how the survey was conducted nature of the sample: nbc 4...

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist New York Poll of 1,145 Adults This survey of 1,145 adults was conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016 by The Marist

Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC 4 New York and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18

years of age and older residing in the state of New York were contacted on landline or mobile numbers

and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers

were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of New York

from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was

represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by

first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through

random dialing of mobile numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce

Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and

balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and

region except for race, which is from the 2010 census. Results are statistically significant within ±2.9

percentage points. There are 949 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant

within ±3.2 percentage points. There are 676 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which

determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their

chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are

statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample

weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

New York Adults New York Registered Voters New York Likely Voters

Col % Col % Col %

100%

83% 100%

59% 71% 100%

Democrat n/a 51% 52%

Republican n/a 26% 26%

Independent n/a 22% 20%

Other n/a 1% 1%

Democrat n/a 45% 47%

Republican n/a 22% 23%

Independent n/a 31% 29%

Other n/a 1% 1%

Very liberal n/a 10% 10%

Liberal n/a 26% 26%

Moderate n/a 35% 34%

Conservative n/a 22% 22%

Very conservative n/a 8% 8%

Men 48% 48% 47%

Women 52% 52% 53%

Under 45 48% 41% 37%

45 or older 52% 59% 63%

18 to 29 22% 17% 14%

30 to 44 26% 23% 23%

45 to 59 27% 30% 32%

60 or older 25% 29% 32%

White 60% 67% 70%

African American 14% 12% 12%

Latino 17% 13% 12%

Other 9% 7% 6%

White men 65% 70% 73%

Non-white men 35% 30% 27%

White women 68% 75% 76%

Non-white Women 32% 25% 24%

New York City 43% 34% 35%

Suburbs 21% 24% 24%

Upstate 36% 42% 41%

Less than $50,000 45% 40% 37%

$50,000 or more 55% 60% 63%

Not college graduate 52% 49% 46%

College graduate 48% 51% 54%

White - Not College Graduate 28% 31% 30%

White - College Graduate 33% 37% 40%

Non-White - Not College Graduate 24% 19% 16%

Non-White - College Graduate 15% 13% 13%

Landline 51% 57% 59%

Cell Phone 49% 43% 41%

New York Adults

New York Registered Voters

New York Likely Voters

Nature of the Sample - New York

Party Registration

Party Identification

Political Ideology

Gender

Age

Age

Race

White Men

White Women

Region

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Interview Type

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Adults. Interviews conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016, n=1145 MOE +/- 2.9 percentage points. New York Registered Voters: n=949 MOE +/- 3.2 percentage points. New York Likely Voters: n=676 MOE +/- 3.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Approve Disapprove Unsure

Row % Row % Row %60% 32% 7%

57% 36% 6%

Democrat 86% 9% 4%

Republican 13% 81% 6%

Independent 52% 42% 7%

Very liberal-Liberal 85% 10% 5%

Moderate 54% 40% 6%

Conservative-Very conservative 29% 66% 4%


Suburbs 45% 50% 5%

Upstate 53% 40% 7%

Less than $50,000 66% 26% 8%

$50,000 or more 58% 38% 4%



White 49% 45% 6%


Latino 78% 16% 6%

18 to 29 79% 14% 7%

30 to 44 58% 30% 12%

45 to 59 51% 45% 5%

60 or older 56% 37% 7%

Under 45 68% 22% 9%

45 or older 53% 41% 6%

Men 56% 35% 9%

Women 65% 29% 6%

White Men White men 42% 48% 10%

White Women White women 54% 42% 3%



Landline 54% 39% 8%


New York Adults

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

New York Adults

Region

Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Adults. Interviews conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016, n=1145 MOE +/- 2.9 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.^New York Registered Voters: n=949 MOE +/- 3.2 percentage points.


Party Identification^

Political Ideology^

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York State Tables of Adults and Registered Voters

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York State September 2016 1

Excellent Good Fair PoorUnsure-Never

Heard

Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %8% 32% 38% 17% 4%

Democrat 14% 42% 31% 9% 4%

Republican 2% 15% 44% 36% 3%

Independent 5% 32% 46% 14% 3%

Very liberal-Liberal 16% 38% 34% 8% 4%

Moderate 4% 34% 44% 14% 4%

Conservative-Very conservative 4% 23% 39% 30% 4%

New York City 10% 40% 35% 12% 4%

Suburbs 9% 29% 43% 16% 3%

Upstate 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%

Less than $50,000 9% 32% 39% 16% 4%

$50,000 or more 7% 33% 40% 17% 3%

Not college graduate 9% 31% 37% 19% 4%

College graduate 7% 33% 40% 16% 3%

White 7% 31% 38% 20% 4%

African American 9% 39% 42% 8% 2%

Latino 14% 28% 42% 13% 3%

18 to 29 7% 23% 53% 13% 4%

30 to 44 8% 29% 39% 21% 4%

45 to 59 7% 33% 35% 20% 4%

60 or older 11% 38% 32% 15% 4%

Under 45 7% 27% 45% 17% 4%

45 or older 9% 36% 34% 18% 4%

Men 8% 30% 40% 20% 3%

Women 9% 34% 37% 15% 5%

White Men White men 7% 27% 39% 26% 2%

White Women White women 7% 35% 38% 15% 6%

White - Not College Graduate 6% 31% 36% 24% 3%

White - College Graduate 8% 33% 40% 17% 3%

Landline 9% 34% 34% 18% 4%

Cell Phone 7% 29% 43% 17% 4%

Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race


Would you rate the job New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?



Race and Education

Interview Type

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Registered Voters. Interviews conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016, n=949 MOE +/- 3.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Age

Age

Gender



DateExcellent/

Good Fair/Poor Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

September 2016 40% 55% 8% 32% 38% 17% 4%

April 2016 41% 55% 7% 34% 34% 21% 5%

May 2015 37% 59% 4% 33% 38% 21% 4%

October 2014 44% 54% 9% 35% 37% 17% 2%

September 2014 42% 56% 8% 34% 38% 18% 2%

August 2014 47% 49% 8% 39% 34% 15% 4%

July 2014 48% 50% 9% 39% 33% 17% 2%

March 2014 42% 56% 7% 35% 38% 18% 3%

November 2013 52% 44% 8% 44% 31% 13% 3%

April 2013 54% 41% 12% 42% 27% 14% 5%

March 2013 56% 40% 12% 44% 27% 13% 5%

October 2012 59% 37% 15% 44% 30% 7% 3%

April 2012 58% 38% 14% 44% 29% 9% 5%

January 2012 58% 36% 12% 46% 29% 7% 7%

November 2011 55% 39% 9% 46% 32% 7% 6%

August 2011 56% 34% 12% 44% 24% 10% 10%

May 2011 54% 37% 10% 44% 31% 6% 9%

January 2011 48% 33% 9% 39% 28% 5% 19%

Marist Poll New York Registered Voters

Would you rate the job Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

New York State Registered Voters




Heard


Democrat 25% 41% 20% 4% 9%

Republican 11% 24% 36% 24% 4%

Independent 11% 37% 30% 14% 8%


Moderate 15% 39% 27% 10% 10%


New York City 19% 39% 23% 9% 10%

Suburbs 17% 35% 31% 14% 3%

Upstate 15% 34% 28% 12% 10%

Less than $50,000 17% 34% 28% 9% 11%

$50,000 or more 17% 39% 27% 13% 5%



White 18% 36% 26% 12% 7%


Latino 16% 31% 32% 8% 12%

18 to 29 6% 36% 37% 8% 14%

30 to 44 15% 33% 31% 11% 9%

45 to 59 15% 36% 28% 14% 6%

60 or older 26% 38% 18% 12% 6%

Under 45 11% 34% 34% 10% 11%

45 or older 21% 37% 23% 13% 6%

Men 15% 32% 31% 15% 7%

Women 18% 40% 24% 9% 10%





Landline 21% 34% 24% 14% 7%

Cell Phone 12% 38% 31% 9% 10%


Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender



Political Ideology

Region

Household Income



Date Excellent/Good Fair/Poor Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure-Never Heard

September 2016 53% 39% 17% 36% 27% 12% 8%

May 2015 54% 40% 15% 39% 28% 12% 6%

September 2014 54% 42% 18% 36% 29% 13% 5%

July 2014 54% 41% 17% 37% 27% 14% 4%

March 2014 53% 44% 15% 38% 30% 14% 3%

November 2013 56% 41% 17% 39% 26% 15% 4%

April 2013 58% 37% 19% 39% 24% 13% 6%

March 2013 54% 39% 16% 38% 26% 13% 7%

October 2012 55% 40% 18% 37% 27% 13% 5%

April 2012 54% 41% 18% 36% 25% 16% 5%

January 2012 56% 39% 18% 38% 27% 12% 5%

November 2011 56% 41% 18% 38% 26% 15% 3%

May 2011 56% 40% 17% 39% 26% 14% 4%

January 2011 59% 37% 22% 37% 28% 9% 5%

October 30, 2010 55% 40% 20% 35% 25% 15% 5%

October 22, 2010 53% 43% 19% 34% 26% 17% 4%

September 28, 2010 47% 50% 15% 32% 31% 19% 3%

March 11, 2010 50% 47% 14% 36% 31% 16% 3%

March 29, 2010 51% 45% 13% 38% 28% 17% 4%

March 2, 2010 53% 43% 12% 41% 28% 15% 4%

February 1, 2010 47% 48% 11% 36% 31% 17% 5%

January 15, 2010 51% 42% 13% 38% 24% 18% 7%

November 23, 2009 54% 42% 17% 37% 29% 13% 4%

September 17, 2009 58% 39% 17% 41% 26% 13% 3%

July 1, 2009 54% 42% 15% 39% 27% 15% 4%

May 4, 2009 55% 39% 18% 37% 25% 14% 6%

March 3, 2009 57% 38% 17% 40% 25% 13% 5%

October 28, 2008 55% 33% 20% 35% 20% 13% 12%

April 9, 2008 57% 37% 15% 42% 27% 10% 6%

March 27, 2007 57% 32% 20% 37% 23% 9% 11%

October 20, 2006 55% 40% 19% 36% 32% 8% 5%

July 19, 2006 58% 35% 13% 45% 27% 8% 7%

May 10, 2006 56% 35% 15% 41% 27% 8% 9%

January 2006(Release: February 1st)

57% 35% 15% 42% 23% 12% 8%

September 30, 2005 55% 36% 17% 38% 25% 11% 9%

April 12, 2005 58% 32% 15% 43% 24% 8% 10%

October 28, 2004 61% 29% 19% 42% 21% 8% 10%

September 17, 2004 50% 40% 13% 37% 29% 11% 10%

April 19, 2004 54% 35% 13% 41% 27% 8% 11%

January 14, 2004 58% 30% 14% 44% 23% 7% 12%

September 22, 2003 52% 40% 12% 40% 30% 10% 8%

April 10, 2003 52% 35% 10% 42% 27% 8% 13%

December 15, 2002 53% 36% 11% 42% 28% 8% 11%

September 16, 2002 52% 35% 9% 43% 27% 8% 13%

April 20, 2002 55% 32% 11% 44% 26% 6% 13%

December 12, 2001 54% 31% 12% 42% 24% 7% 15%

April 9, 2001 49% 34% 12% 37% 26% 8% 17%

December 1, 2000 51% 31% 13% 38% 22% 9% 18%

March 31, 2000 39% 34% 9% 30% 27% 7% 27%

September 24, 1999 44% 39% 9% 35% 31% 8% 17%

March 10, 1999 41% 33% 7% 34% 23% 10% 26%


Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?





Heard


Democrat 20% 37% 17% 3% 23%

Republican 3% 20% 39% 23% 16%

Independent 7% 34% 33% 8% 18%


Moderate 11% 31% 29% 6% 23%


New York City 11% 33% 24% 6% 26%

Suburbs 13% 29% 32% 8% 18%

Upstate 11% 33% 25% 13% 18%

Less than $50,000 9% 31% 28% 8% 23%

$50,000 or more 11% 37% 25% 9% 18%



White 12% 34% 25% 10% 18%


Latino 13% 24% 36% 5% 23%

18 to 29 6% 24% 37% 6% 26%

30 to 44 9% 32% 29% 5% 24%

45 to 59 10% 35% 24% 13% 17%

60 or older 18% 33% 20% 10% 18%

Under 45 8% 29% 33% 6% 25%

45 or older 14% 34% 22% 12% 18%

Men 8% 30% 29% 12% 20%

Women 14% 34% 24% 7% 22%





Landline 12% 33% 24% 10% 21%

Cell Phone 10% 31% 29% 8% 21%

Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race

New York Registered VotersWould you rate the job Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or

poor?



Race and Education

Interview Type


Age

Age

Gender



Date

Excellent/ Good

Fair/Poor Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure-Never Heard

September 2016 43% 35% 11% 32% 26% 9% 21%

May 2015 45% 38% 12% 33% 28% 10% 18%

September 2014 48% 40% 15% 33% 30% 10% 12%

July 2014 49% 38% 15% 34% 29% 9% 14%

March 2014 45% 43% 10% 35% 31% 12% 11%

November 2013 47% 42% 13% 34% 30% 12% 12%

April 2013 48% 36% 13% 35% 27% 9% 17%

March 2013 50% 36% 9% 41% 24% 12% 14%

October 2012 55% 36% 13% 42% 28% 8% 10%

April 2012 42% 42% 11% 31% 28% 14% 16%

January 2012 40% 41% 6% 34% 29% 12% 18%

November 2011 41% 43% 8% 33% 32% 11% 16%

May 2011 41% 42% 9% 32% 31% 11% 17%

January 2011 49% 39% 13% 36% 29% 10% 12%

October 30, 2010 36% 48% 6% 30% 30% 18% 16%

October 22, 2010 35% 47% 6% 29% 32% 15% 18%

September 28, 2010 27% 56% 4% 23% 38% 18% 17%

May 11, 2010 27% 51% 3% 24% 37% 14% 22%

March 29, 2010 27% 51% 2% 25% 34% 17% 22%

March 2, 2010 25% 53% 3% 22% 38% 15% 22%

February 1, 2010 24% 51% 2% 22% 33% 18% 25%

January 15, 2010 24% 51% 2% 22% 33% 18% 25%

November 23, 2009 25% 51% 3% 22% 39% 12% 24%

September 17, 2009 26% 47% 3% 23% 38% 9% 27%

July 1, 2009 24% 43% 3% 21% 30% 13% 33%

May 4, 2009 19% 38% 2% 17% 28% 10% 43%

March 3, 2009 18% 32% 3% 15% 27% 5% 50%


Would you rate the job Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?




Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure


Democrat 41% 42% 11% 4% 1%

Republican 4% 9% 16% 69% 2%

Independent 14% 28% 30% 28% 0%


Moderate 17% 32% 23% 26% 2%


New York City 33% 38% 13% 15% 1%

Suburbs 17% 26% 19% 37% 1%

Upstate 19% 26% 21% 33% 2%

Less than $50,000 25% 31% 22% 22% 1%

$50,000 or more 24% 29% 15% 31% 0%



White 18% 26% 20% 35% 1%


Latino 25% 40% 13% 20% 2%

18 to 29 19% 45% 21% 13% 1%

30 to 44 22% 32% 19% 26% 1%

45 to 59 20% 24% 19% 36% 1%

60 or older 30% 25% 14% 30% 1%

Under 45 21% 37% 20% 20% 1%

45 or older 25% 25% 16% 33% 1%

Men 18% 30% 19% 31% 2%

Women 28% 30% 17% 24% 1%





Landline 25% 24% 18% 31% 2%

Cell Phone 21% 38% 17% 23% 1%


Would you rate the job President Barack Obama is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?

Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender



Political Ideology

Region

Household Income



Excellent/Good

Fair/Poor Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

September 2016 53% 46% 23% 30% 18% 28% 1%

April 2016 52% 47% 22% 30% 19% 28% 0%

May 2015 46% 54% 14% 32% 23% 31% 1%

September 2014 39% 61% 12% 27% 28% 33% 1%

July 2014 45% 55% 15% 30% 23% 32% 0%

November 2013 40% 61% 11% 29% 25% 36% 0%

April 2013 52% 48% 19% 33% 22% 26% 1%

March 2013 50% 49% 21% 29% 22% 27% 0%

April 2012 47% 53% 18% 29% 22% 31% <1%

January 2012 46% 54% 13% 33% 26% 28% <1%

November 2011 44% 56% 14% 30% 27% 29% <1%

August 2011 46% 53% 12% 34% 25% 28% 2%

January 2011 53% 47% 17% 36% 25% 22% 1%

October 30, 2010 45% 55% 16% 29% 23% 32% <1%

October 22, 2010 45% 55% 16% 29% 22% 33% <1%

September 30, 2010 43% 56% 13% 30% 27% 29% 1%

September 24, 2010 47% 53% 16% 31% 22% 31% <1%

May 12, 2010 55% 45% 22% 33% 22% 23% <1%

March 29, 2010 53% 47% 21% 32% 21% 26% <1%

March 3, 2010 52% 47% 16% 36% 24% 23% 1%

February 3, 2010 46% 54% 13% 33% 27% 27% <1%

January 15, 2010 56% 43% 20% 36% 22% 21% 1%

November 23, 2009 55% 44% 18% 37% 24% 20% 1%

September 24, 2009 52% 46% 25% 27% 20% 26% 2%

September 14, 2009 57% 43% 23% 34% 23% 20% <1%

July 1, 2009 63% 36% 31% 32% 20% 16% 1%

May 4, 2009 64% 34% 33% 31% 20% 14% 2%

March 3, 2009 68% 28% 33% 35% 15% 13% 4%

January 27, 2009 60% 22% 28% 32% 16% 6% 18%


Would you rate the job President Barack Obama is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?




Right direction Wrong direction Unsure

Row % Row % Row %42% 51% 8%

Democrat 63% 29% 8%




Moderate 42% 50% 9%



Suburbs 43% 53% 4%

Upstate 35% 57% 7%

Less than $50,000 38% 52% 11%

$50,000 or more 46% 49% 5%



White 39% 54% 7%


Latino 50% 45% 5%

18 to 29 52% 44% 3%

30 to 44 40% 52% 7%

45 to 59 37% 57% 7%

60 or older 42% 47% 11%

Under 45 46% 49% 6%

45 or older 39% 52% 9%

Men 42% 53% 5%

Women 41% 49% 10%





Landline 38% 54% 9%


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race


In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York State, do you feel things are going in the right

direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?



Race and Education

Interview Type


Age

Age

Gender



Right direction Wrong direction Unsure

September 2016 42% 51% 8%

April 2016 43% 48% 9%

May 2015 43% 51% 6%

October 2014 45% 46% 9%

September 2014 43% 50% 7%

August 2014 48% 45% 7%

July 2014 47% 46% 6%

March 2014 50% 47% 3%

November 2013 50% 45% 5%

April 2013 53% 41% 6%

March 2013 51% 44% 4%

October 2012 56% 39% 6%

April 2012 51% 43% 6%

January 2012 52% 40% 8%

November 2011 43% 49% 7%

August 2011 46% 45% 9%

May 2011 41% 54% 6%

January 2011 42% 52% 6%

October 30, 2010 18% 78% 4%

October 22, 2010 21% 74% 5%

September 30, 2010 16% 79% 5%

September 24, 2010 24% 73% 3%

May 7, 2010 22% 72% 6%

March 26, 2010 16% 78% 6%

March 2, 2010 18% 76% 6%

February 3, 2010 21% 74% 5%

November 23, 2009 20% 75% 5%

September 16, 2009 22% 74% 4%

June 30, 2009 21% 74% 5%

May 4, 2009 27% 67% 6%

March 3, 2009 27% 65% 8%

October 2008 35% 57% 8%

April 2008 33% 59% 8%

March 2007 49% 43% 8%

October 2006 35% 56% 9%

July 2006 40% 52% 8%

May 2006 34% 61% 5%

January 2006 39% 54% 7%

September 2005 43% 50% 7%

April 2005 29% 65% 6%

October 2004 40% 54% 6%

September 2004 40% 54% 6%

April 2004 43% 51% 6%

January 2004 42% 46% 12%

September 2003 39% 54% 7%

April 2003 40% 53% 7%

December 2002 39% 52% 9%

October 30, 2002 51% 40% 9%

October 1, 2002 55% 37% 8%

September 2002 56% 38% 6%

May 2002 65% 28% 7%

April 2002 66% 28% 6%

December 2001 65% 25% 10%April 2001 58% 33% 9%

In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York State, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?





Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the

Democrats

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the

Republicans Neither Other Undecided


Strongly support 65% 35% 0% 0% 0%

Somewhat support 61% 39% 0% 0% 0%

Democrat 90% 6% 4% 0% 0%

Republican 12% 80% 7% 0% 1%

Independent 42% 36% 16% 2% 4%


Moderate 54% 33% 10% 1% 2%


New York City 73% 19% 6% 0% 1%

Suburbs 48% 44% 5% 1% 2%

Upstate 45% 38% 13% 1% 2%

Less than $50,000 60% 28% 11% 0% 1%

$50,000 or more 53% 37% 7% 1% 2%



White 46% 41% 10% 1% 2%


Latino 66% 26% 6% 0% 2%

18 to 29 62% 27% 8% 2% 1%

30 to 44 56% 28% 13% 0% 3%

45 to 59 49% 41% 7% 1% 2%

60 or older 57% 32% 8% 1% 2%

Under 45 59% 28% 11% 1% 2%

45 or older 53% 37% 8% 1% 2%

Men 47% 40% 10% 1% 2%

Women 63% 26% 9% 1% 1%





Landline 52% 35% 10% 1% 3%

Cell Phone 59% 31% 8% 1% 1%


2016 presidential election including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate

Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age


Intensity of Support


Political Ideology

Region




Strongly support Somewhat supportMight vote differently Unsure

Row % Row % Row % Row %64% 30% 5% 1%

Hillary Clinton 66% 29% 4% 1%

Donald Trump 61% 32% 8% 0%

Democrat 74% 22% 2% 1%

Republican 64% 28% 8% 0%

Independent 46% 44% 9% 0%

Very liberal-Liberal 69% 26% 5% 1%

Moderate 51% 39% 9% 0%

Conservative-Very conservative 73% 24% 3% 0%

New York City 63% 30% 5% 2%

Suburbs 60% 33% 6% 0%

Upstate 67% 27% 6% 0%

Less than $50,000 62% 32% 4% 2%

$50,000 or more 66% 28% 6% 0%

Not college graduate 67% 26% 7% 0%

College graduate 62% 33% 4% 0%

White 66% 28% 6% 0%

African American 70% 23% 5% 2%

Latino 53% 42% 5% 1%

18 to 29 38% 55% 7% 0%

30 to 44 69% 21% 8% 2%

45 to 59 68% 27% 5% 0%

60 or older 73% 24% 3% 0%

Under 45 55% 36% 8% 1%

45 or older 70% 25% 4% 0%

Men 60% 33% 7% 1%

Women 68% 27% 4% 1%

White Men White men 65% 29% 6% 0%

White Women White women 66% 28% 6% 0%

White - Not College Graduate 68% 24% 7% 0%

White - College Graduate 64% 31% 5% 0%

Landline 68% 25% 5% 1%

Cell Phone 59% 35% 6% 0%

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

New York Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference

Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?


Race and Education

Interview Type

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016, n=781 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender



Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

Donald Trump, the Republican

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian

Jill Stein, of the Green Party Other Undecided

Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %50% 31% 8% 6% 2% 3%

Democrat 83% 5% 4% 5% 2% 0%

Republican 12% 77% 3% 3% 0% 5%

Independent 34% 32% 16% 9% 3% 6%

Very liberal-Liberal 73% 9% 6% 10% 1% 0%

Moderate 49% 29% 10% 4% 3% 4%

Conservative-Very conservative 24% 60% 8% 3% 1% 5%

New York City 67% 19% 3% 5% 3% 1%

Suburbs 43% 39% 9% 5% 1% 3%

Upstate 40% 35% 11% 6% 3% 5%

Less than $50,000 54% 26% 7% 7% 3% 2%

$50,000 or more 48% 35% 8% 4% 2% 3%

Not college graduate 47% 34% 9% 6% 2% 2%

College graduate 53% 27% 7% 6% 3% 4%

White 42% 38% 9% 5% 3% 4%

African American 80% 8% 4% 5% 3% 1%

Latino 56% 24% 7% 8% 3% 3%

18 to 29 47% 21% 15% 13% 3% 1%

30 to 44 52% 27% 8% 6% 2% 5%

45 to 59 44% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3%

60 or older 57% 32% 3% 2% 3% 4%

Under 45 50% 24% 11% 9% 2% 3%

45 or older 50% 35% 6% 3% 3% 3%

Men 40% 37% 11% 6% 2% 3%

Women 59% 24% 5% 5% 3% 3%

White Men White men 33% 45% 12% 5% 2% 4%

White Women White women 49% 31% 7% 6% 3% 4%

White - Not College Graduate 34% 44% 10% 6% 2% 3%

White - College Graduate 48% 32% 8% 5% 3% 4%

Landline 49% 33% 7% 4% 3% 5%

Cell Phone 51% 28% 9% 8% 2% 2%


2016 presidential election including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate [multi-candidate field]



Age

Age

Gender

Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race

Race and Education

Interview Type




Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard

Row % Row % Row %49% 46% 5%

46% 50% 4%

Hillary Clinton 80% 16% 4%

Donald Trump 4% 95% 1%

Democrat 75% 22% 3%




Moderate 44% 51% 5%



Suburbs 37% 58% 5%

Upstate 44% 52% 3%

Less than $50,000 56% 39% 5%

$50,000 or more 44% 52% 4%



White 41% 55% 4%


Latino 53% 39% 7%

18 to 29 41% 51% 7%

30 to 44 55% 38% 7%

45 to 59 45% 52% 3%

60 or older 53% 43% 4%

Under 45 49% 44% 7%

45 or older 49% 48% 3%

Men 40% 55% 5%

Women 57% 38% 6%





Landline 47% 48% 6%



Candidate Support


Political Ideology^

Interview Type


Age

Gender

Race and Education

Region

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

New York AdultsOverall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of

Hillary Clinton?

New York Adults



Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard

Row % Row % Row %26% 69% 5%

27% 69% 4%



Democrat 6% 92% 2%




Moderate 24% 71% 6%



Suburbs 38% 58% 5%

Upstate 32% 63% 4%

Less than $50,000 23% 72% 5%

$50,000 or more 28% 68% 4%



White 32% 62% 6%


Latino 26% 71% 3%

18 to 29 20% 77% 4%

30 to 44 26% 69% 5%

45 to 59 33% 62% 5%

60 or older 24% 71% 6%

Under 45 23% 72% 4%

45 or older 28% 66% 5%

Men 33% 62% 5%

Women 20% 76% 5%





Landline 27% 67% 6%


New York Adults

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

Gender

New York Adults

Region

Household Income

Education

Race

Race and Education

Interview Type



Candidate Support


Political Ideology^

Age

Age



Charles Schumer, the Democrat

Wendy Long, the Republican Other Undecided

Row % Row % Row % Row %69% 24% <1% 7%

Strongly support 81% 19% 0% 0%

Somewhat support 71% 29% 0% 0%

Might vote differently 59% 41% 0% 0%

Democrat 92% 4% 0% 4%




Moderate 74% 20% 0% 6%



Suburbs 67% 30% 0% 3%

Upstate 60% 32% 0% 8%

Less than $50,000 71% 20% 0% 8%

$50,000 or more 69% 26% 0% 5%



White 65% 29% 0% 6%


Latino 71% 19% 0% 10%

18 to 29 66% 25% 0% 9%

30 to 44 73% 20% 0% 6%

45 to 59 64% 29% 0% 7%

60 or older 73% 21% 0% 5%

Under 45 70% 22% 0% 8%

45 or older 69% 25% 0% 6%

Men 62% 30% 0% 8%

Women 75% 19% 0% 6%





Landline 70% 23% 0% 7%

Cell Phone 68% 25% 1% 6%


Intensity of Support


Political Ideology

Region

New York Registered Voters2016 New York election for U.S. Senate including those who are undecided yet

leaning toward a candidate


Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age



Strongly support Somewhat supportMight vote differently Unsure

Row % Row % Row % Row %51% 37% 11% 2%

Charles Schumer 55% 35% 8% 2%

Wendy Long 38% 42% 17% 2%



Democrat 66% 29% 4% 1%




Moderate 45% 42% 12% 1%



Suburbs 47% 37% 13% 3%

Upstate 47% 40% 12% 1%

Less than $50,000 52% 34% 11% 3%

$50,000 or more 50% 39% 10% 1%



White 52% 37% 10% 1%


Latino 43% 40% 13% 3%

18 to 29 28% 50% 21% 1%

30 to 44 47% 41% 10% 2%

45 to 59 53% 36% 10% 2%

60 or older 64% 27% 6% 2%

Under 45 39% 45% 15% 1%

45 or older 59% 32% 8% 2%

Men 47% 39% 12% 2%

Women 54% 35% 9% 2%





Landline 55% 34% 9% 3%

Cell Phone 45% 41% 13% 1%


Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?


Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age

Candidate Support

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted September 21st through September 23rd, 2016, n=833 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Neither Unsure

Row % Row % Row % Row %56% 30% 2% 12%



Democrat 82% 10% 1% 7%




Moderate 56% 30% 0% 14%


New York City 68% 20% 1% 11%

Suburbs 50% 36% 1% 13%

Upstate 51% 34% 4% 11%

Less than $50,000 61% 26% 1% 11%

$50,000 or more 57% 33% 2% 8%



White 51% 35% 2% 12%


Latino 54% 34% 2% 9%

18 to 29 60% 35% 1% 5%

30 to 44 58% 28% 5% 9%

45 to 59 52% 34% 2% 11%

60 or older 57% 24% 1% 18%

Under 45 59% 31% 3% 7%

45 or older 55% 29% 2% 14%

Men 50% 37% 3% 10%

Women 62% 23% 2% 13%





Landline 53% 28% 3% 15%

Cell Phone 60% 32% 1% 7%

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

New York Registered VotersIn the debate, who do you think is more likely to do each of the following: Win

the debate?


Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender




Row % Row % Row % Row %43% 45% 4% 9%



Democrat 66% 26% 2% 7%




Moderate 40% 48% 4% 8%


New York City 53% 35% 3% 10%

Suburbs 32% 55% 5% 8%

Upstate 40% 47% 5% 8%

Less than $50,000 48% 40% 4% 8%

$50,000 or more 42% 49% 4% 6%



White 37% 49% 6% 8%


Latino 46% 46% 1% 7%

18 to 29 48% 45% 4% 4%

30 to 44 44% 46% 2% 8%

45 to 59 40% 49% 4% 6%

60 or older 41% 39% 6% 15%

Under 45 45% 45% 3% 6%

45 or older 40% 44% 5% 10%

Men 37% 50% 5% 8%

Women 47% 40% 4% 9%





Landline 39% 45% 5% 11%

Cell Phone 48% 44% 3% 5%

New York Registered VotersIn the debate, who do you think is more likely to do each of the following:

Deliver a knockout answer or comment?


Candidate Support

Race

Age

Age

Gender


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Interview Type





Row % Row % Row % Row %72% 20% 3% 5%



Democrat 93% 5% 0% 1%




Moderate 77% 16% 2% 5%



Suburbs 67% 22% 4% 7%

Upstate 67% 25% 4% 4%

Less than $50,000 76% 17% 2% 5%

$50,000 or more 72% 21% 3% 4%



White 69% 23% 3% 6%


Latino 70% 23% 2% 5%

18 to 29 76% 18% 1% 5%

30 to 44 72% 19% 4% 5%

45 to 59 68% 26% 3% 3%

60 or older 73% 16% 3% 8%

Under 45 73% 19% 3% 5%

45 or older 71% 21% 3% 6%

Men 67% 23% 3% 7%

Women 76% 17% 3% 4%





Landline 71% 19% 3% 7%

Cell Phone 73% 22% 3% 3%


Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

New York Registered VotersIn the debate, who do you think is more likely to do each of the following: Know

about the issues?


Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age




Row % Row % Row % Row %18% 72% 2% 9%



Democrat 7% 89% 1% 4%




Moderate 14% 77% 2% 8%



Suburbs 21% 68% 1% 10%

Upstate 20% 68% 2% 9%

Less than $50,000 17% 72% 0% 10%

$50,000 or more 17% 76% 1% 6%



White 19% 70% 1% 10%


Latino 26% 65% 2% 6%

18 to 29 23% 72% 1% 3%

30 to 44 16% 72% 2% 9%

45 to 59 20% 70% 2% 8%

60 or older 13% 72% 2% 13%

Under 45 19% 72% 2% 7%

45 or older 17% 71% 2% 11%

Men 22% 66% 3% 9%

Women 13% 77% 1% 9%





Landline 16% 70% 2% 12%

Cell Phone 19% 74% 1% 5%

New York Registered VotersIn the debate, who do you think is more likely to do each of the following: Make

a major mistake?


Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income




Row % Row % Row % Row %55% 33% 8% 4%



Democrat 84% 9% 5% 2%




Moderate 53% 34% 10% 3%



Suburbs 51% 36% 10% 3%

Upstate 49% 38% 10% 3%

Less than $50,000 63% 28% 5% 4%

$50,000 or more 53% 36% 9% 2%



White 51% 37% 8% 3%


Latino 53% 33% 6% 8%

18 to 29 56% 33% 9% 2%

30 to 44 54% 33% 10% 3%

45 to 59 51% 38% 9% 2%

60 or older 60% 29% 5% 6%

Under 45 55% 33% 10% 3%

45 or older 55% 33% 7% 4%

Men 47% 39% 10% 3%

Women 63% 27% 6% 4%





Landline 54% 32% 8% 5%

Cell Phone 56% 34% 9% 1%


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education


Answer the questions directly?


Candidate Support

Race and Education

Interview Type


Race

Age

Age

Gender




Row % Row % Row % Row %47% 29% 20% 4%



Democrat 76% 8% 13% 3%




Moderate 42% 26% 27% 5%


New York City 60% 16% 21% 3%

Suburbs 40% 37% 18% 6%

Upstate 41% 35% 21% 2%

Less than $50,000 54% 25% 16% 4%

$50,000 or more 44% 32% 21% 2%



White 41% 35% 21% 4%


Latino 54% 27% 15% 3%

18 to 29 49% 22% 27% 2%

30 to 44 47% 28% 23% 3%

45 to 59 43% 37% 17% 3%

60 or older 51% 26% 17% 6%

Under 45 48% 25% 25% 2%

45 or older 47% 32% 17% 4%

Men 38% 35% 23% 4%

Women 56% 23% 17% 4%





Landline 45% 29% 21% 5%

Cell Phone 50% 28% 20% 2%


Inspire you?

Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age


Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region




Make nasty comments about

each otherDiscuss important

issuesRepeat lines from

campaign speechesHave a major

gaffe or mistake Unsure


Hillary Clinton 35% 30% 21% 6% 8%

Donald Trump 36% 29% 23% 6% 6%

Democrat 32% 32% 22% 6% 8%

Republican 41% 28% 18% 5% 8%

Independent 40% 20% 27% 7% 6%


Moderate 42% 22% 21% 8% 7%


New York City 37% 28% 19% 6% 11%

Suburbs 36% 24% 28% 6% 6%

Upstate 37% 29% 20% 6% 8%

Less than $50,000 35% 31% 19% 7% 9%

$50,000 or more 39% 25% 24% 7% 6%



White 37% 26% 24% 5% 8%


Latino 34% 31% 20% 5% 10%

18 to 29 41% 27% 25% 4% 3%

30 to 44 38% 27% 19% 5% 10%

45 to 59 37% 27% 22% 8% 6%

60 or older 31% 28% 20% 6% 14%

Under 45 40% 27% 22% 4% 7%

45 or older 35% 27% 21% 7% 10%

Men 34% 25% 26% 7% 8%

Women 40% 29% 17% 5% 9%





Landline 33% 26% 22% 7% 12%

Cell Phone 41% 29% 20% 5% 4%

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income


Do you expect to see a debate where the candidates mostly:


Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender



More like an informative discussion

More like a reality TV show Unsure

Row % Row % Row %31% 63% 6%



Democrat 32% 63% 5%




Moderate 27% 68% 5%



Suburbs 29% 64% 7%

Upstate 29% 66% 5%

Less than $50,000 32% 59% 8%

$50,000 or more 31% 65% 4%



White 30% 64% 6%


Latino 31% 58% 11%

18 to 29 27% 69% 5%

30 to 44 26% 67% 6%

45 to 59 31% 65% 4%

60 or older 38% 53% 9%

Under 45 26% 68% 6%

45 or older 34% 59% 7%

Men 34% 61% 5%

Women 28% 64% 8%





Landline 33% 58% 9%



Do you think the debate will be:


Candidate Support

Race

Age

Age

Gender


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income

Education

Race and Education

Interview Type




A great deal A good amount Some Not very much Not at all


Hillary Clinton 9% 7% 13% 19% 51%

Donald Trump 7% 10% 22% 19% 42%

Democrat 9% 7% 13% 18% 54%

Republican 5% 7% 20% 22% 46%

Independent 7% 10% 21% 22% 39%


Moderate 7% 7% 26% 19% 40%


New York City 11% 11% 13% 22% 43%

Suburbs 6% 8% 19% 21% 46%

Upstate 5% 6% 21% 16% 52%

Less than $50,000 12% 10% 16% 21% 41%

$50,000 or more 4% 7% 18% 19% 52%



White 4% 7% 20% 20% 49%


Latino 17% 12% 12% 18% 41%

18 to 29 15% 13% 12% 23% 37%

30 to 44 6% 7% 20% 21% 47%

45 to 59 6% 8% 18% 19% 49%

60 or older 6% 5% 20% 16% 53%

Under 45 10% 9% 16% 22% 43%

45 or older 6% 7% 19% 18% 51%

Men 8% 8% 17% 21% 47%

Women 7% 8% 18% 18% 48%





Landline 6% 9% 19% 19% 47%

Cell Phone 9% 7% 17% 20% 48%


Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region


Will the debates help you decide your vote:


Gender

Race and Education

Interview Type

Household Income

Education

Race

Age

Age



All Most Some None

Row % Row % Row % Row %44% 16% 26% 14%



Democrat 46% 15% 25% 14%




Moderate 41% 18% 33% 9%


New York City 45% 16% 26% 12%

Suburbs 50% 17% 22% 11%

Upstate 39% 16% 28% 17%

Less than $50,000 40% 15% 27% 19%

$50,000 or more 48% 18% 23% 10%



White 45% 17% 25% 13%


Latino 51% 13% 26% 10%

18 to 29 31% 16% 35% 18%

30 to 44 37% 17% 30% 16%

45 to 59 47% 16% 23% 14%

60 or older 54% 16% 20% 10%

Under 45 35% 17% 32% 17%

45 or older 50% 16% 22% 12%

Men 41% 17% 29% 14%

Women 46% 16% 24% 14%





Landline 49% 15% 25% 11%

Cell Phone 37% 18% 27% 18%

New York Registered VotersDo you plan to watch all, most, some or none of Monday night's presidential

debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump?


Race and Education

Interview Type


Education

Race

Age

Age

Gender

Candidate Support


Political Ideology

Region

Household Income



how the survey was conducted nature of the sample: nbc 4...

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