how not to fail at lean: dealing with enterprise-wide
TRANSCRIPT
How Not to Fail at Lean: Dealing with Enterprise-Wide Pitfalls That Derail
Most Lean JourneysOkl h C f M f t iOklahoma Conference on ManufacturingTuesday, Sept. 21, 2010 – Norman, OK
Presenter: Richard J. Schonberger177 107th Ave., N.E., #2101177 107th Ave., N.E., #2101
Bellevue, WA 98004 USA – Tel/Fax [email protected]
Schonberger & Associates
This presentation includes research and topical materials in new Richard Schonberger book (Wiley 2008):in new Richard Schonberger book (Wiley, 2008):
Best Practices in Lean Six Sigma Process Improvement:A Deeper Look
. . . with Telling Evidence from the Leanness Studies
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Lean’s Woes and Blind Spots Some in Every Company/Industry – ExamplesSome in Every Company/Industry – Examples• No recognition of/emphasis on lean’s huge
customer-side benefits; so lean treated as ;operational, not competitive, not strategic
• So many product models, parts, suppliers, customers you can’t even find the value streamscustomers you can’t even find the value streams
• Persistent, wrong-headed financial hurdles• Things going wrong everywhere all the time—and g g g g y
no systematic recording of the wrongs• 95% of lean done by 5% of company people
L l d ti b i h i d• Level-production obsession . . . when main need is for flexible reaction to yo-yo customer demand
• Lean is fat . . . in administration
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Lean is fat . . . in administration• And many more
Strategy of the Firm
Lean, etc., must conform to the firm’s
Process Improvement:
to the firm s strategies
Process Improvement: Lean, 6 Sigma, etc.
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Schonberger & Associates
Schonberger & Associates
Process Improvement: Lean, 6 Sigma, etc.Lean, 6 Sigma, etc.
Strategy ofthe Firm
Strategies must include
processthe Firm process improvement
(lean, etc.)
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Leanness Studies 1994-2010Leanness Studies, 1994 2010Main research question: How to sustain leannessCommon hard-data measure: Inventory turnoverCommon, hard data measure: Inventory turnoverScope:• 1350 inventory-intensive companies in 36 countriesy p• All publicly-held, using audited financial records • At least 15 & up to 50 years’ data displayed on graphs• Inspection-based scoring/grading for each graph:
Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative 10-or-more-year y , p ; g ytrend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of negative trend, plus ½
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10Grades for 4 Oklahoma ManufacturersInventory
Turns
8
9
La-Z-Boy (acquired by Sears, ‘07): B
Nestle Purina Petcare (sub. Of Nestle, Swiss): C
6
7 Goodyear: C+
4
5
2
3
0
1
1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
Idex, parent of Corken (compressors, pumps) – Up 3.8% per year, for 14 years: A
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1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010Year
Issue: What Support Does the Lean Agenda Get from Its Stakeholders?
• Strong—Operations: Visible see-and-do• Weak or temporal—Senior Executives . . .
A i it t O ti– Assign it to Operations– Treat as “head-count reduction” – Rotate out; New exec. team has other ideas;– Bored by lean, movin’ on—to other strategies
• Uninterested—Boards, investors, general publicP C ti ti fi t i• Perverse—Costing, accounting, finance, metrics
• Antagonistic—Marketing
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Long-Term Lean Trends – Evidenced by Inventory Turnover Patterns Best to Worst, by Sector#
Sample SampleSampleSectors Size
1 Telecom 382 Petroleum 533 Paper 27
Sample Sectors Size
17 Retail 15518 Paper-converted products 6119 Apparel/sewn products 443 Paper 27
4 Electric 965 Wire & cable 286 Distribution/wholesaling 69
/ 282
19 Apparel/sewn products 4420 Forest products 5221 Chemicals 12622 Medical devices/supplies 6023 & 667 Metalworking/machining 282
8 Electronics 2689 Pump/hydraulic/pressure 7110 Sheet metal 67
23 Motors & engines 6624 Personal-care products 3325 Liquid/gas/powder/grains 36726 Instruments/test equipment 49
11 Vehicles (light) 3412 Machinery 14613 Plastic/rubber/glass/ceramic 24514 Semiconductors 51
q p27 Furniture 2128 Aerospace-defense 6529 Basic metal processing 6630 Food/beverage/tobacco 14114 Semiconductors 51
15 Heavy industrial vehicles 6416 Vehicular components 108
30 Food/beverage/tobacco 14131 Textiles 4332 Pharmaceuticals 80
#Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative
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Positive 10 to 50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5 7 years, 1 point; negative 10-or-more-year trend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of negative trend, plus ½
Includes companies acquired/merged/dissolved/privatized in last 5 years
As of 7/27/10
Vital for Lean/SCM: Marketing/Sales Buy-ing yDominion over huge distribution stocks
• Sales/marketing tendencies– More SKU’s, more inventory; hooked on y
“bullwhip”-inducing promotions– Disinterest in lean-as-waste-removal
But Abiding interest in better service– But . . . Abiding interest in better service to customers
• Prescription: Redefine, promote lean/SCM’s strong customer-serving attributes
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SKU: Stock-keeping unit SCM: Supply-chain management
Lean: Great Practice, Wrongly PresentedF W t P t C t B f HFocus on Waste Puts Cart Before Horse
WastesWastes
• Lean corrected: Customer first—i e what all• Lean corrected: Customer first—i.e., what allcustomers want, namely: continuous improvementin response time & flexibility, plus quality & value
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• Waste elimination: Valued enabler, not essence
“Lean” and Close Surrogate Inventory“Lean” and Close Surrogate, Inventory
• Lean’s main benefits:• Lean s main benefits:– Reduce response time—in all things– Find problems before they fester,
b f t il f ldbefore trail of causes grows cold– Halt dependence on age-deteriorating
item forecasts• Inventory: Catch basin for multitude of
ills standing in the way of the above
But keep in mind: Reducing lead time (cycle ti ti ) i f t t i t
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time, response time) is foremost—not inventory
Improving the Inventory TrendsImproving the Inventory Trends
• Inventory is an echo• Inventory reductions: Must come from• Inventory reductions: Must come from
intensive management of “basics”• Inventory reduction as managed goal fails:
– Is easily manipulated– Must be seen as result of improvements
from all parts of the greater enterprisep g p
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Lean Support: From Strong to AntagonisticLean Support: From Strong to Antagonistic
• Strong—Operations: Visible see and do• Weak or temporal—Senior Executives . . .
A i it t O ti– Assign it to Operations– Treat as “head-count reduction” – Rotate out; new exec. team has other ideas;– Bored by lean, movin’ on—to other strategies
• Uninterested—Boards, investors, general publicP C ti ti fi t i• Perverse—Costing, accounting, finance, metrics
• Antagonistic—Marketing
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Lean Supply ChainsLean Supply ChainsInventory “Hot Potato” – Large Obstacle
What to do . . .1. Recognize: Inventory on other party’s
books just hides problems; you pay regardlessregardless
2. Demonstrate: High cost & non-cost impacts of that hidingg
3. Dilbert . . .
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X XXXXX
XXXX
XXXX
XXXXX
XXX
Raw material turnover: Easily hides the truththe truth
Superior metric: Joint inventory
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Balance-Sheet Gamesmanship Corrective Actions
• Intensive collaboration: Fix/simplify inter-company processes—go to the interface
• VMI (vendor-managed inventory):VMI (vendor-managed inventory):Supplier synchronizes to your usage rate—continuous replenishmentJ i t i t t i Wh t h• Joint-inventory metric: What you have + What supplier already made for you (checked by audit)
Right idea: Sockeye Supply Chain (Toronto) l i ft f “ t f i t ”
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claims software for “comanagement of inventory”
Capacity Starvation
Dealing with It
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Flexibly Quick Response (Lean’s Main Effect) Requires Plentiful Capacity
• Most manufacturers stingy (too lean) on production equipment—led astray by . . .
Bad metric: machine utilization– Bad metric: machine utilization– Overly financial justifications– Wrongly viewing idle equipment as wasteg y g q p
• Impacts– Can’t synchronize fabrication to assembly– Fuzzy order promising; excess lot sizes– Lost orders & customers (most vulnerable:
companies that bid on contracts)
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p )
Doing Capacity Right: ExamplesDoing Capacity Right: Examples
• Precor (high-end fitness equipment; lucrative contracts with fitness centers) – Lots of idle, dedicated machining equipment, so nodedicated machining equipment, so no machining delay when big order booked
• Ashland Technologies (an American Machinist 2009 “Best Assembler”) – Excess equipment for quick customer response
• Milliken (textiles) – 25-year strategy of plentifulMilliken (textiles) 25 year strategy of plentiful equipment; thus surviving Asian low costs via quick response & small-order capability
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Lean Support: From Strong to AntagonisticLean Support: From Strong to Antagonistic
• Strong—Operations: Visible see and do• Weak or temporal—Senior Executives . . .
A i it t O ti– Assign it to Operations– Treat as “head-count reduction” – Rotate out; new exec. team with other ideas;– Bored by lean, movin’ on—to other strategies
• Uninterested—Boards, investors, general publicP C ti ti fi t i• Perverse—Costing, accounting, finance, metrics
• Antagonistic—Marketing
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Unsung Stars of Lean – A Few ExamplesAmerican Greetings (greeting cards, etc.) Up 2.6% per yr. for 24 yrs.A d C ( t llit t l i t)* U 2 4% 27 <Andrew Corp. (satellite telecom equipment)* Up 2.4%, 27 yrs.<Applied Biosystems (life-science instruments)* Up 3.5%, 20 yrs.Cleveland: Brush Engineered Materials (2.8, 23)<; Nordson (2.8, 20)<;
Parker Hannifin (3 0 19)Parker Hannifin (3.0, 19)Cooper Industries (tools, electric generation) Up 2.5%, 30 yrs.<Heinz, H.J. (canned/processed foods) Up 1.8%, 35 yrs.< Hitachi Cable, Japan (wire & cable) Up 2.3%, 29 yrs.Hitachi Cable, Japan (wire & cable) Up 2.3%, 29 yrs.Illinois Tool Works (diverse industrial products) Up 2.9%, 23 yrs.Johnson & Johnson (med/pharma, personal-care) Up 1.6%, 22 yrs.Messer Griesheim, Germany (metalworking, other)* Up 2.8%, 29 yrs.y ( g ) p yMine Safety Appliances (gas masks, respirators, etc) Up 1.3%, 41 yrs.Philips, Netherlands (consumer electronics) Up 1.8%, 35 yrs.<Rolm & Haas (chemicals)* Up 1.8%, 33 yrs.( ) p ySkandinavisk Tobakscompagni, Sweden (tobacco)* Up 3.9%, 23 yrs.SKF, Sweden (bearings) Up 2.1%, 34 yrs.<Tennant (industrial sweepers) Up 2.0%, 34 yrs.
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( ) yWoolworths, Australia (supermarkets, other retail) Up 2.3%, 22 yrs.<Xerox (copiers) Up 1.9%, 43 yrs.<
As of 7-5-10 *acquired/merged
10Cooper: Its annual report does
crow about lean etc
InventoryTurns
8
9crow about lean, etc.
Cooper Industries
6
7
Cooper IndustriesUp 2.5% per year, 30 years: +2
4
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150Cooper IndustriesDays of
Inventory
120130140150
Purchased materialsWork-in-processFinished goods
90100110
Finished goodsTotal
50607080
20304050
01020
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
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1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010Year
10Three More of the UnsungInventory
Turns
8
9 Rohm & Haas* – Up 1.8per year, 33 years: +2
But . . . This is inventory reduction, not lean.Lean is: Lean Is as
6
7Hitachi Cable (Japan)
Up 1.9% per year, 28 years: +2 Lean is:Value-stream mappingKanbanKaizen events
Lean Does
4
5Kaizen eventsQuick setup5STakt timesWaste eliminationO i fl
2
3One-piece flowCells...
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J&J – Up 1.6%, 22 years: +2
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As of 7-5-10 *acquired/merged
L V l Ch i & I t S tLean Value Chain & Inventory Surrogate
• Lean value chain’s main benefits: Reduce response times; find problems early; makeresponse times; find problems early; make to current demand, not forecasts
• Each inventory unit . . .– Lengthens discovery time fouls causal– Lengthens discovery time, fouls causal
trail (lean/quick beats lot traceback)– Adds lead time (& carrying costs), loses
touch with customer & real demandtouch with customer & real demand
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Lean Support: From Strong to AntagonisticLean Support: From Strong to Antagonistic
• Strong—Operations: Visible see and do• Weak or temporal—Senior Executives . . .
A i it t O ti– Assign it to Operations– Treat as “head-count reduction” – Rotate out; new exec. team with other ideas;– Bored by lean, movin’ on—to other strategies
• Uninterested—Boards, investors, general publicP C ti ti fi t i• Perverse—Costing, accounting, finance, metrics
• Antagonistic—Marketing
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From Quality Digest, May 2008, pp. 46-48y , pp
Fatigue factor: Revealed by rising, then declining inventory turns many companies
U.S.: Decline-Rise-Decline-Rise-Decline
declining inventory turns, many companies
JIT fatigueJITComplacency Lean fatigueLean
1960 1975 1995 20101985
1960s-70s: Small Japanese sample
Japan: Rise-Decline-Rise
JIT/TPS JIT/TPS fatigue JIT/TPS
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The Lean Value Chain—Not Just OperationsDL f lli b l
Other
. . . DL falling below 10% of CGS while
purchased materials rising above 60%rising above 60% . . .
Calls for focus on extended supply chain
-- Ralph Keller, AME Pres.“Lean Core”
(focus on operations)
Lean supply/ distribution
p ,
operations)
De-proliferation
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De-Proliferation
Cut the Complexityandand
Lose the (Money) Losers
De-proliferation: Key to cost reduction & profitability (moreso than lean in
operations, or in supply/distribution)
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Profit Focused Lean PathwayProfit-Focused Lean PathwayDe-proliferation with Customer Partitioning
• Reduce numbers of: Parts (DFMA), product models, suppliers, machine makes even customersmakes, even customers
• Customer partitioning: Based on price/service, e.g., Great, Good-to-have, Barely tolerable
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DFMA: Design for manufacture & assembly
Focus on Money-Making Customers y g(Partitioning)
• Queen City Steel Treating Co.: Hiked price of entry; 3 customer tiers, lowest pay more, wait longerlonger
• Rohm & Haas Emulsions: Four customer tiers• Cutler-Hammer: Customers grouped into 100%
it 80% it 60% it itcommit, 80% commit, 60% commit, no commit• Illinois Tool Works: 500 companies refocus on
20% of “everything” that make 80% of profitsy g• Nypro: Cut customer base from 600 to 31;
Omni-Circuits from 200 to 20
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Long-Term Lean
Compounded Cash & Customer-Allegiance BenefitsAllegiance Benefits
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24
Lean in Regression: 3 AutomakersInventoryTurns
20
22
24
Toyota: Down 3.0% per year, 16 years
14
16
18
Ford: Down10 years
10
12
10 years
4
6
8
GM: Down 6 years
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2
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Lean’s +/- Compounding EffectsInventoryTurns
20
22
24
Toyota: Down 3.0% per year, 16 years
Plus effects of long upward trend:GM & Ford—28/25 years (until 2000s)Toyota—many years (until late ‘80s)
14
16
18
Ford: Down10 years
Toyota many years (until late 80s)• Of free cash, at compound interest• Of ever shorter lead times . . . withcompounding customer/supplier
10
12
10 yearsco-dependencies along value chain
4
6
8
GM: Down 6 years
Minus effects: Inventory growth . . .GM (6 yrs.), Ford (10), Toyota (16) • Eating cash, at compound interest
Losing touch with customers along
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1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
• Losing touch with customers alongvalue chain, with losses compounded
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24
Lean in Regression: 3 AutomakersInventoryTurns
20
22
24
Toyota: Down 3.0% per year, 16 years
14
16
18
Ford: Down10 years
10
12
10 years
4
6
8
GM: Down 6 years
0
2
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Long-Term Inventory Trend
How Valid as Lean Measuring Stick?How Valid as Lean Measuring Stick?
Good for groups of companies
Usually good for single company with stable line of business (e.g., Toyota, GM)
Less so for company with changing lines of business (e.g., General Electric)( g , )
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Sustainable Improvement, Best to Worst RegionsMetric: Long-Term Inventory Turnover#
SampleSectors Score Size
1 Nordic countries 68 67
RecentTrend
1 Nordic countries .68 673 United States .55 644 2 Germany/Austria .53 57 4 United Kingdom .53 73
Global Average .51 1,3685 Southern Europe .50 80 p6 Brazil/Canada/Mexico/Israel .48 94 7 Asiana/South Africa .39 120 8 Japan 39 2058 Japan .39 205 9 Benelux/Ireland .38 36
#Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative 10-
As of 7/29/10
or-more-year trend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of long negative trend, plus ½ Includes companies acquired/merged/dissolved/privatized in last 5 years
Schonberger & Associates
Sustainable Improvement, Best to Worst RegionsMetric: Long-Term Inventory Turnover#
SampleSectors Score Size
1 Nordic countries 68 67
RecentTrend
1 09 in ’031 Nordic countries .68 673 United States .55 644 2 Germany/Austria .53 57
1.09 in ’030.83 in ’02
4 United Kingdom .53 73Global Average .51 1,368
5 Southern Europe .50 80
1.20 in ’00
p6 Brazil/Canada/Mexico/Israel .48 94 7 Asiana/South Africa .39 120 8 Japan 39 2050 27 in ’038 Japan .39 205 9 Benelux/Ireland .38 36
#Positive 10-to-50 year trend, 2 points; same but lapse last 5-7 years, 1 point; negative 10-
0.27 in 03
As of 7/29/10
or-more-year trend, minus ½; 5-or-more-year reversal of long negative trend, plus ½ Includes companies acquired/merged/dissolved/privatized in last 5 years
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What Happens to Lean’s Best?
1. They get acquired2. They survive
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16Automotive Suppliers In/Recovering
from Bankruptcy
InventoryTurns
131415
from Bankruptcy
Modine – Up 4.0% per year, for 18 years 2 points
101112
Dana – Up 2.1% per year for 29 years – 2 points
for 18 years – 2 points
789 Eagle Picher – Up 1.6% per
year for 28 years – 2 points (privatized in ’04)
Each would be much worse off if not for many-year
4567 (privatized in 04) y y
compounded lean benefits
S L “ l ”234
1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
So: Lean “always” saves money—but leanness does not correlate
well with strong financials
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1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010Year
well with strong financials
56 Motor-Vehicle Assemblers Ranked on Inventory TrendPaccar-Kenworth* Kawasaki Heavy CaterpillarHarley-DavidsonTennantMagna Int’l.T t M t (I di )
KubotaFiat AutoIsuzuV l
DeereNissan DieselRenaultY h M t
Best
Tata Motors (India)Bajaj Auto (India)Ford MotorTerex
VolvoClaas KgaAMonaco CoachScania
Yamaha MotorsSuzuki MotorsKomatsuFleetwood EnterprTerex
Thor IndustriesHondaGeneral Motors
Scania Nacco IndustriesDaimlerNavistar
Fleetwood Enterpr.ManitowocVolkswagenHino Motors*General Motors
Hindustan MotorsNissanBMW
NavistarMillat TractorsToroMitsubishi Motors
Hino MotorsAudiDaihatsu Motors*Fuji Heavy-Subaru
JLG IndustriesPorscheMAN (Germany)
WinnebagoTrinity IndustriesPolaris
j yToyota MotorsToyota Industries*Champion Enterpr.Worst
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Ashok-LeylandAGCO
Peugeot-Citroen Oshkosh TruckMazda
*Not counting 2009—very bad year *Toyota affiliates
Realizing Lean’s Strategic Essenceg g
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Elevating Lean From Operational to Strategicg p gThe Terminology Factor
• Lean, lean sigma, TPS, JIT, SCM: Seen as operational/tactical (sometimes in head-operational/tactical (sometimes in headcount terms); strategic essence lost
• Strategic value shows itself in alternate term, “Time-based competition”Reference: George Stalk: “Time—The Next Source of Competitive Advantage,” (HBR, 1988), one ofof Competitive Advantage, (HBR, 1988), one of most widely cited business articles of 1980s
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Summary: Not Letting Lean Sink• Why lean? Retains/builds customers—based on flexibly
quick responsequick response Generates cash flow Relies on low-cost simplicity and common sensep y
• Course corrections: Fix accounting/metrics/performance management Hit what counts: External lean; De-proliferate Fight off bureaucratic tendencies
• Strong metrics: Shortened lead times; flexible• Strong metrics: Shortened lead times; flexible response; long-term reduced inventories
Copy of presentation: Your business card or request by email
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Copy of presentation: Your business card or request by [email protected]
Related Schonberger Articles – [email protected]“The Human (HR) Side of Lean,” Target, 4th Issue, 2009, pp. 54-59.“Overall Equipment Effectiveness: An Unworthy Metric,” Cost Management, May/June 09, pp. 46-48.q p y , g , y , pp“The Skinny on Lean Management: Learn Why This Process Falls Flat in Marketing . . . and Why It
Matters,” Sales & Marketing Management, Nov.-Dec. 2008, pp. 11-12“Tracking Toyota’s Position: Is This All-Out-for-Growth Automaker Losing Its Advantage?” APICS
Magazine, Sept./Oct. 2008, pp. 34-37.“The Evolving Global State of Lean ” Lean Manufacturing 2008 SME Summer 2008 pp 19-23The Evolving Global State of Lean, Lean Manufacturing 2008, SME, Summer 2008, pp. 19-23.“Lean Performance Management (Metrics Don’t Add Up),” Cost Management, Jan.-Feb., ‘08, pp. 5-10.“Unsung Stars of Lean,” Industrial Engineer, Feb. 2008, p. 22; “Faltering Lean,” Industrial Engineer,
Nov. 2007, p. 22; “Doing Off-Shore Assembly Right, Industrial Engineer, Aug. 2007, p. 26.“Japanese Production Management: An Evolution—With Mixed Success,” Journal of Operations
2 2 200 403 419Management, 25, Issue 2, March 2007, pp. 403-419.“Supply Chains: Tightening the Links,” Manufacturing Engineering, Sept. 2006, pp. 77-92.“Lean Extended: It’s Much More (and Less) than You Think,” Industrial Engr., Dec. 2005, pp.26-31.“Lean så in i Norden,” (“Nordic Countries: Lean Leaders”) Verkstäderna (Sweden), May 05, pp. 46-50“U K : Less Keen on Lean?” The Manufacturer (U K ) 2005 Lean Mfg Report April 2005 pp 5 9U.K.: Less Keen on Lean? The Manufacturer (U.K.), 2005 Lean Mfg. Report, April, 2005, pp. 5-9. “Quadrant Homes Applies Lean Concepts in Project Environment, Interfaces, Nov.-Dec. ‘04, 442-450.“Make Work Cells Work for You,” Quality Progress, April 2004, pp. 58-63.“Mandate to Grow,” Cost Management, March-April 2004, pp. 43-44.“Is South African Manufacturing Lean?” Management Today (S. Africa), Feb., 2004, pp. 22-23g g y ( ), , , pp“Canada Needs to Go on a Lean Diet,” Advanced Manufacturing, July-Aug 2003.“How Lean/TQ Helps Deter Cooking the Books,” Cost Mgmt., lead article, May-June 2003, pp. 5-14.“Your Lean Team: Use It or Lose It,” Target, cover-story article, 1st qtr., 2003, pp. 13-21.“Kanban at the Nexus,” lead article, Production & Inventory Mgmt. Journal, 3rd-4th qtrs., ‘02, pp. 1-12.
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“Jack Spratt Diet: Schonberger Talks Lean with the Likes of Toyota,” cover story article, The Manufacturer (U.K. edition), Nov. 2002, pp. 34-37.
“Lean and Fat Factories,” cover article, The Manufacturer (U.S. ed.), Nov. 2002, pp. 16-19.
Lean: Deadened by Bureaucracy
Confused by Terminology
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Lean/Six Sigma: BureaucratizedElevated to Management Programs
• Lots of . . . Planning/organizing with compromises (often bad) among functions & factions; remote management goals/metrics;factions; remote management goals/metrics; improvement hijacked by professional staff; jargon hype (e.g., Japanese terms)
• Less . . . Work-force involvement/process ownership; quick, low-level, low-cost implementations; innovative approaches;implementations; innovative approaches; external (supply/customer pipelines) activity
• Results: High cost, un-lean administration
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Management of Lean/Process I tImprovement
D h i• De-emphasize: – Gap closure: Competitors not
global best at much of anythingg y g– Management goals . . . Distortive
hopes, plucked from the airEmphasi e• Emphasize: – Improvement against your own
performance, trend lines– Process data: All that goes wrong,
continuously gathered & recorded
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Strategic Lean: Essentials• Emphasize lean’s customer-side purpose• Drive lean into supply/customer channels• Simplify through de-proliferation• Deal with misguided financial practicesg p• Combat bureaucratization of lean
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10Inventory TurnoverTurns
8
9Baldor ElectricCaterpillarEatonH bb ll I
Caterpiller
E t C
6
7Hubbell Inc.
BEaton Corp.
Baldor Electric
A
4
5DC
A
2
3C
Hubbell: Up 3.0%16
0
1
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per year, 16 years
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1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010Year
10Inventory TurnoverTurns
8
9TimkenSpirax-Sarco (UK)*Goodrich
Ti k
6
7Timken
4
5
CA
2
3
GoodrichD
0
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Spirax-Sarco (UK): Up 2.8% per year, 24 years (overstated—based on sales, not cost of sales)
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1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010Year
10Inventory TurnoverTurns
8
9TimkenIngersoll RandCaterpillarGoodrich
Ingersoll Rand: Up 2.2%per year, 34 years
6
7
Goodrich
ACaterpiller
4
5
CB
2
3
Timken D
0
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Goodrich
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23Paccar (Kenworth, Peterbuilt, DAF Trucks)
Inventory turns
19
21
Up 1.6% per yearf 41
15
17 for 41 years
9
11
13
5
7
9
1
3
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Autos, Crucible of Lean – Best to Worst TrendsF t/MRP d i i Y k b t
2 Harley* Up 3.0%, 23 years5 Tata Up 4.9%, 15 years (slump ’98-’03)
Forecast/MRP-driven in York; but continuous replenishment at KC plant
7 Ford Up 2.1%, 35 years (very erratic last 10 yrs.)10 Honda Up 1.7%, 30 years (down a bit last 7 years)13 Nissan Up 2 6% 15 years (but mostly flat last 8 yrs)13 Nissan Up 2.6%,15 years (but mostly flat last 8 yrs)22 Isuzu Flat erratically 30 years (recent up, then flat)33 Toro Flat 35 years (down erratically, up last 7)33 Toro Flat 35 years (down erratically, up last 7)37 Polaris Flat 17 years (trending down last 9)40 Deere Down sharply ‘94-’00, up but flat ‘02-’09)48 VW Down 4.4%, 12 years (after good 16 years)53 Toyota Down 3.0%, 16 years (after up 11, flat 5 yrs.)57 Ma da Do n 2 8% 20 ears
Schonberger & Associates
57 Mazda Down 2.8%, 20 years
As of 4-20-10
Summary• Inventory is imperfect measure of lean; but no
others are nearly as good• Lean is hollow if strong in operations, but absent
in distribution—where lean now needed mostM i l it i ti t b t i i• Main lean pursuit in operations must be striving for making/shipping every product every day Simultaneously—in multiple cells and/orSimultaneously—in multiple cells, and/or Intermittently—through quick
setup/changeover, andp g , Through de-proliferation (fewer SKU’s, etc.)
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Schonberger & Associates
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