how i learned to stop second guessing and start loving the trends

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BIGTRENDS How I Learned to Stop Second-Guessing … and Start Loving the Trends December 14, 2010 Price Headley, CFA, CMT

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Price Headley's Slides on finding hte next big market trend. Go to BigTrends.com to see the video of the presentation.

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Page 1: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

How I Learned to Stop Second-Guessing …and Start Loving the TrendsDecember 14, 2010

Price Headley, CFA, CMT

Page 2: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

BigTrends Education

Access to BigTrends and its educational services is provided for

educational and informational purposes only. The information presented

here does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell a particular

investment. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions.

BigTrends and its staff are not responsible for any trades you choose to

make. Not all Big Trends products or services are appropriate for all

investors. BigTrends does not provide personalized financial, tax or legal

advice. Please consult your tax adviser prior to making any investment

that may impact your tax situation.

Page 3: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Dow Diamonds (DIA) Daily Chart

Page 4: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Williams %R - The BigTrends Way: Trading the Extremes to Find Major Trends

Williams %R is similar to Stochastics in measuring overbought & oversold levels – the traditional scale is from 0 down to -100, I use a +100 down to 0 scale.

While most use a 10 or 14 bar setting, I use a 30-bar setting – smoother but still responsive

BULL TRENDS: Look for “overbought” reading above 80, followed by a close above that bar’s high

BEAR TRENDS: Look for “oversold” reading below 20, followed by a close below that bar’s low

Page 5: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Monsanto (MON) Daily Chart

Page 6: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

The Concept of Efficiency

Answer Poll Question: On which of these trends would you rather buy an “At The Money” call position?

Page 7: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: British Petroleum (BP) Daily Chart

Page 8: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Daily Chart

Page 9: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Weekly Chart

Page 10: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Apple (AAPL) Daily Chart

Page 11: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Biogen Idec (BIIB) Daily Chart

Page 12: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: State Street (STT) Daily Chart

Page 13: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Daily Chart

Page 14: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Sina.com (SINA) Daily Chart

Page 15: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

http://www.bigtrends.com/shark

Options Shark is Now Options Shark is Now OpenOpen

Act Quickly – 7 Spots Act Quickly – 7 Spots LeftLeft

What You Can Expect:• 8 Select Trades Per Month (on average)• Real-Time Trades with Specific Entry & Exit Points• 100% to 300% Target Gains• Nightly update• Nightly commentary• 1 year of email contact with Price Headley

“I got the email about the special offer for your Options Shark subscription and was hesitant of buying it because I didn't want to use up all of my money on subscriptions and not have any money to trade. I decided to go for it anyway and I am glad I did. I made enough on the first 2 trades to have more than enough to pay for the whole subscription and I have been in it for just one week today.”

- Ben Farmer

1-800-BigTrends

Page 16: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Gold (GLD) Daily Chart

Page 17: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Gold (GLD) Daily Chart

Page 18: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Gold (GLD) Weekly Chart

Page 19: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Dow Diamonds (DIA) Weekly Chart

Page 20: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

S&P 500 (SPY) Weekly Chart

Page 21: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) Weekly Chart

Page 22: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Mosaic (MOS) Daily Chart

Page 23: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

IBM Weekly Chart

Page 24: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Keys to be an Options Shark

Key Elements of the daily Options Shark service

Buy In the Money, or keep a time stop of 5 days on out of the moneys if not winning

Usually buy 2nd month options

Target 100% on first half

Shoot for 300% or more on rest when we can

Invest 5-10% per trade of capital allocated

Seek to keep losses at -30% or less

PLUS: I give you all Rationale on trades, my Chart of the Day, and Status of all open positions, via nightly commentaries

Page 25: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Wellpoint (WLP) Daily Chart

Page 26: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Wellpoint (WLP) Entry Example

Page 27: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Wellpoint (WLP) Exit Example

Page 28: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

Options Shark: Recent Position Table

Page 29: How I Learned To Stop Second Guessing and Start Loving The Trends

BIGTRENDS

http://www.bigtrends.com/shark

Options Shark is Now Options Shark is Now OpenOpen

Act Quickly – 7 Spots Act Quickly – 7 Spots LeftLeft

What You Can Expect:• 8 Select Trades Per Month (on average)• Real-Time Trades with Specific Entry & Exit Points• 100% to 300% Target Gains• Nightly update• Nightly commentary• 1 year of email contact with Price Headley

“I got the email about the special offer for your Options Shark subscription and was hesitant of buying it because I didn't want to use up all of my money on subscriptions and not have any money to trade. I decided to go for it anyway and I am glad I did. I made enough on the first 2 trades to have more than enough to pay for the whole subscription and I have been in it for just one week today.”

- Ben Farmer

1-800-BigTrends