how america eats: 2016 state of the snack food industry

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How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry April 6, 2016

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Page 1: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

How America Eats: 2016 State of the

Snack Food Industry

April 6, 2016

Page 2: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 2

Today’s Discussion

Themes still impacting the industry

2015 Trends

2016 Opportunities

Future implications

Path for Growth

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 2

Page 3: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 3

Methodology

Sales Performance

Shopping Behavior

Customer Attitudes

IRI Market Advantage™

MULO+C = Food, Drug, MassX, Club, Dollar, Walmart, Military, and

Convenience

FreshlookIRI Market Advantage™

Profitero

IRI Consumer Network™

SPINS

ComScore

IRI 2016 Consumer Snacking Study

Naturalink Segmentations

Page 4: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 4

Themes still impacting the industry

4

Snacking/mini meals occurring across the day

Universe is still vast and competing with Quick Serve

restaurants

Millennials and Boomers are biggest drivers of growth

Lifestage impacts snack choices

Wellness plans are a consideration

Role of snacking varies

Page 5: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 5

Food service game plan has been winning for the past 3 years (outpacing retail)

Food Service

+3.9% Dollar Growth

v. YAGO

Retail

+2.9% Dollar Growth

v. YAGO

Page 6: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 6

2015 Trends

Morning Momentum Tale of Three Price Cities

Flavor Nation Innovation Debutants

Core Growth

Page 7: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 7

2016 Opportunities

Kids Rule Variety is King Channel Changing & Online Frenzy

Ingredient & Claim New Frontier

Spectrum of Opportunity

Page 8: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 8

2015 Trends

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Page 9: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 9

While Snacking Dollars are outpacing F&B and Total CPG, Unit Sales are lagging

+3.5%

Macro Snacks

+2.9%

F&B

+3.2%

Total CPG

+0.4%

Macro Snacks

+0.7%

F&B

+0.9%

Total CPG

Dollar Sales Change Unit Sales Change % Growth By Channel: Multi-Outlet & Convenience

Page 10: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 10

Lagging predominantly due to extended snack categories; however, Core Snacking is realizing solid growth

3.4% $ chg

1.2% unit chg

3.8% $ chg

-2.1% unit chg

CO

RE

E

XTEN

DE

D

Page 11: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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All top 10 categories realized dollar sales growth and varying ranges in unit growth

$ % Change vs. YAGO

Unit % Change vs. YAGO

Salty Snacks 3.6 | 2.7

Chocolate Candy 3.0 | -3.2

Yogurt 3.3 | 1.4

Non-Chocolate Candy 3.6 | 0.3

Natural Cheese 2.6 | 3.9

Cookies 2.6 | 1.3

Crackers 0.6 | -0.8

Snack/Granola Bars 5.1 | 3.9

Pastry/Doughnuts 6.7 | 5.1

Snack Nuts 4.3 | 2.3

Page 12: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 12

Refrigeration was a clear theme in 2015 pointing towards consumers’ quest for fresh

Rfg. Appetizers/Snack Rolls

14.3 | 11.5 Chocolate Candy Rfg. Non-Breakfast Entree

14.1 | 8.7 Choco Covered Salty Snack

11.3 | 4.9 Dip/Dip Mixes 9.5 | 6.6

Dried Meat Snacks 8.2 | 1.9

Breath Fresheners 8.0 | 4.3

Pastry/Doughnuts 6.7 | 5.1

Rfg. Dips 5.6 | 3.1

Snack/Granola Bars 5.1 | 3.9

Snack Nuts 4.3 | 2.3

Rice/Popcorn Cakes 4.3 | 2.3

Frozen Appetizers 4.1 | 6.2

Fz Novelties 4.0 | 0.8

Aerosol/Squeeze Cheese 6.2 | 3.9

Dollar % Chg v. YAGO Units% Chg v. YAGO

Bakery Snacks 6.9 | 5.9

Page 13: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Price kept these sweet & nutritional categories ringing higher dollar sales at retail

Ice Cream/Sherbet Dried Fruit Salsa

Fz. Handheld Entrees (Non-Breakfast) Chocolate Candy Trail Mixes/

Nutritional Snacks

Page 14: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Within extended, smoothies continue to become a consumer top choice along with soups and jellies/honey

Soup/Sides Fz 10.3 | 3.6

SS Bottled Juice & Drink Smoothies

6.9 | 1.9

Rfg Juice & Drink Smoothies

7.9 | 7.8

Jellies/Jam/Honey 3.2 | 0.4

Dollar % Chg v. YAGO

Units% Chg v. YAGO

Page 15: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 15

Not all favorite categories of the past or even select refrigerated categories hit the mark with consumers

Breakfast Drink Mixes Rfg

Tortilla/Eggroll/Wonton Wrap

Rfg Baked Goods

Luncheon Meats Soup Canned/Bottled Fruit

Source: Based on Unit Sales

Page 16: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Healthier snacks are slightly outpacing Indulgent

3.4% 3.8%

Source: Based on Dollar Sales

Page 17: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 17

Consumers still like snacks within the sweet and savory

realm, but all others witnessed increased

sales

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary.

Sweet

34.1%

-0.1 share chg 3.2% $% chg

Savory

27.0%

-0.1 share chg 3.0% $% chg

All Others

38.9%

0.2 share chg 4.4% $%chg

Share of dollar sales

Source: All Others include categories that are not distinctly savory or sweet

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Absolute dollar sales growth coming from both healthy and indulgent categories

Fresh Eggs Regular Salty Snacks (No Pretzels)

Chocolate Candy

Natural Cheese Pastry/Doughnuts

Snack/Granola Bars Yogurt Non-Chocolate Candy Fz Regular Novelties Dried Meat Snacks

Regular Cookies Bakery Snacks Sensible Pretzels Snack Nuts

Produce Snacks

Source: Based on Dollar Sales

Page 19: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 19

Variety, Price and Availability are impacting snack produce sales

Apples

$ S

ales

Pric

e

Dis

tribu

tion

Pric

e

Dis

tribu

tion

Carrots

Pric

e

$ S

ales

Dis

tribu

tion

$ S

ales

Dis

tribu

tion

Pric

e

Berries

Grapes Variety Fruit Variety Vegetable

$ S

ales

Dis

tribu

tion

Pric

e

$ S

ales

Pric

e

Dis

tribu

tion

$ S

ales

Source: Freshlook POS – 52 Weeks ending 2/16

Page 20: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Fz Novelties

Sweet and satiety drive large pack sales

Frozen Handheld Entrees (Non Breakfast) Rfg Sides Soup/Sides/Other Fz

Breath Fresheners

Popcorn/Popcorn Oil

Cream Cheese Dips Dried Fruit Snacks

Rfg Tortilla/Eggroll/ Wonton Wrap Bottled Juices Fresh Eggs

Source: Based on Dollar Sales

Page 21: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Yogurt

Small sizes have done well for many of the savory categories

Cheese Snacks Other Salty Snacks (No Nuts) Ice Cream

Bakery Snacks Dried Meat Snacks

Tortilla Chips Cottage Cheese Mexican Sauce Dip and Dip Mixes

Appetizers/Snack Rolls Fz Pretzels

Source: Based on Dollar Sales

Page 22: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Convenience channel is driving the majority of sales for small size SKUs

69% Other salty

snacks

76% Potato chips

87% Pretzels

77% Tortilla chips

Source: Based on Dollar Sales

Page 23: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Morning Momentum

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Page 24: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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2.7

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary.

avg. number of snacks consumed daily

46% snack 3+ times/day

Up 5 points in one year

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

Page 25: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Evening snacking has slowed while early morning snacking rises

24%

44%

51%

22%

7%

46%

62%

68%

37%

18%

45%

57%

69%

37%

20%

Early Morning

Morning

Afternoon

Evening

Late Evening

2010 2014 2016

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Younger generations are driving the majority of early

morning snacking

% of consumers eating snacks in the early morning

52% 18-24

69% 25-34

vs. 31% for rest of total US

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey - % of Consumers Eating at least 1 or more per week

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However, morning snacking is occurring across the majority of age groups

55% Total

60% 82% 63%

58% 47% 36%

18-24 25-34 35-44

45-54 55-64 65+

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

Page 28: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Kids play a major role in early morning snacking

Eat early morning snacks

45% HH with kids

under 12

45% HH with kids 13-

18

25% All HH with

no kids

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey - % of Consumers Eating at least 1 or more per week

Page 29: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Well over half of the US population is snacking during the morning hours

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey - % of Consumers Eating at least 1 or more per week

68% HH with kids

under 12

71% HH with kids 13-

18

49% All HH with

no kids

Page 30: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 30

Allowing breakfast cookies to have positive momentum

Page 31: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Tale of Three Price Cities

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Page 32: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Consumer Sentiment

68% look at price before choosing a snack

74% of consumers say item price influences their purchase decision

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

Page 33: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 33

Consumer Sentiment

82% of consumers look for good value when buying snacks

62% state snacks with a low price

point is important and 58% want a low price per serving

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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$2.5 $8.1 $4.2

3.3

$24.4 $84.3 $39.8

Consumers are moving from Low Priced goods towards Premium Products

Branded $ Sales

Premium Low Moderate

+3.4%

0.6 2.6 6.8 % Chg

Private Label $ Sales

Premium Low Moderate

+3.1%

-7.3 10.0 % Chg

Page 35: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 35

Fresh Eggs

Premiumtized ingredients, packaging and perceived less processing are capturing consumers attention

Branded Private Label

Rfg Yogurt Fz Novelties

Cupcakes/Brownies Rfg Sliced Lunchmeat Fresh Eggs

Specialty Nut Butter Rfg Juice & Smoothies Fz Pizza

Non-Chocolate Candy

Shredded Cheese Snack Nuts Chocolate Box/Bag/Bar >3.5oz

Breakfast/Cereal Bars Ice Cream Rfg Yogurt

Categories seeing Declines in Low and Growth in Premium Segment

Source: Based on Low, Moderate and Premium Pricing

Page 36: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 36

Within branded, 4 top categories grew in both low and premium price tiers

Ready To Eat Cereal 2.1 | -1.9 | 3.0

Low | Mod | High

% change: low | moderate| high

Cookies 0.5 | 2.8 | 3.7

Low | Mod | High

Potato Chips 1.0 | 2.6 | -8.6

Low | Mod | High

Chocolate Box/Bag/Bar 3.5oz 2.5 | 3.0 | 9.9

Low | Mod | High

Ice Cream 7.4 | -15.5 | 20.4

Low | Mod | High

All Other Crackers 2.5 | 1.9 | -2.0

Low | Mod | High

Page 37: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Although the majority of top categories put a major emphasis on premium-tiered snacks, there are a few which drove significant low priced sales

Key Categories within Private Label

Natural Cheese - Shredded 73.6 | 0.1 | 3.0

Low | Mod | High

Rfg Handheld Non-Bfast Entrees 12.7 | 37.4 | 1.2

Low | Mod | High

Natural Cheese - Slices 34.8 | 2.3 | 11.3

Low | Mod | High

% change: low | moderate | high

Page 38: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 38

Flavor Nation

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Page 39: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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88% of consumers look for the flavor they prefer

36% want gourmet flavors

and/or gourmet quality

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Salty

Consumers stated favorite snacks have salty and sweet throughout their life but differences along the way

Older Age Younger Age

Hot/Spicy

Salty

Salty

Cheese Cheese

Sweet Sweet

Cheese

Onion

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Purchase behavior confirms that flavor and taste palates differ across age groups and snack segments

Older Age Younger Age

Macrosnacks

Chocolate

Vegetable

Cheese Tangy Hot/Spicy

Herb & Spice Mexican Fruit

Nut

Mint Vanilla

Sweet Mushroom

Source: Index of Dollar Sales to Flavors

Page 42: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 42

Simple flavors are Boomer favorites in salted snacks, however flavor combinations appeal more to younger generations

Older Age Younger Age

Salted Snacks

Cheese* Tangy* Hot/Spicy

Herb & Spice Mexican* Vinegar Sweet

Chocolate Vegetable

Fruit

* Potato Chips ** Pretzels

Nut

Butter**

Source: Index of Dollar Sales to Flavors

Page 43: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 43

Fruit Mint

Snack bars, yogurt and chocolate candy categories provide additional taste preferences like peanut butter and mint as well as core flavors

Older Age Younger Age

Hot/Spicy Chocolate

Vanilla

Snack/Granola Bars

Grain

Tangy

Nut

Older Age Younger Age

Yogurt

Sweet Herb & Spice

Nut

Peanut Butter

Chocolate Candy

Mint

Source: Index of Dollar Sales to Flavors

Page 44: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Innovation Debutants

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Innovation had a variety of claims that resonated with consumers

Page 46: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Nestle Outshine Yogurt Bars

100 percent yogurt Contains just 90 calories, five grams of protein, ten percent daily value of calcium, and live and active cultures Made with 100% yogurt No high fructose corn syrup No artificial colors or flavors

Bon Appetit Thin Crust Frozen Pizza

Thin crust drizzled with extra-virgin olive oil and flavorful ingredients

Flavorful with : Mozzarella & Pesto, Spinach, Pepperoni & Pesto, Roasted Vegetable and Trio Bacon

Keebler JIF Cookies

Made with Jif peanut butter

Rich fudge, tasty peanut butter and crunchy nuts

Page 47: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Doritos Loaded FZ Appetizers

Brand extending into frozen

Available in Nacho Cheese and Jalapeno & Cheese

Plenti Plentiful Greek Yogurt

Made with whole grain oats, flax and pumpkin seeds

Healthy

Oatmeal Meets Greek Yogurt - bringing 2 flavors together

Oscar Mayer Selects Natural

All Natural without any artificial ingredients

No artificial flavor or color, gluten free

Page 48: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Oh My Yog! Rfg Yogurt

USDA Organic

Made with organic whole milk and fruit, and comes in a completely unique three-layer format

Pasture raised, Gluten Free, Kosher certified

Snyder’s of Hanover Pretzel Poppers

Lighter and puffy

Have kept the crunchy pretzel shell

Cheetos Sweetos

Very first sweet Cheetos snack in the U.S. market

Limited time treat for spring

Nothing to do with cheese. Instead, Sweetos are intended to be more of a dessert snack, featuring a cinnamon sugar coating

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Movie themed innovations have been a big attraction whether branded or consumer developed

*Image Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAQjn6_JaJ0

Hostess Twinkies Minions Cupcakes/Brownies* Yoplait Go Gurt Disney Frozen Rfg Yogurt

Schreiber Foods Disney Frozen Natural Cheese – String/Stick

Doritos Jacked 3D Avengers

Kelloggs Marvel Avengers RTE Cereal

General Mills Star Wars RTE Cereal

Betty Crocker Disney Star Wars Fruit Rolls/Bars/Snacks

Kelloggs Jurassic World Fruit Rolls/Bars/Snacks

Page 50: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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2016 Opportunities

Kids Rule Variety is King Channel Changing & Online Frenzy

Ingredient & Claim New Frontier

Spectrum of Opportunity

Page 51: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Kids Rule

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Hunger Satisfaction Indulgence Satisfy Sweet

Craving

Satisfy Savory Craving

Satisfy Salty Craving

Satisfy Crunchy/Crispy Craving

Satisfy Chewy Craving

Provides Antioxidants/He

alth Benefits

Provides Energy/Fuel

Helps Achieve Daily

Nutrition Goals

Chocolate Candy

Non-Choc Candy

Cookies

Yogurt

Crackers

Ice Cream

Salty Snacks

Snack Nuts

Meat Snacks

Snack Bars

Bakery Snacks

Fz Novelties

Fruit Smoothies

Dairy/Yogurt Smoothies

Fresh Fruit

Fresh Vegetables

Snacks play different roles in households with kids

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Hunger Satisfaction Indulgence Satisfy Sweet

Craving

Satisfy Savory Craving

Satisfy Salty Craving

Satisfy Crunchy/Crispy Craving

Satisfy Chewy Craving

Provides Antioxidants/He

alth Benefits

Provides Energy/Fuel

Helps Achieve Daily

Nutrition Goals

Chocolate Candy

Non-Choc Candy

Cookies

Yogurt

Crackers

Ice Cream

Salty Snacks

Snack Nuts

Meat Snacks

Snack Bars

Bakery Snacks

Fz Novelties

Fruit Smoothies

Dairy/Yogurt Smoothies

Fresh Fruit

Fresh Vegetables

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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32%

20%

28%

15%

8%

16%

Households with Kids Bring meals/snacks to work or school more often

Households with Kids buy more larger sized packages with the intention of sharing as a means

of reducing overall snack expenditures

Households with Kids state they are snacking more frequently

Kids No Kids

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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34%

20%

28%

15%

9%

18%

Households with kids are looking for snacks that can be eaten in the car or on-the-go

Households with kids want biodegradable packaging

Households with kids seek natural/organic snacks

Kids No Kids

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Households with children represent 40% of macrosnack sales and are driving double-digit sales increases

40% 60% %

Chg

-7.9% % Chg

12.7%

89 Dollar Index 122 Dollar Index

HH No Children HH With Children

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Macrosnacks

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40%

HH With Children

Predominantly from the households with young and

teenage children

Age 0-5 & 12-17

28.2% | 115 % chg dollar index

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Macrosnacks

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Key snack categories for households with kids cross the gamut of occasions

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Segments Over-Index by HHs with children groups

HH with Children of Any Age

General Beverages Refrigerated Frozen

Cold Cereal Toaster Pastries/Tarts

Dried Fruit Snacks Canned/Bottled Fruit

Picante Sauce Yogurt Covered Snacks Natural Cheese Yogurt

Pizza Rfg Aerosol/Squeeze Cheese

Rfg Juice & Drink Smoothies

SS Bottled Juice & Drink Smoothies

Page 59: How America Eats: 2016 State of the Snack Food Industry

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Looking at households with kids except for ages 0-5, we actually see a few different category preferences

HH With All Groups Except 0-5

General Beverages Refrigerated Frozen

Fz Pizza Fz Entrees and Appetizers

Eggroll/Wonton Wrap Rfg Rfg Baked Goods

Salty Snacks Dried Meat Snacks Pastry/Doughnuts Snack/Granola Bars

Crackers Specialty Nut Butter Salsa Microwave

Popcorn

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Segments Over-Index by HHs with children groups

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Households with Teenagers are spending disproportionately higher than other segments and distinctly

different categories as top winners

HH with children aged 12 - 17

General Beverages Refrigerated Frozen

Ice Cream/Sherbet Soups Breath Fresheners Non-Choc Candy

Choco Covered Salty Snacks

Cookies/Nutritional Snacks

Rice/Popcorn Cakes

Rfg Dip and Dip Mixes

Fresh Eggs Cream Cheese Rfg

Appetizers/Snack Rolls

Luncheon Meats

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Segments Over-Index by HHs with children groups

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For households with young children, the top 10 categories contribute almost 60% of total sales

Cookies Crackers

Salty Snacks Natural Cheese Fresh Eggs

Snack/Granola Bars

Yogurt

Canned/Bottled Fruit

Cold Cereal

Chocolate Candy

Source: IRI Consumer Network - Macrosnacks – HH with Kids 0 to 5

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Variety is King

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92% State that taste is

important

of consumers look for snacks at a low price point

82% seek snacks that are a good value

for the money

62%

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Consumers not only like personalization, but also like variety

Variety Packs

$9,165M

Multipacks

$9,175M

5.4% % Chg

0.9% % Chg

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Variety packs are winning versus multipacks to appeal household members

Frozen Novelties Variety Multi

$427M $2,767M

+11.4% +1.1%

Breath Fresheners Variety Multi

$38M $97M

+6.6% -1.9%

Chocolate Candy – Snack Size Variety Multi

$85M $471M

+48.6% -16.3%

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Seasonal Chocolate Christmas Candy

Hard Sugar Candy/Pkg & Roll Candy

Chocolate Candy Box/Bag/Bar > 3.5 OZ

Seasonal Chocolate Halloween Candy

Other Salted Snacks (No Nuts) + Potato Chips

Non-Chocolate Chewy Candy

These categories drove impressive gains with the variety packs they offered

Top Categories having only Variety Packs

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

70% are buying different flavors of the same snack for variety

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

69% are buying for more snacking options

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

60% want the portion control variety packs provide

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

59% state family members get the snack they want

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

57% Say they’re more convenient than large packs

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Reasons for buying variety packs vary

53% state variety packs add more variety to snacking

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Income plays a role into who is buying variety of snacks and presents opportunities for packaging innovations

Crackers Other Snacks Fz Breath Fresheners Dried Meat Snacks

Rfg Juice & Smoothies Rice/Popcorn Cakes

Snack Nuts Natural Cheese Yogurt Rfg Dips

Dried Fruit & Fruit Snacks Snack/Granola Bars

Breakfast Drink Mixes Sugarless Gum Specialty Nut Butter Salsa

Higher income groups show high preference to a variety of snacks (not necessarily variety packs)

Lower income groups skew higher on:

SS Bottled Juice and Drink Smoothies

Rfg Handheld Non-Breakfast Entrees

Source: Based on dollar indices

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Channel Shifting and Online Frenzy

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Value and Convenience channels are still driving growth

25%

Food Mass Convenience

Club Drug Dollar Internet

25% Share

51% Share

12% Share

5% Share

4% Share

1% Share

1% Share

2.3% CAGR

3.1% CAGR

2.2% CAGR

4.7% CAGR

2.2% CAGR

7.5% CAGR

All Others 2% Share

6.9% CAGR

Source: Based on dollar sales

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Channels have different importance across categories

Potato Chips Tortilla Chips Snack/Granola Bars Dried Meat Snacks

Food Food Food Convenience Convenience Mass Mass Mass

Mass Convenience Convenience Food

Drug Drug Drug Drug

Source: Based on dollar sales

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Convenience is a huge contributing channel for small size snacks

Performance of small size SKU’s under different channels

Potato Chips Tortilla Chips Snack/Granola Bars Dried Meat Snacks

Convenience Convenience Convenience Convenience Food Food Food Food

Drug Mass Drug Mass

Mass Drug Mass Drug

Source: Based on dollar sales

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Internet is gaining penetration as well

1.8 pen

1.8 pen

1.1 pen

Mass

Dollar

Internet

Source: Based on consumer network - Macrosnacks – Penetration by Channels Pt change vs CY 2012; All Outlets

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Within eCommerce, consumer purchasing varies but today Amazon is a snack share winner

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Amazon.com

walmart.com

peapod.com

safeway.com

ebay.com

costco.com

harryanddavid.com

kmart.com

Staples.com

swisscolony.com

Samsclub.com

drugstore.com

melaleuca.com

Officedepot.com

Other

Cookies

Snack Bars & Toaster Pastries

Snack Nuts / Seeds / Corn Nuts

Chocolate Candy

Source: IRI & ComScore Path-to-Purchase – 2 years ending 11/15

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Many of the top 30 items on Amazon are within the top categories, illustrating the path to purchase

complexities for Snacks

10 5

Bars Salty Snacks

4

Cookies

4 4 1

Crackers Nuts Meat Snacks

Popcorn Fruit Snacks

1 1

Source: Profitero – December 2015

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Ingredient Claims New Frontier

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Wellness plans continue to play an important role in snack choices for consumers

52% of consumers want additional health benefits beyond nutrition (eg, antioxidants)

57% Want snacks that contain vitamins and minerals

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Wellness plans continue to play an important role in snack choices for consumers

44% want natural/organic snacks

60% of consumers seek snacks that deliver an energy boost

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Wellness plans continue to play an important role in snack choices for consumers

49% want a serving of fruit or vegetables

48% look for high in fiber snacks

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Wellness plans continue to play an important role in snack choices for consumers

37% look for ‘probiotics’ to help with digestion

60% snack to fuel their day

Source: 2016 IRI Snacking Survey

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Leading to introductions of plant-based Proteins into snacks

$5.6M $2.9M $2.2M

$2.1M $2.0M

$1.8M Other Salted Snacks (No Nuts)

Tortilla Chips

Tortilla Chips Other Salted Snacks (No Nuts)

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Leading to introductions of plant-based Proteins into snacks

$1.5M $1.1M $1.1M

$1.0M $1.0M

Fz Waffles

Ready-to-Eat Cereal

Other Salted Snacks (No Nuts) All Other Crackers

Other Salted Snacks (No Nuts)

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With far reaching benefits

Protects from cancer

Lowers risk of heart disease

Weight loss

Reduces cholesterol

Additional benefits – Omega-3 fatty acids,

calcium, fiber

Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and proprietary. 88

http://www.livestrong.com/article/264570-the-advantages-of-using-plant-sources-of-protein-in-your-diet/ http://www.uhc.com/health-and-wellness/nutrition/power-of-plant-protein

http://nutritionstudies.org/animal-vs-plant-protein/

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Paleo innovations are addressing consumer needs

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Other innovations appealing to consumer needs and/or requests

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Emerging Trends are Abundant

“Real” Food claims Biodynamic farmed ingredients Cricket protein Acid whey Global flavors (e.g., Thai coconut curry) Spicy AND tangy 100% organic apples as sugar alternative

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Spectrum of Opportunities

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Consumer attitudes and behaviors are opening up additional growth opportunities

Fears They Won’t Like

Natural/Organic Products

Proud of Buying Natural/Organic Products

True Believers

Enlightened Environmentalists

Strapped Seekers Indifferent Traditionalists

Healthy Realists

Resistant Non-Believers

Struggling Switchers

10% 10% 26% 15%

16% 13% 10%

Full Spectrum of Natural/Organic Buyers

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For total Macrosnacks, Healthy Realists and True Believers are driving growth

Fears They Won’t Like

Natural/Organic Products

Proud of Buying Natural/Organic Products

True Believers

Enlightened Environmentalists

Strapped Seekers Indifferent Traditionalists

Healthy Realists

Resistant Non-Believers

Struggling Switchers

10.5% 8.9% 22.5% 15.4%

18.9% 15.1% 8.7%

-11.9%

5.3%

-6.4%

9.0%

6.4% 5.3%

-11.5%

Naturalink Segmentation within Macro Snacks

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With a portion of that growth being driven by Organics

Fears They Won’t Like

Natural/Organic Products

Proud of Buying Natural/Organic Products

True Believers

Enlightened Environmentalists

Strapped Seekers Indifferent Traditionalists

Healthy Realists

Resistant Non-Believers

Struggling Switchers

41.5% 7.6% 9.4% 4.5%

7.1% 15.8% 14.0%

0.9%

32.6%

27.3%

43.2%

5.4% 10.3%

-5.4%

Naturalink Segmentation within Macro Snacks – Organic Claims

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Looking at only core snacks, we find that Organics appeal to all segments

Fears They Won’t Like

Natural/Organic Products

Proud of Buying Natural/Organic Products

True Believers

Enlightened Environmentalists

Strapped Seekers Indifferent Traditionalists

Healthy Realists

Resistant Non-Believers

Struggling Switchers

42.6% 7.8% 8.8% 4.9%

7.2% 16.7% 12.0%

2.3%

17.2%

27.1%

29.4%

1.7% 7.7%

0.8%

Naturalink Segmentation within Core Snacks – Organic Claims

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However mixed results for claims that have been growth drivers in the past

Protein

Fat

Sugar

Fiber

True Believers Enlightened Environmentalists

Strapped Seekers Healthy Realists Indifferent

Traditionalists Struggling Switchers

Resistant Non-Believers

Naturalink Segmentation within Core Snacks

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What wins with one consumer group may not appeal to another – targeting products and messaging is key

True Believers Indifferent Traditionalists

No GMO

Gluten Free

High Soy

High Fiber

No/Low/Less Sodium/Salt

Organic

No/Low/Less Sugar

Energy

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Core snacking will continue to outpace extended over the next few years

84% of growth from core snacking

15% of growth from extended snacks

Projecting snack sales to grow

$35B in next 5 years

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Snacking growth opportunities are abundant

Kids Rule Ensure you have products that will appeal to kids – both healthy and permissible indulgence Optimize your media and/or promotional expenditures Collaborate with retail partners to drive trips into their stores attracting households with kids

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Snacking growth opportunities are abundant

Variety is King “Right size” your current variety pack offerings – • If in portfolio, then ensure

channel strategy is strong • If not in portfolio, innovate

Explore pricing tiers to find a way for low income households to benefit from variety packs Leverage holidays and special occasions for innovative ideas and solutions

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Snacking growth opportunities are abundant

Channel Changing & Online Frenzy Invest in Channel Strategy and “size of the prize” Determine eCommerce/offline brand strategy and portfolio role Revisit category management across channels

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Snacking growth opportunities are abundant

Ingredient & Claim New Frontier Take a “menu” approach for your product claims and ingredients: variety of options for your targets Global flare and/or bold combinations will continue to resonate Take cues from Quick Serve and/or Limited Serve restaurants: “dusting”, LTO, etc..

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Snacking growth opportunities are abundant

Spectrum of Opportunity Explore the advantages of understanding where your portfolio of products fall within a nutritional segmentation Determine the most efficient and effective way to engage with your target consumers along the path-to-purchase Identify personalization to key consumers and ways to deliver tailored shopping experiences

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Thank you!

[email protected]

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Appendix

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HEALTHIER INDULGENT

Core Snacks

• Carob/Yogurt Covered Snacks • Cheese (String & Cubes) • Dried Fruit • Dry Fruit Snacks • Light Ice Cream/Sherbet/ Fz Novelties • Sensible Salty Snacks • Popcorn (Non-Sweet) • Pretzels • Reduced Fat Cookies • Reduced Fat Crackers • Rice/Popcorn Snacks • Salsa & Picante • Snack/Granola Bars • Snack Nuts/Seeds • Sugarless Gum • Trail Mixes • Yogurt/ Frozen Yogurt • Breath Fresheners

• Aerosol Cheese • Bakery Snacks & Desserts • Chocolate Candy • Chocolate Covered Salty Snacks • Dips • Fz & Rfg Appetizers/Handheld Entrees • Meat Snacks • Non-Chocolate Candy • Pastry/Doughnuts • Popcorn (Sweet) • Regular Fat Cookies • Regular Fat Crackers • Regular Fat Salty Snacks • Toaster Pastries • Regular Gum • Regular Ice Cream/FZ Novelties • Toaster Pastries • Other Snacks – Fz

Extended Snacks

• Rfg Juice And Drink Smoothies • Specialty Nut Butter • Peanut Butter • Rfg Baked Goods • FZ Soups/Sides/Other • Fresh Eggs • Jellies/Jams/Honey • Cream Cheese/Cr Chs Spread • Fz and Rfg Pizza - Fz

• Soup • Canned/Bottled Fruit • Luncheon Meats • Cold Cereal • Cottage Cheese • Rfg Tortlla/Eggrll/Wontn Wrap • SS Bottled Juice And Drink Smoothies • Breakfast Drink Mixes

Macrosnack Categories

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True Believers

$70K

College / Post Grad

West

42 avg. age 75% Caucasian

My Top 3 Priorities for…

Willing to Pay More For…

What Holds Me Back

My Sources of Info.

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

Made w/all natural ingredients

Free of chemicals

Most effective

Made w/organic ingredients

Made w/all natural

ingredients

Eco-Friendly

Best taste Most effective ingredients

Made w/all natural

ingredients

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

Organic Non-GMO All Natural

Eco-Friendly Fair Trade

Organic All Natural

Eco-Friendly

Eco-Friendly All Natural Organic

• Expense of natural/organic products

• Availability of natural/organic options at local store

• No all-natural/organic options available for products I like

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Enlightened Environmentalists

$59K

Post Grad

NE/West

61 avg. age 77% Caucasian Skew African American

My Top 3 Priorities for…

Willing to Pay More For…

What Holds Me Back

My Sources of Info.

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

Made w/all natural ingredients

Free of chemicals Most effective

Best Taste Most effective ingredients Eco-Friendly

Made w/organic ingredients

Made w/all natural

ingredients Multi-purpose

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

Organic All Natural Non-GMO

Eco-Friendly Fair Trade

Organic All Natural

Eco-Friendly

Eco-Friendly All Natural Organic

• Expense of natural/organic products

• Availability of natural/organic options at local store

Celebrity Chefs Product Labels

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Healthy Realists

$70K Skews $100K+

College+

Throughout U.S.

39 avg. age 75% Caucasian

My Top 3 Priorities for…

Willing to Pay More For…

What Holds Me Back

My Sources of Info.

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

Best taste Most effective ingredients Most effective

Made w/all natural ingredients

Is on sale/coupon

Is on sale/coupon

Is on sale/coupon Not tested on animals Multi-purpose

Food & Beverage

Personal Care Home Care

All Natural

• Availability of natural/organic options at local store