health economics- lecture ch07

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    Demand for Health Capital

    Dr. Katherine Sauer

    Metropolitan State College of Denver

    Health Economics

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    Overview:I. The Demand for Health

    II. LaborLeisure Trade-Offs

    III. The Investment/Consumption Aspects of Health

    IV. The Cost of Capital

    V. The Demand for Health Capital

    VI. Empirical Analyses

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    I. Demand for Health

    A. The Consumer as a Health Producer

    1. People ultimately want health, they demand medical

    care inputs to produce it.

    2. Consumers are active producers of their health.

    combine: -time devoted to health-improving efforts

    -purchased medical inputs

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    3. Health lasts for more than one period.

    - does not depreciate instantly (can analyze like acapital good)

    4. Health can be treated both as a consumption good and an

    investment good.

    As a consumption good, health is desired because it

    makes people feel better.

    As an investment good, health is desired because it

    increases the number of healthy days available to

    work and to earn income.

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    B. A Model of Time Spent Producing Health

    Suppose we divide your time into 3 categories:

    workleisure

    improving health

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    The model:

    I = I(M,TH)where

    Iis investment in health

    Mis market health inputs

    THis time used in the production of health

    B = B(X,TB)

    where

    B is leisure goods produced by the individualXis market purchased goods

    TB is time used producing leisure goods

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    Total Time = time on improving health+ time producing leisure goods

    + time lost to illness

    + time working

    T = TH + TB + TL + TW

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    II. Labor-Leisure Trade-Off Model

    Leisure

    Time

    Income When you spend all

    your time working, your

    income is at its

    maximum and you

    spend 0 hours on leisure.

    When you spend no

    time working, you can

    achieve your maximumleisure time:

    365 - TH - TL - 0365 - TH - TL

    Slope = wage rate

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    Leisure

    Time

    Income

    Consumers have

    preferences regarding

    income and leisure.

    Consumers prefer to

    have both more income

    and more leisure.

    The optimal income-

    leisure combination for

    this consumer is Y*, B*.

    365 - TH - TL

    U3

    U2U1

    B*

    Y*

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    Leisure

    Time

    Income

    Over time investments inhealth reduce time lost to

    illness, TL, and thereby

    increase leisure time.

    A higher level of utility can

    be achieved.

    365 - TH - TL

    365 TH TL

    B*

    Y*

    B2

    Y2

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    III. The Investment and Consumption Aspects of Health

    A. The Production of Healthy Days

    This illustrates the production

    of healthy days using a single

    input, health stock.

    If health stock falls below

    Hmin, it indicates death.

    The shape of the function

    indicates diminishing marginal

    returns.

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    B. Production of Home and Health Goods

    AECD represents production

    possibilities.

    If health is an investment good

    only, indifference curves look

    like U1.

    - no intrinsic value of

    health

    If health is a consumption good

    then indifference curves look

    like U2.

    - likes feeling good

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    Consider the alternative: Instead of purchasing the X-ray

    machine, the clinic could have put the $200,000 in a

    savings account, at 5 percent interest, yielding the

    following:

    200,000 x 1.05 = 210,000 at the end of Year 1

    210,000 x 1.05 = 220,500 at the end of Year 2

    220,500 x 1.05 = 231,525 at the end of Year3

    231,525 x 1.05 = 243,101 at the end of Year 4

    243,101 x 1.05 = 255,256 at the end of Year5

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    For the investment in an X-ray machine to be desirable

    by these criteria, it should provide at least $55,256 inincremental revenue over the five years.

    But capital goods depreciate over time.

    For the investment to be worthwhile, it must not only

    earn the competitive 5 percent return each year, but it

    also must provide enough return to cover depreciation.

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    V. The Demand for Health Capital

    The cost of capital (in terms of forgone resources) is a

    supply concept.

    The marginal efficiency of investment is a demandconcept that relates the return to investment to the amount

    of resources used.

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    A. MEI is the marginal

    efficiency of investment

    The cost of capital is the

    foregone interest rate

    plus depreciation (r + ).

    As investment in the stock

    of health increases, the rate

    of return on additional

    investment declines.

    Health Stock

    Cost of

    Capital

    MEI

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    Looking at MEI:

    If the cost of capital is

    r + 0, then optimal

    investment is H0.

    If the cost of capital is

    r + 1, then optimal

    investment is H1.

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    B. Changes in Equilibrium

    1. Age

    As we age, our health stock

    depreciates faster, that is,the depreciation rate rises

    from 0 to 1 to D.

    The result of aging in thismodel is a continuously

    falling optimal level of health

    stock.

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    2. Wage Rate

    As the wage rate rises, so

    does the return from healthy

    days.

    MEI curve shifts to

    the right

    It is now optimal to increase

    health stock from H0 to H2.

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    3. Education

    Education is seen as

    improving the efficiency of

    producing health.

    shifts the MEI curveto the right

    The optimal investment in

    health stock increases from

    H0 to H2.

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    4. Uncertainty

    Two effects can occur when we treat investment in healthas a risky assts:

    a. Investment now can increase the efficiency of

    investment in the future (shift MEI to MEI) and

    increase optimal investment from H0 to H2.

    b. Investment now does not increase MEI in the

    future, which results in a return to investment

    below r + 0.

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    VI. Empirical Analysis

    Sickles and Yazbeck (1998)- developed and estimated a structural model of

    health production

    - looks at the demand for leisure and the demand

    for consumption for elderly males

    - find that both health care and leisure

    consumption tend to improve health

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    Gerdtham and Johannesson (1999)

    - estimate demand for health

    - results are consistent with the theoretical

    predictions

    - demand for health

    increases with income & education

    decreases with age, urbanization,

    being overweight, and being single

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    Leibowitz (2004)

    - retrospective essay on research achievements and

    directions in the 30 years after Grossmans

    analysis

    - finds that increases in the parents valuations of

    time will also affect the relative costs of alternative

    inputs to childrens health

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    2. By analyzing the demand for health in this way, we

    recognize that the demands for health care inputs aredemands that are derived from the demand for health

    itself.