houston office jllskyline - texas a&m universitythe skyline market for houston is defined as the...
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![Page 1: Houston Office JLLSkyline - Texas A&M UniversityThe Skyline market for Houston is defined as the Trophy market, which is further defined as top-tier Class A product that is non-owner](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070719/5edf9e5dad6a402d666af368/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
BG Group Place
Heritage Plaza
One Allen Center
Two Allen Center
Three Allen Center 1600 Smith 1001 Fannin
Bank of America Center
One Shell Plaza
Wells Fargo Plaza
1100 Louisiana 609 Main 1000 Main LyondellBasell
Tower2 Houston
CenterFulbright
Tower5 Houston
CenterPennzoil
Place North Tower
Pennzoil Place South Tower
JP Morgan Chase 717 Texas Total Plaza Capitol Tower
RBA (s.f.) 972,474 1,212,895 993,297 995,623 1,194,719 1,098,399 1,385,212 1,268,480 1,228,923 1,721,242 1,327,882 1,056,658 837,161 1,061,351 1,024,956 1,247,061 580,875 679,337 664,940 1,656,529 696,228 843,533 778,344
Percent leased 93.0% 99.0% 90.8% 90.9% 96.7% 85.2% 97.8% 92.5% 98.4% 87.4% 99.2% 50.9% 99.7% 95.1% 52.6% 90.3% 75.1% 64.4% 80.1% 93.6% 48.9% 74.0% 27.0%
Year built/ renovated 2011 1986 1972/1992 1977/1992 1980 1984 1981/2005 1983/2001 1970/2012 1983 1980 2017 2003 1978/1996 1974/1996 1982/1999 2002 1975 1975 1982/2012 2003 1971/1999 2019
The Skyline market for Houston is defined as the Trophy market, which is further defined as top-tier Class A product that is non-owner occupied, larger than 500,000 square feet, and located in a centralized core Houston location. Houston Skyline
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Total vacancy (%) vs. annual net absorption (s.f.)
-600,000
-400,000
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q12017
Skyline annual net absorptionSkyline total vacancy %High vacancy putting a damper on rents in
Houston’s Skyline16.4%Direct vacant
778,344Under construction (s.f.)
$46.46Direct average asking rent ($ p.s.f.)
Despite headwinds in the form of abundant available space and erratic tenant demand, Houston’s Skyline inventory remains well-positioned to attract prime tenants in the market thanks to its well-capitalized owners and growing amenity base. - Reid Watler
Skyline analysis
Occupied Direct vacant Sublease vacant
Parking, other useFuture available Retail
“ “
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. All data is represensentative of Q1 2017.
![Page 2: Houston Office JLLSkyline - Texas A&M UniversityThe Skyline market for Houston is defined as the Trophy market, which is further defined as top-tier Class A product that is non-owner](https://reader035.vdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070719/5edf9e5dad6a402d666af368/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
www.jll.com/Skyline | ©2016 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. Licensed Real Estate Broker.
BG Group Place Heritage Plaza One Allen
CenterTwo Allen
CenterThree Allen
Center 1600 Smith 1001 Fannin Bank of America Center
One Shell Plaza
Wells Fargo Plaza 1100 Louisiana 609 Main 1000 Main LyondellBasell
Tower2 Houston
Center Fulbright Tower 5 Houston Center
PennzoilPlace North
Tower
PennzoilPlace South
TowerJP Morgan
Chase 717 Texas 1201 Louisiana
RBA (s.f.) 972,474 1,212,895 993,297 995,623 1,194,719 1,098,399 1,385,212 1,268,480 1,228,923 1,721,242 1,327,882 1,056,658 837,161 1,061,351 1,024,956 1,247,061 580,875 679,337 664,940 1,656,529 696,228 843,533
Percentleased 98.5% 98.9% 87.3% 97.3% 94.1% 85.7% 98.5% 91.6% 97.6% 91.8% 99.4% % 98.0% 94.8% 58.4% 91.2% 91.1% 69.5% 78.0% 95.8% 97.5% 70.3%
Direct rent (FS) $56.91 $55.28 $46.18 $45.01 $46.02 $38.43 $47.04 $50.32 $47.94 $50.96 $47.44 $54.00 $50.83 $44.46 $44.14 $45.37 $50.79 $44.60 $44.60 $49.49 $52.77 $41.55
Year built/ renovated 2011 1986 1972/1992 1977/1992 1980 1984 1981/2005 1983/2001 1970/2012 1983 1980 2016 2003 1978/1996 1974/1996 1982/1999 2002 1975 1975 1982/2012 2003 1971/1999
square feet in a centralized core Houston location. The key indicator for inclusion or exclusion is based on rent levels. The current threshold requires that buildings consistently garner rents greater than $27.00 NNN.
Eli Gilbert Research Director
Chrissy Wilson Senior Vice President
John Pruitt Executive Vice President
Houston Occupied Direct vacant Sublease vacant
Parking, other useFuture available Retail
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
2016
Direct vacancy (%) vs. direct average asking rent ($ p.s.f.)
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q12016
Skyline direct average asking rentSkyline direct vacancy %
HoustonTenants and landlords remain cautious in the face of market volatility 9.4%
DIRECT VACANT-1.2%
2015 NET ABSORPTION (% OF INVENTORY)
1,056,658S.F. UNDER CONSTRUCTION
9.8%2015 ASKING RENT
GROWTH
$47.97DIRECT AVERAGE ASKING RENT ($ P.S.F.)
$435.5m2015 & 2016
SALES VOLUME ($)
Houston’s Skyline is characterized by contradictions. A 37.0 percent drop in leasing activity in 2015 set the stage for slight negative absorption to start 2016, yet asking rents remain
below 10.0 percent even with deceleration in tenant activity.
Despite uncertainty facing the Skyline, two things remain clear. First, the Skyline continues
of 2016, the Skyline recorded a direct vacancy rate of 9.4 percent, lower than the Class A market’s 15.5 percent. Additionally, higher asking rents were recorded for the seventh consecutive quarter: $31.83 per square foot NNN in Skyline properties, versus $23.70 per square foot NNN in overall Class A.
Second—and notwithstanding the superior occupancy and asking rent spread between the Skyline and broader Class A market—leverage within the Skyline will continue to shift in favor of tenants in 2016. This will manifest as a widening delta between asking and strike
Skyline leverage Skyline analysis
Neutral market
2017
2018