hms group financial resultsthe largest oil & gas and energy companies in russia prevailing...
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HMS Group9 months 2015 IFRS Results Conference call presentation
08 December 2015
Financial results
Business & Outlook
Appendix
1,306 1,650 1,968 3,670 5,562 6,101 5,238 5,272 4,632 8,099
11.4%
14.1%
16.4%18.0%
21.8%
19.4%
16.2% 16.3%15.3%
21.4%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9m'14LTM
9m'15LTM
EBITDA adj., Rub mn EBITDA margin
11,505 11,668 12,032 20,379 25,515 31,460 32,358 32,351 30,364 37,760
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9m'14LTM
9m'15LTM
Revenue adj., Rub mn
9m 2015 9m 2014 chg, yoy
Revenue 26,642 21,233 25%
Gross profit 8,394 5,601 50%
EBITDA * 5,873 3,046 93%
Operating profit 4,367 1,713 155%
Profit for the period 2,107 257 719%
Total debt 16,755 14,752 14%
Net debt 15,400 13,562 14%
EBITDA LTM 8,099 4,632 75%
Net debt to EBITDA LTM 1.90 2.93
Gross margin 31.5% 26.4% 513 bps
EBITDA margin 22.0% 14.3% 770 bps
Operating margin 16.4% 8.1% 832 bps
Net income margin 7.9% 1.2% 670 bps
ROCE 19.6% 10.4% 926 bps
ROE 15.9% 2.0% 1,385 bps
Financial Highlights
3
Financial highlights, Rub mn Revenue performance, 2007–2015 9m
EBITDA performance, 2007–2015 9m
CAGR 2007-201416%
CAGR 2007-201422%
Source: Company data, management accounts, exclusive of SKMN
Source: Company data, management accounts, exclusive of SKMN (Revenue and EBITDA 2007-2013 data are adjusted for SKMN disposal)
Source: Company data, management accounts
* Hereinafter, read EBITDA as EBITDA adjusted, EBITDA margin as EBITDA adjusted margin
2,3181,979
311170
13.4%
8.6%
9 months 2014 9 months 2015
Revenue EPC, Rub mn EBITDA EPC, Rub mn EBITDA margin EPC, %
1,500 1,426
-252 48
-16.8%
3.4%
9 months 2014 9 months 2015
Revenue Compressors, Rub mn EBITDA Compressors, Rub mn EBITDA margin Compressors, %
6,009
11,902
9632,511
16.0% 21.1%
9 months 2014 9 months 2015
Revenue OG equipment, Rub mn EBITDA OG equipment, Rub mn EBITDA margin OG equipment, %
11,406 11,325
1,8393,057
16.1%
27.0%
9 months 2014 9 months 2015
Revenue Pumps, Rub mn EBITDA Pumps, Rub mn EBITDA margin Pumps, %
Segments overview: 2015 9 months results
4
Revenue -1%EBITDA +66%
Revenue +98%EBITDA +161%
Revenue -15%EBITDA -45%
EPCCompressors
Revenue declined by a minor 1% yoy to Rub 11.3 bn
EBITDA increased by 66% yoy due to several factors: import substitution, FX rates depreciation, large projects’ execution and costs management
EBITDA margin grew to 27.0% that is more than average level
Significant growth in revenue and EBITDA as a result of increased share of integrated solutions
EBITDA margin reached 21.1% vs. 16.0% in the comparative period
Revenue decreased by 5% yoy and EBITDA, in contrary, grew and turned positive primarily thanks to the development of KKM’s contracts base compared to its underutilization in 2014
EBITDA margin is still lower than average, but it became positive 3.4% vs. negative 16.8% last year
EPC demonstrated relatively weak results with revenue down by 15% yoyand EBITDA decline by 45% yoy:
– project and design (EP) showed 29% yoy decrease in revenue and 51% yoy decline in EBITDA because its customers had revised their capex
– construction, in contrast, had 13% yoy growth in revenue, though showed 41% yoy decrease in EBITDA
Source: Company data
Revenue -5%EBITDA n/a
Oil & gas equipmentPumps
Source: Company data
Customer base development
Revenue contribution by the Top-7 clients Comments
Others 46.8% Gazprom 11.4%
Rosneft 17.8%
Gazprom 19.6%
Transneft 11.1%
Revenue Rub 21,233 mn
Revenue Rub 26,642 mn
Gazprom neft 7.2%
9 months 2014
Rosneft 8.3%
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Lukoil 7.1%
Gazprom Neft 10.2%
Others 36.2%
Transneft 6.9%
Well-diversified client base of 5,000 names, growth of
revenue coming from small-to-mid clients with annual
purchases below Rub 200 mn
Strong and stable base of “Blue-chip” clients, which includes
the largest oil & gas and energy companies in Russia
Prevailing installed base in the key segments ensures
recurring business growth
HMS Group has a certain pool of large customers, but their
composition is different for each period, depending on the
particular project mix
During previous several years, HMS Group has been
actively developing its exposure to gas up- and
midstream projects of Gazprom and other Russian gas
producers through development of product mix and
quality excellence
All 4 HMS Group’s business segments are well-
positioned to benefit from their expected participation
in Gazprom’s “Eastern gas program” as well as in other
gas up- and midstream projects
9 months 2015
Lukoil 3.9%
Surgutneftegaz 5.2%
NOVATEK 2.8%
Surgutneftegaz 3.0%
BP Iraq 2.5%
9m 2015 9m 2014 chg, yoy
Distribution and transportation expenses 943 923 2%
% of revenue 3.5% 4.3%
Labour costs 404 359 13%
% of revenue 1.5% 1.7%
Transportation expenses 304 313 -3%
% of revenue 1.1% 1.5%
Lease expense 54 53 3%
% of revenue 0.2% 0.2%
Other expenses 181 199 -9%
% of revenue 0.7% 0.9%
Distribution and transportation costs up by 2% yoy, and as a percentage of revenue down 3.5% from 4.3% for 9 months 2014:
Labour costs increased by 13% yoy
Transportation expenses decreased by 3% yoy
General and administrative expenses totaled Rub 2,935 mn for 9 months 2015, up 4% yoy, primarily because of 3% yoy growth of labour costs.
9m 2015 9m 2014 chg, yoy
Cost of sales 18,248 15,632 17%
% of revenue 68.5% 73.6%
Supplies and raw materials 9,866 7,425 33%
% of revenue 37.0% 35.0%
Labour costs 4,338 4,228 3%
% of revenue 16.3% 19.9%
Cost of goods sold 2,346 1,402 67%
% of revenue 8.8% 6.6%
Other expenses 1,698 2,578 -34%
% of revenue 6.4% 12.1%
Cost analysis
6
Cost of sales Comments
Distribution & transportation expenses
9m 2015 9m 2014 chg, yoy
General and administrative expenses 2,935 2,825 4%
% of revenue 11.0% 13.3%
Labour costs 1,886 1,825 3%
% of revenue 7.1% 8.6%
Taxes and duties 164 141 16%
% of revenue 0.6% 0.7%
Depreciation and amortisation 133 134 -1%
% of revenue 0.5% 0.6%
Other expenses 752 724 4%
% of revenue 2.8% 3.4%
General & administrative expenses
Cost of sales grew by 17% yoy to Rub 18,248 mn from Rub 15,632 mn, driven by growth of supplies and raw materials
Combined contribution to the cost of sales from its key components -supplies and raw materials and cost of goods sold – accounted for 46% share of revenue for 9 months 2015 compared to 42% last year.
At the same time, share of labor costs in revenue decreased to 16% from 20% in the comparative period because of execution of large contracts in the oil & gas equipment segment, which are more material-intensive and less labor-consuming
Source: Company dataNote: Differences in calculations can occur due to the rounding-off rule
In absolute figures, SG&A expenses grew by 4% yoy, but in terms of share of revenue decreased to 15% from 18% for 9 months 2014, a direct consequence of operating leverage, when revenue is growing and labor costs’ level is relatively stable
891 9421,088 1,118
0.8x 0.8x
9m 2014 9m 2015
Organic capex, Rub mn Depreciation & amortization, Rub mn Capex to D&A ratio, x
6,836 7,492
1,650
3,920
82 913
12,231
WCFY 2014
WC9m 2014
Inventorieschange
Receivableschange &other adj.
Depositschange
Payableschange &other adj.
WC9m 2015
Cash flow performance, Rub mn 9m 2015 9m 2014 Change yoy
Operating cash flow -2,029 -1,259 61%
Investing cash flow -910 -727 25%
Free cash flow (FCF) -2,939 -1,987 48%
Financing cash flow -216 1,588 -114%
Cash and cash equivalents 1,355 1,190 14%
Comments Working capital 9 months 2014-2015
Cash flow performance, Rub mn Capital expenditures2 9 months 2014-2015
Significant 63% yoy growth of working capital1 was generated by capital needs for realization of large contracts in the oil & gas equipment business segment
Net working capital increase affected cash flow from operating activities, which declined to negative Rub 2.0 bn from negative Rub 1.3 bn last year
Free cash outflow dropped to Rub -3.0 bn
Organic capex2 increased by 6% yoy, where the significant share was channeled to a current development of manufacture competences for high capacity oil transfer and refining pumps and nuclear pumps in Russia
CAPEX & Working Capital
Source: Company data
Source: Company data
71Working capital formula - see slide 132 Capex = Organic capex = Purchase of PPE + Purchase of intangible assets
Note: Differences in calculations can occur due to the rounding-off rule
Source: Company data
25%of revenue
9m 2014 LTM
32%of revenue
9m 2015 LTM21%of revenue
2014
Cash1,335
420
5,149
3,621
6,775
3,000
2015 2016 2017 2018
Debt to be repaid, Rub mn Undrawn credit lines w availability more than 12 months
3,413 4,551 4,288 4,809 12,064 11,102 12,432 13,562 15,400
2.08
2.51
1.22
0.87
1.98
2.12 2.36
2.93
1.90
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9m'14 9m'15
Net debt, Rub mn Net debt to EBITDA LTM
8
Total debt increased by 14% yoy to Rub 16.8 bn due to required working capital, related to execution of large projects in the oil & gas equipment business segment
Net debt increased by 14% yoy to Rub 15.4 bn
Net Debt-to-EBITDA LTM ratio decreased to 1.9x from 2.9x last year
HMS’ weighted average interest rate was 11.5% for all loans, including FX-denominated, and 12.4% for Rub-denominated only, as of 1 November, 2015
Within the first 11 months of 2015, HMS Group successfully refinanced Rub 5.9 bn
HMS Group signed Rub 4.2 bn loan agreements to refinance a major part of the company’s indebtedness with maturity in 2016
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Long-term debt67.5%
Comments
Comfortable repayment schedule
Source: Company data as of 1 November, 2015
Financial position
Source: Company data as of 1 October, 2015 Source: Company data as of 1 November, 2015
Maturity payment of Rub 0.6 bn bonds 03
Available liquidity Rub 4.4 bn
Net debt-to-EBITDA LTM ratio
Floating rate15.0%
Fixed rate85.0%
Short-term debt32.5%
Borrowings in Rub87.7%
Euro 11.9%
Others 0.4%
Low currency and maturity risks
Financial results
Business & Outlook
Appendix
2,1991,060 1,381
137
315
0
3,423
1,485
6,893
4,182 10,579
6,195
10,382
11,075
12,399
20,323
24,513
26,867
9m 2013 9m 2014 9m 2015
Industrial pumps 10,382 11,075 12,399
Oil & gas equipment 4,182 10,579 6,195
Compressors 3,423 1,485 6,893
EPC: Construction 137 315 0
EPC: Engineering 2,199 1,060 1,381
Total, where 20,323 24,513 26,867
standard equipment 17,773 18,068 22,370
integrated solutions 2,550 6,445 4,497
2,2421,394 1,148
60815 729
2,258 2,333
7,442 1,234
14,045
7,191
10,755
11,006
9,600
16,549
29,592
26,111
01-Oct-13 01-Oct-14 01-Oct-15
Industrial pumps 10,755 11,006 9,600
Oil & gas equipment 1,234 14,045 7,191
Compressors 2,258 2,333 7,442
EPC: Construction 60 815 729
EPC: Engineering 2,242 1,394 1,148
Total, where 16,549 29,592 26,111
standard equipment 11,619 18,435 19,815
integrated solutions 4,930 11,157 6,296
2% -13%
1038% -49%
3% 219%
-4% -15%
1262% -10%
-38% -18%
59% 7%
127% -44%
Backlog & Order intake
Source: Company data, Management accounts10
Backlog as of 1 Oct 2013-2015 Order intake for the 9 months 2013-2015
7% 12%
153% -41%
-57% 364%
130% n/a
-52% 30%
21% 10%
2% 24%
153% -30%
Contacts
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Company address:7 Chayanova Str.Moscow 125047Russia
Capital marketsPhone +7 (495) [email protected]://grouphms.com/shareholders_and_investors/
HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group Plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (Main market, IOB):
Identifier Number Number of shares outstandingISIN US40425X2099 117,163,427Ticker HMSGBloomberg HMSG LIReuters HMSGq.L
Financial results
Business & Outlook
Appendix
Calculations and formulas
13
All figures in millions of Russian Rubles, unless otherwise stated
Management of the Group assesses the performance of operating segments based on a measure of adjusted EBITDA, which is derived from the consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS
EBITDA is defined as operating profit/loss from continuing operations adjusted for other operating income/expenses, depreciation and amortisation, impairment of assets, excess of fair value of net assets acquired over the cost of acquisition, defined benefits scheme expense and provisions (including provision for obsolete inventory, provision for impairment of accounts receivable, unused vacation allowance, warranty provision, provision for legal claims, tax provision and other provisions). This measurement basis, therefore, excludes the effects of a number of non-recurring income and expenses on the results of the operating segments
EBIT is calculated as Gross profit minus Distribution & transportation expenses minus General & administrative expenses minus Other operating expenses
Total debt is calculated as Long-term borrowings plus Short-term borrowings
Net debt is calculated as Total debt minus Cash & cash equivalents at the end of the period
Working capital is calculated as Inventories plus Trade and other receivables, excluding Short-term loans issued, Bank deposits and Promissorynotes receivable, plus Current income tax receivable minus Trade and other payables minus Short-term provisions for liabilities and charges minus Current income tax payable minus Other taxes payable
ROCE is calculated as EBIT LTM divided by Average Capital Employed (Total debt + Total equity)
ROE is calculated as Total equity period average divided by Profit for the period
Backlog is calculated as the preceding backlog plus new or additional customer orders booked during the reporting period, less amounts of contract value booked as revenue under ‘‘Russian GAAP’’ on an unconsolidated basis under the relevant contracts, plus or minus adjustments made in the judgment of the Group’s management. The Group may also make certain adjustments to bookings to reflect amendment, expiry or termination of contracts, cancellation of orders, changes in price terms under contracts or orders, or other factors affecting the amount of potential revenue which the Group believes may be recognized under such contracts. The Group’s backlog estimates are not an indication of potential revenues. Actual revenues and other measures of financial performance under IFRS may differ materially from any estimate of backlog, and changes in backlog between periods may have limited or no correlation to changes in revenue or any other measure of financial performance under IFRS
Notes to the presentation and formulas used for some figures’ calculations
The information contained herein has been prepared using information available to HMS Group (“HMS” or “Group” or
“Company”) at the time of preparation of the presentation. External or other factors may have impacted on the
business of HMS Group and the content of this presentation, since its preparation. In addition all relevant information
about HMS Group may not be included in this presentation. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is
made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information.
Any forward looking information herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove
to be incorrect. Forward looking statements, by the nature, involve risk and uncertainty and HMS Group cautions that
actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Reference should be made to
the most recent Annual Report for a description of the major risk factors. This presentation should not be relied upon
as a recommendation or forecast by HMS Group, which does not undertake an obligation to release any revision to
these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to sell or
issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares in HMS Group, nor shall it or any part of
it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or
investment decision.
Disclaimer
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