iag mail presentation - new york...
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brought to you by:brought to you by:
evelynevelyn chengcheng •• adeebadeeb huqhuq •• feliksfeliks zarotskyzarotsky
agendaagenda
• a palm story
• product portfolio
• industry players
• bright future
• playing with numbers
• burning desires questions
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a palm storya palm story
fundamentalsfundamentals
“the future of personal computing ismobile”
“deliver a powerful computing experience in a simple and intuitive
manner”
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strategic goalsstrategic goals• develop market-defining products
• deliver a great user experience
• provide choice of platforms
• expand global presence
• differentiate through productivity software
• build a brand synonymous with mobile computing
corporate backgroundcorporate background
incorporated asPalm Computing
Acquired byUS Robotics
sold 1st
handheld computer
created PalmSource
initial publicoffering
acquired Handspring
Presented atIAG
1992
1993
1996
2001
2003
2000
2006
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product portfolioproduct portfolio
the godfather: the godfather: ‘‘palm pilotpalm pilot’’
• pioneer in mobile computing• launched in 1996• small size, high functionality• set the standard for future
generations
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bringing power to your palmbringing power to your palm• mobile computing solutions
– combine word processing, music and wireless connectivity with portable organizers
– sold through distributors, website and retail outlets– complete range of accessories
handheldshandhelds
• organize life
• stay in touch
• office to go
• multimedia
• fun & games
• and more…
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mobile managersmobile managers
• the next generation of handhelds
• sleeker, optimized design• 4GB hard drive• expanded software
capability
phones with a high phones with a high iqiq• smartphones
– procreation - the pda and the cell phone
– offspring provides most value by integrating
features
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treotreo evolutionevolution
Sept 2003 Nov 2004 Jan 2006 May 2006 Oct 2006 Future
Treo 600 Treo 650 Treo 700w Treo 700p Treo 680 Treo 750
smartphonesmartphone featuresfeatures• touch screen
• telephone, calendar, email
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more featuresmore features……• camcorder• camera• calculator• documents• excel• memos• tasks
• videos• p-tunes• bluetooth• web• contacts• messaging• maps• 100’s more
it has everything!
revenues by segmentrevenues by segment
$0
$400,000
$800,000
$1,200,000
2004 2005 2006
Smartphones Handheld computers
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revenues by regionrevenues by region
$0
$400,000
$800,000
$1,200,000
$1,600,000
2004 2005 2006
United States International
industry playersindustry players
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porterporter’’s 5 forcess 5 forces
barg
aini
ng p
ower
of
supp
liers
lowlowthreat of substitutes
highhigh
bargaining power of
customers
highhighthreat of new
entrants
mediummedium
industry industry rivalryrivalry
smart phonessmart phonesrim htc
nokia motorola
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price comparisonprice comparison
Price
Model
$299-$399
Treo 680
$299-$399
BlackBerry8100
$399-$499$399-$499$399-$499
BlackBerry8700G
Treo750vTreo 700w/p
$299-$450
Samsung 300
Price
Model
$299-$399
Nokia
$Priceless$350-$499$299-$399
Borat 5000HTCMotorola Q
why why treotreo??
• palm O/S• it looks cool• intuitive interface• more functionality• new, cheaper models
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handheldshandhelds
dell
hp
compaq
why palm?why palm?
• pioneer of the concept• generations ahead
in technology (lifedrive)• more affordable• more value
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phones/otherphones/othersony ericsson garmin ipod
• single-feature devices are becoming obsolete
• consolidation is a beautiful thing
bright futurebright future
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market trendsmarket trends• smartphone market growing exponentially
– 49.8% growth from 2Q05 to 2Q06– 569,000 units sold in Q3 of FY 06– 60 percent of 16.8 million PDA shipments worldwide in 2007
• palm O/S system surpassed RIM in 2Q06
• more handhelds and smart phones currently run the palm O/S now
Smartphone Shipments
11.35
17.00
2005 2006
No.
of
unit
s (m
illio
n)
treotreo vs. vs. ipodipod: dollar sales: dollar sales
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treotreo vs. vs. ipodipod: unit sales: unit sales
more to comemore to come……
• palm realizes non-professional demand– treo 680 released in europe
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cingularcingular launchlaunch
still more to comestill more to come……
• evolved treo 750, to be launched 2007– continues to target professional users
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the numbersthe numbers
margin analysismargin analysis
R&D10.3%
D&A1.0%EBIT
6.7%
SG&A16.3%
COGS65.8%
COGS SG&A R&D D&A EBIT
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relative valuationrelative valuation
Median
Mean
13.3
6.8
61.7
7.7
14.3
10.5
28.2
10.511.7
6.2
49.2
7.7
12.8
8.4
25.3
8.7
HTCKF MOT RIMM NOK DELL HPQ GRMN PALM
EV/EBIT Multiple
EV/EBITDA Multiple
projected upsideprojected upside
13.311.71.11.21.6Median Ratio:
20.417.32.43.03.3Mean Ratio:
63.7%66.9%220.8%240.2%209.9%Upside:
$18.17$19.03$25.43$24.66$25.35Imputed Price:
TTM EBITTTM EBITDA2008 Est. Revenue
2007 Est. RevenueTTM Revenue
17.2%22.8%64.1%59.1%63.5%Median:
$25.37$25.86$49.73$52.72$48.04Imputed Price:
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recommendationrecommendationshort term: strong buylong term: strong buy