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    Harry Macdonald Steels

    Proceedings of the Institution ofCivil Engineers

    Management, Procurement and Law

    163

    November 2010 Issue MP4

    Pages 185191

    doi: 10.1680/mpal.2010.163.4.185

    Paper 800026Received 28/04/2008

    Accepted 30/11/2009

    Keywords:education & training/procurement/

    recruitment

    A short history for the future of engineering

    H. M. Steels EurIng, CEng, CEnv, FICE, CMCIPD

    The author has views on the development of the

    profession for the twenty-first century which are both

    challenging and provocative. By contrasting the Victorian

    industrial revolution with the major changes in society

    needed today, a fundamental review of the professions

    raison detre is suggested, as is a radical rethink of theeducation and training of civil engineers. The author

    believes that the standards are already set and that there

    are the germs of a renaissance, but that industry and the

    profession at large have yet to realise their full

    significance.

    1. BACKGROUND

    There seems little doubt that the world which new entrants to

    the civil engineering profession face will be very different to

    that with which the profession has become complacently

    familiar, even if some of the reasons are disputed. Is the

    profession developing its young civil engineers to be capable of

    shaping this future?

    Plenty of people are beginning to talk about the environmental

    problems faced by the world, but there is arguably only one

    profession which has the holistic wherewithal to do something

    about them, and that is civil engineering. The profession needs

    to decide how it can best train the next generation of civil

    engineers to be capable of succeeding in what will be a

    mammoth task.

    This paper was originally a talk requested by ICEs Edinburgh

    and East of Scotland Region on 20 February 2008. Editing it for

    publication required changes which revealed just how far theprofession has moved in less than 2 years. The paper still asks

    many questions and makes some suggestions to further promote

    the debate.

    2. HISTORICAL CONTEXT

    The last time the UK faced an upheaval of the magnitude of this

    one was the Industrial Revolution, during which the profession

    emerged and reigned supreme. Many of todays problems may

    have been inadvertently generated by this revolution, but I

    believe civil engineers can also learn useful lessons from it.

    It was a revolution which took place over more than 100 years longer than may be available this time. The start was the

    exploitation of water, both for more reliable power than the wind,

    and also for low-friction transport navigations and canals.

    Distribution was important for the unprecedented quantities of

    goods being produced in the new factories, which were just

    beginning to exploit water, then steam power, as an energy

    source. Alongside the transport construction boom, there was an

    equally massive building boom mills and factories, and the

    towns and cities to supply labour.

    The development of the mobile steam engine eventually led to

    the Stockton & Darlington railway, which opened in 1825.

    Seven years earlier, the Institution had been founded by a small

    group of young civil engineers in what was still largely an

    agrarian country, but which was just beginning to become

    industrialised, about 40 years after the start of the canal age

    and just at the beginning of railway mania.

    The Society of Civil Engineers founded in 1771 (which became

    the Smeatonian Society in 1830), professed to be (1879),

    promoting and communicating every branch of knowledge

    useful and necessary to the various and important branches of

    public and private work in civil engineering, but was in fact,

    little more than a London dining club for men of more mature

    years, and established reputations, to talk socially about their

    work.

    The group of young engineers saw the need for a forum to share

    their knowledge and experience and mutually promote their

    advancement. Their supervising engineers were too busy to

    share it, or perhaps many bosses still felt that knowledge meant

    superiority and power, and had no desire to relinquish either of

    them. Broadening their understanding by discussion among

    themselves became the learned society role of the Institution,now rebranded as engineering knowledge.

    In 1828, the great source of power in nature was coal, harnessed

    very inefficiently through steam. Coal is stored energy and was

    portable (a battery) which could be carried to where the energy

    was needed. From here on, the methods and geography of

    distribution, for both goods and passengers, expanded rapidly.

    Some 27 000 km of railway were constructed in the UK alone by

    1885 (less than 60 years).

    Amazingly, at the same time, these pioneering civil engineers

    were building railways in France, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Austriaand Switzerland; in Norway and Denmark; in Moldovia,

    Saxony, Bohemia, Hungary, Transylvania, Poland and Russia;

    in Syria and Persia; in Australia, Canada, India and Argentina,

    Management, Procurement and Law 163 Issue MP4 A short history for the future of engineering Steels 185

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    thereby successfully organising worldwide supply chains and

    labour without aeroplanes, mobile phones or computers. It

    would appear that improved methods of communication have

    not resulted in a commensurate improvement in

    communication.

    Today the profession would have great difficulty raising the

    finance through shareholdings and organising the logistics to

    produce new infrastructure at the extraordinary rate managed

    by these early engineers. In just one comparison, the motorway

    programme, with central government finances, has managed to

    build some 3200 km of road in roughly the same period.

    There is certainly difficulty in overcoming the modern, stifling

    political and planning systems, but these early engineers seem

    to have had a stout determination to overcome political and

    social obstacles a determination which the profession needs to

    rekindle! For example, James Locke was only 29 years old when

    in 1836 he confronted the acknowledged expert on railways by

    proposing a railway to Scotland over Shap. George Stephenson

    ridiculed the concept, both in public and in various select

    committees winter weather would be an insurmountabledifficulty and trains would travel down hill with such velocity

    that they would be in danger of running into the sea! It appears

    that already, at the age of 40, Stephenson had become rather set

    in his ways, losing that enthusiastic vision which had driven the

    industry so far only a few years earlier.

    It is complacent to presume that things were much easier for

    these early railway builders; that there was little organised

    opposition. In fact, there was huge opposition. Vitriolic, single-

    issue action groups are certainly not a modern phenomenon. It

    took Locke 11 hard years to

    (a) fight off alternatives, including Stephensons Morecambe Baybarrage and Hudsons East Coast route

    (b) refute the arguments of at least four organised and well-

    funded pressure groups

    (c) win over many vested interests, sceptical landowners and

    politicians

    (d) recruit canny shareholders to push his proposals through the

    legal and political processes.

    There was an iron-willed determination and a huge belief in

    what he was proposing!

    At the same time and at a similar speed, others were developing

    materials and processes. Henry Bessemer patented his method ofmaking steel in 1856, but well before that, civil engineers were

    exploiting cast and wrought iron in factories and bridges. The

    development of methods of mass production led to factories

    covering over 40 ha and employing more than a thousand

    workers.

    At first, people were in awe of the new power. They flocked to

    the towns and cities, dreaming of earning their fortunes in the

    new factories. Crowded city infrastructure and poor public health

    became new problems for the profession to solve. Many of the

    public infrastructure solutions devised are still in use today.

    Processes for distilling coal tar for town gas heralded the

    distillation of crude oil and the exploitation of natures second

    battery oil. First pumped in abundance around the 1920s,

    crude oil generates petrol and paraffin (or kerosene) at the high

    end of the distillation process, essentially as waste products. A

    colleague from Shell said, If the internal combustion engine

    had not then existed, we would have had to invent it. The

    public seems to equate lack of oil solely to reductions in their

    personal mobility, without realising that they are utterly

    dependent on oil-based products. If it is plastic, man-made fibre

    or medicine, it is probably petrochemical. If it moves, it is

    probably lubricated by petrochemicals. People even eat

    petrochemicals. Modern lifestyle is dependent on

    petrochemicals.

    It is difficult to find figures for remaining oil deposits but it

    does seem generally accepted that the world has already

    consumed more than half of the original 2000 to 3000 billion

    barrels of conventional deposits worldwide. At current usage

    rates, the other half will last between 30 and 60 years. But oil

    use is increasing in the developed world at the rate of 24% per

    year and the emergence of South-east Asia will have a serious

    effect. So the Earths most prolific battery may be flat in 25

    years time, just as the current crop of graduates will be at

    maximum influence!

    The relative cheapness of diesel, kerosene and petrol has meant

    that freight has been moved economically by road and air over

    increasing distances. As a result, manufacture and distribution

    have become concentrated into larger and larger factories and

    storage depots, requiring an ever greater distribution network.

    It has also enabled people to have their own personal transport

    and the road network has proliferated at the expense of rail. As

    a result, families dispersed and people started a love affair with

    travel as a tourist industry; they have also become accustomed

    to, and jealously guard, their personal travel space.

    The advent of the aircraft has created the so-called global

    economy. The local supermarket stocks fresh produce from

    Chile and Brazil, Kenya and Egypt, Capetown and Idaho. It is

    normal to flit over to Prague or New York for a weekends

    shopping or a stag night. There are designer goods made in

    China, Turkey and Chile. The UK imports cars made in Korea,

    Malaysia and the Czech Republic. For how much longer?

    3. THE PRESENT SITUATION

    The production of large quantities of unusable by-products was

    the first real hint that the Industrial Revolution would involve

    the production of large quantities of noxious materials, freelydischarged into the air, poured into water courses or dumped on

    the land. Public anxiety and concern about pollution forced the

    government to legislate, one of the major examples being the

    Public Health Act 1875 (1875). This legal backlash has

    accelerated ever since, culminating in the Health and Safety at

    Work etc Act 1974 (1974), which has spawned a plethora of

    regulations and regulatory bodies ever since.

    However, has legislation to defend society against unacceptable

    practice now changed into draconian and restrictive laws,

    needing armies of behaviour police, which actually prevent

    initiative and restrict acceptable risk-taking?

    The public has begun to realise the serious implications to the

    environment of unrestricted development. During my lifetime,

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    the breakdown of sea defences on the east coast in 1953,

    earthquakes, tsunamis and hurricanes of increasing severity,

    suggest that things are changing. Is more localised UK flooding

    caused by climate change or is it merely the consequence of too

    much development already on floodplains?

    Fifty years ago, perceptive people such as Rachel Carson

    brought to prominence the concept of the environment, together

    with a respect for ecology (Carson, 1962). The latter was not, of

    course, a new science, nor was the environment invented (or

    discovered) in the 1950s. Concepts of what might be called

    environmental protection were circulating 100 years before,

    although not by that name. I would equate the past 50 years or

    so to the canal age of the Industrial Revolution the slow start.

    The biggest and most dramatic changes are yet to come!

    The Institution recognised these changing perceptions by stating

    (ICE, 1972) that the profession required knowledge & judgement

    in the use of scarce resources, care for the environment and in

    the interests of public health and safety. Farsighted words

    which have stood the test of time.

    By contrast, rapid advances in information technology have

    given almost the entire world glimpses of what wealth they

    could have. Expectations have been created by the media and

    fed by the commercial obsession with market expansion.

    Wealth creation is the new religion, evidenced by the rise of

    new global economies in South-east Asia and India, based on

    the western model.

    The planets population continues to explode: from 1 billion in

    1820, to 2 billion in 1930, 3 billion in 1960, 4 billion in 1974,

    5 billion in 1988, and 6 billion in 2000

    (www.globalchange.umich.edu). Medical science improves lifeexpectancy and rudimentary sanitation and potable water is

    being engineered globally. Food is bulk grown and distributed,

    thus giving rise to the belief that the planet can sustain many

    more people than it does already only if bulk transport

    remains economic.

    The developing world sees no reason why it should not enjoy

    similar standards of living to the affluent West. The demand for

    energy and resources appears insatiable. Natural resources are

    being consumed at a growing rate. If scientific predictions are

    correct, future generations will be badly deficient in resources

    and will experience a significantly changed climate. The effects

    are likely to be very significant in the working lifetime of those

    engineers now entering the profession.

    4. FUTURE CHALLENGES

    Todays graduates will largely reach the pinnacle of their powers

    around 2025 and will probably have significant influence until

    2050. What will be the challenges they must face? I suggest

    they are

    (a) clean water

    (b) transport

    (c) energy

    (d) climate change(e) security

    (f) urbanisation

    (g) resource depletion.

    4.1. Clean water

    The consequences of greater life expectancy, urban

    concentration of populations and gross exploitation are now

    being made worse by man-made and natural contamination. In

    the UK, recent floods in Gloucestershire threatened to pollute

    the water supply to over half a million households. It is a

    popular mantra that the south-east of England is short of water,

    yet every time they flush a toilet, as much clean water is used

    as serves a rural Indian family for a day. Everything is relative,

    and it is up to civil engineers to explain and promote the need

    to curb demand, and enable better distribution, in this and

    many other resource uses.

    Demand can no longer be driven by selfish wants and desires,

    but by needs. Society can no longer afford to waste resources

    but must harness what is left for the betterment of the entire

    world. Clean water and adequate sanitation are surely rights for

    all, yet a significant proportion of the worlds peoples do not yet

    have it.

    4.2. Transport

    Already in the UK road space (needs not desires) is beingrationed, with congestion charging and variable speed limits.

    The technology already exists via the satellites to give everyone

    an energy allowance and then to monitor its use. I do not

    believe engineers will be building many more roads in the UK;

    rather they will be seeking innovative ways of making them

    work more effectively, and one of those will be restricting their

    use for all.

    There is of course a huge resistance to reducing travel. Millions

    of pounds have been spent marketing it as a must-have for

    tourism, commuting and bulk transport. A similar amount of

    effort will be needed to dissuade the same markets from

    believing it has become a necessity. With supermarkets scouring

    the globe for products, travellers desperate to see the worlds

    marvels (as a friend said recently, I must see Venice before it

    disappears) and daily work commuters, restriction is going to

    take some doing.

    There is a great urge for speed. A new railway from Englands

    political heartland to Scotland must be high speed. Why? One

    fails to see a corresponding increase in productivity from the

    increased speed with which people can commute between

    meetings. One only has to look at the productivity of Victorian

    forbears to realise that speed is not an essential; they had

    neither cars, nor computers, nor phones, nor aeroplanes noneof the paraphernalia now considered essential for

    communication.

    Greater speed costs a disproportionate increase in energy use. A

    car uses fuel 20% more efficiently at 60 mph than at 70. Air

    conditioning takes around 5 miles off a gallon, yet many people

    leave it on all the time. Stricter enforcement of lower speed limits

    would reduce the UKs dependence on fuel and would probably

    cause travellers to reassess the need for their journeys.

    Even at todays high prices, people are apparently unconcerned

    by what they have to pay for convenience. They seem obliviousto losing a small fortune in depreciation or paying excessively

    for the convenience of onions from Mexico. How much longer

    can the average citizen sustain the escalating cost?

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    4.3. Energy

    Where will be the great sources of power in nature? The fossil

    fuel batteries (coal, oil and gas) society has been discharging so

    thoughtlessly are going flat and no one has yet found a viable

    way of recharging them. Of the 98 oil-producing countries of

    the world, 64 are thought to have passed their geological

    production peak, and 60 of those are in terminal decline. The

    public seems to equate this purely with a loss of mobility, but it

    is far more serious than that.

    There is a complacent assumption that petrol and kerosene will

    be replaced by biofuels (no one seems to publicise the enormous

    areas, irrigation and fertilisers needed to grow the crops) or

    hydrogen (what energy is needed to produce the fuel?). But

    what will be the replacements for petrochemical products, such

    as the myriad of plastics?

    Society has largely discharged or debased natures batteries. It

    now need several things.

    (a) Development of an attitude which conserves energy, rather

    than profligate use as though it were inexhaustible.

    (b) New ways of translating the energy from the sun into a usableresource. Windmills are elementary, rather like the canals and

    horses of yesteryear. Tidal power is like Trevithicks crude

    engine. Solar panels are in their infancy. Conversion rates

    from fuel to power are notoriously low (30%). Society

    desperately needs new, more efficient technology which does

    far less environmental damage and can be mass produced. If

    that is nuclear energy, how do civil engineers persuade the

    public that such energy can be produced efficiently, and the

    wastes dealt with safely?

    (c) New and efficient ways to store and transport energy. A

    recent candidate for membership dramatically improved the

    efficiency of existing overhead power transmission lines, buthad to overcome sceptical resistance from the experts (who

    nevertheless all gladly jumped on the bandwagon when it

    worked). His personal odyssey is just one indication that the

    profession does have the raw material in its young engineers.

    4.4. Climate change

    Although the causes may be disputed, there does seem to be

    indisputable evidence that the globe is getting warmer and

    weather patterns more violent. The UK public appears to believe

    that it is just going to enjoy Mediterranean summers, when in

    fact the predictions are that it will get wetter and wilder as well

    as warmer.

    So are the standards for UK infrastructure adequate? Already

    motorways and sewer systems flood periodically in downpours.

    Is localised flooding the result of climate change, or of too

    much development of floodplains? Coastal protection is under

    serious review. What of continuous welded rail lines? And

    integral bridges?

    Is sewage transport and treatment taking account of reductions

    in water usage resulting from metering and higher charges, or

    are designs still presuming the same percentage of solids. Tides

    have already been close to inundating the Thames Barrier. The

    Environment Agency admits that East Anglia was lucky in 2007when high tides did not, as anticipated, exactly coincide with a

    full moon and strong winds. Westminster 6 feet deep in water

    within hours screamed the headlines. No one mentioned the

    (possibly terminal) vulnerability of the sewage and underground

    transport systems.

    Engineers must quickly determine new standards adequate for

    the foreseeable future and then convince the powers that be to

    do something. Few are talking about it so far, and the

    population at large (abetted by the media) views any restrictions

    on their freedom with extreme scepticism.

    4.5. Security

    Small groups of disaffected persons are now able to

    communicate and gain knowledge quickly and very effectively.

    The means by which they can cause mayhem become

    increasingly devastating and diverse. Civil engineers and others

    must define such hazards, evaluate the risks and formulate

    realistic resistance whenever they are designing new

    infrastructure. They must also contribute to a better worldwide

    distribution of wealth and greater tolerance and understanding,

    so that fewer people feel disaffected.

    4.6. Urbanisation

    Wealth creation has invariably necessitated the building ofcities around the centres of manufacture. This concentration of

    population requires massive movement of goods and wastes,

    with huge energy commitments. China, which readily admits to

    plundering resources and damaging the environment to quickly

    accumulate a huge treasure chest, now plans 20 new cities each

    year for the next 20 years, moving 12 million people from rural

    areas each year.

    But there is a rapidly growing desire to protect the environment

    in China. The first phase of Dongtan eco-city, which is three-

    quarters of the size of Manhattan, is to be complete by 2010. It

    is hoped to be self-sufficient in energy, water and most food,

    with the aim of zero emissions of greenhouse gases in the

    transport systems. Peter Head, the Director of Arup, who is

    masterminding this extraordinary project, stated, It is no

    gimmick. It is being led at the highest levels of the Chinese

    government. So already the profession is developing the

    expertise but can it stimulate the will drastically to alter

    societys established way of life?

    4.7. Resource depletion

    It is not just energy sources that are being eliminated, but many

    raw materials. The only renewable resource used is timber, and

    that is not being renewed at anything like the quantity or quality

    at which it is being consumed. Every other resource is finite.Engineers must find better ways of using, conserving and reusing

    these scarce resources. They cannot go on digging holes in the

    Earth to provide traditional materials, while being the largest

    single waste-producing industry in the UK.

    5. HISTORICAL LESSONS

    What lessons can be learnt from the previous revolution by the

    next generation of engineers?

    5.1. Lesson 1. Political inertia

    Politicians are forced by the electoral system to think relatively

    short term, retaining power by proposing vote-catching policies.Very few, if any, have the background to begin to understand

    the complexities of the environment. At a local level, engineers

    have abdicated the responsibilities of the county surveyor and

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    the borough engineer, upon whose wisdom so many politicians

    depended in the past. They are thus unprepared and ill-advised

    to confront the huge questions now needing answers and are

    loathe to take unpopular decisions.

    In the previous revolution, there was no expectation that

    politicians might lead the change; they were carried along by

    a great surge of engineers proposals, backed by shrewd

    businessmen. It is good to see that at last some principles are

    being agreed cross-party (the polluter pays principle is just

    one example), binding on whoever succeeds in power. The

    profession needs to drive more of this long-term, politics-free

    commitment, forcing politicians to think beyond the next

    election. The ICE initiative to promote a chief construction

    officer (equivalent to the chief medical and chief scientific

    officers) at the highest level of the civil service is a worthwhile

    start. But it is only a start.

    Civil engineers need to do more. Perhaps they should wrest back

    the initiative and consider raising private capital, force enabling

    bills through to acts of Parliament, taking public opinion with

    them, and build the infrastructure deemed necessary (as somany Victorian engineers did).

    5.2. Lesson 2. The opposition

    Entrepreneurial ancestors faced huge opposition, both political

    and social, but nevertheless they persuaded powerful men with

    money to invest in major new projects, drove their enabling

    bills through parliament and were not afraid of (occasionally)

    failing. The profession today is greatly embroiled in private

    finance initiatives, but they are still at the behest of

    governments and in the stifling control of ultra-cautious civil

    servants. Might that money achieve better value without such

    limitations?

    Huge resources have been expended by the retail industry to

    persuade the populace to develop their standard of life to buy

    more and better, to travel further and more often, to eat an ever

    wider variety of produce. It is going to be very difficult indeed

    to stop, let alone reverse, that thrust, driven by a continual need

    to increase profits. Whole industries will go out of business and

    all will contract to achieving just enough. Business leaders,

    shareholders and others will have to fundamentally change their

    thinking expressions such as turnover year-on-year and

    increased sales compared to the same period last year will

    become extinct.

    This needs a very different approach to that of the first

    revolution, where the accumulation of wealth was the prime

    driver. Now society needs to promote a target of well-being, of

    sufficiency, of satisfying need not selfish desire. This elimination

    of greed and avarice certainly cannot be achieved by civil

    engineers alone, but they could be catalytic ambassadors.

    5.3. Lesson 3. Experience

    The engineers who drove the revolution were young. Locke, in

    his early twenties, was the same age as Brassey, his main

    contractor. Trevithick made his first high-pressure steam engine

    when aged 26. Stephenson made his initial breakthrough onmobile steam engines at a similar age, but had become set in his

    attitudes by the time he was 40. The older generation must learn

    from his typical obduracy.

    Elders must rather use their experience to temper the

    enthusiasm of youth, to ask questions, rather than as a cautious

    brake, forcing the repetition of familiar (tried and tested)

    solutions. The chairman of the ICE graduate awards 2007 said,

    The problems facing society at large, and the need to create a better and

    sustainable built environment, can only be solved by engineers with

    imagination, interdisciplinary understanding and with a confidence

    that comes with knowledge and experience. The talent is in the pipeline,

    and the judges were given a clear sight of the potential. All we need to

    do is to get on with it!

    Too many companies are not getting on with it. A notable

    exception is the armed forces, whose officers in Iraq and

    Afghanistan are frighteningly young but very well trained. To

    release talent is indeed a serious hazard, the risks of which can

    be managed, just like any other (not all the Victorian schemes

    were a success), but few seem inclined to assess and manage

    that release.

    5.4. Lesson 4. Established practice

    There was a determination to create, embrace and exploit new

    ideas and materials, by going back to fundamentals, thinkingproblems through in new or different ways. A lawyer first

    pointed out to me what a civil engineer actually decides, At this

    time, with these resources, in these circumstances, this is the

    best I can do to which must now be added, for the foreseeable

    future. It is he said, a very strong engineering decision which

    can be defended in a court of law, but is not absolute. One of

    those circumstances is bound to change, so the same problem

    tomorrow may have a different solution to that of today.

    This is a huge responsibility. Many young engineers do not see

    their role this way; they are constrained to comply with

    established best practice; their lateral thinking has been

    squashed under a risk-averse plethora of rules and regulations.

    6. WHERE TO START

    6.1. The education system?

    Where should the identification and nurture of real talent begin?

    I do not believe the educational systems currently in vogue have

    the ability. The state-imposed common standards, which the great

    majority of students are required to achieve at every stage, must,

    of necessity, be lowest common denominators rather than highest

    common factors. To ensure advancement of the individual and

    continued supporting finance for the school, college or university,

    all students must conform. This is the antithesis of what is

    needed, and it is unlikely to change quickly enough. Only in sportdo young, talented individuals appear to be sought out and sent

    off to academies of excellence. So it is up to the industry to

    identify and nurture talent. Perhaps the profession (with

    industrial sponsorship) might consider setting up an academy of

    excellence. Could this be done by expanding its existing

    sponsorship scheme, Quest?

    But could at least the universities do something? Is too much of

    an engineers education the mere transmission of established

    best practice, rather than developing an understanding of

    fundamental principles? Is there too much emphasis on the

    technical aspects of the profession, resulting in graduates whobelieve that analytical calculations will form the majority of

    their daily workload? Should the 4-year MEng and the 3-year

    BEng degrees be differentiated not by more of the same but by

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    something completely different, tailoring their intake

    accordingly?

    Is there a case for banning the use of computers in universities

    producing MEng graduates (apart from word processing), to

    avoid the methodical use of software and to refocus on the

    principles? I remember years ago meeting two squash-playing

    engineering friends, one with an applied science degree from

    Oxbridge, the other with a practical degree from a polytechnic.

    The latter told me, I even had to show him how to detail the

    shear reinforcement in a concrete beam hed never done it at

    university. He later explained to me why we did it that way.

    There is certainly a strong case for developing a broader

    understanding of the business, particularly the social risks. The

    best undergraduates need to be taught to ask why? and

    whether as well as what? and how?. The new civil engineer

    must be able to predict and analyse who will benefit and who

    will lose from any change they propose, and by how much.

    Without this information, it is impossible to make a sound

    judgement as to whether such a change should occur. Such

    balanced decisions should not be left entirely to the whims ofpoliticians or the chance of formal public inquiries or

    uninformed media pressure.

    6.2. The workplace?

    The civil engineering industry has traditionally used many

    graduates for routine technical work, and some universities

    have undoubtedly responded to a perceived vocational

    requirement for such technicians. But one size cannot fit all.

    Many talented engineers have, in the recent past, had to wade

    through too many years of relatively mundane employment

    before releasing themselves (very few employers set them free).

    Too many of the particularly able have sought such release

    outside the profession. The precocious talent is there in the

    workplace but its frustration is all too apparent. Existing ICE

    members must perhaps be wary of a repeat of the inaugural

    meeting in Kendalls Coffee House.

    The industry can no longer afford to suppress talent like this;

    indeed, it needs to develop and exploit it far better than it has

    ever before managed. The entire industry must identify, develop

    and get maximum value from the talents of individuals,

    utilising their strengths and identifying and rectifying any

    weaknesses. Good graduates must not be allowed to succumb to

    the comfort zone of routine familiarity.

    At the same time, their managers must use their experience to

    ensure that they do not run too loose, inadvertently taking

    excessive risks, making costly mistakes, threatening indemnities

    and the firms reputation, and possibly lives. A fine balance, but

    the whole art of engineering is in judgement and compromise; it

    is only that the profession has not applied it too well to its

    people in the past.

    6.3. Manage risks?

    Society is now tangled in a web of restrictive legislation. The

    need to minimise excessive despoliation and profiteering has

    spawned too much legislation, which in turn has spawned anoverzealous, controlling bureaucracy. The avoidance of risk and

    compliance with rules are now endemic in much of what civil

    engineers do. They need to regain the initiative by challenging

    the bureaucratic wet blanket, re-establishing public trust in their

    competence and their ability to deal safely with risk.

    Now, more than ever before, the profession must anticipate the

    circumstances and consequences of each project, and minimise

    or reuse scarce resources. It is not good enough merely to

    depend solely on established best practice, enshrined in

    standards and codes of practice, out of date on the day they are

    published because they are based on prior experience. Many of

    these modern codes leave little or no room for original thought;

    they are merely manuals describing detailed systems of analysis

    which must be followed to achieve compliance.

    To cope with new demands, the profession must go back to

    those inalienable fundamental principles, break away from

    established best practice and make decisions based on

    principles, not precedent. There are people and companies who

    are doing these things already; the profession admires their

    breathtaking breakthroughs in design, project management and

    execution. But it is not yet a general or widespread

    characteristic of the profession. It must become so if civil

    engineers are to succeed in solving the problems of the future.

    6.4. The profession?

    The attributes which the Institution defined for a Member in

    February 2006 in ICE3001 Routes to Membership (ICE, 2006) are

    listed here in abbreviated form.

    (a) Theoretical and evidence-based application of technology.

    (b) Identify techniques, procedures and methods.

    (c) Organise tasks, people and resources.

    (d) Manage teams to meet change and quality.

    (e) Independent engineering judgement.

    (f) Budget within statutory and commercial frameworks.

    (g) Know safety laws and identify hazards to manage risks.(h) Contribute to sustainable development.

    (i) Communicate ideas and plans.

    (j) Comply with Rules of Professional Conduct & Ethics.

    Those are for a member, designated by the Engineering Council

    as an Incorporated Engineer.

    A chartered engineer is expected to add the following skills.

    (a) Introduce and exploit new and advancing technology.

    (b) Creative and innovative development of technology.

    (c) Conduct research and evaluate effectiveness of solutions.

    (d

    ) Direct, control and lead teams to continue improvement and

    meet change.

    (e) Holistic independent judgement.

    (f) Use sound commercial and contractual understanding.

    (g) Lead health, safety and welfare improvement.

    (h) Lead sustainability improvements.

    (i) Communicate new concepts and ideas to everyone.

    These latter attributes do seem to sum up rather well the qualities

    of the professions amazing Victorian predecessors. They also

    build upon the Engineering Councils generic standards for all UK

    chartered engineers, whatever their expertise, first set in 1972.

    Sadly, these have never been enforced and the ICE is already

    ahead of other nominated bodies in striving towards them.

    It is clear that competence alone should no longer be sufficient at

    chartered level. The Institution is seeking the next generation of

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    leaders; those who have the vision and determination to produce

    revolutionary solutions and the courage to take responsibility and

    promote them. The industry must now respond.

    ICE has set appropriate and perceptive targets, but the industry

    has yet to realise that a chartered engineer is no longer merely

    competent, but demonstrates the desire and commitment to

    drive the industry forward into a new age. The profession is still

    producing too many engineers who are good at compliance,

    suppressing vision and new ideas because they are frightening.

    Such conservative attitudes will prevent change and result in

    disaster.

    7. CONCLUSION

    Todays graduates face a future the problems of which have

    never before been experienced, the full impact of which has yet

    to be realised. ICE is once again at the forefront, with its

    increasing emphasis on sustainable development and the health,

    safety and welfare of humankind, but neither membership nor

    industry yet appears to have truly grasped the significance. Fine

    words are one thing, implementing them is a quantum leap

    further.

    The identification of technical, financial, environmental and

    social hazards and the rational assessment of risk and its

    consequences are legitimate and proper engineering tasks.

    Instead of falling back on compliance with established best

    practice, the next generation of high-flyers must establish new

    best practice. When Nervi was asked, at an enthralling talk on

    his innovative designs for the Rome Olympics in 1960, how he

    managed to comply with the codes and standards, his response

    was, I write the standards!

    The best young engineers must be encouraged to make

    judgements based on the anticipated future; to lead the debate

    about what is needed, as distinct from what is wanted or

    selfishly desired. They should be encouraged and supported by

    their mentors to speak out from a sound basis of knowledge and

    understanding.

    The profession must continue to move up the decision-making

    chain. It must become far more involved in changing public

    perceptions. It must take on the advertising industry by

    exposing their folly. The retail industry cannot go on expanding

    public consumption year on year. It must expose manufacturing

    industrys apparently insatiable use of scarce resources and its

    unattainable aims for greater profit by expansion.

    Although the profession will always need highly skilled

    engineers who can do it through compliance, it now needs,

    more than at any time since the early days of the Institution, a

    small cohort of engineers who have the vision, passion and

    determination to change to decide what needs to be done, and

    to persuade the world (and the investors) that what they are

    suggesting is sensible. It is the professions duty to identify and

    nurture anyone capable of such vision. It must encourage and

    support precocious talent and offer supporting experience as a

    steadying influence, not a block.

    I suggest that, rather than the somewhat laborious definition of

    civil engineering published in November 2007, the next royal

    charter should contain a fundamental change to the original of

    1828: Harvesting the remaining sources of power in nature for

    the needs and survival of man.

    (a) Harvesting: to suggest that the profession must nurture and

    utilise the sources of power much more responsibly than ever

    before.

    (b) Remaining: to get away from dependency on fossil fuels.

    (c) Needs: to reflect responsibility to educate the population

    away from selfish wants and desires to needs, something

    which is much more sustainable.

    (d) Survival: to suggest what might happen if the profession

    does not succeed.

    This vision is possible, but it needs massive endeavour and a

    change of mindset from all.

    REFERENCES

    Carson R (1962) Silent Spring. Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA,

    USA. [40th Anniversary Edition (2002) Mariner Books New

    York USA.]

    Health and Safety at Work etc Act 1974 (1974) Elizabeth II.

    Chapter 37. Her Majestys Stationery Office, London.

    ICE (Institution of Civil Engineers) (1972) Institution of Civil

    Engineers Revised Royal Charter. ICE, London.

    ICE (2006) ICE 3001 Routes to Membership. ICE, London.

    Public Health Act 1875 (1875) Victoria. Chapter 55. Her

    Majestys Stationery Office, London.

    What do you think?To discuss this paper, please email up to 500 words to the editor at [email protected]. Your contribution will be forwarded to theauthor(s) for a reply and, if considered appropriate by the editorial panel, will be published as a discussion in a future issue of thejournal.

    Proceedings journals rely entirely on contributions sent in by civil engineering professionals, academics and students. Papers should be20005000 words long (briefing papers should be 10002000 words long), with adequate illustrations and references. You can submityour paper online via www.icevirtuallibrary.com/content/journals, where you will also find detailed author guidelines.

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