hbj capital - 10in3 research report for sept'09 - himalya international ltd

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Himalya International Limited Himalya International Limited is a profit making entity which has established itself in the North American HBJ Capital, India Web: www.hbjcapital.com Mail: [email protected] Call: +91 98867 36791 "10in3" - Small Cap Multibagger for the month of Sep 2009 Himalya International Limited is a profit making entity which has established itself in the North American markets already. However, the bulging opportunities back home has made the company to foray into the Indian markets along with some major investment plans. Per the company's own estimates, it is looking at more than 17 times the FY 09 revenues in another 4 years.

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Page 1: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Himalya International LimitedHimalya International Limited is a profit making entity which has established itself in the North American

HBJ Capital, IndiaWeb: www.hbjcapital.comMail: [email protected]: +91 98867 36791

"10in3" - Small Cap Multibagger for the month of Sep 2009

Himalya International Limited is a profit making entity which has established itself in the North American markets already. However, the bulging opportunities back home has made the company to foray into the Indian markets along with some major investment plans. Per the company's own estimates, it is looking at more than 17 times the FY 09 revenues in another 4 years.

Page 2: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

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Page 3: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

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What Next?HBJ Capital – “Specialists in discovering multibagger stocks” is launching more & more innovative products & services with single focus on long term

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Page 4: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Table of Contents From the desk of CEO, HBJ Capital. Food processing sector in India – Page#7Himalya International Limited – Page#13 Indirect growth drivers – Page#19Direct growth drivers – Page#27 Financial analysis – Page#32 Share holdings pattern – Page#37 Share holdings pattern – Page#37 Best buying price – Page#41 Challenges / Risks involved – Page#44 Know more about Your - HBJ Capital.

Page 5: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Dear Investors,For more than 50 years, we have been teaching our school going children that Agriculture is the backbone of the country. Of course it is true that it support more than 50% of the country’ population. But, what has the sector achieved, other than supporting millions of rural families?

On a global scale, the achievements are nothing to speak about. India lags behind by a large distance in terms of yield per hectare. The contribution from the country in the global arena of food trade is just 1.5% ?

So, where is the problem lying? Broadly speaking, there are two

From the desk of CEO, HBJ CapitalFrom the desk of CEO, HBJ CapitalFood processing sector has Food processing sector has

been one of the most talked about sectors for almost 10 years now, with no visible improvement. However, with the changing ground realities the time may have

come for the sector to really perform and to realize its

potential.

So, where is the problem lying? Broadly speaking, there are two reasons which results the country with a dismal performance. One – the product does not really match what the demand needs. The market is currently supply driven and not demand driven. If huge processing units can come up which can tell the farmers to produce something since that is where the demand is, this issue can be scaled down to an extent.

The other main problem has been the lack of infrastructure facilities or to be precise, the lack of processing facilities / post harvest facilities. However, there are many food parks being setup are being backed by MOFPI. There are many private players who are investing in this category to have their own processing units.

Page 6: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Contd…With the background being set at the food processing space, we started looking for mainly established player and we ended up in a company that has established itself and has a strong recognition overseas – mainly North American markets. However, the bulging opportunities back home has attracted this company to foray into the domestic markets and with some big investment plans.

The company that has been selected as the 10in3 stock for the month of Sep 2009 is Himalya International Ltd.

HIL is a profit making company which has been reporting positive operational cash flows for the last 3 years. For the financial year FY 09, the company reported revenues of around 57 crore and profits of around 13 crore. The company has been a slow mover both in revenue growth and stock price for the last 4 to 5 years.

However, the company has lined up some major investment plans in India coupled with a foray into the domestic However, the company has lined up some major investment plans in India coupled with a foray into the domestic food market. Per the company’s estimates, HIL is looking at revenues of around 1000 crore from in another 4 years. That’s some 17.5 times from the revenues recorded last year.

We would like to stress here that the company’s projections are long shots and we are actually looking at the company just doing half its estimates – 500 crore of revenues in another 4 years.

Kumar Harendra, CEO, HBJ Capital, www.hbjcapital.com5th Main, Girinagar, BSK 3rd Stage, Bangalore 85; Contact : 098867 36791 or Mail : [email protected]

Page 7: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Food processing sector in India

The food processing sector is poised for a strong growth rate in the next decade. The fundamentals of the industry as a whole is clear witnessing radical changes.

Food processing sector in India

Page 8: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Food production in IndiaIndia produces annually 105 million tonnes of milk (highest in the world), 150 million tonnes of fruits and vegetables (second largest), 485 million livestock (largest in the world), 230 million tonnes of food grains (third largest), 7 million tonnes of fish (third largest), 489 million tonnesof poultry and 45,200 million eggs.

India produces 41% of World’s mangoes, 30% of cauliflowers, 28% of tea, 23% of bananas, 24% of cashew nuts, 36% of green peas and 10% of onions. This strong base in agriculture provides a large and varied raw material base for food processing.

Moreover, India has natural comparative advantage in Agriculture with 161 million hectares of arable land and diverse agro climatic zones. Agriculture, can thus be easily diversified to meet the demands of domestic and overseas consumers. Agriculture, can thus be easily diversified to meet the demands of domestic and overseas consumers.

Indian farm produce has unique aroma, flavor and taste and if processed, packaged and marketed properly could even capture the world market.

Even at the present level of productivity, which is less that half of US level, India is the third largest producer of food in the world, covering a wide range of agro produce.

In spite of the above numbers which seem to be huge and impressive, the ground reality, as usual is different, on a global scale.

Page 9: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Food wastage and failure to meet consumer’s needIndia’s agricultural production base is strong but at the same time, the wastage of agricultural produce is massive. Processing level is very low – India processes only 2.2% of fruits and vegetables compares to countries like USA (65%), Philippines (78%) and China (23%); 26% for marine, 6% for poultry and 20% for buffalo meat as against 70% in the developed countries.

The share of India’s export of processed food in global trade is only 1.5% at present. Even, within the country, share of fruits and vegetables processed is much less when compared to other agricultural products such as Milk (35%) and Marine products (26%).

In a country where more than half of the population still live under the poverty line and start their day only to fight with poverty, around In a country where more than half of the population still live under the poverty line and start their day only to fight with poverty, around 58,000 crore value of food items are wasted annually.

This can mainly be attributed to lack of processing and storage of fruits and vegetables and to other reasons such as lack of transportation and post harvest facilities.

Also, there is a gap between what the customer wants and what the farmers produce. If this gap can be filled where the farmers are clearly given what is required from them, the wastage can be reduced drastically and the farmers will have more price realizations.

Page 10: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Rise of food processing sector in India is inevitable Rise of Food processing industry will be inevitable due to the following –

•A developed food processing industry would not only reduce wastages, but would also fetch increasingly remuneration income to farmers.

•Food processing enhances shelf life and adds value if the produce is cleaned, sorted and packaged.

•Food processing is labor intensive and creates 1.8 jobs directly and 6.4 jobs indirectly across the supply chain for every 10 lacs invested.

•It makes farm produce more exportable •It makes farm produce more exportable

•Rising income levels, favorable demographic transitions, changing consumption pattern and urbanization will compel the industry to grow.

•Increasing demand for ready to eat food and convenience food due to the change in households spending levels.

•The retail revolution in India and the setting up of organized retail stores are acting as catalysts to the growing needs of processed food.

Page 11: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Food processing sector in India

The Indian food processing industry is estimated at US$ 70 billion. According to the Ministry of Food processing, The Indian food processing industry is estimated at US$ 70 billion. According to the Ministry of Food processing, this industry contributed 9% to India’s GDP and had a share of 6% in the total industrial production.

The food processing sector is a highly fragmented industry, it widely comprises of the following sub-segments: fruits and vegetables, milk and milk products, beer and alcoholic beverages, meat and poultry, marine products, grain processing, packaged or convenience food and packaged drinks.

A huge number of entrepreneurs in this industry are small in terms of their production and operations, and are largely concentrated in the unorganized segment. This segment accounts for more than 70% of the output in terms of volume and 50% in terms of value. The food processing sector employs 13 million people directly and around 35 million people indirectly.

Though the organized sector seems comparatively small, it is growing at a much faster pace.

Page 12: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Government extending support

The Indian government has the identity of speaking a lot for long without any actual ground improvements. However, a time comes, when there is no other way left but to pitch in and make significant contribution. The time has come for the Food processing sector.

In terms of policy support, the ministry of food processing has taken the following initiatives:In terms of policy support, the ministry of food processing has taken the following initiatives:Formulation of the National Food Processing PolicyComplete de-licensing, excluding for alcoholic beveragesDeclared as priority sector for lending in 1999100% FDI on automatic routeExcise duty waived on fruits and vegetables processing from 2000 – 01Income tax holiday for fruits and vegetables processing from 2004 – 05Customs duty reduced on freezer van from 20% to 10% from 2005 – 06Implementation of Fruit Products OrderImplementation of Meat Food Products OrderEnactment of FSS Bill 2005Food Safety and Standards Bill, 20055 year tax holidays for 100% export oriented food processing units

Page 13: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Himalya International Limited

This company is not a newbie to the food processing sector. It has established itself in the North American markets and is now entering into India with huge growth plans.

Himalya International Limited

Page 14: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Himalya International LimitedHimalya international is the first frozen food company in India that has been into processing of mushrooms, baby potatoes and buffalo cheese.

It has been concentrating mostly on the American markets and has been acting as an export oriented food processing company and it enjoys a strong brand recognition overseas.

It employs more than 500 people in the foothills of the Himalayas which provides the luxury of the cleanest air, water and the purest of natural resources. This has the most critical differential factor of the company.

Its ideal location, which is the foothills of the mighty Himalayas with Its ideal location, which is the foothills of the mighty Himalayas with freshest of Air, amidst pristine glacier blue underground water sources and the richest of soils, make this aspect quite simple really; here anything flourishes. Nature itself lends a hand to the already unpolluted, green acres.

At Himalya, strategic planning based on predictive customers needs has always set the momentum for constant diversification within the Specialty Foods.

Himalya is ISO 9001:2000 certified Company with all it’s plants complying with International GMP & HACCP.

Page 15: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Himalya International Ltd – Snapshot (Sep 25 2009)CMP – Rs. 30.75 (The stock has not really been part of the previous bull run. Though it initially gave us a negative input, it was offset by the current stock price which is the same as the Jan 2008 highs.

Though initial positions can be taken at the CMP, a strong BUY is recommended only when the stock crossed 34 level. Before it crossing 34, there is every chance that the stock price will fall to 22 to 24 levels.)

MCap – 88.78 crore (Per the company’s future plans, our conservative estimates projects a Mcap of around 800 to 1000 crore in another 3 to 4 years.)

Face Value – Rs. 10

Promoter’s holding –15.90% (The promoters have increased by 5% in FY 09, the max allowed per SEBI guidelines.)

Pledged shares – NIL

Total # of shares – 2.7 crore shares

Liquidity – High

Debt to Equity Ratio - 0.231000 crore in another 3 to 4 years.)

PE – 6.27 (The company is currently available at an attractive valuation and when the company’s processing plants are operational, it should be able to command more than twice the current valuation.)

EPS – Rs. 4.90 (based on the TTM basis)

52 Week High / Low – 10.25 / 34.40 (The company has been more than a 3 bagger from its yearly lows. Also, the stock price has had a strong rebound and is now quoting at levels when the Sensex was quoting at 21K)

Debt to Equity Ratio - 0.23

Authorized Capital – Rs. 40 crore

Issued Capital – Rs. 27.43 crore

Website: http://www.himalyainternational.com/

Page 16: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Production UnitsThe company currently operates four production units, all located at the foothills of the Himalayas which provides the company with the freshest of Air, blue underground water from the glaciers and the richest of soils.

Mushrooms - The company offers three varieties of Mushrooms; White (Agaricus), Crimini (Italian Brown) and Portobello as frozen Buttons, Slices, Dices & de-stemmed Caps. Mushrooms are grown in-house right from Composting agro waste and developing spawn to quick processing within hours of picking.

Contract farming - The company has created partnerships with local farmers to produce all it’s raw material requirements from Vegetables to pure Buffalo milk.

Specialty Vegetables - The company process Vegetables & Baby potatoes grown especially in Sub-Himalayan terrain. Baby Potatoes are delicious & full of grown especially in Sub-Himalayan terrain. Baby Potatoes are delicious & full of nutrition with tender skin. We also create Baby Potato skins for specialty, gourmet food service segment.

Buffalo milk Italian Cheeses – This unit covers the pure Buffalo milk from India ‘the original home’ of water buffaloes with traditional Italian knowledge of making the real, authentic Mozzarella & Ricotta Cheeses under an Italian expert Raffaele Cioffi. Raffaele is the fifth generation cheese producer from the coast of Sorrento in Compania region of Italy.

It guarantees the authenticity and true tradition by supervising the entire process from milking to finish product at our plant

Page 17: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Contract Farming PracticeThe company works with hundreds of small farmers in the Himalayan valley with cleanest of Air & Water Sources. The Agriculture wing assists the farmers from planning the crops to providing quality seeds and Manure rich in organic Nitrogen.

Field selection: -Due care is taken in selection of fields. Fields should be little bit away from main roads and it should be leveled one. There should be a approach road to the fields to enable transport of the produce through tractor. Crop inspection: -regular inspection of crops is done during the growth & harvesting period of crops. Hygiene: - Due care is taken to keep hygiene at every level during crop production period. Water for irrigation: - Assured clean water irrigation facilities should be available.

Use of manure: - a maximum emphasis is given for the use of organic manure & available. Use of manure: - a maximum emphasis is given for the use of organic manure & chemical fertilizers to a limited extend. Workers are trained to maintain: - good hygiene at the time of harvesting. Workers dip their hands in chlorinated water before starting their work & during the day after any break. Harvesting is done :- manually & produced directly put in a tractor/trolly of tractor-which has a clean plastic sheet on the floors & walls.

The company recycles all the spent compost from mushrooms, Vegetable and Cheese plant waste & all other organic bye-products by Biodynamic method to produce manure rich in organic nitrogen and that is also an excellent soil conditioner.

Page 18: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Quality Control / Audits / CertificatesQA Team - The Company has established strict HACCP procedures for its products. The company places maximum emphasis on quality, from the choice of spawns, through each step to the finished product. Himalya has a modern quality control laboratory manned by qualified and experienced food technologies and microbiologists. The Company has USFDA approval and the FCE registration for its canned mushrooms and a Kosher certificate for all its products.

Audits –SGS HACCP & GMP AuditAIB International Audit NSF Cooks & Thurber AuditCertifications –HACCP & GMP certified

Himalya International Limited is HACCP& FOOD SAFTEY, GMP & ISO 9000 certified company. The company is audited by AIB International (US based), NSF Cook & Thurber (US based) & The company is audited by AIB International (US based), NSF Cook & Thurber (US based) & also by SGS.

Laboratory Capabilities:-a) Microbiological laboratory: Microbiological testing is carried out of all finished products. This testing includes Total Plate Count, E.Coli, Coliform, Staphylococcus, Yeast & Mold, Listeria & Salmonella. & In addition environmental sampling, Personal & Equipments Swabs, water testing are carried out.

b) Chemical Analysis: Milk & milk products testing, which includes Fat, Protein, SNF, Moisture, pH & all types of adulterations tests in milk. HPLC system (Perkins Elmer) for cow milk adulteration in buffalo milk & also glycoalkaloids testing in Potato. Water testing includes Water hardness, Chlorination & Residual chlorine content & also testing of Packing material.

Page 19: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Factors shaping the food

These are factors that will impact the sector directly and the company in more of an indirect manner. Of course, on a positive note.

Factors shaping the food processing sector

Page 20: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

MOFPI has come out with a vision for 2015

MOFPI (Ministry of Food Processing India) has come out with a vision for 2015 for the food processing industry backed by a strategy and policy measured to achieve them.

The vision defines the following –Increase the level of processing in perishables from the current 8% to 20%.Increase the value addition from the current 20% to 35%Increase the share in global food trade from the current 1.5% to 3%.

Page 21: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Investments required and the strategyThe source for the required funds will be a combination of investments from financial institutions, FDI and government funding through financial schemes. The contribution from financial institutions, FDI and the government is expected to be 45%, 45% and 10%.

The government policy initiatives like the 5 year tax holidays for 100% Export oriented processing facility is expected to sweeten the deal for the private investments.

Strategy –Shift from Supply driven to Demand driven

Strategy –Shift from Supply driven to Demand driven approachIncrease affordability of food products by reducing costs mainly through lesser taxationEnhance financing to Agriculture and Food processing sectors in a more inter connected mannerReplicate successful Indian and International business models Strengthen institutional framework to develop manpower and R and D capabilities.Increased food standards and safety systems.

Page 22: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Shift in food that the country demands

Though Cereal products top the demand chart in the last 50 years, the growth in demand has been decreasing. Off late, Vegetables, fruits, beverages and snack foods are increasing their contribution to the demand and at a scorching pace.

There is a shift from carbohydrate staples like cereals to calories from animal sources and sugar. The trend is clearly visible in many of the developing countries and in particular, India.

In the next development cycle, it is highly likely that there will be huge demand for prepared meals, convenience foods, snack foods and further on there will be demand for functional, organic and diet foods.

Page 23: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Urbanization is pushing consumption levels

Urban India with 30% of the population contributed for more than 40% of the food consumption in the country. Its share is growing rapidly with rapid Urbanization in the country. This implies higher per capital expenditure in urban areas. One of the reasons for this is that a part of the consumption in rural areas is met by own farm production.

Urban food consumption was estimated at INR 1540 billion in the year 2000 – 2001. In the last 7 years alone, the urban areas have recorded annual growth of around 10% in consumption. Rural India on the other hand has recorded only around 6.5% growth in the same period.

Page 24: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Changing age profile

The changing age profile with increasing share of population in the age bracket of 15 – 59 years, a large portion of which constitutes the active work force augers well for the growth of food consumption.

Along with the increase in food consumption, they bring new patterns and these patterns support increased need of processed foods.

This group has the willingness and the ability to spend on processed foods. In contrast, in many developed countries, the population is aging with an active growth in the 60+ segment.

Page 25: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Increasing income and hence spending levels

Upward mobility of income levels is likely to increase the demand for processed foods as has already been demonstrated in USA, Europe and more recently in countries from South East Asia. demonstrated in USA, Europe and more recently in countries from South East Asia.

The middle and the upper middle income groups in India are growing at a much faster pace than the lower income groups. On the other hand, the growth of lower income groups is gradually reducing.

The growth in food consumption in developed countries is in line with population growth and has not been affected by rise in income levels.

On a contrary note, the impact of rising income in developing countries is two fold –Significant share of additional income is spent on food due to higher income elasticitySubstitution of staples with animal protein and processed foods.

Page 26: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Growth in organized retail space

The fragmented retail structure results in inefficient storage and transportation of food products, hence resulting in higher wastages, value loss and higher distribution costs.

Organized food retailing can play an important role in the growth of consumption of food items. The stages of retail development has a strong impact on the consumption patterns of the consumer. The consumption of processed food items has a strong correlation with the development of organized food retailing.

Organized retail reduces the number of intermediaries and transaction costs.

Though sales of food items through organized retailing contributes just above 1% of the total food items sold, it is growing at more than 50%.

Page 27: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Growth drivers

We just had a look at the indirect growth drivers. Now, let’s have a look at the drivers which will directly impact the company and its fortunes.

Growth drivers

Page 28: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Increased business from US marketsThe US operations of the company is expected to get a boost from the proposed cheese manufacturing units and increasing export opportunities.

Cheese manufacturing – The company has set up a 100% subsidiary – Himalya international inc in USA, which has made two joint ventures with US based companies – one covering east coast and the other the west.

The east coast operations Bufflabella inc is located in Pennsylvania and the west coast operations are set up in California. The JV partners are of Italian Lineage and are already processing and marketing mozzarella cheese.

The parent company will export semi finished Mozzarella cheese which will be converted into final product and marketed by the JV in US.

Increased penetration of its products –Increased penetration of its products – The company has planned to setup own cash and carry stores for distribution of ethnic foods manufactured from its plants in India. The company has also proposed to set up a logistics and distribution chain for this purpose.

The company has also signed agreements with grocery stores in US like ALDI to sell its products under Himalya fresh brand name. Under the agreements, the company will sell Himalya fresh products like frozen vegetables, baby potatoes and breaded appetizers.

The company is planning to raise 10 million USD as equity and debt for the above activities. The company is expecting its US exports to clock a 60% growth in the current fiscal.

Page 29: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Foray into the domestic marketThe company has predominantly been an export oriented player so far.

However, the growing opportunities at home has made the company foray into the domestic markets with its already existing products plus new products for the domestic taste.

The company has already launched some of its products in the metros and is targeting a pan India presence by this year end.

The focus products will be Fresh Mushrooms, Vitamin D fortified, zero fat and full fat yogurts, Paneer, breaded appetizers, All natural ethnic sweets, frozen vegetables, packed soups, Olive oil, fruits, Italian cheese and nutraceuticals. ethnic sweets, frozen vegetables, packed soups, Olive oil, fruits, Italian cheese and nutraceuticals.

The products will be available broadly under 4 brands – Himalya Fresh, Bufalabella, American Harvest and Uno Italiano.

The company has made tie ups with almost all major retail chains in India including Bharti Wal-Mart, Reliance Fresh, More, Metro, Home stores, Subka Bazaar.

The company is expecting sales of around 25 crore from the domestic markets in the current fiscal year and around 100 crore in another 2 years.

Page 30: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

130 crore processing plant in GujaratThe company will setup Mega food processing plant in Mehsana district of Gujarat with an initial investments of around 130 crore. This plant will aid the company to expand and diversify its value added products line.

The project will process “All Natural” Mushrooms, frozen vegetables, breaded appetizers, Yogurt and Mozzarella cheese. The company will target both the domestic and the export markets with more thrust on opportunities overseas.

The installed capacity of the mushroom division will be 9000 tones, 5940 MT per annum of Mozzarella cheese, 9000 MT per annum Yogurt and 15000 tons of appetizers.

The project would be 100% income tax free for the first 5 years from the year of production. The project will also have the major advantage of proximity to raw materials and the presence of some major sea ports. The proximity to the Gulf production. The project will also have the major advantage of proximity to raw materials and the presence of some major sea ports. The proximity to the Gulf is an added advantage.

Financial closure and land acquisitions are the major barriers for any of these projects and the company has successfully crossed both of them. The company had recently in Aug took possession of the land from the Gujarat state government. Also, the company has arranged for term loans worth 90 crore from its existing bankers. The remaining would come from warrants and internal cash accruals.

The project is expected to start production by September 2010. Per the company’s estimates, the plant at 100% capacity will result in revenues of around 400 crore and earnings of around 80 crore.

Page 31: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

120 crore processing plant near DelhiThe company is setting up a processing plant near Delhi at an investment of around 120 crore. The project will be set up on a 32 acre plot, 120 kms from Delhi in Rajasthan.

The plant will process Almonds, Berries, Cereal bars and high end confectionary and functional foods. The plant is expected to manufacture Vitamin and protein fortified “All” Natural” real fruits loaded Cereals, Diet energy bars and “Food on the GO” items which will be positioned as meal replacements or energy add-ons and will be targeted at the working population mainly youngsters.

The company has entered into a formal agreement with a US company for technology transfer and product development suitable for Indian palette and climate. The state of the plant will import almonds and dried berries from US. The company has also plans to set up contract farming for Oats in Rajasthan and Gujarat which will serve as the basic ingredient for healthy, high fiber cereals and The company has also plans to set up contract farming for Oats in Rajasthan and Gujarat which will serve as the basic ingredient for healthy, high fiber cereals and Bars.

This project marks the foray of the company into the Fancy food business and will aim at the domestic markets along with Gulf and South Asian countries.

The Export Import bank of US had already issued an LOI for providing long term funding support to the tune of around 8 million USD at a concessional rate of 4.37%.

At full capacity, the plant shall be producing around 100 million snack bars and processing 7000 tons of almonds and berry fruits valued at around 100 million USD.

Page 32: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Financial analysis

The growth drivers are sturdy. But, what is the financial health of the company?

Financial analysis

Page 33: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Financial ratios

The company has increased both its operating and net margins over the years. These are the companies which get better and better with its operations over a period of time.get better and better with its operations over a period of time.

ROCE has recorded a gradual rise over the years and this is part of the learning process in any business. The fact that the rise is supported by margin expansion shows that the growth could be long standing.

The company is fairly liquid with a current ratio of around 1.6 and a quick ratio of around 8.0

Debt to Equity ratio is comfortable at this point of time at around .35. This gives the company the leeway to leverage itself and add further debts for future growth. One can witness the debt to equity ratio to move up significantly.

Interest cover at around 5.5 is a fair value. The company should be able to maintain this level since the investment out of debt should result in strong earnings with higher margins.

Page 34: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Income StatementThe company has managed to grow the topline by around 2.1 times in the last 4 years. The company being an Export oriented Unit focusing on North American markets has pulled off a decent growth rate of 25% amidst the turmoil in FY 09.

SG and A expenses have seen a sharp rise in FY 09 -around 40%. We believe that the trend will and should continue. The company needs to involve itself actively in brand building exercise especially in the wake of domestic foray. Already, their ads for Himalya Fresh are being aired on FM stations and can be seen in print media too.

Interest expenses though are comfortable is set to expand further. The huge growth plans lined up could expand further. The huge growth plans lined up could push the interest expense to even 5 or 6 times from here in the next 3 years.

The company has reported operating and net margins of around 23% and this is one of the best anyone could ask for from a Export oriented Food processing company. The contract farming method that the company employs is a reason behind the high margins. We believe that the OPM will move downwards going forward, however on a manifold jump in income and earnings.

The equity base has been rising over the recent years and we expect this trend to continue strongly.

Page 35: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Balance Sheet The company has increased its share capital over the period in gradual manner and we believe that the trend will continue.

The total debt of the company primarily contains Secured loans and even this has been on a decline in the recent years.

However, the debt part will continue to rise and could grow manifold times.

The net worth and the reserves have shown impressive growth in the recent The net worth and the reserves have shown impressive growth in the recent years.

The cash, bank balances and short term investments are at a low for the company.

The company has been able to control its liabilities and debt part in the last few years.

Page 36: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Cash Flow Statement

The company has been able to report positive operational cash flow for the last 4 years. It has also recorded growth in operational cash flow in the same period. However, as a result of the growth plans that the company has come out with, it could get into negative operational cash flow zone starting from this fiscal year itself.

The company has been investing into capital expenditure plans in a moderate way. This will become more aggressive going forward.

The company has been financing its growth mainly on issuance of equity. The debt part has almost been the same for the last 5 years. However, going forward, the company will turn to debt option, since it is at a comfortable level currently.

Page 37: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Promoters and Share holding

Knowledge about the promoters is a must for any equity related investment. Also, Share holding pattern throws some important information on the promoters.

Promoters and Share holding

Page 38: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Meet the Drivers Man Mohan Malik, the Founder, Chairman and CEO of Himalaya International was thrust into business at the age of twenty on sudden demise of his Father. Six years of multiple debacles in diverse businesses, Textiles to Bullion, Commodities to trading at stock exchange did not decimate his will to succeed.

Man believes in Power of Innovation and has always been itching to dare in uncharted territory. Not only is he committed to the entity he created 28 years ago, as he insists on living no more that 2 km away from the plant. He has consistently innovated programs to help surrounding farmers, to further the lives of employees, and to maintain the serenity and balance of the environment.

Sanjiv Kakkar, Co-Founder, President & COO is the man with incessant Sanjiv Kakkar, Co-Founder, President & COO is the man with incessant obsession to succeed. He is an Engineering grad from prestigious DMET, Calcutta India and Royal College UK. After 6 Years with multi-national shipping companies in Top responsible positions he joined hands with Man in 1986 and they jointly charted the future course of Himalya.

Diversifying from Chemicals to food business in 1995, they set up a new composite project to grow Mushrooms & to process frozen vegetables and went on to contract farming baby potatoes and recently ventured in ‘BufalaMozzarella Cheese’.

Going through various Roller Coaster rides without blinking they have put Himalya as the India’s largest Premium frozen food Company today.

Page 39: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Shareholding PatternThe recent share holding patterns are not available for some reason. Hence we have used the Dec filing, since there has been no major bulk deals or SAST disclosures or PIT disclosures.

Though the promoters' holding is low at 15.90%, we believe there can be indirect holdings and holdings of strategic interest in the company.

The corporate bodies owning around 5.65%, NRI's holding around 1.76% and individuals holding in excess of Rs 1 lac at 16.57% is an indicator.indicator.

It should be noted that the promoters have increased their stake by 5% in FY 09, the upper limit as per the SEBI guidelines.

There is a significant Institutional holding with the FII's holding around 30% in the company.

Also, recently in March 2009 BCCL was allotted 50 lac share warrants at a price of Rs. 18.30. In June, the company had announced that BCCL has subscribed to the warrants offered.

Page 40: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

MoatsTrack record – The company has proved itself with a very strong track record. The company which tapped the North American markets 11 years ago is now an established player and its products are sold in thousands of stores in North America.

However, it is only now that the company is foraying into the domestic market. It should be able to leverage its experience from its 11 years of operation for a successful foray.

Product profile – The company has a well established profile of products ranging from processed food items to ethnic sweets. The company will initially start selling its existing products profile in the Indian markets which will be followed by newer product versions. Indian markets which will be followed by newer product versions.

The assurance of Quality and being “All Natural” – The company has so far been operating out of the Himalayan foot hills and hence has earned a reputation of delivering quality products. All of its products are closely connected to the idea of “All Natural”.

The company clearly knows that this is one of the strongest differentiating factor and is trying to leverage it in the domestic markets. Almost all of their advertisements focus on the “All Natural” quality of the products.

Page 41: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Best buying price?

Always buy in 2 phases in order to keep the average buying price low. Don’t put all your money in one go, no one knows the bottom or top hence play safe, invest in SIP ways.

Best buying price?

Page 42: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Last 5 years chart

Ascending triangle formation can be seen. There is strong long term support around 12-15 levels. Higher top formation can be seen above Rs34, which means a breakout from it's long term range bound move.

Since, this stock did not participated in last bull run, there is high probability that it can surprise you with its sharp upside move. We can see a new era starting for this company from year 2009.

Page 43: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Last 6 months chart

HIL has made high of 34.40(25th Aug'09) & low of 10.25 (Nov'08). During last 1 month it is under consolidation in the range of Rs28-32, which can act as strong support in short term.

Fall in the price during June-July'09 was with low volume hence not sustainable, one can see accumulation happening in relatively higher volume during Aug-Sept'09. Taking 50% exposure at CMP range Rs28-32 and further average down it in case if it falls down to Rs16-22 levels.

Page 44: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Challenges / Risks involved

Any investment for capital appreciation carries an associated risk with it. What are the risks that could derail the growth prospects for this company?

Challenges / Risks involved

Page 45: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

Challenges / Risks involvedThe following are the probable risks involved with the investment in this company.

Failure in installation of the proposed processing plants – The proposed processing plants in Rajasthan and Gujarat will act as the twin engine which will catapult the revenues and the earnings many times from here. Any failure / delay in installing the plants will severely affect our recommendation.

However, it should be noted that the company is already done with procurement of Land. Also, the company has almost tied up finances for both the projects and hence any failure of implementation has very less chances. But, the chances of delay cannot be ruled out.

Failure of the brand building exercise – Though the company has proved itself with its products in the overseas market, this is the first time that it is making Failure of the brand building exercise – Though the company has proved itself with its products in the overseas market, this is the first time that it is making any major foray into the domestic markets. The company has been actively involved in brand building exercise and a strong brand image is a MUST for any company making products and selling it directly to the consumer.

Handling working capital needs and interest expenses – The company will be taking up more debt and with the launch of mega projects, it will result in tightening of working capital and increase in interest expenses. The borrowed investments will not yield results immediately and will take time to contribute to the bottom line. The company may have tough time during this period in securing working capital and to address the interest expense needs.

Page 46: HBJ Capital - 10in3 Research Report for Sept'09 - Himalya International Ltd

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