icici bank limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · icici bank limited...

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ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial ICICIBC IN 532174 Improvement In Core profitablity Continued Its Path RESEARCH ANALYST STOCK INFO 52wk Range H/L Mkt Capital (Rs Cr) Free float (%) Avg. Vol 1M (,000) No. of Shares (Crs) Promoters Pledged % 552/336 345,455 100% 13,500 645 3QFY20 Result Update Strong NIM NII During the quarter increased by 24% YoY to Rs 8,545 Cr from Rs 6,875 Cr in Q3FY19 on account of advance growing by 13% YoY and Strong NIM improvement at 3.77% V/S Rs 3.64% in Q2FY20. The yield on advance was stable sequentially at 9.52 and Increased by 52 bps YoY. The cost of fund during the quarter stood at 5.06% v/s the 5.19% sequentially. The impact of interest on income tax refund and interest collections from NPAs was about 10 BPS this quarter compared to 6 basis points in 2Q FY20.The cost to income ratio during the quarter was 42.5%. The operating expense during the quarter grew by 21% with employee expense growing by 12% YoY and other expense growing by 26% YoY. The increase in non-employee expenses reflects the growth and franchise building in the retail business. Asset quality Improves but slippages remain elevated Asset quality improved with GNPA at Rs 5.95% v/s 6.37% in Q3FY20 and NNPA at 1.49% v/v 1.60% in Q3FY20. The Slippages during the quarter were Rs 4363 Cr v/s 2091 in Q3FY19. Recoveries, upgrades were Rs 4,088 Cr. V/S Rs 1916 Cr in Q3FY19. Corporate and SME slippages were Rs 2473 Cr. BB & Below book stood at Rs 17403 Cr Rs 16074 Cr in Q2FY20. Increase in BB & Below book was on account of the telecom sector exposure downgrade due to Supreme Court ruling on AGR while the other downgrades were spread across sectors. Management would continue to target normalized credit cost of about 25% of core operating profit. Credit cost for FY20 should be around the same range as 9MFY20. Healthy Domestic Loan book growth Advance during the quarter grew by 13%/4% on YoY/QoQ basis with domestic advances growing by 16% YoY while the overseas advances de-grew, management said that the de-growth in overseas loan book was primarily on account of the maturity of loans against FCNR deposits. The retail loan growth was 19% led by personal loan segment which grew by 51.3% YoY and Credit card segment which grew by 43% YoY.Deposits growth during the quarter slowed down to 18%/3% on YoY/QoQ basis with CASA growth of 12% YoY and term deposit growth of 23% YoY. The CASA ratio during the quarter stood at 47% v/s 49.3% in Q3FY19. View and Valuation ICICIBANK improving core operating performance continued its constructive momentum with improving margin profile, granular loan book and strengthening balance sheet. Overall growth although remains moderated but domestic loan and retail loan continued its growth momentum. There was mixed performance on asset quality front led by higher slippages as well as higher recovery from NCLT case. Watchlist increased by 8% sequentially driven by telecom sector. ICICIBANK is well placed to leverage on retail growth with limited risk in the near term. We remain positive on its improving fundamental and expect the valuation to get rerated. We maintain our previous target price of Rs 567 at 2.7x BVFY21e. HOLD. Key Risks to our rating and target Slower resolution of NPA will lead to higher credit cost. Stress macro conditions will further deteriorate the assets quality. NII during the quarter increased by 24% YoY to Rs 8,545 Cr from Rs 6,875 Cr in Q3FY19 on account of advance growing by 13% YoY and Strong NIM improvement at 3.77% V/S Rs 3.64% in Q2FY20. PAT grew by 158% YoY on account of the lower provisioning which stood at Rs 2083 Cr v/s Rs 4244 Cr in Q3FY19 and healthy Other income Rs 4574 Cr v/s Rs 3822 Cr in Q3FY19. Advance grew by 13% YoY with domestic advances growing by 16% YoY. Bank is looking to grow strong retail franchise which was evident from 19% YoY growth in retail advances. Asset quality during the quarter improved with GNPA at Rs 5.95% v/s 6.37% in Q3FY20 and NNPA at 1.49% v/v 1.60% in Q3FY20 FINANCIAL NII PPP PAT NIM % EPS (Rs) EPS growth (%) ROE (%) ROA (%) BV P/B (X) P/E (x) FY19 FY20E 27015 23438 3363 3.2 5 -51 3 0.4 168 2.4 76 33087 27929 10166 3.5 16 202 9 1.0 182 2.9 34 37805 32314 18097 3.6 28 78 14 1.6 208 2.6 19 FY21E Fig in Rs Cr The views expressed above accurately reflect the personal views of the authors about the subject companies and its(their) securities. The authors have not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view. Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd. does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

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Page 1: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

ICICI BANK LimitedIndia Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update

IndustryBloombergBSE CODE

FinancialICICIBC IN532174

Improvement In Core profitablity Continued Its Path

RESEARCH ANALYST

STOCK INFO

52wk Range H/L

Mkt Capital (Rs Cr)

Free float (%)

Avg. Vol 1M (,000)

No. of Shares (Crs)

Promoters Pledged %

552/336

345,455

100%

13,500

645

3QFY20 Result Update

Strong NIMNII During the quarter increased by 24% YoY to Rs 8,545 Cr from Rs 6,875 Cr in Q3FY19 on account of advance growing by 13% YoY and Strong NIM improvement at 3.77% V/S Rs 3.64% in Q2FY20. The yield on advance was stable sequentially at 9.52 and Increased by 52 bps YoY. The cost of fund during the quarter stood at 5.06% v/s the 5.19% sequentially. The impact of interest on income tax refund and interest collections from NPAs was about 10 BPS this quarter compared to 6 basis points in 2Q FY20.The cost to income ratio during the quarter was 42.5%. The operating expense during the quarter grew by 21% with employee expense growing by 12% YoY and other expense growing by 26% YoY. The increase in non-employee expenses reflects the growth and franchise building in the retail business.

Asset quality Improves but slippages remain elevated Asset quality improved with GNPA at Rs 5.95% v/s 6.37% in Q3FY20 and NNPA at 1.49% v/v 1.60% in Q3FY20. The Slippages during the quarter were Rs 4363 Cr v/s 2091 in Q3FY19. Recoveries, upgrades were Rs 4,088 Cr. V/S Rs 1916 Cr in Q3FY19. Corporate and SME slippages were Rs 2473 Cr. BB & Below book stood at Rs 17403 Cr Rs 16074 Cr in Q2FY20. Increase in BB & Below book was on account of the telecom sector exposure downgrade due to Supreme Court ruling on AGR while the other downgrades were spread across sectors. Management would continue to target normalized credit cost of about 25% of core operating profit. Credit cost for FY20 should be around the same range as 9MFY20.

Healthy Domestic Loan book growth Advance during the quarter grew by 13%/4% on YoY/QoQ basis with domestic advances growing by 16% YoY while the overseas advances de-grew, management said that the de-growth in overseas loan book was primarily on account of the maturity of loans against FCNR deposits. The retail loan growth was 19% led by personal loan segment which grew by 51.3% YoY and Credit card segment which grew by 43% YoY.Deposits growth during the quarter slowed down to 18%/3% on YoY/QoQ basis with CASA growth of 12% YoY and term deposit growth of 23% YoY. The CASA ratio during the quarter stood at 47% v/s 49.3% in Q3FY19.

View and ValuationICICIBANK improving core operating performance continued its constructive momentum with improving margin profile, granular loan book and strengthening balance sheet. Overall growth although remains moderated but domestic loan and retail loan continued its growth momentum. There was mixed performance on asset quality front led by higher slippages as well as higher recovery from NCLT case. Watchlist increased by 8% sequentially driven by telecom sector. ICICIBANK is well placed to leverage on retail growth with limited risk in the near term. We remain positive on its improving fundamental and expect the valuation to get rerated. We maintain our previous target price of Rs 567 at 2.7x BVFY21e. HOLD.

Key Risks to our rating and target• Slower resolution of NPA will lead to higher credit cost.• Stress macro conditions will further deteriorate the assets quality.

• NII during the quarter increased by 24% YoY to Rs 8,545 Cr from Rs 6,875 Cr in Q3FY19

on account of advance growing by 13% YoY and Strong NIM improvement at 3.77%

V/S Rs 3.64% in Q2FY20.

• PAT grew by 158% YoY on account of the lower provisioning which stood at Rs 2083 Cr

v/s Rs 4244 Cr in Q3FY19 and healthy Other income Rs 4574 Cr v/s Rs 3822 Cr in

Q3FY19.

• Advance grew by 13% YoY with domestic advances growing by 16% YoY. Bank is looking

to grow strong retail franchise which was evident from 19% YoY growth in retail

advances.

• Asset quality during the quarter improved with GNPA at Rs 5.95% v/s 6.37% in Q3FY20

and NNPA at 1.49% v/v 1.60% in Q3FY20

FINANCIAL

NII

PPP

PAT

NIM %

EPS (Rs)

EPS growth (%)

ROE (%)

ROA (%)

BV

P/B (X)

P/E (x)

FY19 FY20E

27015

23438

3363

3.2

5

-51

3

0.4

168

2.4

76

33087

27929

10166

3.5

16

202

9

1.0

182

2.9

34

37805

32314

18097

3.6

28

78

14

1.6

208

2.6

19

FY21EFig in Rs Cr

The views expressed above accurately reflect the personal views of the authors about the subject companies and its(their) securities. The authors have not and will not receive any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view. Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd. does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 2: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

3QFY20 Results

ICICIBANK

PAT below estimates

FINANCIALS

Interest Inc.

Interest Exp.

NII

Other Income

Total Income

Ope Exp.

PPP

Provisions

PBT

Tax

Net Profit

3QFY19

16,280

9,405

6,875

3,883

10,758

4,612

6,146

4,244

1,902

297

1,605

4QFY19

17,293

9,673

7,620

3,621

11,241

5,008

6,233

5,451

782

(187)

969

1QFY20

17,980

10,243

7,737

3,425

11,163

4,874

6,288

3,496

2,793

885

1,908

YoY %

17.1%

11.8%

24.3%

17.8%

21.9%

20.8%

22.8%

-50.9%

LTP

343.6%

158.4%

QoQ%

2.7%

0.1%

6.1%

9.1%

7.1%

3.6%

9.8%

-16.9%

25.1%

-64.5%

533.1%

FY18

54,966

31,940

23,026

17,420

40,445

15,704

24,742

17,307

7,435

657

6,777

FY19

63,401

36,386

27,015

14,512

41,527

18,089

23,438

19,661

3,777

413

3,363

YoY %

15.3%

13.9%

17.3%

-16.7%

2.7%

15.2%

-5.3%

13.6%

-49.2%

-37.1%

-50%

Concall Highlights

• Slippages spiked in the corporate portfolio due to one brokerage client and other in south based industrial company.

Brokerage Company has been fully provisioned. South India-based industrial company is servicing its due regularly, but has

now been assessed to be a restructuring, leading to classification as NPA. Watchlist slippages was Rs 707 Cr.

• The delinquency parameters across vintages in the personal loan and credit card portfolios have been stable and well within

the internally defined thresholds. Increase in retail NPA was on account of Kisan credit card and CV portfolio.

• There was NPA deletion of Rs 845 Cr due to compulsory convertible preference shares as a part of the debt restructuring

scheme. This account was fully provided.

• Watchlist increased sequentially by 8%. There was Rs 2666 Cr downgraded from investment book category. Exposure to one

account in Telecom sector downgraded to watchlist.

• Recoveries & upgrades were Rs 4088 Cr, include a large steel account which was resolved under the IBC.

• No disclosure on divergence in asset classification and provisioning for NPAs is required to be made in terms of the RBI

guidelines.

• Provisions during the quarter reflects the impact of full provision on the broking company exposure and provision on the

industrial company, as well as recovery from the steel exposure under IBC.

• Management increases credit cost guidance of FY20 from earlier range of 1.2%-1.3% and expects it to be in the similar range

of 9MFY20 because of recoveries from other than (Steel A/C) has not materialised as per expectation. Further Broking

Company and south based company has also impacted but would continue to target a normalised credit cost of about 25.0%

of the core operating profit. Management is not hopeful of any major recovery in 4Q.

• The impact of interest on income tax refund and interest collections from NPAs was about 10 BPS this quarter compared to 6

basis points in 2Q Fy20.

• The increase in non-employee expenses reflects the growth and franchise building in the retail business. There was a

write-back in provisions for retrials due to increase in yields on government securities.

• The decline in overseas book reflects the maturity of loans against FCNR deposits.

• Management clarified that the news of equity dilution is rumours and they don’t need capital.

Fig in Rs Cr

2QFY20

18,565

10,508

8,057

4,194

12,252

5,378

6,874

2,507

4,367

3,712

655

3QFY20

19,064

10,519

8,545

4,574

13,119

5,571

7,549

2,083

5,466

1,319

4,147

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 3: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

Profitability Matrix

C/I Ratio %

Empl. Cost/ Tot. Exp. %

Other Exp/Tot. Exp.%

Provision/PPP %

Tax Rate %

Int Exp./Int Inc. (%)

Other Inc./Net Inc. %

PAT/ Net Income %

PAT Growth %

NII Growth % (YoY)

Op. Profit Growth YoY %

1QFY19

41.6

36.5

63.5

102.8

26.6

58.6

38.7

(1.2)

(105.8)

9.2

12.1

2QFY19

45.2

38.4

61.6

76.1

27.6

57.5

33.0

9.7

(55.8)

12.4

(24.9)

3QFY19

42.9

37.6

62.4

69.1

15.6

57.8

36.1

16.2

(2.7)

20.5

21.5

4QFY19

44.5

37.9

62.1

87.5

(23.9)

55.9

32.2

9.0

(5.0)

26.5

(17.0)

1QFY20

43.7

40.1

59.9

55.6

31.7

57.0

30.7

17.7

LTP

26.8

8.3

-0.41

-2.74

2.74

-41.45

8.50

-2.59

-1.23

18.00

LTP

3.79

1.29

QoQ (+/-)

-1.43

-4.96

4.96

-8.87

-60.87

-1.42

0.63

28.47

96.89

-1.26

-8.13

YoY (+/-)2QFY20

43.9

39.8

60.2

36.5

85.0

56.6

34.2

5.7

(27.9)

25.6

30.9

Margin Performance

Yield on Advances

Yield on Total Assets

Cost Of Funds

Cost of Deposits

NIM

0.52

0.34

-0.08

0.04

0.37

QoQ (+/-)

0.00

0.01

-0.13

-0.14

0.13

YoY (+/-)1QFY19

8.7

7.7

5.0

4.8

3.2

2QFY19

8.8

7.9

5.0

7.8

3.3

3QFY19

9.0

8.1

5.1

4.9

3.4

4QFY19

9.3

8.5

5.1

5.0

3.7

1QFY20

9.4

8.4

5.2

5.1

3.6

2QFY20

9.5

8.4

5.2

5.1

3.6

MARGIN %

Exhibit: Yield and Cost Exhibit: Net Interest Margin

Cost of fund on declining pathNIM Improves

Other Income Break Up- High Treasury Income

Fee income

Growth YoY %

Other income

Treasury income

Total Other Income

Growth YoY %

Other Income as a % of NII

Other Income as a % of advances

3QFY18

2639

5.8%

462

66

3167

-20%

56

62.7%

4QFY18

2755

12.6%

238

2685

5678

88%

94

110.8%

2754

15.9%

331

766

3851

14%

63

74.6%

3062

16.0%

342

479

3883

23%

56

68.8%

3QFY19

3178

15.4%

287

156

3621

-36%

48

61.7%

2QFY191QFY19

2995

16.5%

196

-35

3156

-39%

49

58.0%

4QFY19 1QFY20 2QFY20

3039

10.3%

207

179

3425

-11%

44

57.8%

3478

16.1%

376

341

4195

33%

52

68.4%

Fig in Rs Cr

ICICIBANK

3QFY20

42.5

34.9

65.1

27.6

24.1

55.2

34.9

34.2

158.4

24.3

22.8

3QFY20

9.5

8.4

5.1

4.9

3.8

3QFY20

3596

17.4%

447

531

4574

18%

54

64.0%

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 4: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

Exhibit: Fee Income/Advances % Exhibit: Other Income/ Total Income %

Healthy fee income growth sustained. Other income as % of total income increased

Asset Mix

GNPA (Rs in Cr)

GNPA %

NNPA (Rs in Cr)

NNPA %

Slippages (Rs in Cr)

PCR %

53,465

8.8

24,170

4.2

4,036

66.1

51,591

7.8

16,252

2.6

2,091

76.3

3QFY19

46,292

6.7

13,577

2.1

3,547

81.2

2QFY191QFY19

54,489

8.5

22,086

3.7

3,117

69.4

4QFY19 1QFY20 2QFY20

45,763

6.5

11,857

1.8

2,779

83.4

45,639

6.4

10,916

1.6

2,482

85.0

Exhibit: Asset Quality Exhibit: Provisions

Assets quality improved. PCR increased.

ICICIBANK

YoY (+/-) QoQ (+/-)

-16%

-1.8

-37%

-1.09

109%

9.40

-5%

-0.42

-6%

-0.11

76%

0.70

3QFY20

43,454

6.0

10,262

1.5

4,363

85.7

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 5: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

Exhibit: Advances Performance Exhibit: Advances Breakup%

ICICIBANK

healthy advance growth

Exhibit: Deposits Performance Exhibit: CASA Performance

Healthy deposit growth. CASA growth declined.

Exhibit: Credit Deposit Ratio Exhibit: Operating Profit

CD ratio moved down. Healthy Opearting Profit Growth

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 6: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

Y/E March FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E

Share Capital

Equity Capital

Preference Capital

Reserves & Surplus

Networth

Deposits

Change (%)

CASA Deposits

Change (%)

Borrowings

Other Liabilities & Prov.

Total Liabilities

Cash & Bank

Investments

Change (%)

Advances

Change (%)

Fixed Assets

Other Assets

Total Assets

1160

1160

0

79270

80429

361563

8.9

164380

15.5

172417

31720

646129

42305

158129

-10.7

387522

14.4

4726

53448

646129

1163

1163

0

88572

89736

421426

16.6

193100

17.5

174807

34726

720695

59869

160412

1.4

435264

12.3

7577

57574

720695

1165

1165

0

98786

99951

490039

16.3

246821

27.8

147556

34245

771791

75713

161507

0.7

464232

6.7

7805

62535

771791

1286

1286

0

103873

105159

560975

14.5

289925

17.5

182859

30196

879189

84169

202994

25.7

512395

10.4

7904

71727

879189

1290

1290

0

107078

108368

652920

16.4

323940

11.7

165320

37851

964459

80296

207733

2.3

586647

14.5

7931

81852

964459

1291

1291

0

116466

117757

753308

15.4

354055

9.3

161901

40356

1073321

81514

236539

13.9

662911

13.0

8090

84268

1073321

1291

1291

0

132628

133918

851785

13.1

400339

13.1

190514

48673

1224891

89923

267460

13.1

762347

15.0

8252

96909

1224891

1155

1155

0

72058

73213

331914

13.4

142378

16.2

154759

34756

594642

41530

177022

3.3

338703

16.7

4678

32709

594642

FY21E

Balance Sheet

Financial Details

Y/E March FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E

Interest income

Interest expended

Net Interest Income

Change (%)

Other Income

Change (%)

Core Fee Income

Treasury Income

Others

Total Net Income

Operating Expenses

Change (%)

Employee Expenses

Pre-provisioning Profit

Change (%)

Provisions

Change (%)

PBT

Tax

Profit After Tax

Change (%)

49091

30052

19040

15.6

12176

16.8

8286

1694

2196

31216

11496

11.5

4750

19720

18.8

3900

48.5

15820

4645

11175

13.9

52739

31515

21224

11.5

15323

25.8

8819

4061

2443

36547

12684

10.3

5002

23864

21.0

8068

106.9

12196

2469

9726

-13.0

54156

32419

21737

2.4

19504

27.3

9453

8576

1475

41242

14755

16.3

5734

26487

11.0

15208

88.5

11279

1478

9801

0.8

54966

31940

23026

5.9

17420

-10.7

10341

5802

1277

40445

15704

6.4

5914

24742

-6.6

17307

13.8

7435

657

6777

-30.9

63401

36386

27015

17.3

14512

-16.7

11989

1366

1157

41527

18089

15.2

6808

23438

-5.3

19661

13.6

3777

413

3363

-50.4

75162

42075

33087

22.5

16304

12.3

13759

1235

1310

49391

21461

18.6

8267

27929

19.2

10683

-45.7

17246

7080

10166

202.3

84083

46279

37805

14.3

17684

8.5

15807

757

1120

55489

23175

8.0

9038

32314

15.7

8120

-24.0

24194

6097

18097

78.0

44178

27703

16476

18.8

10428

24.9

7758

1016

1654

26903

10309

14.4

4220

16595

25.7

2626

45.7

13968

4158

9810

17.8

FY21E

Income Statement

Fig in Rs Cr

Fig in Rs Cr

ICICIBANK

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

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Y/E March FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20E

Balance Sheet Metrics

Loan Growth (%)

Deposit Growth (%)

C/D Ratio (%)

CASA (%)

Investment/Deposit (%)

CRAR (%)

Tier 1 (%)

Tier 2 (%)

14

9

107.2

45.5

43.7

17.0

12.8

4.2

12

17

103.3

45.8

38.1

16.6

13.1

3.6

7

16

94.7

50.4

33.0

17.4

14.4

3.0

10

14

91.3

51.7

36.2

18.4

15.9

2.5

14

16

89.8

49.6

31.8

16.9

15.1

1.8

13

15

88.0

47.0

31.4

16.0

14.1

1.9

15

13

89.5

47.0

31.4

15.8

14.1

1.7

17

13

102.0

42.9

53.3

17.7

12.8

4.9

Financial Details

FY21E

Key Ratios

15,242

3.3

6,325

1.4

2

59

1.1

26,721

5.2

13,297

2.7

5

50

2.8

42,552

7.9

25,451

4.9

8

40

3.4

54,063

8.8

27,886

4.8

7

48

3.5

46,292

6.7

13,577

2.1

3

71

3.6

43,852

5.6

10,531

1.4

2

76

1.7

40,232

4.5

10,899

1.3

2

73

1.1

10,554

2.6

3,301

0.8

2

69

0.8

Assets Quality Metrics

Gross NPA (Rs)

Gross NPA (%)

Net NPA(Rs)

Net NPA (%)

Slippges (%)

Provision Coverage (%)

Provision/Average Advances (%)

9.8

6.3

8.6

5.9

5.7

2.8

3.3

9.5

6.7

8.3

5.5

5.4

2.9

3.3

8.8

7.1

7.9

5.0

5.1

2.8

3.2

8.4

6.3

7.3

4.5

4.5

2.7

3.0

8.7

6.2

7.5

4.4

4.6

2.9

3.2

9.3

6.7

8.0

4.7

4.7

3.3

3.5

9.2

6.4

7.9

4.5

4.6

3.3

3.6

10.0

6.6

8.5

5.7

5.8

2.7

3.2

Margin Metrics

Yield On Advances (%)

Yield On Investment (%)

Yield on Earning Assets (%)

Cost Of Deposits (%)

Cost Of Funds (%)

Spread (%)

NIM (%)

ICICIBANK

61.2

43.5

36.8

1.9

29.4

59.8

41.6

34.7

1.9

20.2

59.9

43.5

35.8

2.0

13.1

57.4

44.4

43.6

2.0

10.9

56.0

41.6

43.5

2.1

41.1

55.0

41.8

41.8

2.0

25.2

62.7

47.1

38.3

1.8

29.8

Profitability & Effeciency Metrics

Int. Expense/Int.Income (%)

Fee Income/NII (%)

Cost to Income (%)

Cost on Average Assets (%)

Tax Rate (%)

58.1

44.9

38.8

1.9

8.8

17.5

13.5

14.5

1.8

28.5

1.7

126.1

9

2.3

16.4

15.2

(13.2)

11.4

1.4

32.9

2.3

140.3

11

1.5

14.1

15.3

0.6

10.3

1.3

16.3

1.0

156.0

11

1.6

16.5

10.5

(31.1)

6.6

0.8

14.2

0.5

163.6

5

1.7

26.4

5.2

(51)

3.2

0.4

19.2

0.3

168.1

3

2.4

76.5

15.8

202

9.0

1.0

15.9

0.5

182.5

9

2.9

33.9

28.0

78

14.4

1.6

17.8

0.9

207.5

14

2.6

19.0

15.4

17.7

14.0

1.7

29.8

2.0

115.3

10

2.0

14.7

Valuation Ratio Metrics

EPS (Rs)

Change (%)

ROAE (%)

ROAA (%)

Dividend Payout (%)

Dividend yield (%)

Book Value (Rs)

Change (%)

P/B (X)

P/E (X)

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

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Financial Details

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

Interest Income

Interest expended

Net Interest Income

Non-Fund Based Income

Core Fee Income

Trading and Other Income

Core Operating Income

Total Income

Total Operating Expenses

Employee Expenses

Other Expenses

Operating Profit

Provisions

Others

PBT

Tax

Equity Multiplier (x)

PAT/RoAA

ROAE

7.7

4.6

3.1

2.2

1.3

1.0

4.4

5.3

1.9

0.7

1.1

3.5

1.2

0.5

1.8

0.4

8.0

1.4

11.4

7.3

4.3

2.9

2.6

1.3

1.3

4.2

5.5

2.0

0.8

1.2

3.5

2.0

-

1.5

0.2

7.9

1.3

10.3

6.7

3.9

2.8

2.1

1.3

0.9

4.0

4.9

1.9

0.7

1.2

3.0

2.1

-

0.9

0.1

8.0

0.8

6.6

FY20E

Exhibit: DuPont Analysis

FY21E

7.9

4.8

3.1

2.0

1.3

0.6

4.4

5.0

1.9

0.8

1.1

3.2

0.6

-

2.6

0.7

8.1

1.8

14.5

6.9

3.9

2.9

1.6

1.3

0.3

4.2

4.5

2.0

0.7

1.2

2.5

2.1

-

0.4

0.0

8.6

0.4

3.2

7.4

4.1

3.2

1.6

1.4

0.2

4.6

4.8

2.1

0.8

1.3

2.7

1.0

-

1.7

0.7

9.0

1.0

9.0

7.3

4.0

3.3

1.5

1.4

0.2

4.7

4.8

2.0

0.8

1.2

2.8

0.7

-

2.1

0.5

9.1

1.6

14.4

ICICIBANK

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

Page 9: ICICI BANK Limited › files › research › 637158268635440006-iea-3qfy2… · ICICI BANK Limited India Equity Analytics 27-Jan-20 Result Update Industry Bloomberg BSE CODE Financial

Eastwind Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

EASTWIND Capital Advisors Private Ltd. (EASTWIND) is a SEBI Registered Investment Advisors having SEBI Registration Number INA300005439 valid till

24.08.2021. Registered Office: 59, 2nd Floor, A C Market, Gel Church Complex, Main Road, Ranchi, Jharkhand 834 001, CIN:- U67120JH2007PTC012791,

Compliance Officer: Manish Agarwal, Email Id: [email protected], Contact No.: 033-40541759

EASTWIND is owned by Narnolia Capital Advisors Private Ltd. which is NBFC registered with RBI. Narnolia Capital Advisors Private Ltd is owned by

Narnolia Securities Ltd. under the Promotership of Mr. Krishnanand Narnolia. Details of associate entities of Eastwind Capital Advisors Private Ltd. are

available on the website at www.narnolia.com

There is no pending regulatory matter against EASTWIND as on date.

No disciplinary action has been taken against the Company by any regulatory/statutory authority.

No complaint has been lodged by any client relating to our Investment Advisory Services.

Conflict of interest

Narnolia Financial Advisors Ltd., an Associate of EASTWIND, is a SEBI Registered Stock Broker, Depository Participant, Merchant Banker, Portfolio Manager

& AMFI registered Mutual Fund Distributor and engaged in execution/distribution of various products & services. However, we maintain appropriate

Chinese walls as expected under SEBI Investment Advisor Regulation.

EASTWIND, its associates may have managed or co-managed public offering of securities, may have received compensation for Investment Banking or

Merchant Banking or Brokerage services, may have received any compensation for products or services other than Investment Banking or Merchant

Banking or Brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months.

EASTWIND, its associates, their directors and the employees may from time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as

principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned while rendering advices. They may perform or seek to perform other services for, or solicit other

business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient

should take this into account before interpreting the document.

We are not affiliated with any intermediaries for execution or distribution services. Hence, we do not receive any consideration for execution or distribution

services. Client will not be under any obligation to avail the stock broking, depository and distribution or other services offered by EASTWIND or its

Associate/Group Companies or through any other entity as recommended by EASTWIND.

We do not receive any consideration by way of remuneration or compensation or in any other form, whatsoever, from any person other than the client being

advised in respect of the underlying products or securities for which advice is provided to the client. We will not receive any benefit in case based on our

recommendations you opt to avail any services from our affiliates/associates or other market intermediaries.

Disclaimer

This report has been prepared by Eastwind Capital Advisors Private Ltd. (EASTWIND) and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for public

circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in

part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of EASTWIND. The report is based on the

facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The

information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no

guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are

subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer

to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax

advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions

expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives,

financial positions and needs of specific recipient. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative products as well as

non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Each recipient of this document should make such

investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document

(including the merits and risks involved), and should consult his/her/its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Though

disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. EASTWIND will not treat recipients as

customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Neither the Company, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any

damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits or lost opportunities that may arise from or in

connection with the use of the information/report. The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt EASTWIND or any of its affiliates or

employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold EASTWIND or any of its affiliates or employees

responsible for any such misuse and further agrees to hold EASTWIND or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages,

expenses that may be suffered by the person accessing this information due to any errors and delays.

This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such

distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject EASTWIND & its group companies to registration or

licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.