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Industry/University Cooperative Research Centers Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis IUCRC Evaluation Project at North Carolina State University July 2016

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Page 1: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-2015

Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

IUCRC Evaluation Project at

North Carolina State University

July 2016

Page 2: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Membership Report Data

• 2014-2015 Data • Type of members

• Multiple center members

• Membership Trends Over Time • Overview of factors affecting Membership

• Total membership trends • By member type

• Net Gain/Loss

• Turnover

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Page 3: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Take Home Message

• Tracking “membership” is important because it may be the most important measure of success for centers and the IUCRC program

• But… • We need to be very careful in interpreting changes in

membership overtime

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Page 4: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Membership Summary

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Count Percent

Total memberships 1224 100%

Industry: large firms (500 + employees) 632 51.63

Industry: small firms (< 500 employees) 334 27.29

US Government: Federal 137 11.19

US Government: State or local 44 3.59

Non-US Government 5 0.41

Non-Profit 40 3.27

Other 32 2.61

# of organizations with memberships 1 868 --

1. Many firms and agencies maintain more than 1 membership in the I/UCRC program. This count considers a firm or agency with multiple memberships as a single member. For example, the Army holds 20 memberships but is considered a single organization in this count.

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Membership: Organizations with the Most Memberships

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N Memberships Organizations

20 Army, NASA

17 Air Force

16 Boeing

13 Raytheon

12 Northrop Grumman

11 DoE, DoD

9 Intel Corporation, Lockheed Martin, National Security Agency

7 Honeywell, IBM, Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Navy

6 GE, Samsung

No new companies on this list

Page 6: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Membership: Organizations with the Most Memberships Over Time

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1995 2000 2005 2013 2015

N Name N Name N Name N Name N Name

10 Dow Chem. 10 Motorola 17 DoE 28 Army 20 Army, NASA

9 DuPont 9 Army 13 Army 23 Air Force 17 Air Force

8 3M, Motorola, Ford

8 Lucent Tech., DoE 10 Boeing 19 DoE 16 Boeing

7 General Motors

7 Boeing, IBM, Honeywell

8 Intel, Air Force 17 Boeing 13 Lockheed Martin

6 Amoco, Boeing,

Texas Inst.

6 Daimler Chrysler 7 Raytheon, HRL, DoD 13 Lockheed Martin, Raytheon 12 Northrop Grumman

-- -- 5 Ford 6 Honeywell, Navy 12 NASA 11 DoE, DoD

-- -- -- -- 5 Dow Chem., Siemens 9 Intel, GE 9 Intel, Lockheed Martin, NSA

-- -- -- -- -- -- 8 Navy, NSA, Samsung, Texas Instruments

7 Honeywell, IBM, Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Navy

5-7 DoD, GM, Honda, Honeywell, IBM, Northrop Grumman, Qualcomm, Nat’l

Inst.

6 GE, Samsung

Dropped:

Dow Chem., DuPont, 3M, GM, Amoco, Texas Inst.,

EPA, Navy

Motorola, Lucent Tech., IBM, Daimler Chrysler, Ford

Dow Chem., HRL, Siemens, GM, Honda, Nat’l Inst, Raytheon

New:

Lucent Tech., IBM, Honeywell, Daimler

Chrysler, DoD

Intel, Air Force, Raytheon, HRL Labs, Dow Chem., Siemens,

Navy

GM, Lockheed Martin, NASA, IBM, GE, NG, NSA, Honda, Qualcomm, NI,

Samsung, Texas Inst.

Increased defense/contractors & large companies

Page 7: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Understanding Membership Changes Over Time

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Page 8: Highlights of Membership Data FY 2014-201516/2014... · Cooperative Research Highlights of Membership Data Centers FY 2014-2015 Denis Gray, Olena Leonchuk, Lindsey McGowen & Tim Michaelis

Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Interpreting Membership Changes Over Time

• Changes in membership numbers over time are influenced by changes at different levels:

• Members: Individual members will leave a center and new members will be added.

• Centers: mature centers will graduate (and their members will be dropped) and new centers will be created (and their members added).

• Sites: Generally speaking, new sites are added to existing centers but not always

• Changes in program total and average can be due to any combination of these factors.

• Totals are particularly unstable

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Example: 2012 IUCRC System Changes

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54 Centers 161 Sites

1030 Members

2011

57 Centers 168 Sites

1093 Members

2012

Note: Rows are mutually exclusive

Impacts

Level of Change Ctrs Sites Mbrs

CENTERS

In +7 +15 +95

Out -4 -6 -21

SITES

In 3 +3 +20

Out 5 -5 -28

MEMBERS

In 42 0 +203

Out 41 0 -206

No change 2 4 14

NET IMPACT +3 +7 +63

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Industrial Memberships by Year

Total Number of Members

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

Average Number of Members per Center

0

5

10

15

20

25

87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15

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Increase in total members

at program level

Decline in average

members at center level

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Member Composition 2005-2015*

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

'05 '06 '07 '08* '09* '10* '11* '12* '13* '14* '15*

Large Small Fed State Others^

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*Years Advanced Forestry excluded as a small business outlier: ‘08=36, ‘09=49, ‘10=57, `11=66, ‘12=71, ‘13=77, ’14=86, ‘15=71.

^ Categories comprising Others include: non-profit, non-US gov’t, and other org.

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Member Composition 2005-2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

Large Small Fed State Others^

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^ Categories comprising Others include: non-profit, non-US gov’t, and other org.

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Membership Variables and Indicators

• Members added: number of members center reports adding during past year (may include new individual members or members from added site)

• Does not include addition of new centers

• Members left: number of members a center reports leaving the center during past year (would only include site-level loss if site left center)

• Member Net Gain/Loss: the relative gain or loss of members (members added – members left) centers experience during each calendar year

• Member Turnover: percentage of a center’s members from year x that leave the center the following year (year x + 1)

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Average Center Membership Gain/Loss

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Members Added this FY Members Left this FY

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Net Loss Persists

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Member Turnover Rate – New Normal

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0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Turnover % = Members terminated in year X+1 / Total members in year X

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Industry/University Cooperative Research

Centers

Conclusions: Turnover Membership growth and stability has not improved

Average number of members declined 3rd year in a row

More members leaving compared to being added

Membership turnover increased and is near 25% per year (second highest total ever)

Possible explanations are: Internal:

• Newer smaller centers replacing older larger centers

• Some new sites may be marginal and do not sustain

External: New Normal

• Periodic recessions and mergers making memberships unstable

• Economy has not stabilizing

• Firms uncertain about value of pre-competitive research

Membership is dynamic Program level picture positive based on continuous growth in new centers and sites

Fewer members per individual center

Membership picture is volatile

Causal factors are hard to pin down

Explanations may reside with center level variables like leadership, technology salience, as well as structural issues like the churn of old and new centers, site transitions, etc.

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