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HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 CBRE RESEARCH

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Page 1: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI REAL ESTATEMARKET INSIGHTS

Q3/2019

C B R E R E S E A R C H

Page 2: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

2

HANOI STR IVES TO SOLVE TRAFF IC CONGEST ION

On 10/10, the Ring Road 3 expansion project will be completed16:40 - 02/10/2019

Hanoi considers vehicle ban, metro underground station near Hoan Kiem Lake

Hanoi plans to solve congestion at the Southern gatewayFriday, 27/09/2019

30/09/2019 15:18 GMT+7

Page 3: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

3

AFTER 6 MONTHS OF CONSTRUCT ION,F1 TRACK IS GRADUALLY COMING INTO COMPLET ION

It is expected that all of the Hanoi F1’s track section to be completed in March 2020.

Page 4: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

4

T E X T

CONTENTT E X T

T E X T

1. CONDOMINIUM

2. LANDED PROPERTY

3. OFFICE

4. RETAIL

5. SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 5: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

1CONDOMINIUM MARKET

Page 6: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

6

New Launch

Sold UnitsPrimary Price(US$ psm) *

6,073 units

4,834 units $1,337

▼ 33% q-o-q

▲ 22% y-o-y

▲ 3% y-o-y

0% q-o-q▼ 32% q-o-q

▲3% y-o-y

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.* Primary pricing are quoted on net area, excluding VAT and maintenance fee

MARKET OVERVIEW Q3/2019CONDOMINIUM

Page 7: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

7

MAPPING OF NEW LAUNCHED PROJECT - Q3 2019EXPANSION OF RESIDENTIAL MARKET: MORE NEW PROJECTS IN NEW AREA

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

1

3 45

6

7

8

9

1012

13

11

14

15

16

17

18

No. Project

1 Summit Building2 Le Capitole

3 Hinode City4 Imperia Sky Garden5 Vinhomes Ocean Park6 Chelsea Residence7 PHC Complex8 Vinhomes Smart City9 An Binh Plaza10 Anland Premium11 Iris Garden

12 Terra An Hung13 Phu Thinh Green Park14 Ecohome 315 Athena Complex 16 Tecco Skyville Tower17 Thang Long Capital18 CT1 Yen Nghia

6,073 unitsNew

Launch

18 Projects

Traditional Residential cluster

2

Page 8: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

8Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

NEW LAUNCH IN 9M 2019MID-END SEGMENT ACCOUNTED FOR~80% NEW SUPPLY

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

New

Launch

Hạng sang Cao cấp Trung cấp Bình dân

~19,600 units

~26,800 units

▲ 37% y-o-y

CONDOMINIUM

Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable

Page 9: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

9

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

SOLD UNITS TO NEW LAUNCH ACHIEVED ~80%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

Sold

Units

Hạng sang Cao cấp Trung cấp Bình dân Doanh số bán/ tống số căn mở bán mới

CONDOMINIUM

Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable Sold Units/New Launch

Page 10: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

10

INCREASING PRIMARY PRICING, ESPECIALLY IN HIGH-END SEGMENT

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

Primary Pricing is in US$ psm, price does not include VAT and is based on carpet area.

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

Pri

mary

Pri

ce (

US$ p

sm)

Cao cấp Trung cấp Bình dân

▲ 4.3% y-o-y ▲2.5% y-o-y▲ 3.4% y-o-y

Hanoi CBD

10km – 13km

Affordable segment:Further expansion – Stable pricing

10km

CONDOMINIUM

AffordableMid-endHigh-end

Page 11: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

11

UNCONVENTIONAL PRODUCTS INTRODUCED DURING 2018 - 2019

Ownership

FreeholdLocation

Ba Dinh

Type

Condotel (*)Scale

400 units

Ownership

LeaseholdLocation

Dong Da

Type

Apartment-for-lease

Scale

167 units

OwnershipLeasehold +

Freehold

Location

Nam Tu Liem

TypeApartment-for-saleApartment-for-lease

Scale

448 units

(*) lease-back program available

CONDOMINIUM

Page 12: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

12

Korean billionaires eyeing on Vietnam Real estate market

30/09/2019

POSITIVE DEMAND FROM FOREIGN INVESTORS

Foreign homebuyers’ nationalities in Hanoi based on transactions recorded by CBRE in 2019

~85%

~70% high-end projects launched in

2018 – 2019 in the West reached maximum “room” for foreign buyers.

CONDOMINIUM

Page 13: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

13

MARKET OUTLOOKEXPECTING HIGHER PRIMARY PRICING BY YEAR END 2019

▲3% - 5% on average, annually

Forecasted New Launch and Sold Units Forecasted Primary Pricing

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

Units

Số căn mở bán mới Doanh số bánNew Launch Sold Units

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

Pri

mary

Pri

ce (

US$

psm

)

Cao cấp Trung cấp Bình dân

Price is calculated as US$ psm, price does not include VAT and is based on carpet area.

CONDOMINIUM

Mid-end AffordableHigh-end

Page 14: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

14

FUTURE SUPPLY: Q4 2019: AWAITING PROJECTS

FROM HIGH-END AND LUXURY SEGMENTS

The Matrix One~1,500 units

Heritage West Lake~380 units

Lancaster Luminaire~300 units

Summit Building~150 units

(follow-on launch)

Sunshine Golden River~70 units (follow-on launch)

Mon Central~170 units

CONDOMINIUM

Page 15: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

15

FUTURE SUPPLY Q4 2019 – 2020:NEW SUPPLY MAINLY FROM TOWNSHIP DEVELOPMENTS

Work kicks off on $4.2 billion smart city in Hanoi

06/10/2019Vinhomes Smart CityFollow-on launches from Q4 19

Park Kiara @ Park CityExpected to launch in Q4 2019: 432 units

Expected to first launch in 2020

CONDOMINIUM

Page 16: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

16

2LANDED PROPERTY MARKET

Page 17: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

17

New Launch

Sold Units Villa Primary Price

(US$ psm)

879 units

873 units $4,029

▲ 329% y-o-y

▲ 6% y-o-y

▲ 1.2% q-o-q

▲67% y-o-y

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

MARKET OVERVIEW Q3 2019

▲ 47% q-o-q

▲3% q-o-q

LANDED PROPERTY

Page 18: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

18

MARKET SUPPLY TO EXPAND FURTHER TO SUBURBAN AREA

Ha Dong

Thanh Xuan

Nam Tu Liem

Hoai Duc

ChuongMy

Cau Giay

Bac Tu Liem

Dan Phuong

Tay Ho

Dong Anh

Long Bien

Gia Lam

Hung Yen

Thanh Tri

Hoang Mai

Hai Ba Trung

HoanKiem

Dong Da

Ba Dinh

No. Project

East

1 Elegant Park Villa

2 Vinhomes Ocean Park

3 Spring Valley - Ecopark

South 4 Aurora Garden

5 The Manor Central Park

South

West 6 Louis City

7 Terra An Hưng

8 Sol Lake Villa

West

9 Vinhomes Smart City

10 An Lạc Green Symphony

11 Lideco

Nort

h W

est 12

Phoenix Garden- Royal Hill

13 Sunshine Wonder Villas

14 Sunshine Golden RiverMapping of New Supply 9M 2019

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

1213

14

Hanoi

Page 19: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

19

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2016 2017 2018 2019

Units

Mở bán mới Số căn bán được

POSITIVE SALES RATE

▲47% q-o-q ▲3% q-o-q

New Launch vs. Sold Units

LANDED PROPERTY

New Launch Sold Units

Page 20: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

20

IMPROVING PRICING IN EMERGING LOCATIONS

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

Price is calculated on US$ psm land. Price includes land price, construction costs and VAT.

Villa Secondary Price (US$ psm)

LANDED PROPERTY

Seco

nd

ary

Pri

ce (

US$

psm

)

Page 21: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

21

MARKET OUTLOOKM a r k e t t o w e l c o m e l a r g e - s c a l e t o w n s h i p s

i n 2 0 2 0 - 2 0 2 2

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

Forecasted New Launch

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F+

Ng

uồ

n c

un

g tư

ơn

g la

i (c

ăn

)

Smart City

Vibex Residence

Tan Hoang Mai

Gamuda Lakes 0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2020F 2021F 2022F

Futu

re S

upply

(units)

LANDED PROPERTY

Page 22: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

3OFFICE MARKET

Page 23: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

23

MARKET OVERVIEW Q3 2019

Grade BGrade A

ASKING RENTS

VACANCY RATE

US$ 26.4

7.9%

▲ 0.2% q-o-q ▲4.4% y-o-y

434,767 sm NLA 20 projectsTOTAL

SUPPLY

(%)

NLA (sm)

US$ psmpm

906,029 sm NLA 72 projects

US$ 14.3

9.2%

Doji Tower0% q-o-q ▲ 5.1% y-o-y ▲ 9.0% y-o-y

▼ 0.3 pptsq-o-q

One New Project in Q3 2019: +3,000 sm NLA

Source: CBRE Research & ConsultingNotes: Price is calculated based on net area, exclusive of service charge and VAT.

0% q-o-q

0% q-o-q ▲ 5.0% y-o-y

▲ 1.7 pptsy-o-y

▼ 1.5 pptsq-o-q

▼ 2.3 pptsy-o-y

OFFICE

Page 24: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

24

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 9T 2019

Hạng A Hạng B

2019: HIGHEST NEW LAUNCH DURING THE PAST 5 YEARS

Hanoi Office Market, New SupplyN

o N

ew

Su

pp

ly

H1 2019: + 53,200 sm

ThaiholdingsTower

Pax SkyPham Van Dong

Bamboo Airways Tower

Q3 2019: + 3,000 sm

Doji Tower

2019:+ 133,000 sm

Q4 2019: + 77,000 sm

OFFICE

Grade A Grade B

9M 2019

Page 25: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

25

STABLE PERFORMANCE IN BOTH GRADESDESPITE CONTINUOUS NEW SUPPLY

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

2016 2017 2018 Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing R

ent (U

S$

psm

pm

)

Hạng A - Giá chào thuê Hạng A - Tỷ lệ trống

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

2016 2017 2018 Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing R

ent (U

S$

psm

pm

)

Hạng B - Giá chào thuê Hạng B - Tỷ lệ trống

GRADE A: Increasing asking rents over years, Vacancy rate decreased slightly

GRADE B: Decreasing vacancy rate despite continuous new supply

OFFICE

Source: CBRE Research & ConsultingNotes: Price is calculated based on net area, exclusive of service charge and VAT.

Grade A – Asking Rent Grade A – Vacancy Rate Grade B – Asking Rent Grade B – Vacancy Rate

Page 26: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

26

GRADE B:EFFECTIVE RENTAL POLICY

– GOOD ABSORPTION RATE ACHIEVED IN NEW PROJECTS

Peak ViewNLA: 24,000 smExpected opening date: Q4 2019

Pre-commitment(Q3 2019): 70%

Absorption rate, Hanoi Office Market

Detech IINLA: 15,000 smOpening date: Q4 2018

Pre-commitment: 50%0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 9T 2019

Abso

rption R

ate

(%

)

Hạng A Hạng B

OFFICE

Grade A Grade B

Page 27: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

27

ENQUIRIES FOR LARGER SIZETHOUGH LIMITED OPTIONS AVAILABLE

Hanoi Office Market, Tenants by Purpose and Sizing, Enquiries recorded by CBRE, Q3 2019

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

> 1000 m2 700 m2 - 1,000 m2 300 m2 - 699 m2

100 m2 - 299 m2 <100 m2

9M 2019

2018

New Lease 33% 22%

Expansion 36% 35%

Office Change

24% 38%

Contract Extension

7% 5%

OFFICE

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting

Page 28: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

28

Q4 2019 – 2020 AWAITS LARGE-SCALEFUTURE PROJECTS

Thai BuildingNLA: 24,000 sm

BRG Grand PlazaNLA: 34,000 sm

1

1

2

1

3

4

4

3

5

5

Grade A Grade B

Q4 19 - 2020: +203,000 m2

2020

Q4 19

D'Capitale– C5 Tower

NLA: 12,000 sm

Peak ViewNLA: 24,000 sm

2

Coninco TowerNLA: 10,000 sm

1

Capital PlaceNLA: 92,000 sm

OFFICE

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting

Page 29: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

29

2019F: Asking Rents to increase in both grades: Grade A by 5% y-o-y, Grade B by 4% y-o-y

MARKET OUTLOOK

Grade A: Forecasted Asking Rent and Vacancy Rate Grade B: Forecasted Asking Rent and Vacancy Rate

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing R

ent (U

S$

psm

pm

)

Hạng B - Giá chào thuê Hạng B - Tỷ lệ trống

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

22.00

24.00

26.00

28.00

30.00

2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing R

ent (U

S$

psm

pm

)

Hạng A - Giá chào thuê Hạng A - Tỷ lệ trống

Asking Rent Growth rate

4% 5% 2% Asking Rent Growth rate

4% 3% 5%

OFFICE

Source: CBRE Research & ConsultingNotes: Price is calculated based on net area, exclusive of service charge and VAT.

Grade A – Asking Rent Grade A – Vacancy Rate Grade B – Asking Rent Grade B – Vacancy Rate

Page 30: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

30

4HANOI RETAIL MARKET

Page 31: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

31

NEW REGIONAL MALLS

Malls with regional scale attract large catchment areaRETAIL

40,000 sqm – 70,000 sqm (NLA)

Located outside

traditional retail area

Diversified tenant mix

Immediate catchment → High

occupancy rate

Attract large

catchment areas

Aeon Mall Ha Dong

Vincom Megamall Ocean Park

Vincom Megamall Smart City

Aeon Mall Hoang Mai

Lotte Mall Hanoi

5

1

2

3

4

Trungtâm

Page 32: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

32

A COMMON STORY OF EX IST ING SHOPPING MALLS

An inevitable trend of retail market – 9M 2019

Vincom Center Pham Ngoc Thach

Renovate … … and upgrade tenant mix with anchor tenants

Tiniworld – Vincom Center Ba Trieu

Vincom Center Ba Trieu

Green Garden – Aeon Mall Long Bien Source: CBRE APAC

INDOOR THEME PARKSTypical size required: 3,500 sqm to 5,500 sqm

CINEMASTypical size

required: 1,500 sqm to 3,500 sqm

CHILDREN’s EDUCATION

CENTRETypical size required:

900 to 2,000 sqm

SPORTS CLUBSTypical size required: 900 to 2,000 sqmLarge-scale may go up to 5,000 sqm

GAMES ARCADESTypical size required: 1,000 sqm to 2,000 sqm

STUDIOSTypical size required: 300 sqm to 500 sqm

RETAIL

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HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

33

VACANCY DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN NON-CBD

No new supply recorded in Q3 2019

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

Va

can

cy r

ate

(%

)

Ask

ing

ren

t (U

S$/s

qm

/mon

th)

Rent - CBD Rent - Midtown & WestRent - Other non-CBD Vacancy - CBDVacancy - Midtown & West Vacancy - Other non-CBD

Hanoi Retail, rent and vacancy, Q3 2019

Source: CBRE Research, Q3 2019.

RETAIL

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HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

34

TENANT TRENDS

Adding services and experience

“RETAILTAINMENT” _ VIETNAM & OTHER COUNTRIES IN THE REGION

3D projected tale concept – Park Hyatt

HCMCDancing during the meals – MK

RestaurantsMeal kit – Haidilao

Hotpot

Kiehl’s Coffee House(Hongkong)

Samsung pop-up cafe(Beijing)

Tiffany & Co pop-up cafe(Singapore)

Muji Thailand to open largest store, includes “coffee corner”

RETAIL

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HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

35

43.2

5.9 4

56.7

7.1 5.3

80.6

9.9 7.5

F&B Health goods andmedical services

Clothing andFootwear

2012

2016

2022f

Retail sales growth of some categories in Vietnam (% y-o-y)

Source: Business Sweden Analytics, 2018

MARKET OUTLOOK

Diversified tenant mix and qualityNew brands in Q3 2019

Following Phuc Long, famous milk tea brand Koi to expand in Hanoi

RETAIL

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HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

36

MARKET OUTLOOK

Stronger interest from International retailers RETAIL

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HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

37

FUTURE SUPPLY FROM Q4 2019 TO 2020F

Located in non-CBD area

Vincom Megamall Smart CityNam Tu Liem districtNLA: 49,000 sqm

FLC Twin TowersCau Giay districtNLA: 14,400 sqm

Hinode CityHai Ba Trung districtNLA: 42,200 sqm

Aeon Mall Ha DongHa Dong districtNLA: 74,000 sqm

Vincom Megamall Ocean ParkGia Lam districtNLA: 39,500 sqm

2019f 2020f

RETAIL

Page 38: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

38

New supply by year

Source: CBRE Research, Q3 2019

Market performance

MARKET OUTLOOK

New supply increased by 150,000 sqm per year until 2021f, equivalent to a growth of 15% per annum

RETAIL

-

50

100

150

200

2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f 2021f

New

supply

(N

LA, sq

m)

CBD Non-CBD

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

$0

$40

$80

$120

2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

Vaca

ncy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing r

ents

(U

S$/s

qm

/month

)

Rent - CBD Rent - Non -CBD

Vacancy - CBD Vacancy - Non-CBD

Page 39: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

39

Just over 140,000 sqm NLA will be added to the market. Large-scale shopping malls will be spread out across the city, challenging to form a single retail destination in Hanoi

Occupancy will remain at

healthy level, particularly in CBD area

By 2020…

F&B, Entertainment and Fashion chain will continue to expand rapidly in the market

New regional mallsare expected to have attractive tenant mix and upgraded design

RETAIL

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MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

40

5SERVICED APARTMENT MARKET

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MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

41

Grade BGrade A

Asking Rent(Q3 2019)

Occupancy Rate(Q3 2019)

Total Supply(Q3 2019)

(%)

(units)

(US$ psm pm)

2,839 units 19 projects

1,051 units16 projects

0.1% y-o-y

9.3 ppts y-o-y

21.4

87.7% 83.6% 2.0 ppts y-o-y

1.4% y-o-y

MARKET OVERVIEW Q3 2019

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.(*) Grade A Supply increased by 56 units from Roygent Parks in Q3 2019.Price includes service charge, does not include VAT.

33.5

SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 42: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

42

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2017 2018 2019

Occ

upancy

Rate

(%

)

Ask

ing R

ent (U

S$

psm

pm

)

Giá thuê trung bình RevPAR Tỷ lệ lấp đầy trung bình

Market Performance, 2017 – Q3 2019

MARKET PERFORMANCE

Market Occupancy Rate increased by 5.65 ppts q-o-q

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting..Price includes service charge, does not include VAT.

Average Asking Rent RevPAR Average Occupancy Rate

SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 43: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

43

FUTURE SUPPLY

Oakwood Residence Hanoi and PentStudio to come onboard from Q4 2019- Supply to increase by 383 units

Oakwood ResidenceHanoi

• Grade A

• Operator Oakwood

• No. of Units 262

• Grade A

• Operator The Ascott

• No. of Units 121

PentStudio

SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 44: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

44

FUTURE SUPPLYMarket to welcome more international brands

2

1

No. ProjectExpected Launch

GradeNo. of Units

1Oakwood Residence Hanoi

Q4 2019 A 262

2 PentStudio Q4 2019 A 121

3 ParkRoyal 2020 A 126

4 Fraser Residence Hanoi 2020 A 216

3

43,222

3,564

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

No.

of

Un

its

Hạng A Hạng B

Future Supply

Source: CBRE Research & Consulting.

Grade A Grade B

SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 45: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

45

725 units from 4

projects to come onboard

Increasing

competition between

projects regarding

occupancy rate and asking rent

By 2020…

Hanoi as a top destination for FDI capitals, hence

demand from expat professionals

International operators continue to lead the market in the future

SERVICED APARTMENT

Page 46: HANOI REAL ESTATE MARKET INSIGHTS Q3/2019 · Xuan Nam Tu Liem Hoai Duc Chuong My Cau Giay Bac Tu Liem Dan Phuong Tay Ho Dong Anh Long Bien Gia Lam Hung Yen Thanh Tri Hoang Mai Hai

HANOI

MARKET INSIGHTS

Q3 2019

46

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