20pv_fit_in_germany-100712_
DESCRIPTION
http://www.pacificenvironment.org/downloads/FitConf_Weber-%20PV_FIT_in_Germany-100712_.pdfTRANSCRIPT
© Gerhard Stryi-Hipp
Feed-in Tariffs in Germany
Latest Developments
Prof. Eicke R. Weber
DirectorFraunhofer Institute forSolar Energy Systems ISE
FIT ConferenceSan Francisco, June 12th, 2010
© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010
Photovoltaic World Market 2009
PV market
2009: 7 GWp
2010est: 10.5 GWp
Slouce: 2006/2007: IEA-PVPS, 2007-2010:National PV-Associations, pers. Estimations, Status 4/2010
Market growth 2009:
ca. 15%
© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010
Photovoltaic market development in Germany
PV-Market Data Germany 2009
New installed 3.8 GWp
Totally installed end of 2009 9.8 GWp
Turn over €10 Bln
No of jobs 63,000
No of PV component
manufacturer in Germany> 100
Average of annual market
growth 2000 – 200962%
PV system price <100 kWp
end of 2009 per kWp€ 3,135
Production of solar electricity 6.2 TWh
Share of solar electricity on
demand1.1%
Production of solar cells 2009 2.5 GWp
Production of PV modules 2009 GWp
© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010
PV module and system prices already dropped stongly
Durchschnittliche jährliche Reduktion: 13,3%
- 25,6%
- 3,2%
- 9,3%
96,0%
89,0%87,1%
85,5%84,3%
62,7%
78,4%
72,4%
65,3%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Q2
2006
Q3
2006
Q4
2006
Q1
2007
Q2
2007
Q3
2007
Q4
2007
Q1
2008
Q2
2008
Q3
2008
Q4
2008
Q1
2009
Q2
2009
Q3
2009
Q4
2009
Preisindex PV-Systeme
Source: Representative survey at 100 installers by EuPD-Research on behalf of BSW-Solar
Q4 2009: Durchschnittlicher PV-Anlagenpreis
< 100 kWp: 3.150 €/kWp (fertig installetiert, ohne MWSt.)
Annual average price reduction: 13.3%
BSW-Solar independent price
index for photovoltaic systems
Q4 2009: Average price for PV systems <100 kWp:
3150 €/kWp (ready installed without VAT)
© Fraunhofer ISE, May 20th, 2010
PV module price is back on the learning curve
PEF 20%
source: NAVIGANT
1980 2005 20081990 2000
Learning curve PV modulesLearning curve PV modules Technological progressTechnological progress
� Wafer thickness
0,7mm