health economics- lecture ch11
TRANSCRIPT
8/3/2019 Health Economics- Lecture Ch11
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The Organization of
Health Insurance Markets
Dr. Katherine Sauer
Metropolitan State College of Denver
Health Economics
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Outline:
I. Loading Costs
II. Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Demand
III. Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Labor Supply
IV. The Uninsured
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I. Loading Costs
Consumers can improve their well-being by sacrificing
a (relatively) small but certain premium to insure
against the probability of a considerably larger loss.
It is important to examine how the policies will be
offered to specific groups.
(why some groups will find it difficult to get
insurance at all)
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Insurance firms incur costs of doing business that are
added to the claims payouts.
These loading costs are largely related to the numbersand types of customers and claims processed.
- must be passed on to consumers in order for
insurers to cover their costs
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How much are people willing to pay for insurance?
When the probability of being well is 100%, then there are
no gains from insurance.
When the probability of being sick is 100%, then there are
no gains from insurance.
- might as well set money aside
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Wealth
Total Utility of
Wealth
10,000 20,000
140
200 TU
EU
The horizontal
distance between thecertainty utility curve
and the expected
utility curve is the
marginal gain frominsurance.
The marginal gains
increase, thendecrease.
no gain from
purchasing insurance
no gain from
purchasing insurance
max gain from
purchasing insurance
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Wealth
Total Utility of
Wealth
10,000 20,000
140
200 TU
EU
Some events can
substantially reduce
wealth.
- heart attack
Some events won¶t
substantially reduce
wealth.
- hang nail
The expected utility line
will reflect that.
EU
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When comparing types of losses at any given
probability, the larger the expected loss, the larger the
gain from insurance.hangnail vs heart attack
insurer¶s marginal cost
Wealth
Consumers¶ Expected Marginal Gain $,
Insurer¶s Marginal Cost $
Marginal Gain for Heart
Attack Insurance
Marginal Gain for
Hangnail Insurance
When the marginal gains to the consumer exceed the
insurer¶s marginal cost, insurance coverage will exist.
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This analysis provides one avenue for addressing the
problem of the uninsured.
It is apparent that the per-person costs of processing
information and claims of those individuals who are
outside larger organizations (either companies or unions)may be higher.
This would result in an increase in the insurance firms¶
marginal costs relative to the consumer¶s marginal benefits and would reduce or eliminate the range of
services that may be offered.
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II. Employer-Provided Health Insurance and Demand
The largest segment of the American population
acquires health insurance through the workplace.
A. Labor Market
Assume a lower money wage rate leads to firms hiringmore workers.
Employers will hire workers as long as the incremental
(marginal) revenue from the goods those workers produce exceeds the per hour wage.
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Suppose that workers negotiate a health insurance benefit
worth $1 per hour to them, and costing exactly $1 for the
employer to provide.
The employer, who was previously willing to pay a wage
of $20, will now be willing to pay $20 less the $1 cost.
The workers are no worse off at a wage of $19 with the
health insurance than at $20 without the health insurance
because the insurance is worth the $1 that it cost in
reduced wages.
The employer earns no less profit for providing the health
benefit.
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Initially:
market clears at wage W1
with L1 employees
With Insurance Benefit:
Labor Demand is reduced by $z.
Labor Supply increases by
$z.
Market clears at wage W2
with L1 employees
wage
#workers
SL
DL
L1
W1
Z
DL2
Z
SL2
W2
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B. Spousal Coverage
Suppose a town has two employers, firm A and firm B.A employs only married men.
Half of their spouses work at B.
Half of their spouses do not work.
B employs married women and singles.
Half are the spouses of firm A employees.
Half are single.
The wage in each firm is $80,000.
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Firm A offers to buy family coverage worth $8000.
Firm B offers to pay $4000 per person, as long as those
who want insurance pay $20 a month. ($240 year)
All workers at each firm (respectively) will receive the
same take-home pay regardless of whether they elect to
receive coverage.
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In firm A, who will buy insurance?
Men with non-working spouse:
coverage through firm A is the only option$8,000 insurance for both
$72,000 yearly take home pay
Men with working spouse:coverage through either firm A or B
A: ³free´ coverage, $72,000 take-home pay
spouse take-home pay $72,000 or $76,000
B: $72,000 take-home pay, coverage costs
$240 x 2 = $440, spouse take-home pay $72,000
or $76,000
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In Firm A, all of the men will opt for the insurance
coverage through their firm.
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In Firm B, who will buy insurance?
Women with working spouses:
Will have gotten coverage through their spouse¶s
firm.
Singles:
Must opt for insurance through firm B.
Pay $240 for coverage.
Since half of the workers opt for coverage, the
monetary salary will be reduced by (.50)(4,000).
Take-home pay is $78,000 minus $240.
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So who really pays for insurance?
Single-income families get $8000 in benefits and
³pay´ $8000 in terms of lower wages.
Dual-income families get $8000 in benefits and³pay´ $10,000 in lower wages.
$8,000 lower in firm A
$2,000 lower in firm B
Single workers get $4000 in benefits and ³pay´
$2000 in lower wages and $240 of out-of-pocket.
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C. Tax Treatment
One of the most important factors in the increaseddemand for health insurance has been its tax treatment.
John earns $1000 per week.
He is taxed at 28%.Insurance costs $60 per week.
If John pays for the insurance out-of-pocket:
weekly income = 1000(.72) = 720 ± 60 = $660
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Suppose John¶s employer purchases the insurance for him.
This fringe benefit is exempt from taxation.
John¶s employer will reduce his monetary wages:
$1000 - $60 = $940
His total compensation package is still $1000.
$940 wages
$60 insurance
His after-tax income is 940(.72) = $677
Compare this with the disposable income he has if he buys
the insurance himself.
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As marginal tax rates rise, consumers are better off having
their employer pay for health insurance.
Employers also benefit because they pay less in SocialSecurity and Medicare taxes.
- insurance is treated as an expense to the employer
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Because health expenditures have been chosen for
special tax treatment, there exists an allocative problem
within the economy.
Initially: MN is constraint
U0 is utility and I0 is
optimal amount of insurance.
Employer sponsored
insurance lowers the wage but increases the amount of
insurance that can be
consumed. M¶N¶
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The new optimal amount of insurance coverage is I1.
The tax treatment of health
insurance benefits to
employees amounts to a
subsidy for employees.-results in the
purchase of more
health insurance than
in the absence of thesubsidy
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Two major potential impacts of employer-based health
insurance relate to retirement age and job mobility.
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III. Employer-based insurance and labor supply
A. Retirement Age
Gruber and Madrian (2002) show that compared with
those age 35 to 44, those age 55 to 64 are:
-twice as likely to report themselves in fair health-four times as likely to report themselves in poor health
-seven times as likely to have had a heart attack
-five times as likely to have heart disease
-40 percent more likely to have a prescribed medicine(with twice as many medicines if receiving a
prescription)
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Gruber and Madrian summarize 16 studies and report
that the availability of retiree health insurance raises the
odds of retirement by between 30 and 80 percent.
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B. Worker Mobility
Employer provided health insurance may create joblock which may have several economic effects:
1. Less productive workers may stay at jobs for
insurance reasons only, leading to decreased economicoutput because they would not be replaced by more
productive workers.
2. Even if all workers are equally productive, someworkers may stay in jobs for fear of losing the health
insurance benefits to the exclusion of those who would
otherwise fill the jobs.
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3. Those who do change jobs may be denied coverage,face higher premiums, or only obtain insurance subject to
a waiver that excludes coverage of their health condition.
The empirical evidence generally shows that employer
provided health insurance adversely affects job mobility.
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IV. The Uninsured
The number of uninsured in the US is always anestimate.
Various surveys have shown that over 45 million
Americans have no health insurance at any moment intime.
In 2006, 3 out of every 8 families with annual incomes
below $20,000 had no health insurance.
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27% of those ages 25±34 were uninsured in 2006.
In the 35-to-44 age range 18.9% were uninsured in
2006.
Of the 29.6 million people working in firms with 25 or
fewer employees, about 9.7 million people (33%) were
uninsured.
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A. The working uninsured
Barriers to small business provision of health benefits:
- affordability (low profit margins, low wages,
and high premiums)
- insurance redlining or pre-existing condition
clauses (high turnover, seasonal workforce,
commission workforce, lawyers, physicians)
- attitudes (not interested because too complicated)
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B. Mandated Coverage Effects
1. firms stop offering insurance
2. firms hire fewer workerswn = net wage
w = monetary wage
i = insurance benefit
wn0 = w0 +i0
DL
net wage rate
wo +io
Number of workersL0
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Suppose that insurance benefits are mandated to be i1,
which is larger than io.
DL
net wage rate
If the firm still pays a moneywage of wo, then the net wage
will rise and the firm will hire
fewer workers.
If the firm instead keeps the
net wage constant, then the
money wage will fall.
- households will haveless $ for other goods
(insurance crowds out
spending on other
goods)
wo +io
workersL0
wo +i1
L1
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Discussion Questions:
1. Suppose each person¶s health expenditures can be
predicted with certainty by both the insured and the
insurer. What are the implications for insurance
markets? Explain the prevalence of insurance for
highly predictable events, such as routine dental
services.
2. It is often advocated that health insurers be
prevented from denying insurance to those with
preexisting conditions such as cancer or AIDS and that
coverage be provided at ³reasonable´ rates. What
would the impact of such regulations be on insurance
markets?