helen goulden: our future collaborative economy
TRANSCRIPT
Helen Goulden@helengou
Our future Collaborative Economy?
#futureshock
Innovations that use digital technologies to enable the sharing, lending, exchanging of skills, resources, money and
assets in ways - and at a scale - not possible before
Our future Collaborative Economy?
Airbnb
Digital Technologies Trust Distributed Idling Capacity
TRAITS
PILLARSCollaborative Consumption
CollaborativeProduction
CollaborativeLearning
CollaborativeFinance
Government Cities Corporates Charities
ACTORS
B2C C2B P2P B2B
MODELS
CommunitiesStart-UpsPeople
TRAITS & CHARACTERISTICS
What will the UK collaborative economy look like in 2025?
Scenario 1: Rise of the micro-entrepreneur
More people sell their things and time on collaborative platforms. For those who are unemployed, or underemployed, this constitutes their primary source of income
Increased competition amongst micro-entrepreneurs means precarious, piece-work becomes common place.
Scenario 2: Hyper-productive goods
Asset owners enthusiastically take up the collaborative economy, resulting in rapid increase of publicly available goods to rent and share.
In certain sectors, such as short-term home-sharing and co-working help mitigate some of the realities of unequal economic development
Scenario 3: International monopolies
A handful of platforms rise to dominate the collaborative economy landscape.
Monopoly platforms take a greater proportion of the financial value generated from micro-entrepreneurs and consumers
Scenario 4: A million local economies
Local economies become increasingly self-sufficient and autonomous drawing demand away from national and international markets.
This revitalisation of local communities provides a route for people to contribute time, skills and resources to support local priorities as an alternative to contributing taxation.
Scenario 5: On-demand, convenient, embedded
Collaborative platforms are replaced by a collaborative internet of things. Shared goods are embedded with chips to enable easy location and access to needed goods.
Infrastructures and supply systems within the collaborative economy become hyper efficient and predictive thanks to rich personal data.
Scenario 6: Increased sustainability
Climate change and resource depletion results in increased scarcity and rising costs for basic goods. Food and energy platforms dominate the collaborative economy.
With greater productivity of existing assets and reduced consumption, fewer foreign goods are imported (and domestic goods produced) in the UK
• What other scenarios might exist in 2025?
• Which are the most desirable?
• Which are the most probable?
• What’s the role of governments, policymakers and regulators?
Alex Stephany, Just Park
Patrick Robinson, AirBnB
Discussion
Back experimentation, generate evidence
Harness Britain’s design talent
Set smart standards for sharing
nice & niche
massive & mainstream
?
Thank you
@helengou @nesta_uk