ibc digitizing 450 mhz bucharest sept 8, 2004 assessing the growth of the 450 digital market 2004...

IBC Digitizing 450 MHzBucharest Sept 8, 2004

Assessing the Growth of the 450 Digital Market

2004 – A Year in review

Joe NordgaardIA450 Board Member for Iberiatel

Managing DirectorSpectral Advantage LLC

[email protected]


2004 – the cdma450 flames catch

“You can blow out a candleBut you can't blow out a fireOnce the flames begin to catchThe wind will blow it higher.”Peter Gabriel – Biko (A tribute to Stephen Biko, a murdered Black

South African rights activist)


IA450 – A Year in Review

Regulatory Actions and Decisions Standards and Association Activities Operator Growth Subscriber Growth – EMC Update Media and Markets New Vendors and Products Top Five 450 Events of the Past Year


IA450 - A Year in Review

March - CEPT Decision (ECC/DEC/(04)06) (http://www.ero.dk/documentation/docs/doccategory.asp?catid=1&catname=ECC/ERC/ECTRA%20Decisions)

May - India’s TRAI spectrum consultation (http://www.trai.gov.in/consultation.htm)

July - Brazil files to Harmonize 450 throughout the Americas in the CITEL (http://www.citel.oas.org/)

Regulatory Actions and Decisions




Microsoft strongly endorses TRAI’s ongoing commitment to removing regulatory barriers to new services. We also agree with TRAI that wireless technologies can play an increasingly important role in the expansion of robust and easily accessible broadband networks. In the context of this Spectrum Consultation, we encourage TRAI to consider that 450 MHz spectrum could be used for both mobile and terrestrial wireless broadband services, and that both unlicensed and licensed solutions will benefit consumers.Sincerely,Rajiv KaulManaging DirectorMicrosoft Corporation India Private Limited.http://www.trai.gov.in/spectrum/Microsoft%20Corporation.pdf

Microsoft’s closing remarks in their TRAI filing:

http://www.trai.gov.in/spectrum/Microsoft%20Corporation.pdf



Norway licenses via auction, France, Germany and UK open consultations Sweden plans to license via auction, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan license, Finland trial, Licensing in Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda,

Nigeria South Africa and Namibia consultation, Moldova allocates, Jamaica opens consultation, Balkans study



Cdma450 deployments, scheduled deployments and trials

= Trial

= regulatory investigation

= cdma450 deployments announced or planned

= cdma450

Cdma450 activity in Russia

© Spectral Advantage LLC

Commercial

Trials Volga Tel, UralWestcomCommercial deployments announcement

Development planned


Cdma450 in China

= cdma450 Commercial China Telecom

= cdma450 quasi-commercial

Wireline franchise

Wireline franchise



Dec. - ITU-D Study "Economics of Migration to IMT-2000"

Dec. - ITU IMT-2000 Seminar – Ljubljana, Slovenia

March – Telexpo ANATEL Trial – Sao Paulo, Brazil

March - CTIA Skylink Presentation - Atlanta, USA

April - IA450 First Plenary - Shenzhen, China

April - IA450/CDG Joint Seminar - Shenzhen, China

Standards and Association Activities



June - ETSI Harmonize Standards - cdma450

June – 3GPP2 Market Representation Partner Warsaw, Poland

July - ETSI initiates cdma450 EMC guidelines

July – CITEL PCC.II initials 450 study,

Sept - IA450 Second Plenary Bucharest, Romania

Standards and Association Activities


3GPP2 Structure

Steering CommitteeChair: Dr. Hideo Okinaka (KDDI)

Vice Chair: Gerry Flynn (Verizon Wireless)

Vice Chair: Dr. Y.K. Kim (LG Telecom)

Vice Chair: Wan Yi (CCSA)

Secretariat: Henry Cuschieri

Steering CommitteeChair: Dr. Hideo Okinaka (KDDI)

Vice Chair: Gerry Flynn (Verizon Wireless)

Vice Chair: Dr. Y.K. Kim (LG Telecom)

Vice Chair: Wan Yi (CCSA)

Secretariat: Henry Cuschieri

TSG-CTSG-CTSG-ATSG-A TSG-STSG-S

AccessNetwork Interfaces

cdma2000Radio

Interface

Services &SystemsAspects

CoreNetworks

OrganizationalPartners

MarketRepresentation

PartnersTSG-XTSG-X

CDGIPv6 Forum

IA450



Europe: Norway, Russia (3 or 4 more)

Asia: Vietnam, Pakistan, Uzbekistan,

Turkmenistan, Cambodia, Laos

Africa: Uganda, Kenya, Nigeria, Ethiopia

Operator Growth



Lehman Brothers “CDMA450: Perpetuating Asia’s “Growth + Profitability” Story?”

Goldman Sachs “Asia-Pacific Telecom Services: 3G in China” Ovum “CDMA450: leapfrogging the mobile generations” IDC “Central and Eastern Europe Broadband Access Services 2004-2008

Forecast” Current Analysis on Lucent’s cdma450 manufacturing move to Poland

Report EMC Update “Market Opportunities for CDMA-450” Nomura Report (TBA) Merrill Lynch Report (TBA)

Media and Markets



CDG 450 news: http://www.cdg.org/technology/3g/cdma450/cdma450_news.asp

Dow Jones Newswire Financial Times 3G Mobile/Global Mobile Mobile Communications International RCR and Wireless Week in US Forbes The economist TelecomAsia

Media and Markets



Operator Growth - EUROPEOperator COUNTRY STATUS Vendor

Telemobile/Zapp Romania commercial Lucent

Delta Telecom/Skylink 5 Regions

Russia Commercial/Pre-Com. Lucent

Volga Telecom Russia Commercial/Trial Huawei

Kuzbass Cellular Russia commercial Huawei

Bashkortostan Cellular Russia deploying Huawei

UralWestcom Russia trial Nortel

Belcel Belarus commercial Huawei

Eurotel Czech Rep commercial Nortel

Telecom Balitja Latvia pre-commercial Nortel

RadiomovelPortugal pre-commercial

Motorola/Huawei

Iberiatel Georgia commercial Huawei

BTC Bulgaria trial Huawei

Centerel Poland trials Lucent/Huawei

= NEW



Operator COUNTRY STATUS Vendor

Operator Growth - Asia

China Telecom China commercial Huawei

China Netcom China quasi-commercial Huawei/ZTE

PT Mandara Selular Indonesia commercial Huawei

VPT Vietnam commercial ZTE/Huawei/LU

Telecom-Maytex Uzbekistan commercial Huawei

LTC Laos deploying Huawei

PTCL Pakistan deploying Huawei

Camshin Cambodia deploying Huawei

MCT Turkmen deploying Huawei

= NEW




Operator Growth - Africa

Nitel Nigeria contract Huawei

TDM Mozambique trial Huawei

Uganda telecom Uganda commercial Huawei

Ethiopia Telecom Ethiopia deploying Huawei

TKL Kenya deploying Huawei

= NEW




Operator Growth - Americas

ANATEL/CBTC/Unicel Brazil trialLucentHuawei

ZTE

Telefonica Peru trial Huawei

= NEW



New Infrastructure vendors – UTStarcom

New Handset vendors – Axesstel Ubiquam R-Way

Some New Product Teasers…

New Vendors and Products

September 2004 Ericsson Proprietary and Confidential 21

Ericsson’s CDMA 450 MHz Offering & Progress• Mobile Market Leader

– 60% of NMT market share

– Largest infrastructure vendor in Europe and worldwide

• Product offering based on Common 3G platforms– Same hardware for WCDMA, CDMA on all

frequencies

• Lower CAPEX and OPEX

• Expedites TTM

• Guarantees Economies of Scale

• On-site demos on 450 MHz equipment – Voice calls (mobile & WLL) on commercial

CDMA2000 1X equipment

– Always Best Connected on commercial CDMA2000 1X and DO equipment

Lucent Technologies - ProprietaryLucent Technologies - Proprietary

CDMA450 Evolution ComparisonCDMA450 Evolution Comparison(illustrations to scale)(illustrations to scale)

Modcell 2.0•1-3C, 1-3S•EVDO

Modcell ES•1-3C, 1-3S•EVDOEfficiencySize

Compact 4.0•1-3C, 1-3S•EVDO•Ant. Diagnostics Efficiency Size

CuriTel Confidential

1. HX-525B Concept

Item Specification Item Specification

Mode CDMA 450Mhz Memory MCP(128+32)

Type Bar type Vibrator O

Size 109 x 47 x 20 (mm) Charger Inner Charger

Weight Around 90 g UIM O (Optional)

MSM MSM5000 USB X

LCD128×128 Dots 1.5” 4096

CSTNCarkit

RubberO

Battery Li-ion : 900mAh Antenna Fixed Antenna

Sound Yamaha 16 PolySpeaker phone

O

Bundle

Item

1. AC/DC Adopter 2. Battery(900mAh) - Soft Pack type 3. User Manual

OptionItem

1. Ear-Mic 2. Data Cable

1) Handset

2) Accessory


2. HX-550C Concept

1) Handset

2) Accessory

Bundle

Item

1. Standard Battery (970mAh) 2. Traveler Charger 2. User Manual

OptionItem

1. Ear-Mic2. Data Cable


Mode CDMA 450MHz Memory MCP(128+32)

Type Clamshell Vibrator O.K

Size about 88×47×23 (mm) UIM O.K

Weight About 100 g USB O.K

MSM MSM5100 Carkit Rubber

O.K

LCD Main: 128×160 Dots 1.8”

65K CSTNSub : 96x64 B/W STN

Antenna Fixed Antenna (8φ)

Keypad LED

Blue

Battery Li-ion : 970mAh Power LED 2 Color LED

SoundCMX 16 Poly Inner

ChargerO.K

Keypad(26 But.)

1. Numeric Key --- (12) 2. Side-Key --- (3) 3. Function Key --- (11)


3. HX-560C Concept

1) Handset

2) Accessory

Bundle

Item

1. Standard Battery (1000mAh) 2. Traveler Charger 2. User Manual

OptionItem

1. Ear-Mic2. Data Cable


Mode CDMA 450MHz Memory MCP(64+32)

Type Slide Vibrator O.K

Size about 89.8×44×22 (mm) UIM O.K

Weight About 90 g USB O.K

MSM MSM6025 Carkit Rubber

O.K

LCD Main: 128×160 Dots 1.8”

65K CSTN

Antenna Fixed Antenna (8φ)

Keypad LED

Blue

Battery Li-ion : 760mAh Power LED 2 Color LED

SoundCMX 32 Poly Inner

ChargerO.K

Keypad(26 But.)

1. Numeric Key --- (12) 2. Side-Key --- (3) 3. Function Key --- (10)



CEPT Ruling (ECC/DEC/(04)06) – 46 member countries. Brazil ANATEL trial and subsequent call for harmonization

throughout the Americas at CITEL – 35 member countries Eurotel cdma450 EVDO Launch Indian TRAI consultation – including 450 specifically for

CDMA IA450/CDG/Huawei Conference

Top Five 450 Events of the Past Year

ibc digitizing 450 mhz bucharest sept 8, 2004 assessing the growth of the 450 digital market 2004...

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