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© Gerhard Stryi-Hipp Feed-in Tariffs in Germany Latest Developments Prof. Eicke R. Weber Director Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE FIT Conference San Francisco, June 12 th , 2010

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Page 1: 20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

© Gerhard Stryi-Hipp

Feed-in Tariffs in Germany

Latest Developments

Prof. Eicke R. Weber

DirectorFraunhofer Institute forSolar Energy Systems ISE

FIT ConferenceSan Francisco, June 12th, 2010

Page 2: 20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

Photovoltaic World Market 2009

PV market

2009: 7 GWp

2010est: 10.5 GWp

Slouce: 2006/2007: IEA-PVPS, 2007-2010:National PV-Associations, pers. Estimations, Status 4/2010

Market growth 2009:

ca. 15%

Page 3: 20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

Photovoltaic market development in Germany

PV-Market Data Germany 2009

New installed 3.8 GWp

Totally installed end of 2009 9.8 GWp

Turn over €10 Bln

No of jobs 63,000

No of PV component

manufacturer in Germany> 100

Average of annual market

growth 2000 – 200962%

PV system price <100 kWp

end of 2009 per kWp€ 3,135

Production of solar electricity 6.2 TWh

Share of solar electricity on

demand1.1%

Production of solar cells 2009 2.5 GWp

Production of PV modules 2009 GWp

Page 4: 20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

PV module and system prices already dropped stongly

Durchschnittliche jährliche Reduktion: 13,3%

- 25,6%

- 3,2%

- 9,3%

96,0%

89,0%87,1%

85,5%84,3%

62,7%

78,4%

72,4%

65,3%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

Q2

2006

Q3

2006

Q4

2006

Q1

2007

Q2

2007

Q3

2007

Q4

2007

Q1

2008

Q2

2008

Q3

2008

Q4

2008

Q1

2009

Q2

2009

Q3

2009

Q4

2009

Preisindex PV-Systeme

Source: Representative survey at 100 installers by EuPD-Research on behalf of BSW-Solar

Q4 2009: Durchschnittlicher PV-Anlagenpreis

< 100 kWp: 3.150 €/kWp (fertig installetiert, ohne MWSt.)

Annual average price reduction: 13.3%

BSW-Solar independent price

index for photovoltaic systems

Q4 2009: Average price for PV systems <100 kWp:

3150 €/kWp (ready installed without VAT)

Page 5: 20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_

© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010

PV module price is back on the learning curve

PEF 20%

source: NAVIGANT

1980 2005 20081990 2000

Learning curve PV modulesLearning curve PV modules Technological progressTechnological progress

� Wafer thickness

0,7mm