i ndian o il c orporation. i ndustry o verview indian oil& gas sector– us$ 110 billion...
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INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Indian Oil& Gas Sector– US$ 110 billion industry 6th largest consumer of petroleum products and expected to be at 4th
position by 2010 (source: IBEF) Indian crude demand– 130 MMTPA
30% Domestic
70% Imported 19 Refineries– Capacity of 177 MMTPA Refining capacity expansion planned over 5 yrs. Is over 60% Approx. 7 lakh people employed in the oil & gas industry 1.58 lakh kiloleters of fuel dispensed from retail outlets every day
amounting
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Indian Oil Corporation at a Glance
Ticker IOC
Number of Shares 209934345
Promoters Holding 80.50%
Market Capitalization (Rs.In crores) Rs.48135.10
Employees 31945
Refinery Capacity (in MMTPA) 60.20
Retail Outlet (including IBP) over 32,500
Shareholders Pattern
1%
6%
9%
3%
81%
Promoter I nstitution Bdy Corporate
I ndividuals Others
Refining Market Share
15%9% 7%
22%
7%40%
IOCL BPCL HPCL ONGC RIL ESSAR
Market Share Of Major Players
3%
49%21%
9%18%
I OCL BPCL HPCL RI L OTHERS
Market Share in Pipeline
47% 7%
16%30%
I OCL ONGC HPCL BPCL
COMPANY BACKGROUND
COMPANY BACKGROUND
IOCL is a public sector undertaking formed in 1964 through the merger of Indian Oil Company Ltd. and Indian Refineries Ltd.
18th largest petroleum company in the world. Major supplier to Defense forces, Railways,
STUs (army-96%; navy-100%; Airforce-90%; STUs-87%; Railways-84%).
Only oil company to operate in every part of India.
UBIQUITOUS PRESENCE
Marketing:Market shareOf 45%; 55% of industry
infrastructure
Petrochemicals:Operational Lab &
Px/PTA Plants
E&P: Forays In India& Overseas
Gas: Sourcing &marketing
Refining: 10 Refineries; Refining market share of 40%
Pipeline: 9273 kms pipeline(crude & product)
PRODUCT PROFILE
CRUDE
FURNACE
VACCUM
UNIT
Butane & Lighter
Naphta
Gasoline
Kerosene
Light Gas Oil
Heavy Gas Oil
Residue Fuel Oil
SGU/LMU
NHT/CCR
KMU/DHDS
DHDS
FCCU
VSU
90-220F
220-315F
315-450F
450-650F
650-800F
800+F
DISTILLATIONTOWER
(Crude Unit)
LPG– 3.70%
MS- 17.40%
ATF/SKO-4.50%
HSD-40.70%
BITUMEN-1%
FO-32.70%
BUSINESS MODEL
VALUEPROPOSITION: offer
petroleum products like petrol, high speed diesel,
naphta & lubricant.
COSTSTRUCTURE :raw
material is the major component of the cost it almost incurred 81%
of total cost followed by interest and staff cost.
CUSTOMERRELATIONSHIP;
company maintain long term & cordial relationship with his
clients
CUSTOMERSEGMENTS:
fuels to most of the sector
i.e. automobile aviation etc.
ACTIVITYCONFIGURATION; high
tech infrastructure with on line automatic
quality control ensures quality check
CORECAPABILITIES:
strong and well established marketing & distribution
network, favorable
coverage ratios provides support
to its credit profile.
PARTNERNETWORK
Major partners railway,
automobile sector
infrastructure
REVENUESTREAMS; company revenue comes from
wide variety of petroleum products
and special petroleum products.
CUSTOMER
OFFER
FINANCE
DISTRIBUTIONCHANNELS; company
has strong nationwide distribution network
with 88329 retail outlets.
STRATEGIES TO FACE DOWNTURN
Entering into new business segment of city gas distribution Able to earn revenue through other business activity Planning to invest aggressively in petrochemical sector Initiating research in new frontiers (such as residue gasification coal-
to-liquid, gas-to-liquid, alternative fuels, synthetic lubes, nano-technology, etc.)
Planning to enter in retail business through opening retail outlets at prime location petrol pumps
Investing in oil bonds to decrease debt level 180 new & cost effective product formulations developed Indalin+ technology for conversion of Naphtha to LPG/MS Creating Unique Selling Points in all customer segments Expanding the non-fuel business to improve cos. bottom line Marketing of alternate fuels and maintaining product
differentation
REFINING: ANNUAL OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
Gross Refining Margins $/ bbl
5.36.2
4.64.2
9.02
3.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
Apr-
Dec0
8
$Capacity Utilization
104100
8590
95100
105
FY08 FY09
%
Refinery Throughput
47.4
62.3
010203040506070
FY08 FY09
MM
T
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Sales & Sales Growth
0
200
400
600
800
J AS07
OND07
J FM08
AMJ08
J AS08
OND08
Rs b
n
-100102030405060
%
Sales Sales Growth
Trend of PBDIT & OPM
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
J AS07
OND07
J FM08
AMJ08
J AS08
OND08
Rs b
n
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
%
PBDI T OPM
•Fall in sales due to decrease in domestic demand as well as
export during Oct 08 to Mar 09
•Due to increased crude prices and increasing under recovery,
company has to reduce production
•Lowest GRM in previous 5 yrs leads to decrease in OPM
•High cost of fund keeps pressure on operating profit
•Non-revision of selling price also leads to fall in operating profit
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCECost Structure as % of Sales
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
RM TradedGoods
Staff Depn I nterest Other Tax
%
2007-08 2008-09
PAT & NPM
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
J AS07 OND07 J FM08 AMJ 08 J AS08 OND08
Rs.
(in
bn
)
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
%
PAT(LHS) NPM (RHS)
D/ E Ratio
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08`
Cost as a % of sales has increased due to high material cost because of high crude prices and increase
in other expenses
PAT has declined from the previous year due to heavy increase in under recovery during 1st half of FY09 and
so it keeps pressure on NPM
Trend of Dividend Payout
020406080
100120140
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
%
Continuous dividend payment policy taken by the company
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
OPM
NPM
ROAvg.NW
ROAvg.CE
5.32
0.1314.8315.7114.4918.47
-13.9419.5420.5916.1819.62
4.46 4.97 4.56 -3.40
2.78 3.43 2.78 0.023.48
CAPITAL MARKET PERFORMANCE
Under performed during half of FY09 because of high crude prices
Sensex falls 40%, O&G falls by 33% whereas IOCL has fallen by 13%. Beta of stock is 0.60.
Relative Strength Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 A
pri
l2
00
8
25
Ap
ril
20
08
21
Ma
y2
00
8
12
Ju
ne
20
08
4 J
uly
20
08
28
Ju
ly2
00
8
20
Au
gu
st2
00
8
12
Se
pte
mb
er
20
08
7
Oct
ob
er
20
08
31
Oct
ob
er
20
08
2
5N
ov
em
be
r2
00
8
19
De
cem
be
r2
00
8
14
Ja
nu
ary
20
09
6 F
eb
rua
ry2
00
9
3 M
arc
h2
00
9
27
Ma
rch
20
09
Sensex O&G I OCL
WAY AHEAD
Governmental action in formulating a viable market related pricing policy
Rationalization of duties and taxes– move towards ‘GST’ regime
Planned set up off retail outlets to justify long term viability-planned township.
Evaluate options for retail outlets as receiving and storage points instead of only sales points—Warehousing facilities, Receipt points for NFRs etc.
Generate additional revenue and margin streams from Alternate Fuels– CNG, Auto-LPG and Bio-Fuel
Company’s revenue will grow after operation started at Panipat refinery
Company is diversifying its business through entering into city gas distribution segment
ISSUES AND CONCERNS
Volatility in crude oil prices.
Government controlled prices.
Rupee Fluctuation.
Lack of necessary infrastructure.
Depleting fuel resources.
Rising bad debts.
Delay in projects.
Cost of oil rigging is high.
CHALLENGES FOR COMPANY
Company is considering entering into other energy sub-sectors to compliment its own line of business.
Optimization of refining processes.
Logistics & supply chain management.
Timely execution and safe commissioning of project.
Consolidation of retail and direct consumer businesses through better offerings than competitors.
Retention of skilled manpower.
Enhancing profitability.
REFINERY BUSINESS: Set TO Deliver Strong Value
Strategic Location, ProximityTo Materials, Access to End
Markets
Refining Industry OutlookRemains Strong
India Emerging as a GlobalRefining Hub
Leverage Existing ProjectExecution Capabilities and
Infrastructure
Market Leader in DownstreamEconomies of scale Benefits
High Complexity, CostCompetitiveness,
Product Flexibility and HighGRM Potential