henk kox cpb netherlands bureau for economic policy analysis
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OECD Expert Meeting on the Services Trade Restrictiveness Index, Paris 2-3 July 2009 STRI for professional services - Discussion and suggestions -. Henk Kox CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. Praise. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
OECD Expert Meeting on the Services Trade Restrictiveness Index, Paris 2-3 July 2009
STRI for professional services - Discussion and suggestions -
Henk Kox
CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
Praise
STRI is result of a large research effort
Builds on latest developments in international trade literature and econometric methods
Flexible, can be extended to: More countries Other time periods More services sectors (trade, transport, financial services?)
STRI for professional services yields plausible gravity estimates
1. Mode-choice neutrality of regulation
STRI represents progress compared to generic trade-restrictiveness indicators by considering impacts on different services supply modes
Impact of regulation on supply modes is now classified in a static way (Table 2): either mode 1, or mode 3, or cross-modal
The cross-modal category is not very informative
My suggestion is to add instead the element of mode-choice neutrality: does a policy tilt the mode-choice of firms
Towards mode 1 ? Towards mode 3 ?
This can be done quite easily by reclassifying the mode-choice impacts in the very central Table 2
1. Mode-choice neutrality of regulation
Table 2 Classification of Trade barriers in my view under-rates
regulatory impacts on mode 1
In at least 18 cases I would have classified a ' Yes' for the mode-1 impact
Impact regulation on the choice of trade mode is complex and deserves a broad-shot approach to capture all relevant impacts
2. Bilateral aspects in trade costs
Bilateral policy heterogeneity causes fixed adaptation costs for firms in professional services
Have to be absorbed up-front, upon entry in foreign market
affect mode 1 and mode 3
have big impact on SME
Fixed domestic qualification costs for could be source for scale economies through trade
..but different national qualification costs for PS firm are entry obstacles , protect national markets
2. Bilateral aspects in trade costs
Bilateral policy heterogeneity causes fixed adaptation costs for firms in professional services
Bilateral policy differences important for understanding services trade between OECD countries and developing countries
Why not consider bilateral STRI indicators, per country pair?
could capture fixed adaptation costs for firms in professional services (mode 1+3)
3. Origin country policies
Origin-country policies are blind spot in present STRI, but do affect services trade
E.g. trade facilitation policies, subsidies, public involvement, extra-territorial operation of a country's regulations
now only captured in broad country x time dummy can we do better?
4. Data sources
Selection of indicators in database: no use of World Bank 'Cost of Doing Business' data
organisational chauvinism? DB data well-researched, available for many non-OECD
countries includes formal rules plus implementation efficiency
possibly useful elements in Enforcing contracts,
Employing Workers, Starting a Business, Getting Licenses