iceland stock exchange icelandic investment abroad thordur fridjonsson, president and ceo of icex...
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Iceland Stock Exchange
Icelandic Investment Abroad
Thordur Fridjonsson, President and CEO of ICEXSixth Consular Conference - 8 May 2006
Topics• The Economy
– Performance and prospects – Structural improvements– Strong fundamentals
• Iceland Stock Exchange– ICEX – NOREX Alliance– Size of the Icelandic securities market– Equity market capitalisation in relation to GDP– Exceptional growth - Remarkable price performance– Valuation on the equity market– Acquisitions abroad - International companies– Revenues generated abroad (ICEX 15)– New capital raised in the market– Reasons behind the success
Economic Growth – average annual GDP growth-
4,4%
3,3%
2,0%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
4,0%
4,5%
Iceland USA Euro area
1996-2005
Source: OECD
1990 1995 2005
Containinginflation
Setting the Funda-mentals
EEA established
The finalphase ofliberalisingcapital flows
Incorporationof stateowned banksandprivatisation
Frombudgetdeficit tosurplus
Inflationtargeting-IndependantCentral Bank
Finalphase ofprivatisation of stateowned banks
The Phases of Economic and Financial Development
Wave of acquisitions abroad
Iceland is doing well in International Comparisons
RankingStandard of living 2Competitiveness 4Creativity 7Low corruption 1Economic freedom 5
Quotes: United Nations Human Development Index, Human Development Report 2005The IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2005, IMD Switzerland 2005The Flight of the Creative Class: The Global Creativity Index, Professor Richard Florida 2005Transparency International: The International Corruption Perception Index 2005The Heritage Foundation / Wall Street Journal: Index of Economic Freedom
Pension Fund Assets 1984-2005
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Per
cen
t o
f G
DP
Yearly real increase % Per-cent of GDP
Population over 65 per cent of working population
US Japan Europe Iceland
1950 12 8 12 8
1975 16 12 21 10
2005 18 30 25 13
2025 30 50 37 21
2050 33 70 50 27
External PositionPer cent of GDP
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005*
Total Assets Total Liabilities International Investment Position
Source: Central Bank of Iceland
* Preliminary figures
Examples of Foreign Debt in a Few Countries
Per cent of GDP
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
1200%
1400%
Irela
ndSwitz
erla
nd UK
Icel
and
Luxe
mbo
urg
Denmar
kNew Z
eala
nd
Source: Jón Steinsson
Mbl. 24.3.2006
NOREX Alliance
Tallinn
Helsinki
Stockholm
Copenhagen
Vilnius
Riga
ICEX / VMF
Size of the Icelandic Securities Market
24,3
14,513,3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
GDP Bonds Stocks
EU
R b
illio
ns
Source: Central Bank of Iceland and ICEX
Stocks: Market capitalisation - December 2005
Bonds: Market capitalisation - December 2005
GDP: Nominal 2005
Equity Market CapitalisationPer cent of GDP 2005
139% 136%125% 121%
69%72%
186%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
Iceland UK USA Finland Sw eden Denmark Norw ay
Exceptional Growth on ICEXTurnover EUR Billion
2,9 3,1
10,913,7
20,017,7
2,5
4,3
7,4
9,716,1
0,7
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05
Fixed income Equity
Market cap EUR Billion
5,4 6,7 8,010,7
13,4 14,75,45,4
6,7
9,4
14,7
24,1
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05
Fixed Income Equity
Top Performer
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
30.1
2.99
30.0
3.00
30.0
6.00
30.0
9.00
30.1
2.00
30.0
3.01
30.0
6.01
30.0
9.01
30.1
2.01
30.0
3.02
30.0
6.02
30.0
9.02
30.1
2.02
30.0
3.03
30.0
6.03
30.0
9.03
30.1
2.03
30.0
3.04
30.0
6.04
30.0
9.04
30.1
2.04
30.0
3.05
30.0
6.05
30.0
9.05
30.1
2.05
30.0
3.06
ICEX-15
S&P 500 INDEX
NASDAQ COMPOSITE
FTSE 100
OMXC20
DAX
Valuation on the Icelandic Equity Market
P/E ratios
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70 S&P 500
FTSE
ICEX-15
• Source: Landsbanki Islands, Bloomberg
Number of Listed Companies & Average Market Value
– Delistings mostly due to M&A activities– Companies more liquid and larger than 2-3 years ago
1117
2427
32
51
67
75 7571
64
48
34
26 26
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006*
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
EU
R M
illi
on
s
* 27.02.2006
Acquisitions Abroad by Listed Companies on ICEX
6,4
3,52,8
13,3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
GDP 2005 2004 2005 2004+2005
EU
R b
illio
ns
Source: Central Bank of Iceland and ICEX
Value of Acquisitions by Countries
Source: ICEX
33%
21%
8%
1%1%
6%7%
22%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
UK
Denm
ark
US
A
Norw
ay
France
Sw
eden
Germ
any
Faroe
Islands
Revenues Generated Abroad (ICEX-15)Per cent of total revenue
0%10%
20%30%
40%50%60%
70%80%
90%100%
Bakkav
ör
Mosa
ic F
ashio
ns A
Össur
Flaga
Actavi
s
Mar
el
FL GROUP
KB-ban
ki
Atork
a
Kögun
Landsb
anki Í
slands
Glitnir
Straum
ur-Bur
ðará
s
Dagsbrú
n
Listed Companies Division of Employees Between Iceland and Abroad
19%
81%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Iceland Abroad
Source: ICEX
New CapitalPer cent of Market Value
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
ICEX
Luxembourg
PragueW
iener BörseCyprusLjubljanaBorsa ItalianaO
slo BørsIrish Stock Exchange
AthensLondonSpanish Exchanges
EuronextDeutsche BörseO
MX
Bratislava
2004 2005
International Investment - 1Actavis Group: Balkanpharma, Pharmamed, FAKO, Zdravlje, Amide, Alpharma’s
human generic business, Higia AD, Sindan
Alfesca: Labeyrie Group, Lyons Seafoods
Atorka Group: Promens, Ilanta, NWF Group Plc. (16%), Romag (11%), Interbulk (23%), AMIAD Filtration System (10,9%)
Avion Group: Excel Airways Group, Travel City Holdings Plc., Kosmar Holidays, Star Airlines, Star Europe, Xtra Airways, Aviation Services, Avia
Services, Technical & Logistics Services, Shipping & Logistics, Innovate, Farmaleiðir, Faroe Ship, Heri Thomsen, Daalimpex, CTG, Halship, Euro Container Line, Harbor Grace, Dissaco GSS Airfreight NV, Traxx Intercontinental BV, Kirkenes Agency AS
Bakkavor Group: Wine & Dine, Katsouris, Geest, Hitchen Foods, Creative Foods, New Primebake, Laurens Patisseries
Dagsbrun: P/F Kall, 354 Media Scandinavia A/S, Wyndeham, Press Group Plc.
Flaga Group: Sleep Tech, Medcorp.
International Investment - 2
FL GROUP: Sterling, Aktiv Kapital, Finnair, Royal Unibrew, Bang & Olufsen, Refresco Holding B.V.
Glitnir Bank: Kredittbanken, BN Bank, Norse Securities, Union Group (51%)
Icelandic Group: Seachill Ltd, Barogel S.A., Pickenpack–Hussman & Hahn Seafood, Saltur A/S, Dalian Three Star Ltd.
Kaupthing Bank: FIH, JP Nordiska, Aragon, Sofi, Norvestia, Singer & Friedlander
Kogun: Hands ASA Norway, Specialists in Custom Software Inc.
Landsbanki Islands: Heritable Bank, Theather & Greenwood Holdings, Kepler Equities, Merrion Capital Group Ltd.
Marel: Carnitech, TVM, CP Food Machinery, Geba, AEW Thurne, Delford Sortaweight
Straumur Burdaras Investment Bank: Old Mutual Plc., Finnair Oyj., Cherryforetegen AB, Pricer AB, Polimoon
TM: NEMI Forsikring, Invik & Co AB
Ossur: Royce Medical Holdings, Innovation Sports Inc., Innovation Medical Products Holdings
ICEX-15 – End of April 2006 Market
Cap EUR m. %
of MV
Kaupthing Bank 6,761 26.1%
Glitnir banki hf. 3,246 12.5%
Landsbanki Íslands hf. 3,246 12.5%
Actavis Group hf. 2,717 10.5%
Straumur-Burðarás Fjárfestingabanki hf. 2,344 9.0%
FL GROUP hf. 1,595 6.1%
Bakkavör Group hf. 1,063 4.1%
Mosaic Fashions hf. 699 2.7%
Össur hf. 564 2.2%
Dagsbrún hf. 383 1.5%
Alfesca hf. 307 1.2%
Atorka Group hf. 271 1.0%
Marel hf. 234 0.9%
Kögun hf. 192 0.7%
Flaga Group hf. 36 0.1%
ICEX-15 total 23,658 91.2%
Total MV of listed comp. 25,954
Reasons Behind the Success
• Economic reforms during the last 10-15 years―Liberalisation―Privatisation―Entrepreneurship and flexibility
• ICEX has played an important role―Providing capital for expansion and restructuring
The Message
• The economy is fundamentally sound• The market is well functioning• From local to global• Adjustments in wake of exceptional growth
Iceland Stock ExchangeLaugavegur 182IS-105 Reykjavik
Icelandwww.icex.is