how global warming and climate change may be accelerating...
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How global warming and climate change How global warming and climate change may be accelerating losses of may be accelerating losses of Chesapeake BayChesapeake Bay seagrassesseagrasses..
Dr. Ken Moore
The Virginia Institute of Marine ScienceSchool of Marine Science
College of William and MaryGloucester Point, VA USA
What Are Underwater Grasses?• Rooted, vascular plants
– does not include marsh grasses or algae
• Completely submerged• Have flowers and seeds• 17 common species in
Chesapeake Bay• Grow in fresh and salt
shallow tidal waters• Only one true seagrass
species in Chesapeake Bay (eelgrass)
Underwater grasses of Chesapeake Bay
Only “True”Seagrass
Underwater grass communities are important in Chesapeake Bay
• Food for waterfowl
• Increase water clarity
• Habitat for fish and crabs
Underwater grass communities are widely distributed in Chesapeake Bay
ZosteraZostera marinamarina‘‘eelgrasseelgrass’’
York RiverYork River
Ruppia maritimaRuppia maritima‘‘widgeongrasswidgeongrass’’
St MarySt Mary’’s Rivers River
Underwater grass communities are by distributed salinity
Chesapeake Bay Underwater Chesapeake Bay Underwater Grass CommunitiesGrass Communities
Moore, Wilcox,Moore, Wilcox, OrthOrth (2000) Estuaries 23:115(2000) Estuaries 23:115--227227
FreshwaterFreshwater PotamogetonPotamogeton
RuppiaRuppia ZosteraZostera
ZOSTERA ZOSTERA Community Zostera marina*Ruppia maritima
RUPPIA RUPPIA Community Ruppia maritima*Potamogeton perfoliatusPotamogeton pectinatusZannichellia palustris
POTAMOGETONPOTAMOGETON Community Potamogeton perfoliatus*Potamogeton pectinatus*Elodea canadensisPotamogeton crispus
FRESHWATERFRESHWATER Community Myriophyllum spicatum*Hydrilla verticillata*Vallisneria americana*Ceratophyllum demersumHeteranthera dubiaNajas minorElodea canadensisNajas guadalupensisPotamogeton crispusNajas gracillimaPotamogeton pusillus
*Dominant Species
CHESAPEAKE BAY UNDERWATER GRASS CHESAPEAKE BAY UNDERWATER GRASS COMMUNITIESCOMMUNITIES
Saltwater
Freshwater
There are very few underwater grass species
TERRESTRIAL250,000 + SPECIES
FRESHWATERSUBMERSED
400-500 SPECIES
SEAGRASS55-60 SPECIES
FRESHWATER WETLAND?? SPECIES
Our only seagrass
Zostera marina (eelgrass)
•Temperate coastal distribution
•Monoecious, Sub-surface pollination (threadlike pollen)
•Sexual reproduction through seeds
•Asexual reproduction through rhizomes
•High salinity tolerance (10-40)
Chesapeake Bay Eelgrass Meadow Landscape
Underwater grasses have
declined in the Chesapeake Bay over the past 60
years.
Less than 50% present today compared to
1950s
Eelgrass populations have also declined
Pre 1930s 1960s 2000
• Pre-1630 Forested Watershed; < 1% land cleared• 1630-1720 Initial European settlement; <20% land
cleared• 1720-1880 Developing Agriculture; 20-40% land
clearance• 1880-1930s Intensive Agriculture 60-80% land
clearance, mechanization, deep plowing, fertilization
• 1930-1950s Farm abandonment, re-forestation, 40% land clearance, initial urban growth, storms
• 1950s-Present Urban Growth(Tropical Storm Agnes 1972 and others)
Chesapeake Bay Historical Land UseChesapeake Bay Historical Land Use
Brush and Hilgartner 2000
Recent Decreases in York River Eelgrass Bed Abundance and Density
2004 Seagrass
1996 2006
Loss of eelgrass in last 10 years is problematicGoodwin Island – York River
Effects of Climate Change on Chespeake BaySeagrasses and Other Underwater Grasses
• Atmospheric Changes– Rainfall Patterns– Increase Nutrient and Sediment Inputs (100% loading increase for C.
Bay)– Frequency/Intensity of storms
• Sea Level Rise– Salinity Changes– Increases in Water Depth, Water Motion and Tidal Circulation– Increased Shoreline Erosion
• Temperature Rise– Physiology, growth, reproduction
A variety of components reflect or absorb sunlight in seawater
Sunlight
Algae
Sediment
Color
Seagrass
Epiphytes
Light Intensity
Dep
th
SeagrassSeagrass responsive to light responsive to light reductionsreductions
Healthy seagrass
Physiological responses•Amino acids
•Chl a/b
•δ13C
Impacted seagrass
Seagrassloss
Morphological responses•Biomass•Shoot density•canopy height•Root/shoot
Period of light deprivation
The greater the underwater
light…
The deeper the underwater grass growth
and
The greater the abundance
2m
1m
0m Mid Estuary
Current Distribution Historic Extent
2m
1m
0m Lower Estuary
Current Distribution Historic Extent
2m
1m
0m
Current Distribution Historic Extent
Upper Estuary
York River current and historical
eelgrass depth
distribution
Reduced light has been a
factor!
Cerco and Moore 2001
Restoration of SAV to 1 m
MLW depths will initially require reduction in
suspended solids concentrations
Langland and Hainly 1997
Full storage of sediment inFull storage of sediment in ConowingoConowingo Dam Reservoir in Dam Reservoir in next 15next 15--20 years20 years
(Annual average sediment inputs will increase 3(Annual average sediment inputs will increase 3--fold)fold)
Scour during storm events will increase estuarine sedimentation.
(16x annual sediment inputs during one 1996 winter flood)
Image provided by Kawartha Fisheries Association
Excessive Nutrients Promote Excessive Growth of Epiphytes
Impacts of storms onseagrasscan be
significant
AIR AND WATER IN MOTION
Due to the higher density of water (998.2 kg m-3 freshwater)
than air (1.2 kg m-3),
the force exerted by the same velocity on an organism is 827
times stronger in the water than in the air.
But, in highly wave exposed areas,seagrasses are limited to protected
areas
Dan et al. 1998
Japan, Zostera marina, 2 m waves
Chesapeake Bay 1 m waves
Scour and deposition lasting for weeks after storms can result in landscape
scale changes to seagrass beds
Deposition ScourPost Storm SurfacePost Storm Surface
10 meters
Post Storm SurfacePost Storm Surface
The effects of tropical storms observed in eelgrass beds in lower Chesapeake Bay
York River – Goodwin IslandsJune 2004
York River – Goodwin IslandsJune 2003
York River – Goodwin Islands
October 2003
York River – Goodwin IslandsJune 2004
Effects of Climate Change on Chespeake BaySeagrasses and Other Underwater Grasses
• Atmospheric Changes– Rainfall Patterns– Increase Nutrient and Sediment Inputs (100% loading increase for C.
Bay)– Frequency/Intensity of storms
• Sea Level Rise– Salinity Changes– Increases in Water Depth, Water Motion and Tidal Circulation– Increased Shoreline Erosion
• Temperature Rise– Physiology, growth, reproduction
Salinity changes can modify underwater grass distribution and abundance
Chesapeake Bay Underwater Chesapeake Bay Underwater Grass CommunitiesGrass Communities
Moore, Wilcox,Moore, Wilcox, OrthOrth (2000) Estuaries 23:115(2000) Estuaries 23:115--227227
FreshwaterFreshwater PotamogetonPotamogeton
RuppiaRuppia ZosteraZostera
Waves appear to affect the minimum depth of distribution of seagrasses and sealevel rise
can restrict shallow water habitat.
Shoreline erosion can create chronic turbidity for local
waters.
Effects of Climate Change on Chespeake BaySeagrasses and Other Underwater Grasses
• Atmospheric Changes– Rainfall Patterns– Increase Nutrient and Sediment Inputs (100% loading increase for C.
Bay)– Frequency/Intensity of storms
• Sea Level Rise– Salinity Changes– Increases in Water Depth, Water Motion and Tidal Circulation– Increased Shoreline Erosion
• Temperature Rise– Physiology, growth, reproduction
Global distribution of eelgrass (Zostera marina)
Eelgrass near southern limits of range on Atlantic Coast of US
Reprinted from Moore et al. 1997
Light requirements of eelgrass increase with increasing temperatures
Investigate if temperature or some other factor is affecting Chesapeake Bay Seagrass?
1. Quantify the patterns of inter-annual variability and spatial distribution ofseagrass in areas of the lower Chesapeake Bay.
2. Compare the patterns of long-term change in these areas.
3. Relate these patterns to environmental and water quality conditions.
Monitoring Sites
GI 1
GI 3
GI 2
GP 1
GP 2
GP 3
Gloucester Point
Goodwin Island
Fixed continuous WQ monitoring stations:
DO, Phytoplankton, Turbidity, Salinity, pH, Temp
Bi-weekly WQ sampling:
Phytoplankton, Water Column Nutrients, Suspended Sediments, Underwater Light
Seagrass Sampling Methods• Monthly Sampling• Measurements made every 10 m
Ring is placed in densest patch of vegetation within the square
PVC square (0.25m-2
diameter) tossed 3 times every 10 m
York River
Goodwin Is.
Goodwin Island
Gloucester Gloucester PointPoint
Distance (m)0 20 40 60 80 100
Dep
th (c
m M
LLW
)
-160
-140
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0 Gloucester Point
Distance (m)
100 300 500 7000 200 400 600
Dep
th (c
m M
LLW
)
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
York River
Bottom Topography
100 300 500 7000 200 400 6000
20
40
60
80
100
100 300 500 7000 200 400 600
Goodwin Island Eelgrass Cover
Distance (m)
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
100 300 500 7000 200 400 6000
20
40
60
80
100
100 300 500 7000 200 400 600 100 300 500 7000 200 400 600
Per
cent
Cov
er
May 2004 July 2004 Oct 2004
Per
cent
Cov
er
April 2005 July 2005 Oct 2005
Goodwin Island Eelgrass Cover
100 300 500 7000 200 400 6000
20
40
60
80
100
100 300 500 7000 200 400 600 100 300 500 7000 200 400 600
April 2006 May 2006 July 2006
Per
cent
Cov
er
Distance (m)
Re-growth largely from seedlings
Goodwin Island Eelgrass Bed Mean Percent Cover
Date (mm/yy)01/04 07/04 01/05 07/05 01/06 07/06 01/07 0
20
40
60
80
100Pe
rcen
t Cov
er
0 20 40 60 80 1000
20
40
60
80
100
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
0 20 40 60 80 1000
20
40
60
80
100
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
May 2004 June 2004 September 2004
April 2005 July 2005 October 2005
Gloucester Point Eelgrass CoverP
erce
nt C
over
Distance (m)
0 20 40 60 80 1000
20
40
60
80
100
0 20 40 60 80 100 10 30 50 700 20 40 60 80
April 2006 May 2006 July 2006
Per
cent
Cov
er
Distance (m)
Gloucester Point Eelgrass Cover
Very few seedlings found
01/04 07/04 01/05 07/05 01/06 07/06 01/07 0
20
40
60
80
100
Perc
ent C
over
Date
Gloucester Point Eelgrass Bed Mean Percent Cover
Is Turbidity a Factor?
Gloucester Point
Date (month)Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Turb
idity
(NTU
)0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
20042005
Goodwin Island
Date (month)Feb Mar Apr Jun Jul Aug Oct Nov Dec Jan May Sep Jan
Turb
idity
(NTU
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60200420051997-2003
Turbidity (NTU)
5 15 25 350 10 20 30
Perc
ent T
ime
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Goodwin Island 2004Goodwin Island 2005Gloucester Point 2004Gloucester Point 2005
Turbidity Frequency Distribution for Goodwin Island and Gloucester Point
2004-2005
Sources of oxygen for seagrass metabolismLight – photosynthesis and water column
Dark – water column only
Date (month)Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Dis
solv
ed O
xyge
n (m
g l-1
)0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
20042005
Date (month)Jan Feb Mar May Jun Jul Sep Oct Nov Jan Dec Apr Aug Dec
Dis
solv
ed O
xyge
n (m
g l-1
)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1997-200320042005
Goodwin Island Gloucester Point
Water Column Dissolved Oxygen
Dissolved Oxygen (mg L-1)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Perc
ent T
ime
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16 Goodwind Island 2004Goodwin Island 2005Gloucester Point 2004Gloucester Point 2005
Water Column Dissolved Oxygen Frequency Distribution for Goodwin Island and Gloucester
Point July and August 2004-2005
Are High Water Temperatures a Problem?
Goodwin Island
Date (month)Feb Mar Apr Jun Jul Aug Oct Nov Dec Jan May Sep Jan
Tem
pera
ture
(C)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
200420051997-2003
Gloucester Point
Date (month)Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Tem
pera
ture
(C)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
20042005
Temperature (C)
20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34
Perc
ent T
ime
0
10
20
30
40GI 2004 GP 2004 GI 2005 GP 2005
Water Temp Frequency Distribution for Goodwin Island and Gloucester Point 2004-2005
H co
mp (h
ours
)
0
12
34
56
78
910
1112
Jan Jun De c
Curre ntly Ve g e tatedHis to ric ally Ve g etate d
HOURS PER DAY ABOVE SAV LIGHT COMPENSATION IS VERY IMPORTANT
Light below compensation for 20 days
Summary• The remaining eelgrass beds have been experiencing
increasing frequency of summertime diebacks in shallow and deep regions.
• Global warming and climate change can affect Chesapeake Bay eelgrass survival through multiple ways:– Elevated temperatures can stress growth – Increased frequency and intensity of storms
• Given the long term effects of increases in temperature and turbidity due to global warming and climate change are problematic for continued success of eelgrass populations in this system ….
Thanks!