmaydiffermateriallyfromthosesetforthinprojections.I-Secmayhaveissuedotherreportsthatare inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to,oruseby,anypersonorentitywhoisacitizenorresidentoforlocatedinanylocality,state,countryorotherjurisdiction,wheresuch distribution,publication,availabilityorusewouldbecontrarytolaw,regulationorwhichwouldsubjectI-Secandaffiliatestoanyregistrationor licensingrequirementwithinsuchjurisdiction.Thesecurities describedhereinmayormaynotbeeligibleforsaleinalljurisdictionsortocertain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.