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Hazard, Risk, Benefit

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Page 1: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Hazard, Risk, Benefit

Page 2: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Stairs are a HAZARD

RISK is likelihood of injury

Often expressed as a fraction

(1 in a million)

Page 3: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Pesticides / Fungicides• Hazard

– Measured in a lab– How much substance is

needed to kill or injure an experimental animal

Page 4: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Benefit

• More food (less loss (growing, storing))• Better looking food – not as many blemishes–More acceptable to consumers – less loss

Page 5: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Risk

• This is the real world – what is important

Page 6: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Approximately 250 basic chemicals made by more than 50 companies are registered for use as pesticides in food and feed production in the United States.

• More than a quarter of a million U.S. children aged 1–5 ingest a combination of 20 different pesticides every day.

• Overall, 20 million children aged 5 and under eat an average of 8 pesticides every day.

Page 7: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Pesticide use has increased 50-fold since 1950, and 2.5 million tons of industrial pesticides are now used each year.

• Some 610,000 children aged 1–5 consume a dose of neurotoxic organophosphate insecticides that the government deems unsafe.

• More than half of these unsafe exposures are from one pesticide—methyl parathion.

Page 8: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• methyl parathion - use is legally prohibited. • Pesticide highly toxic to humans and birds

(EPA, 1997). Methyl parathion is only allowed to be used on certain open agricultural fields

• it is legally prohibited to use methyl parathion inside buildings (EPA, 1997).

• Based on a report by the Texas Department of Health however, researchers indicated that 25% of the residents in their study region were illegally using methyl parathion

Page 9: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Mississippi 1996• More than 1500 homes and businesses in

Mississippi were sprayed with methyl parathion by unlicensed pest control operators over a two-year period ending in November 1996.

• The spraying resulted in the temporary relocation of more than 1100 people.

• Local veterinarians reported deaths of household animals due to methyl parathion exposure.

• Eight day-care centres, one restaurant and two hotels that were sprayed were closed, and extensive clean-up operations had to be undertaken.

Page 10: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

2,4-D is the most commonly used herbicide in Canada. It was a major component of Agent Orange, and is still used in over 1,500 lawn-care products (including Killex and Weed ‘n Feed). Cancer in dogs has been linked to their owners’ use of 2,4-D

• Sierra Club, 2008

Page 11: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

21,000 Canadians died in 2008 with links to air pollution

Canadian Medical Association 2008

• Combination of short – and long- term exposure• Cumulative deaths by 2031 will hit 800,000

• Vast majority will be people over 65– Heart and lung conditions (pressure from

contaminants

Page 12: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Pollution this year– Economy and Health-care systems – about $8

BILLION this year (medical costs and lost productivity)

– Total loss by 2031 - > 250 billion

• Based on a conservative assumption that air pollution will not increase in the future– Canada one of first nations to track these

associated deaths

Page 13: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Everything that we do exposes us to hazards

• It is HOW we do things that determines the risk

• So Risk and Benefit are more difficult to define (and measure)– Personal viewpoints should be important– Who benefits?

Page 14: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Ethics• What should we do about - climate change?– Not all ‘should do’ questions are ethical

• But the question of doing something about climate change is ethical because it involves choices– People have conflicting interests

Page 15: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• The better-off among us (nations) – Canadians will have to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases

• This will save future generations from the chance of a hotter world

• BUT – how do we evaluate the well-being of future generations versus our well-being (especially as they are more likely to have more material goods than we do)

Page 16: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Do we spend now to prevent?

• Do we spend in the future to correct?

–If there is a problem

Page 17: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Do we spend or not?If so ‘How Much’

• Spending involves sacrifice– Jobs, taxes, slowing of development

Page 18: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)
Page 19: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Most of this is common sense

• Elementary principle that you should not do something for your own benefit if it harms another person

Page 20: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• If rainfall changes its pattern (amount, timing, location)– Local food supplies will be affected– Supplies of safe drinking water will change– Large scale migration of people could be a response

– Large heat wave in Europe (2003) – est 350,000 deaths

– WHO – average no. deaths per year from climate change – 150,000

Page 21: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

Hoover Dam/Lake Mead 2008

Page 22: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)
Page 23: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• All of us contribute– Driving a car or taking public transit– Using electrical power– Buying anything that has been manufactured and/or

transported– Drinking bottled water

•These all contribute to the generation of greenhouse gases (contribute to climate change)

Page 24: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

• Not a simple matter of weighing benefits and costs

• Can we even get the benefits and costs?

Page 25: Hazard, Risk, Benefit. Stairs are a HAZARD RISK is likelihood of injury Often expressed as a fraction (1 in a million)

ATTITUDE