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HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI August 2 - 4, 2020

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Page 1: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

H E R I TA G E B AT T L E G R O U N DS U R V E Y A Z , F L , PA , W I

August 2-4, 2020

Page 2: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

2

Page 3: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

30

60Right Direction

Wrong Track

R IGHT D IRECTION / WRONG TRACKC O U N T R Y

3

6

27

56

30 33 29 30

90

58

33

61 60 61 60

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Page 4: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

43 43

14

Republican

Democrat

Undecided

GENERIC BALLOTC O N G R E S S

4

5

31

88

45 43 43 43

89

33

3

42 42 43 44

5

36

9 13 15 14 14

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Page 5: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUEF A C I N G O U R C O U N T Y ( O P E N E N D)

5

30

21554

3

28

4CoronavirusEconomy/Unemployment/Re-openHealth CareDonald TrumpDemocrats/Liberals/SocialistsDivisiveness/IntoleranceOtherDK/Refused

Democrat(39%)

Independent(20%)

Republican(39%)

42

11910

04

204

27

256323

30

421

291182

34

4

Page 6: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUEV O T I N G F O R C O N G R E S S ( C L O S E D E N D)

6

29

2116

9

94 4 2

6Dealing with COVID-19Create Jobs/EconomyHealth CareFederal Budget SpendingIllegal ImmigationNational SecuirtyTaking care of veteransCutting TaxesDK/Refused

43

14

27

5123128

2414

13

6 242 17

28

612

18

6 4 4

Democrat(39%)

Independent(20%)

Republican(39%)

Page 7: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

–Presidential Election

Page 8: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

89

43

6

46 45 48 46 4457

41

70

8

45

90

50 51 46 46 51

36

54

25

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Arizona

Florida

Pennsylvania

Wisc

onsin

College M

en

College W

omen

Financial Im

prove

Financial W

orsen

6

43

91

50 48 45 46 4836

54

21

91

49

8

49 48 51 49 4961

44

75

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Arizona

Florida

Pennsylvania

Wisc

onsin

College M

en

College W

omen

Financial Im

prove

Financial W

orsen

8

IMAGE TEST

7 4

40

3

46

DONALDTRUMPNET: -2

49

47

17 6

29

6

42

JOE BIDENNET: -2

48

46

39%20% 39%

Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

Never Heard OfNo Opinion

25% 25%

25%25%

26%27% 74% 17%

39%20% 39%

25% 25%

25%25%

26%27% 74% 17%

Page 9: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

45 43 46 4847 53 49 47

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+

43 51 48 4851 46 49 50

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+

9

IMAGE TESTA G E

21% 20% 28% 27%

FavorableUnfavorable

21% 20% 28% 27%

Joe Biden

DONALD TRUMP

Page 10: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

395255

42

Male Female

10

IMAGE TESTG E N D E R

48% 52%

554042

56

Male Female48% 52%

FavorableUnfavorable

Joe Biden

DONALD TRUMP

Page 11: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

4258

80

5333

12

White Hispanic Black

11

IMAGE TESTR A C E

5136

8

4559

86

White Hispanic Black81% 7%

FavorableUnfavorable

Joe Biden

DONALD TRUMP

7%

81% 7% 7%

Page 12: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

9

49

92

52 53 49 48 5238

56

25

90

48

8

47 47 50 51 4761

43

74

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen

12

JOB APPROVALO V E R A L L

Strongly ApproveSomewhat ApproveSomewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

DK/Refused

ApproveDisapprove

10 1

40

3

45

DONALDTRUMP

Net: +2

50

48

39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 13: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

13

57

95

56 56 53 53 5842

59

34

84

39

5

43 44 43 44 4255

39

64

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen

13

JOB APPROVALE C O N O M Y

Strongly ApproveSomewhat ApproveSomewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

DK/Refused

9 2

45

9

34

DONALDTRUMP

Net: +1154

43ApproveDisapprove

39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 14: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

47 47

4

1 1

Trump Biden Undecided

If the general election for President were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican, and Joe Biden, the Democrat, for whom

would you vote?

14

PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT

Vote TrumpLean TrumpVote BidenLean BidenUndecided

5

44

93

51 49 46 47 5035

54

24

94

46

5

48 49 50 47 4762

43

73

210

2 2 2 4 6 3 3 3 3

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen

48 48

39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 15: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

15

PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT

Age

564140

56

3 4

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

Donald TrumpJoe BidenDK/Refused

44 52 50 4851 44 48 49

6 5 2 3

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

5335

7

4465

91

4 1 3

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Page 16: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

3215

4

44

2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

16

I generally support President Trump and his policies and

I’m very likely to vote for him for president.

I support most of President Trump’s policies but am

unhappy about many of the things he says, so I will likely

vote for Joe Biden

I am personally unhappy with many things President

Trump says, but I support many of his policies and will

likely vote for him for president.

I generally do not support President Trump and will

very likely vote for the Joe Biden for president.

Thinking about the 2020 presidential election, please tell me which of the following comes closest to your opinion.

3

21

66

35 32 32 28 3120

37

132

21 2415 14 14 15 16 14 16

94 7 2 3 6 3 5 5 3 4 6

86

41

5

44 44 45 44 4357

39

66

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 17: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

17

2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Age

3826

15 144 4

3751

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

25 33 32 3617 16 15 125 3 5 2

44 43 43 47

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

3520

416 15

24 3 6

4061

81

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Support/ Vote TrumpUnhappy/ Vote TrumpUnhappy/Vote BidenNot Support/Vote Biden

Page 18: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

61

27

3

31 31 31 31

10

45

79

4551

45 40

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Arizona

Florida

Pennsylvania

Wisc

onsin

80

32

4

39 41 40 39

10

57

94

55 54 52 52

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Arizona

Florida

Pennsylvania

Wisc

onsin

18

IMAGE TEST

15 7

25

4

49

NANCY PELOSINET: -13

53

40

14 1417

104

41

ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZNET: -14

45

31

Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

Never Heard OfNo Opinion

39% 20% 39%

25% 25%

25% 25% 39% 20% 39%

25% 25%

25% 25%

Page 19: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

–AZ Senate Election

Page 20: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

8

30

7284

52

16

Democrat Independent Republican

84

48

11526

66

Democrat Independent Republican

20

IMAGE TEST

17 9

23

312

37

MARTHA MCSALLYNET: +1

39

40

13 14

33

4927

MARK KELLYNET: +10

36

46

37% 22% 41% 37% 22% 41%

Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

Never Heard OfNo Opinion

AZ

Page 21: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

5039 47 50

2242 40 36

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+

3045 39 4351 43

53 51

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+

21

IMAGE TESTA G E

18% 23% 27% 29%

FavorableUnfavorable

Mark Kelly

MARTHA MCSALLY

AZ

18% 23% 27% 29%

Page 22: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

405244

28

Male Female

22

IMAGE TESTG E N D E R

48% 52%

4534

45 52

Male Female48% 52%

FavorableUnfavorable

Mark Kelly

MARTHA MCSALLY

AZ

Page 23: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

47 4837 29

White Hispanic

23

IMAGE TESTR A C E

4333

48 49

White Hispanic77% 13%

FavorableUnfavorable

77% 13%

Mark Kelly

MARTHA MCSALLY

AZ

Page 24: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

47 47

4

1 1

McSally Kelly Undecided

If the 2020 election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Martha McSally, a Republican, and Mark Kelly, a Democrat, for whom would

you vote?

24

A Z SENATE BALLOT

Vote McSallyLean McSallyVote KellyLean KellyUndecided

5

40

9092

51

93 9 2

Democrat Independent Republican37% 22% 41%

48 48

AZ

Page 25: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

25

A Z SENATE BALLOT

Age

574040

56

3 4

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

McSallyKellyUndecided

4052 51 4855

43 48 49

6 5 2 3

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+

49 4546 55

5 0

White Hispanic77% 13%

18% 23% 27% 29%

AZ

Page 26: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

–Battleground Environment

Page 27: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

25

50

143

F INANCIAL S ITUATION

27

I am certain my financial situation will improve over

the next year.

I am fearful my financial situation will get worse over

the next year.

I am hopeful but not certain my financial situation will

improve over the next year.

I am certain my financial situation will get worse over

the next year.

Thinking about you and your family’s financial situation, which of the following statements do you most agree with?

14 2038

25 28 24 21 25 21

54 49 45 50 49 49 50 51 51

20 16 7 13 12 15 15 15 175 3 2 4 3 4 4 2 2

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

Page 28: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

28

F INANCIAL S ITUATION

Age

27 22

48 51

13 144 3

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

25 23 27 22

54 54 47 46

14 13 13 153 2 5 3

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

25 28 19

50 50 49

13 17 184 0 3

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Certain ImproveHopeful ImproveFearful Get WorseCertain Get Worse

Page 29: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

23

4529

4

Health CrisisEconomic CrisisBothDK/Refused

THE C OV I D - 1 9 CRISIS

29

Do you think the recent COVID-19 outbreak has caused more of a health crisis or economic crisis?

3423

12 19 20 26 25 22 27 22 2723

47

6648 41 44 47 49

3948

344128

1830 35 29 24 26 32 26

37

2 3 5 3 5 2 5 3 3 3 2

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 30: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

30

THE C OV I D - 1 9 CRISIS

Age

20 25

5041

27 32

4 3

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

25 19 21 24

50 51 4736

23 28 29 35

2 2 3 5

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

22 2235

47 46

1827 3147

4 1 1

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Health CrisisEconomic CrisisBothDK/Refused

Page 31: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

48 42

10

The Republican Party

The Democrat Party

Both/Neither/DK/Refused

REBUILDING THE ECONOMY

31

Which party do you trust more to rebuild the economy following the COVID-19 pandemic?

8

42

91

51 47 45 48 5036

53

25

86

33

5

40 44 43 43 3954

38

64

6

24

5 8 10 12 9 11 9 9 12

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 32: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

32

REBUILDING THE ECONOMY

Age

564035

49

9 10

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

44 52 49 4845 37 42 45

11 11 9 7

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

5334

6

3860

78

9 6 16

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

The Republican PartyThe Democratic PartyDK/Refused

Page 33: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

46 46

8Attend School Too Risky DK/Refused

33

STUDENTS ATTENDING SCHOOLThinking about the debate around students attending school in person this fall, please tell me which of the following statements you most agree with.

Although there are some risks involved with healthy students attending school in person this fall, the harm

that keeping a healthy child out of school will result in is too great and outweighs the risk.

Allowing children to attend school in person this fall is too risky and school should be only held online until a

COVID-19 vaccine is widely available.

15

46

76

45 44 45 49 4736

50

27

77

42

16

45 49 47 41 4452

42

67

8 12 7 10 8 9 10 9 12 8 6

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen

FinancialImprove

FinancialWorsen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27% 74% 17%

Page 34: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

34

STUDENTS ATTENDING SCHOOL

Age

533940

51

8 10

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

46 49 47 4245 43 43 51

9 8 10 7

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

4938

11

4254

82

9 8 7

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Attend School Too RiskyDK/Refused

Page 35: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

67

18 16Free Market Government DK/Refused

35

FREE MARKET C OV I D - 1 9 SOLUTIONSThinking about all the efforts to find solutions to the coronavirus, like a

vaccine or effective treatments, which of the following statements do you most agree with?

We will find solutions like a vaccine or effective drug treatments faster if we empower the free market to

tackle the problem.

We will find solutions like a vaccine or effective drug treatments faster if we let government drive the

process like socialist countries in Europe.

5068

8369 69 61 68 65 59

3116 7

19 16 20 17 21 2319 19 10 13 16 19 15 14 18

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

Page 36: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

36

FREE MARKET C OV I D - 1 9 SOLUTIONS

Age

69 65

18 1813 17

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

5870 73 66

25 17 14 1617 13 13 18

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

68 6853

18 17 1814 1528

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Free Market GovernmentDK/Refused

Page 37: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

48

14 6

18

14

Agree Disagree Undecided

37

CHINA IS RESPONSIBLE

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement. In regard to the current coronavirus pandemic, the Chinese communist government bears the responsibility because early on they purposefully withheld critical information about the ease of transmission and

seriousness of the disease. Due to that, China knowingly allowed the rapid spread of the deadly virus throughout the world.

Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused

66

28

4863

8668 70 63 63 67

534729

927 26 31 29 29

40

5 8 5 5 5 6 8 5 6

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

Page 38: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

38

CHINA IS RESPONSIBLE

Age

7260

2234

5 7

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

5970 66 67

3725 29 25

4 5 5 8

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

67 7049

27 2742

6 3 9

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

Page 39: HERITAGE BATTLEGROUND SURVEY AZ, FL, PA, WI€¦ · 1 day ago  · AZ. 25 AZ SENATEBALLOT Age 57 40 40 56 3 4 Male Female Gender 48% 52% RACE McSally Kelly Undecided 40 55 52 51 48

51

12 7

19

12

Agree Disagree Undecided

39

AMERICA F IRST FOR C OV I D VACCINE

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? America has built up and funded the world’s greatest medical research system. As a result the US creates far more cures and

treatments for all kinds of diseases than all socialist countries, which essentially get those cures for free. If an American discovers the COVID-19 vaccine the American public should have the

right to get it first, before it is offered to other countries. Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused

70

24

59 6882

69 74 67 70 66 61

3525

1225 21 26 23 27 33

6 7 6 7 5 7 8 6 6

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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40

AMERICA F IRST FOR C OV I D VACCINE

Age

73 67

21 266 7

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

61 68 74 77

31 25 21 178 8 6 5

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

7080 71

23 20 267 1 4

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

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42 49

9Racial Injustice Violent Riots DK/Refused

41

PROTESTS IN AMERICAN C IT IESNow thinking about the protests happening in many of our big cities,

which of the following statements best represents your opinion?

These protests are a result of years of injustice and inequality suffered by Americans who are minorities as a result of systemic racism in our police departments and

in government in general.

These protests have stopped being about racial injustice and have become violent riots by people who hate America and want to tear down our government

and radically change American culture.

77

42

9

43 42 44 41 4458

15

44

84

50 47 48 50 4733

8 14 7 13 11 8 9 10 9

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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42

PROTESTS IN AMERICAN C IT IES

Age

384754

44

9 9

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

49 42 36 4342 49 54 50

9 9 10 7

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

39 47

83

52 49

88 4 9

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Racial Injustice Violent RiotsDK/Refused

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8

69

58

10

Favor Oppose Undecided

43

DEFUND THE POLICE

Do you favor or oppose the movement to significantly cut funding for police departments across the country, known as defund the police?

Strongly FavorSomewhat FavorSomewhat OpposeStrongly OpposeDK/Refused

16

79

3016

314 15 18 18 17 22

6180

9682 80 76 78 79 70

8 5 2 4 6 6 5 4 8

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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44

DEFUND THE POLICE

Age

13 18

82 76

4 6

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

2714 13 13

6981 81 82

4 5 6 6

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

15 1532

80 8560

5 1 8

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

FavorOpposeDK/Refused

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62

299

Need Police Rethink Policing DK/Refused

45

POLICE IN AMERICAThinking about the debate about policing in America, which of the

following statements comes closest to your opinion?

Our country was founded on the rule of law which gives us stability and order, and we cannot continue to be so

without police to enforce our laws.

We need to rethink policing in our country because much of the money we spend on police should be spent

on social services, welfare programs and schools instead.

32

64

90

61 60 63 64 594655

245

30 29 28 27 2941

13 13 5 9 11 9 10 12 13

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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46

POLICE IN AMERICA

Age

6856

2334

8 10

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

5163 64 68

4029 25 23

9 7 12 9

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

65 583326

3752

9 5 15

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Need Police Rethink Policing DK/Refused

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39 42

3

9 8

Agree Disagree Undecided

47

DEM PARTY OVERRUN WITH SOCIALISM

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement. The Democrat Party has been taken over by radical liberal socialists who hate America and want to fundamentally

change American government and culture.

Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused

48 50

9

47

87

49 50 47 47 4835

89

48

11

48 49 51 50 4963

2 6 2 3 1 3 3 3 2

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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48

DEM PARTY OVERRUN WITH SOCIALISM

Age

554143

56

2 3

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

46 53 49 4751 45 50 51

3 3 2 2

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

5137

20

4660

79

2 3 2

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

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39 37

6

9 9

Agree Disagree Undecided

49

EDUCATION INFILTRATED BY RADICAL LEFT

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement. The radical left has infiltrated our public education system, from kindergarten all the way to our universities, and is

quietly indoctrinating our American kids on a number of radical liberal ideals.

Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused

48 46

13

44

85

49 50 46 48 4935

83

45

10

44 45 48 46 4661

5 11 5 7 5 6 6 5 4

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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50

EDUCATION INFILTRATED BY RADICAL LEFT

Age

554240

51

5 7

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

46 52 50 4750 41 45 46

5 6 5 8

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

50 4925

44 4668

6 5 7

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

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2348

4

14

11

Agree Disagree Undecided

51

REPUBLICAN PARTY IS RACIST

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement. The Republican Party is systematically racist and generally opposes equal rights for minorities and members of

the LGBT community.

Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused37

59

69

32

8

39 39 36 34 3244

27

63

90

57 59 61 62 6651

5 5 2 4 3 4 5 3 5

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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52

REPUBLICAN PARTY IS RACIST

Age

2945

6851

3 5

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

39 32 36 4058 66 59 56

3 2 5 4

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

3350

666350

274 1 7

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

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B IDEN PUSH SERIEST O P L I N E

6

6

8

8

10

9

41

42

42

42

42

44

7

6

8

6

7

7

13

22

11

11

10

9

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

53

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

53 16Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including

raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average family of four.

52 17

50 17

50 19

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history.

48 28Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns.

Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.47 20

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B IDEN PUSH SERIESI N D E P E N D E N T S

9

10

11

8

6

9

41

41

41

43

44

45

8

10

8

8

11

7

15

7

7

8

6

4

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

54

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

54 11Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including

raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average family of four.

50 17

51 16

52 15

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history.

Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016.

51 17Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns. 50 23

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B IDEN PUSH SERIESA R I Z O N A

9

6

7

12

7

9

42

43

43

43

44

45

6

9

9

7

8

7

9

10

9

9

20

8

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

55

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

54 15Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average

family of four.

51 28

55 16

50 18

Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history.

49 19Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016. 51 15

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B IDEN PUSH SERIESF L O R I D A

7

6

8

9

10

10

39

40

40

42

42

43

6

7

6

1

5

5

16

23

14

13

11

11

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

56

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

53 16Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average

family of four.

52 16

51 14

48 20

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history.

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016.

46 30Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns.

Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.46 22

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B IDEN PUSH SERIESP E N N S Y LVA N I A

8

5

7

6

8

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

5

5

8

5

6

5

15

23

11

11

10

14

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

57

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

50 19Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.

53 16

50 16

50 19

Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average

family of four.

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

47 28Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history. 49 20

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B IDEN PUSH SERIESW I S C O N S I N

6

9

9

6

9

8

37

39

40

41

41

42

7

8

10

5

6

8

13

8

9

22

10

8

100 80 60 40 20 20 40

Somewhat More Likely

58

Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

Less Likely More Likely

50 16Joe Biden has proposed the single largest tax hike in American history, including raising taxes on the middle class by over two thousand dollars a year for the average

family of four.

50 16

47 27

59 19

Joe Biden’s tax plan would increase taxes by more than double of what Hillary Clinton proposed in 2016.

Joe Biden publicly states that he supports strict gun control, including outlawing many commonly owned firearms entirely and imposing a $200 dollar-a-year tax on all guns.

Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes by 3 trillion dollars, which would be far bigger than any tax increase in American history.

48 16Joe Biden’s proposed tax plan would increase taxes on every income bracket, including middle class and lower income Americans.

Critics of Biden point out that Biden’s age and cognitive decline will prevent him from standing up to the radical left, allowing leftist like Nancy Pelosi and Alexandria

Ocasio-Cortez to run the country.53 20

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47

1330

11Devastate the Economy Not Much Impact Help the Economy DK/Refused

59

B IDENS $3 TRILLION TAX PLAN

Thinking again about Joe Biden’s proposed 3 trillion-dollar tax increase, which of the following statements comes closest to your opinion?

Biden’s tax increase would be devastating to our economy already

weakened by the coronavirus and would likely push us into a serious

recession.

Biden’s tax increase would help our economy because it would allow the government to spend more to help people who really need it and those financially hurt by the coronavirus.

Biden’s tax increase probably wouldn’t have much impact overall on the

economy.

9

47

85

51 45 46 46 4735

22 144 13 14 12 14 13 17

60

224

28 30 31 29 29 38

9 187 8 12 11 12 11 9

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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60

B IDENS $3 TRILLION TAX PLAN

Age

5441

11 1524

34

11 10

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

45 52 48 45

17 11 13 1230 28 29 31

9 9 11 12

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

5137

101224 16

27 31

63

10 8 10

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

Devastate our EconomyNot Much Impact Help the EconomyDK/Refused

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41 37

8

6 8

Agree Disagree Undecided

61

B IDENS D IM INISHED MENTAL CAPACITY

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement. Some people say that Joe Biden suffers from some level of diminished mental capacity and because of this they fear that

if he is elected president his administration will be staffed with very liberal socialists given to him by Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer and the Democrat National Committee.

Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeDK/Refused

47 45

13

43

84

49 49 46 46 46 38

80

47

11

46 45 45 46 47 54

7 10 5 6 7 10 8 8 8

Democrat Independent Republican Arizona Florida Pennsylvania Wisconsin CollegeMen

CollegeWomen39% 20% 39% 25% 25% 25% 25%

26% 27%

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62

B IDENS D IM INISHED MENTAL CAPACITY

Age

534341 49

7 8

Male Female

Gender

48% 52%

RACE

47 50 49 4646 43 43 47

7 8 8 7

45 & Under 46-55 56-65 66+21% 20% 28% 27%

5135

1842

5974

7 6 8

White Hispanic Black81% 7% 7%

AgreeDisagreeDK/Refused

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H E R I TA G E B AT T L E G R O U N DS U R V E YA Z , F L , PA , W I