heat – valuing cycling

1 December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH

Welcome! The HEAT training session will begin shortly.

Valuing Cycling: € 100,000,000,000 Today

Randy Rzewnicki, Ph.D. HEAT Training December 2015

Contents

•  Who are we and what do we do? •  What is HEAT? •  Applications & examples •  Valuing cycling •  The New Cycling Economy •  More cycling •  Q & A

December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 3

Introducing the ECF •  Founded 1983 •  World’s largest, best known

international cyclists’ advocacy & umbrella group

•  Based in Brussels •  Representing

> 80 organisations > 40 countries > 500,000 individuals


ECF mission Ensure bicycle use achieves fullest potential, ... … sustainable mobility and public well-being.

ECF goals Ø 2 X cycling modal split (trips)=15% 2020

Ø 50% fewer serious casualties

Ø Increasing funding for cycling to 10%


What is HEAT for Cycling?

•  Online tool www.heatwalkingcycling.org •  Economic assessment of health benefits

of cycling (& walking)

•  Reduced mortality ‘only’

HEAT approach •  Practical tool intended for transport planners •  cost-benefit ratio : •  economic analysis in transport: Evidence-based •  Transparent •  Adaptable •  ‘Do once and share’

“what is the economic value of the health benefits for a specific amount of cycling in a certain population?”

•  Modelling; interventions; ‘steady state’ •  Method adopted by UK and Austrian

governments

Applications

•  over 3 million users

•  over 2 million more physically active

•  cycling trips health benefit £286 million

•  walking trips health benefit £156 million

calculated using WHO HEAT www.heatwalkingcycling.org

Sustrans infrastructure programme public health outcomes 2011



Economic Effects of UK Cycling Delivery Plan Goal: double cycling trips ⇒ cycling modal share in 2025 2.5% ⇒  & 2050 => 5% FACTORS •  Increased physical fitness (HEAT) •  decongestion •  casualties from car usage •  workplace absenteeism due to improved health •  greenhouse gas emissions •  noise •  air quality •  improvements in journey quality

Benefits •  £ 7.6 billion (2025) & £ 46.5 billion (2050) (Fiona Crawford &Robin Lovelace, U Leeds) http://www.ctc.org.uk/economic-cycle

Economic Benefits of Cycling England

Increasing cycling modal share to 25% by 2050 ca £ 250 billion in economic benefits due to cycling

- CTC (Cyclists’ Touring Club)


NL: Health benefits > 5% GDP € 31 bn/yr Infrastructure for cycling cost €0.5 bn/yr 27% of all trips by cycle Dutch adults 20 -90 yrs 74 minutes per week Ca 50% the total life expectancy increase in those aged 65 +


Fishman, Schepers & Kamphuis 2015 Dutch Cycling: Quantifying the Health and Related Economic Benefits” online, AmJ Pub Heal June 11, 2015

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All internal and external benefits of cycling together 7.4% bicycle use (Eurobarometer 2010) + turnover of related industries > € 200 bn annually > € 400/person EU

The New Cycling Economy: € 200 bn /year

December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH

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Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2 emissions

Reduced air pollution

Reduced noise pollution

Minimum Maximum

Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, in bn €)


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24.2

2,7 1,4 0,9

0,3

Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, minimum values in bn €)

Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2 emissions Reduced air pollution Reduced noise pollution


17 08 OCT 2015, Istanbul, HEPA Twitter @ecfHEALTH

What can you use it for?

•  Project Evaluation: new or old projects – Value of health benefits of increased use

•  Assess current use – What is cycling worth in my city, region,

country? •  Modelling

– Projected future cycling

What data do I need to start?

•  Number of people affected •  Data on levels of walking/cycling •  Average duration or distance walked/

cycled

Read the user guide! •  http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/

0003/155631/E96097.pdf

•  www.heatwalkingcycling.org

•  Background •  Methods •  Assumptions •  Tips

WHO/Europe & ECF webinar

08 OCT 2015, Istanbul, HEPA Twitter @ecfHEALTH 23

Many thanks to - Nick Cavill, Cavill Associates

- to you for listening

[email protected] www.ecf.com @ecfHEALTH

heat – valuing cycling

Health & Medicine