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Northern Territory Property Report – April 2015

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Page 1: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

NorthernTerritoryProperty Report – April 2015

Page 2: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

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Northern Territory – Property ReportApril 2015

National Overview

This quarter, we asked Herron Todd White property experts to identify the hidden gems of Australia’s residential property market – locations that combine affordability with strong prospects for future growth. As our research confirms, it is still possible to find such property jewels, and a few leading indicators can pinpoint where to look.NEW INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTSIn Sydney’s north-west growth corridor the construction of a new business park and infrastructure improvements have the potential to underpin healthy long-term price growth in the ‘Macquarie’ towns of Richmond and Windsor. At present, dwellings in these locations are available for under $500,000.

In the South Australian capital of Adelaide, West Croyden could be a key beneficiary of the Royal Adelaide Hospital, due for completion in about 2016. Already the suburb is benefiting from new local infrastructure, including shopping centres and bikeways. The median house price in West Croyden is $470,000.

In Queensland, values in the Brisbane suburb of Salisbury have the potential to rise following major works, both planned and under way, in nearby Mt Gravatt. Entry-level dwellings in Salisbury are priced from around $450,000.

LARGE ALLOTMENTSLarge lot sizes can be another factor indicating potential hidden gems. To Sydney’s west, generous lot sizes in Blacktown and Penrith are proving attractive to investors hoping to construct a second dwelling. A similar pattern is being seen in the Perth suburb of St James, where large allotments give investors the option to tenant a dwelling while planning for duplex development of the land.

....values in the Brisbane suburb of Salisbury have the potential to rise following major works....

Page 3: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

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Northern Territory – Property ReportApril 2015

THE RIPPLE EFFECTThe ripple effect, where rising property prices spread outwards from one suburb to neighbouring areas, can be a marker of hidden property gems. In Melbourne, for instance, Altona North has a median dwelling value of $560,000. Yet nearby Williamstown enjoys a median house price of $959,000, and neighbouring Newport has a median house price of $740,000. The price differential gives Altona North plenty of scope for future gains.

In Tasmania, the ripple effect of rising prices in inner Hobart locations could pinpoint Moonah as a potential hidden gem. The median house price in Moonah, situated just 4 kilometres to the north of the city centre, currently stands at $279,500.

GOVERNMENT INITIATIVESIn the Northern Territory, the government’s ‘Real Housing for Growth’ plan gives investors a guaranteed rental cash flow. At present, property is available under the scheme in Coconut Grove in Darwin’s north and in the satellite city of Palmerston. Properties in these areas are priced from about $420,000.

LOCAL IMPROVEMENTSThe Canberra suburb of Narrabundah is well placed to benefit from the development of the Kingston Foreshore waterfront precinct combining arts, cultural, recreation and dining facilities, on the edge of Lake Burley Griffin. Medium-density housing options in Narrabundah start in price at about $350,000.

The list of hidden gems identified in this edition of the Herron Todd White Westpac Property Report is by no means exhaustive but we hope it provides food for thought on where to look for your next investment property.

Brendon HulcombeCEO - HERRON TODD WHITE

The ripple effect, where rising property prices spread outwards from one suburb to neighbouring areas, can be a marker of hidden property gems.

Page 4: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

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Northern Territory – Property ReportApril 2015

Northern Territory

The Northern Territory Government’s ‘Real Housing for Growth’ plan could attract more investors to the Top End, helping to uncover hidden investment gems.DARWINThe Real Housing for Growth plan aims to increase housing supply in the Northern Territory and ease housing cost pressures, to both attract and retain key workers in the Top End.

The plan gives investors the opportunity to purchase individual residential properties (mainly units), which are then leased to the Northern Territory Government at market rates for a minimum of ten years, with an option to renew for a further five years. The rent is reviewed annually but it cannot fall below the commencing rent.

The Northern Territory Government then rents the properties to essential service workers such as nurses and police officers, charging 70% of market rent, as part of a strategy to retain these workers in Darwin, which has a high cost of living. The government is responsible for all property management costs and in return charges the property owners a management fee of 16%.

Under the plan, 2,000 new homes will be constructed in the Northern Territory in the next four years. At present, property is available under the scheme at Coconut Grove in Darwin’s north and in the satellite city of Palmerston.

Our view is that these apartments will achieve capital growth in line with market returns; however, their real appeal for investors lies in the secure rental income stream, which is backed by the Northern Territory Government.

In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000 to $470,000 depending on location; weekly rents are in the order of $520. This will give investors a gross yield of about 6%, which is quite robust for investors with a low appetite for risk.

We anticipate fiveyear capital growth of around 3% annually, with similar results expected over the coming ten years.

Page 5: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

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Northern Territory – Property ReportApril 2015

KATHERINE Located 320 kilometres south of Darwin, Katherine has a population of 10,000 and is supported by a relatively robust local economy.

Indeed, Katherine is enjoying especially good economic times at present, following the expansion of the nearby Tindal RAAF base.

In our view, Department of Defence activities will play an increasingly important role in Katherine – and indeed the Top End – and may become a key driver of future economic growth in the Northern Territory.

Investors in Katherine can achieve gross yields in the order of 7%. However, it is critical to focus on residential property in Katherine East and avoid flood-prone areas, including the town centre.

Investor-grade properties in Katherine start in price at around $350,000. We expect five year capital gains to be around 5% annually, dropping to 3% per annum over a ten year horizon.

Under the plan, 2,000 new homes will be constructed in the Northern Territory in the next four years. At present, property is available under the scheme at Coconut Grove in Darwin’s north and in the satellite city of Palmerston.

Page 6: Herron Todd White Property Report - Westpac€¦ · In Coconut Grove and Palmerston, 2-bedroom units for sale under the Real Housing for Growth plan are priced from around $420,000

Telephone 1300 880 [email protected]

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