how does temperature effect total energy consumption?
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BY: Grace Ownbey. how does temperature effect total energy consumption?. Motivation. Helps energy companies save $$$ To help consumers see if they are paying more money for the same amount of energy. Research Questions. How does climate effect trade? - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
BY: BY:
Grace OwnbeyGrace Ownbey
Motivation
Helps energy companies save $$$ To help consumers see if they are paying more
money for the same amount of energy.
Research Questions How does climate effect trade?
How does temperature effect total energy consumption?
Hypothesis- Temperature accounts for 70% of total energy
consumption.
Methods and Data Annual Average temperature, Cooling degree days,
Heating degree days and Sum of degree days(NC State climate office)
Set of total energy consumption data with smaller sub sets of data (State energy Data System) from NC
○ ESTCP- Electricity total consumption
○ RFTCP- Residual fuel oil total consumption,
○ NGRCP-Natural gas total consumption
Years 1960-2009 Compared the sets of data by finding the correlation
between them and there detrended values
Background InformationCooling Degree days-CDD
Heating Degree days-HDD
Key HDD= heating degree days
CDD= cooling degree days
SADD= sum of annual degree days AV temp= average temperature
Fitted Total= normalized Energy consumption
Fitted ESTCP KKWH= Electricity Total Consumption
Compared Data
Temperature
Correlation
Electricity total consumption
.51
Residual fuel oil total consumption
-.20
Natural gas total consumption
.29
Cooling degree daysElectricity total
consumption.38
Residual fuel oil total consumption
-.19
Natural gas total consumption
.21
Heating degree days Electricity total
consumption-.32
Residual fuel oil total consumption
.06
Natural gas total consumption
-.13
Sum of annual degree days
Electricity total consumption
-.14
Residual fuel oil total consumption
-.04
Natural gas total consumption
-.03
Normalized total for the last 30 years
Temperature .06
Cooling degree days .14
Heating degree days .06
Sum of degree days .13
Normalized total for the last 20 years
Temperature -.44
Cooling degree days .09
Heating degree days .59
Sum of degree days .71
Discussion Temperature effects energy consumption by
about 50%The research rejected my hypothesized 70%
but supported the facet that it does have some affect
Didn’t account for other ways of heating and power such as… propane solar power wood burning wind power
If theses were taken into account how much of a difference would it make?
Future Research How does temperature effect agricultural trade? How do storms effect trade? How does the effect of temperature on energy trade
effect the price of energy? How do natural disasters effect agricultural trade? How do hurricanes effect the economy of the places
they hit? How does climate effect energy trade? How does climate effect energy consumption?
Approach
Total energy consumption and temperature correlated over 50, 30, and then 20 yearsThere seemed to be more of a pattern
during the last 30 years and the correlations for the most part increased
Since the 30 year period increased the correlations, I correlated the 20 year period
Results The research rejected my hypothesized 70% but
supported the facet that it does have some affect Temperature effects energy consumption by about
50%