how can the uk transition to an affordable, secure and … · 2019-10-16 · ©2015 energy...
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©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.
How can the UK transition to an affordable, secure and
sustainable energy system?
Andrew Haslett FREng, Chief Engineer
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
When do we need to be ready?
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
When do we need to be ready?
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
When do we need to be ready?
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
When do we need to be ready?
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Delivering innovation: Strategic planning
and technology demonstration
A national energy system design tool
Integrating heat, power, transport and infrastructure
Searching for the lowest cost solution
A national energy system design tool
Integrating heat, power, transport and infrastructure
Searching for the lowest cost solution
Developing Technology
Demonstrating technology and system solutions
BioenergyMulti-site field trial to study impact of bioenergy crops on
soil carbonisation and greenhouse gas emissions
MarineOptimising wave and tidal array
yields
Carbon Capture &Storage First comprehensive UK
CO2 storage database
Energy Storage & DistributionNew approach to storing
electricity at scale
Marine3 phase 11kv wet-mate connector with
integrated communications
TransportIncreasing efficiencies of HDV
land and marine vehicles by up to 30%
Offshore WindNew designs for Floating turbine platforms reducing
generating costs
Offshore WindWorld leading facility to increase reliability of new
turbines
Marine1MW tidal generator providing environmental impact and performance
Knowledge Building <£5m, 6-24 months
£5-15m, 2-4 years
£15-30m+, 3-5 years
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Whole system analysis based on sector specific
detail
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0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Space heating - domestic (Th)
Space heating - commercial (Th)
Water heating - domestic (Th)
Water heating - commercial (Th)
Process heating (Th)
Cooking - domestic (Th)
Cooking - commercial (Th)
14,000 passenger km (Th)
4,250 Goods Te km (Th)
Lighting
Appliances
Motors
Compressed air
Ventilation / AC
IT, etc
Refrigeration
Other
Energy kWh p.a.
Annual energy use per person in UK (2010)
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Digest of UK Energy Statistics 2013
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Variability (Duty Cycle) is very important
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecBy kind permission of UKERC: 2011
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A range of social, demographic, industrial,
economic, policy and consumer possibilities
11
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Institutional MandateClear leadership and a national planning capability provide a
framework for energy system decision-making with strong regional
participation.
Large Scale InfrastructureA focus is placed on national co-ordination of supply-side generation
and shared national, regional and local infrastructures.
Carbon OffsettingRealising the system-wide value of CCS and biomass in generating
negative emissions.
Phased DecarbonisationEmissions reduction is led by action in the power sector, followed by
buildings and finally transport. All vehicles have dramatic efficiency
improvements, driven by regulations. Cars and vans are mostly
hybrids.
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Societal EngagementAlongside decarbonisation, popular perceptions over other social and
environmental factors (eg land use) influence decisions strongly. Energy
prices are used to reinforce progress.
Multi-Scale InfrastructureA mixture of national, regional and local initiatives deliver a patchwork of low-
carbon energy infrastructures.
Renewables OptimismA focus on renewables drives offshore wind at large scale, supported by
significant capacity of smaller-scale technologies.
Parallel DecarbonisationTransformation of the power sector is followed by deep, parallel abatement
action across buildings and transportation.
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Carbon pricing across the economy?
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2050
Other Emissions
Other Transport
Road Transport
Heat
Power
Industry
Negative Emissions
Budget
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
2050
Clockwork Patchwork
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rk2010s 2020s 2030s 2040s
£b
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Infrastructure
Transport
Buildings & Heat
Power & conversion
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Clockwork
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Patchwork
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Impact on daily lifeEnergy costs and carbon taxes are rising
• Cars and vans
– You will be offered incentives to buy battery vehicles, hybrid fuel/electric
vehicles and hydrogen vehicles with different fuel, charging and
hydrogen availability in different places and different approaches to
congestion charges etc but hydrogen vehicles are likely to become the
accepted solution
• Heating
– Your Local Authority may have a plan or not and you will have to decide
on investments in fabric efficiency, new heating systems and controls,
given what is on offer from local suppliers and government schemes
• Financial and policy risk
– You will have to decide whether you are buying the wrong car, wrong
house or wrong heating system and make sure you access incentives
that are available
©2015 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Impact on daily lifeEnergy costs and carbon taxes are rising
• Cars and vans
– After 2025 you are likely to see a national plan to adopt battery vehicles
and hybrid vehicles over twenty years. [Possibly the answer might be
hydrogen vehicles]
• Heating
– Your community will have an infrastructure plan developed with the
support of regional and national government and suppliers will be
offering you solutions with government support
• Financial and policy risk
– There should appear to be a joined-up plan, with widespread support,
and actions match words, but…
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Techno-economic strategic perspective
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