h6_19840210_note.pdf

19
FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release For release at 4:15 PM EST H.6(508) February 10, 1984 The accompanying standard Money Stock and Liquid Assets tables are the final ones that present weekly data on a week-ended Wednesday basis and weekly and monthly data not revised to incorporate updated seasonal adjust- ment factors, benchmark revisions and a redefinition of M3 to incorporate term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents. This release also includes updated monthly seasonal adjustment factors for all money stock measures. In addition, revised monthly levels of the money stock measures are presented for the period from October 1982 to January 1984, together with a comparison of growth rates of the revised and old money stock measures over the same period. (This comparison updates information included in the Appendix to the February 6, 1984 Monetary Policy Report to Congress.) The next H.6 release, scheduled for Thursday, February 16, will be published on the revised basis. All weekly data on that release will be presented for weeks ending on Monday, to correspond with the new reporting cycle under contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR). The weekly seasonal factors to be used in constructing these data are not yet available; such factors will be published on February 16. In light of the substantial changes to reporting and reserve computation and maintenance systems occa- sioned by CRR, delays may occur in coming weeks in the publication of money stock and related data and data revisions for a time could be larger than normal. Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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  • FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release

    For release at4:15 PM EST

    H.6(508) February 10, 1984

    The accompanying standard Money Stock and Liquid Assets tables are

    the final ones that present weekly data on a week-ended Wednesday basis and

    weekly and monthly data not revised to incorporate updated seasonal adjust-

    ment factors, benchmark revisions and a redefinition of M3 to incorporate

    term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents.

    This release also includes updated monthly seasonal adjustment

    factors for all money stock measures. In addition, revised monthly levels

    of the money stock measures are presented for the period from October 1982

    to January 1984, together with a comparison of growth rates of the revised

    and old money stock measures over the same period. (This comparison updates

    information included in the Appendix to the February 6, 1984 Monetary Policy

    Report to Congress.)

    The next H.6 release, scheduled for Thursday, February 16, will

    be published on the revised basis. All weekly data on that release will be

    presented for weeks ending on Monday, to correspond with the new reporting

    cycle under contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR). The weekly seasonal

    factors to be used in constructing these data are not yet available; such

    factors will be published on February 16. In light of the substantial

    changes to reporting and reserve computation and maintenance systems occa-

    sioned by CRR, delays may occur in coming weeks in the publication of money

    stock and related data and data revisions for a time could be larger than

    normal.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release

    H6(508)Table 1

    MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSBillions of dollars

    For Release at 4:15 p.m Eastern Time

    PBBBUaBY 10, 1984

    Date

    196 3JAN.FEB.MAR.APR.HAYJUNEJULYAOG.SEPT,OCT.NOV.DEC.

    198*1JAN. P

    M1

    sum ofcurrency,travelerschecks,demand

    deposits andother

    checkabledeposits1

    4 8 2 . 14 9 1 . 1497.6496.5507.4511.7515.5516.7517.1517.9518.3521.1

    524.3

    M2Seasonal!

    M1 plusovernight RPs

    and Eurodollars,MMMF

    balances (gen.pur. and

    broker/dealer),MMDAs,

    and savingsand small time

    deposits2

    2010.02050.82069.92074.82096.22 1 1 4 . 42126.32136.92145.42161.62174.62184. 12191.9

    M3i adjusted

    M2 plus largetime deposits,term RPs and

    institution-onlyMMMF

    balances3

    2403.32430.72447.12453.92476.22496.82510.32528.82544.92563.22588.72602.4

    2614.5

    M3 plus otherliquid assets4

    2930.62960.22987.53005.83031.33058.63087.83116.23137.93155.2

    M1

    sum ofcurrency,travelerschecks,demand

    deposits andother

    checkabledeposits1

    489.7480.6489.2504.5499.8508.3514.7511.6514.1519.5523.8535.3

    532.2

    M2 M3.,Not seasonally adjustedM1 plus

    overnight RPsand Eurodollars,

    MMMFbalances (gen.

    pur. andbroker/dealer),

    MMDAs,and savings

    and small timedeposits2

    2018.32042.52065.92088.52092.72114.12127.82129.22137.22160.62174.42190.9

    2200.7

    M2 plus largetime deposits,term RPs and

    institution-onlyMMMF

    balances3

    2415.22427.12445.92465.42471.52495.42508. 125.19.82535.72561.72538.32610.9

    2627.1

    L

    M3 plus otherliquid assets4

    2945.52964.72992.23020.6302S.73054.93078.63102.93121.33150.3

    For period ended

    1934-JAN. 4111825 P

    FEE. 1 P

    M1Seasonally adjusted

    13-weekaverage

    519.4519.9520.4520.7

    521.3

    4-weekaverage

    521.6523.0523.4523.4

    524.0

    week average

    522.2526.3S23.6521.6

    524.6

    Not seasonally adjusted13-weekaverage

    527.7529.2530.4530.8530.6

    4-weekaverage

    538.1541.5541.5537.7528.4

    week average

    551.2546.9536.0516.6514. 1

    NOTE: SPECIAL CAUTION SHOULD BE TAKEH IH INTBBPRETIIG MEEK-TO-IEEK CHANGES III HONEY SUPPLY DATA, WHICHHIGHLY VOLATILE AMD SUBJECT TO REVISION.P~INDICATES PBELin iNlBY DATa.POOTNOTES APPEAR Oil THE POLLOVING PAGE

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6(508)Table 2

    MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSPercent change at seasonally adjusted annual rates

    Date

    3 MONTHS FFOH OCT. 1983 TO JAN. 1984

    6 HONTHS FROM JOLY 1983 TO JIM. 1984

    12 MONTHS FROft JAN. 1983 TO JAN. 1984

    THIRTEEN WEEKS ENDING FEB. . 1 , 1984FROM THIRTEEN WEEKS ENDING:

    NOV. 2 , 1 9 8 3 ( 1 3 WEEKS PREVIOUS)

    AUG. 3 , 1983 (26 WEEKS PREVIOUS)

    FEB. 2 , 1983 (52 WEEKS PPEVIOOS)

    M1

    4 . 9

    3 . 4

    8 . 8

    3 . 3

    3 . 6

    8 . 9

    M2

    5 . 6

    6 . 2

    9 . 0

    M3

    8 . 0

    8 . 3

    8 . 8

    FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 11/ AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES FOR (1) CURRENCY OUTSIDE THE TREASURY, FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, ANP

    THE VAULTS OF COHHERCIAL BANKS; (2) TRAVELERS CHECKS OF NONBANK ISSUERS; (3) DEMAND DEPOSITSAT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS OTHEB THAN THOSE DUE TO DOHESTIC BANKS, THE U.S. GOVERNMENT, ANDFOREIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS LESS CASH ITEMS IN THE PROCESS OF COLLECTION ANDFEDERAL RESERVE FLOAT; AND (4) OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS (OCD) CONSISTING OF NEGOTIABLEORDER OF WITHDRAWAL (NOW) AND AUTOMATIC TRANSFER SERVICE (ATS) ACCOUNTS AT DEPOSITOPYINSTITUTIONS OTHER THAN CREDIT UNIONS, CREDIT UNION SHARE DRAFT ACCOUNTS, AND DEMANDDEPOSITS AT THRIFT INSTITUTIONS. THE CURRENCY AND DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENTS EXCLUDE TH*ESTIMATED AMOUNT OF VAULT CASH AND DEMAND DEPOSITS, RESPECTIVELY, HELD BY THRIFT INSTITUTIONSTO SERVICE THEIR OCD LIABILITIES.

    2/ INCLUDES OVEXNIGHT (AND CONTINUING CONTRACT) RPS ISSUED BY ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS AND FURODOLLURSISSUED BY FOREIGN (PRINCIPALLY CARIBBEAN AND LONDON) BRANCHES OF TT.S. BANKS, HMDAS, SAVINGSAND SHALL DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS (TIME DEPOSITSINCLUDING RETAIL RPSIN AMOUNTS OF L?SSTHAN $100,000), AND BALANCES IN BOTH TAXABLE AND TAX-EXEMPT GENERAL PURPOSE AND BPOKEB/DEALEPMONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS. EXCLUDES IRA AND KEOGH BALANCES AT DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONFYMABKET FUNDS. ALSO EXCLUDES AMOUNTS HELD BY U.S. COMMERCIAL BANKS, HONEY MARKET FUNDS (GENERALPURPOSE AND BROKER/DEALER), FOREIGN GOVERNMENTS AND COHHERCIAL BANKS, AND THE U.S. GOVERNMENT.H2 WILL DIFFER FROM THE SUM OF COMPONENTS PRESENTED IN SUBSEQUENT TABLES BY A CONSOLIDATIONADJUSTMENT THAT REPRESENTS THE ESTIMATED AMOUNT OF DEMAND DEPOSITS AND VAULT CASH HELD BYTHRIFT INSTITUTIONS TO SERVICE TIME AND SAVINGS DEPOSITS.

    3/ INCLUDES LARGE DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS AND TERM RPS (IN AMOUNTS OF $100,000 OR MORE) ISSUEDBY COMMERCIAL BANKS AND THRIFT INSTITUTIONS, EXCLUDING THOSE HELD BY DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS,THE U.S. GOVERNMENT, MONEY MARKET FUNDS, AND FOREIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS. M3 WILLDIFFER FROM THE SUM OF COMPONENTS PRESENTED IN SUBSEQUENT TABLES BY A CONSOLIDATION ADJUSTMENTTHAT REPRESENTS THE ESTIMATED AMOUNT OF OVERNIGHT RPS HELD BY INSTITUTION-ONLY MONEY HARKE"*MUTUAL FUNDS.

    4/ OTHEB LIQUID ASSETS INCLUDE THE NONBANK PUBLIC HOLDING OF tl.S. SAVINGS BONDS, SHOPT-TPPHTREASUEY SECURITIES, COMMERCIAL PAPER, BANKERS ACCEPTANCES, AND TERM EURODOLLARS HgLfl BY U.S.RESIDENTS, NET OF MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUND HOLDINGS OF THESE ASSETS.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)

    Table 3COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSButtons of dollars, seasonally adjusted unless otherwise noted

    Date

    198J-JAN.PBb*MAR.

    APR.HAYJUNE

    JULYAUG.SEPT.

    OCT.MOV.ORC.

    1984 -JAN. P

    WEEK ENDING

    1984JAN, 4

    111625 P

    FEB. 1 P

    Currency'

    1i4.1J5.137.

    13d.139.140.

    140.141.143.

    144.14 5.

    260

    033

    980

    23

    146.0

    147.8

    147.147.147.147.

    148.

    1578

    2

    Travelerschecks2

    1i

    4 .4 .4 .

    4 .4 .4 .

    4 .4 .4 .

    4 .4 .4.

    4.

    135

    677

    b77

    886

    7

    Demanddeposits3

    239.238.240.

    238.242.244.

    245.244.24 3.

    242.2 4 1 .243.

    243.

    244.246.243.239.

    2 4 1 .

    471

    950

    854

    961

    3

    5378

    8

    Othercheckabledeposits4

    104. t>112 .5116.0115.0120.9122.7

    124.2125.8126.0126.0126.5127.1

    128.4

    125.9127.7127.5129.2

    129.8

    OvernightRPs5

    NSA

    40. 141.04 0.9

    42.546.046.6

    43.542.142.945.244.845.346.7

    45.246.846.147.0

    48.0

    OvernightEuro-

    dollars6

    NSA

    7. 27 . 97 . 9

    a. 19. 19.4

    9 . 210.010. 1

    11.310.410.911.0

    12. 211. 111. 111. 1

    10.0

    Moneymarketdeposit

    accounts 7NSA

    18 9 .277.320.

    34 1 .356.367*

    368*366.366.

    367.36 9 .372.

    376.

    374.376.376.376.

    377.

    175

    263

    439

    414

    7

    5896

    8

    Savings depositsBat

    commer-cial

    banks

    151.7144.7142.3

    14O%8140.8140.6

    139.6136.3137.3

    136. 1135.2133.9

    133.0

    133.5133.2133.0132.9

    132.8

    atthrift

    institu-tions

    103.3181.0180.4180.7182.3184.2183.9183.fi183.3

    182.7181.1178.3

    176.0

    total

    3 3 5. 1125. 7322.7321.5323. 1325.0323.5322. 1320.6

    318.8316.4312.3

    309.0

    Small denominationtime deposits'9

    atcommer-

    cialbanks

    356.7337.7326.8

    321 .5318.8319.5

    326.1312.2337.0

    343.5349.7352.3

    351.9

    351.5352.0351.7351.7

    351.7

    atthrift

    institu-tions

    440.7417.4407.0

    404.2401.4402.6

    408.9415.7420.7

    427.5434.7439.2

    442. 1

    total

    797.4755.173 3.8

    725.7720. IV722.1

    735.1748.0757.7

    771.0784. 791.5

    794.0

    Money marketmutual fund balances'0

    generalpurpose

    and broker/dealer

    166^7159.6

    .}***$

    146,714 1.1119,7

    13*. B13.1137.6

    137.8138.7138.0

    138.1

    136.5137.9138.0138.4

    139.3

    institutiononly

    Uf. 145.?

    , 4 3 . 5

    41.040.439.21

    38.6* 38.4

    39.1

    39.940.640.2

    40.8

    40.040.640.841.1

    41.1

    1 / EXCLUDES THE ESTIMATED AMOUNT OP fAULT CASHCURBENCY OUTSIDE THE U.S. TREASURY, P.fa. BANKS AND VAULTS OP COMMERCIAL BANKS.HELD BY THRIFT INSTITUTIONS TO SERVICE THEIR OCD LIABILITIES.

    2/ OUTSTANDING AMOUNT OP U.S. DOLLAR-DENOMINATED TRAVELERS CHECKS OP NONBANK ISSUERS.3/ DEMAND DEPOSITS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS AND FOREIGN RELATED IiSTITUTIONS OTHER THAN THOSE DIIE TO DOMESTIC BANKS, THE fl.S. GOVERN-

    MENT AND FOREIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS LESS CASH ITEMS IN THE PROCESS OP COLLECTION AND P.R. FLOAT. FfCLnDES THEESTIMATED AMOUNT OP DEMAND DEPOSITS HELD AT COMMERCIAL BANKS BY THRIPT INSTITUTIONS TO SERVICE THEIR OCI> LIABILITIES.

    4/ INCLUDES ATS AND NOH BALANCES AT ALL DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS EXCEPT CREDIT UNIONS, CREDIT UNION SHABE DRAFT BALANCES ANDDEMAND DEPOSITS AT THRIFT INSTITUTIONS. OTHER CHECKABLE DEPOSITS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED EQUALS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THPSEASONALLY ADJUSTED SUM OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS OCD AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DEMAND DEPOSITS. INCLUDED APE ALL CEILINGPREE "SUPEh NOUS," AUTHORIZED BY THE DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION COMMITTEE TO BE OFFERED BEGINNING JANUARY 5,1983. PRELIMINARY DATA INDICATE THAT BALANCES IN "SUPER NOUS1* HERP ABOnT $38.8 BILLION IN THE BERK ENDED JANUARY IB,ABOUT $37.6 BILLION IN THE KEEK ENDED JANUARY 25, AND ABOUT $37.6 BILLION IN THE HEFK ENDED PEBRUARY 1. THESEFIGURES INCLUDE BALANCES IV "SUPER NOBS" AT COMMERCIAL BANKS OP ABOUT $28.0 BILLION IN THE WEPK ENDPD JANUARY 1fi,ABOUT $27.1 BILLION IN THE MEEK ENDEO JANUARY 25, AND ABOUT $27.1 BILLION IN THE HEEK ENDED PBBRriARY 1.

    5/ INCLUDES OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUING CONTRACT RPS ISSUED BY COMMERCIAL BANKS TO OTHER THAN DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONEYMARKET MUTUAL FUNDS (GENERAL PURPOSE AMD BROKER/DKALEK).

    t/ ISSUED BY FOREIGN (PRINCIPALLY CARIBBEAN AND LONDON) BRANCHES OF U.S. BANKS TO U.S. RESIDENTS OTHER THANDEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONEY MARKET NflTUAL FUNDS.

    7/ MONEY ?!AfeKtT DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS (HHDAS) HERE AUTHORIZED BY THE DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS DEREGULATION COMMITTEE TO BE OPPEREDBEGINNING DECEMbER 14, 1982.

    8/ SAVINGS DEPOSITS EXCLUDE MNDAS.9/ SMALL DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS -- INCLUDING KETATL JU'S -- AhF THOSE ISSUED IN AMOUNTS OP LESS THAN *100,000. ALL INDIVIDUAL

    RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS (IKA) AND KFOGH ACCOUNTS AT COMMEHC1AL BANKS AND THhIFTS ARE SUBTRACTED FROM SMALL TIM?? DEPOSITS.10/ NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, INCLUDES BALANCES IN BOTH TAXABLE AND TAX-EXEMPT FUNDS. ALL INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOnNTS

    AND KEOGH ACCOUNTS AT MONEY PUNDS AHE EXCLUDED.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)Table 3continued^f%aj|DfiiiL|Ciui"ro rtl- m ^Billions of dollars, seasonally adi

    Date

    19 8 3 - JAN.FEB.MAR.

    APR.HAYJUNE

    JULYAUG.SEPT.

    OCT.NOT.PEC.

    1984-JAN. P

    WEEK ENDING:

    1984-JAN. ' 4111825 P

    FEB. 1 P

    1 / LARGE DENOMINATION

    NEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSus ted unless otherwise noted

    Laroe denomination time deposits 1at commercial

    banks?

    247.6235.2231.6

    231.0226.7228.8

    225.7226.4226.8

    224.3226.5228.6

    228.8

    232.3229.0229.1228.7

    225.9

    at thriftinstitutions

    63.162-764.6

    69.272.575.3

    79.985.190.8

    95.698.4

    100.4

    103.5

    total

    310.7297.9296.2

    300.2299.2304.1

    305.6311.6317.7

    319.9324.8329.0

    332.3

    Term RP$3at commercial

    banksNSA

    27.928.629.4

    30.332.731.5

    29.531.631.8

    30.435.335.2

    33.8

    33.531.034.434.6

    35.7

    at thriftinstitutions

    NSA

    12.612.212.3

    12.412.513.0

    13.313.714.3

    15.116.317.4

    18.2

    TIME DEPOSITS ABE THOSE ISSUED IN AMOUNTS OF |10(

    totalNSA

    40.640.841.7

    42.745.344.5

    42.845.346.1

    45.551.652.6

    52.0

    Term 4Eurodollars

    NSA

    8 1 . 183.585.9

    88.489.989.8

    89.689.889.5

    90.4

    Savingsbonds

    6 8 . 168.568.8

    69.269.669.8

    70.070.270.4

    70.6

    ,000 OR MORE, EXCLUDING THOSE

    Short-termTreasurysecurities**

    219.3219.3224.5

    210.5231.4237.2

    252.1262.9264.5

    262.1

    BOOKED AT

    Bankep .

    45.343.242*0

    1.240.840.2

    41.443.543.3

    42*3

    4

    Commercialpaper?

    113.5115.1119.2

    122.5123.4122.9

    124.4121.0125.3

    126.6

    INTrRWATlONAL

    2/3/4/

    BANKING FACILITIES (IBFS).LARGE DBMOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS LESS LARGE TIME HELD BY MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS AND THRIFT INSTITUTION?.TERM RPS ARE THOSE HITH ORIGINAL MATURITY GREATER THAN OMB DAY, EXCLUDING CONTINUING CONTRACTS AND RETAIL RPS.TERM EURODOLLARS ARE THOSE KITH ORIGINAL MATURITY GREATER THAN ONE DAY EXCLUDING THOSE HELD BY DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS ANDMONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.

    5/ INCLUDES U.S. TREASURY BILLS AND COUPONS HITH REMAINING MATURITY OF LESS THAN 18 MONTHS HELD BY OTHPR THAN DEPOSITOR! INSTI-TUTIONS, F.B. BANKS, AND HONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.

    6/ NB? OF BANKERS ACCEPTANCES HELD BY ACCEPTING BANKS, F.R. BANKS, FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS, THE FEDERAL ROUE LOAN BIN*SYSTEM, AND MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.

    7/ TOTAL COMMERCIAL PAPER LESS COMMERCIAL PAPER HELD BY HONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)

    Table 3ACOMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSBillions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted

    Date

    1983-JAN.FEB.MAR.

    APR.HATJUNE

    JULYAUG.SEPT.

    OCT.MO?.DEC.

    19 8-JAN. P

    WEEK ENDING:

    1984-JAH. 4111825 P

    FEB. 1 P

    Currency1

    1 3 3 . 2133.7135. 4

    137.4138.9140.3

    142.0142.1142.6

    143.9146.1148.7

    146.5

    148.1147.8146.7145.3

    144.7

    Travelerschecks2

    3.94.14.3

    4.44.54.9

    5.25.15.0

    4.84.64.6

    4 . 5

    Demand deposit

    at memberbanks3

    161.9153.4155.4

    160.1157.4160.2

    162.7160.8161.5

    163.2163.4168.4

    167.7

    178.1172.9169.2160.4

    160.3

    at domesticnonmember

    banks4

    80.176.276.5

    79.077.578.6

    79.177.477.6

    78.178.279.7

    78.3

    8 3.482.278.974.6

    73.8

    sat foreign-

    relatedbankingoffices

    In the U.S.5

    3.73.63.7

    3.83.73.7

    3.73.63.4

    3.63.53.7

    3.7

    4.13.63.63.6

    3 .6

    total6

    245. 1232.8235.2

    242.4238.2242. 1

    245.1241.3242.1

    244.4244.7251.4

    249. 1

    265.0258. 1251.2238. 1

    237.2

    Othe

    atcommercial

    banks7

    82.483.686.7

    90.888.790.7

    91.792.293.3

    94.295.597.6

    99.1

    99.9102.3100.596.7

    95.7

    r checkable deposits

    at thriftinstitutions8

    25.126.427.7

    29.529.530.3

    30.830.831.2

    32.232.933.1

    33.0

    33.734.133.232.0

    32.0

    total

    107.5110.0114.3

    120.2118.2121.0

    122.5123.0124.5

    126.4128.4130.7

    132.1

    133.5136.5133.712ft.7

    127.7

    OvernightRPs 9

    40. 141.040.9

    42.546.046.6

    4 3.542. 142.9

    45.244.845.3

    46.7

    45.246.846. 147.0

    48.0

    OvernightEurodollars

    7 .27 .97 . 9

    . 19 . 10.4

    0.210.010. 1

    11.110.410.9

    11.0

    12.211.111. 111.1

    10.0

    1/ CUBHBNCY OUTSIDE THE U.S. TBEAS0RY, F.B. BANKS AND THE VAULTS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS. EXCLUDES THE ESTIMATED AMOUNT OP VAULTCASH HELD ET THRIFT INSTITUTIONS TO SEBVICE THFIR OCD LIABILITIES.

    2/ OUTSTANDING AMOUNT OF U.S. DOLLAR-DENOMINATED TRAVELERS CHECKS OP NONBANK ISSUERS.3/ DEHAND DEPOSITS OTHEB THAN THOSE DUE TO DOMESTIC BANKS, THE U.S. GOVERNMENT AND FOREIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS LESS

    CASH ITEMS IN THE PROCESS OF COLLECTION AND F.R. FLOAT AT MEMBER BANKS OF THF FEDP.PAL RESERVF SYSTEM.4/ DEHAND DEPOSITS OTHER THAN THOSE DUE TO DOMESTIC BANKS, THE U.S. GOVERNMENT AND FORFIGN BANKS AND OFFICIAL INSTITHTIONS f.PSS

    CASH ITEMS IN THE PROCESS OF COLLECTION AT NONMEMBER BANKS.5/ DEPOSITS AS DESCRIBED IN FOOTNOTE 4 AT AGENCIES AND BRANCHES OF FOREIGN BANKS, EDGE ACT CORPORATIONS ANT> POPEIGN TNVESTHFNT

    COHPAN ES.6/ EQUALS SUM OF THREE PREVIOUS COMPONENTS LESS THE ESTIMATED AMOUNT OF DEMAND DEPOSITS HELD AT COMMPRCIAL BANKS BY TTfRTFT

    INSTITUTIONS TO SERVICE THEIR OCD LIABILITIES.1/ NOW AND ATS BALANCES AT COMMERCIAL BANKS, BRANCHES AND AGENCIES OP FOREIGN BANKS, AND EDGE ACT CORPORATIONS; INCLUDES

    SUPEB BOW ACCOUNTS.8/ NOW AND ATS BALANCES AT SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS AND MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS, CREDIT UNION SHAPF, DRAFT BALANCES, AND

    DEMAND DEPOSITS AT THRIFTS; INCLUDES SUPER NOW ACCOUNTS.9/ INCLUDES OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUING CONTRACT RPS ISSHFD BY COMMERCIAL BANKS TO OTHER THAN DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND

    MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS (GENERAL PURPOSE AND BROKFF/D^ALER) .10/ ISSUED BY FOREIGN (PRINCIPALLY CARIBBEAN AND LONDON) BRANCHES OF U.S. BANKS TO T.S. RESIDENTS OTHW THAN DEPOSITORY

    INSTITUTIONS AND HONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS (GENERAL PUPPCSE ANT)

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)Table 3AcontinuedCOMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSBillions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted

    Date

    1983-JAN.FEB.HAB.

    APR.MAYJOHE

    JOLYAOG.SEPT.

    OCT.HOV.DEC*

    1984-JAM. P

    WEEK ENDING

    1984JAM. 4

    111825 P

    FEB. 1 P

    Money market deposit accountsat

    commer-cial

    banks

    114.2163.3185.8

    198.0207.6215.0

    216.9217.4219.5

    221.8225.122 8.5

    23 2.5

    230.323 2.323 2.7232.8

    233.6

    atthrift

    institutions

    74.9114.5134.6

    143.2149.2152.3

    151.5148.8147.4

    145.6144.0144.0

    144.2

    144.1144.5144.2143.8

    144.3

    total

    189.1277.7320.5

    341.2356.8367.3

    368.4366.3366.9

    36 7.4369.1372.4

    376.7

    374.5376.8376.9376.6

    377.8

    Savings deposits1

    atcommer-

    cialbanks

    150.3143.5142.1

    141.9141.7141.5

    141.0138.8137. 1

    136.4134.2132.5

    131.8

    132.6132.7131.9131.3

    130.8

    atthrift

    institutions

    184.3181.0181.1

    182.4182.9184.8

    185-6182.7181.0

    181.6179.5177.6

    176.9

    total

    334.7324.5323.2

    324.3324.6326.3

    326.6321.5318.2

    318.0313.8310.1

    308.7

    Small denomination timeat

    commer-cial

    banks

    356.3339.3329.2

    322.7320.4321.0

    325.6331.6335.9

    342.5347.8349.4

    351.5

    350.1350.9351.7352.0

    352.4

    atthrift

    institutions

    442. 3419.2408.5

    405.9402.3402.8

    408.7414.4418.9

    426.7433.5436.9

    4*3.7

    deposits^total

    798.6758.5737.7

    728.6722.7723.9

    734.3746.0754.8

    769.2781.3786.2

    795.2

    Large denomination time deposits 3

    atcommer-

    cialbanks4

    250.4238.7233.4

    229 .1225.3226.2

    222.9225.6226.4

    224.2227.1230.8

    231.4

    236.0231.5230.9231.0

    229.3

    atthrift

    institutions

    63.863.965.5

    68.972.674.8

    79.184.690.3

    95.297.6

    100.0

    104.7

    totals

    3 1 4 . 2302.6298.9

    298.0298.0301.0

    301.9310.3316.7

    319.4324.6330.8

    336. 1

    1/ SAVINGS DEPOSITS EXCLUDE NMDAS.2/ SMALL DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS INCLUDING RETAIL EPS ARE THOSE ISSUED IN AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN $100#000. ALL

    INDIVIDUAL RETIBEMENT ACCOUNTS (IBA) AND KEOGH ACCOUNTS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS AND THRIFTS ARE SUBTRACTED FBOM SMALLTIME DEPOSITS.

    3/ LARGE DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS ARE THOSE ISSUED IN AMOUNTS OF $100,000 OR MORE, EXCLUDING THOSE BOOKED AT INTERNATIONALBANKING FACILITIES (IBFS).

    4/ LARGE DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS LESS LARGE TIME HELD BY MONET MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS AND THRIFTINSTITUTIONS.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)Table 3AcontinuedCOMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK MEASURES AND LIQUID ASSETSBillions of dona

    Date

    1983-JAN.FEB.WAR.

    APR.HAYJUNE

    JULYADG.SEPT.

    OCT.NOV.OEC.

    1984-JAN. P

    MEEK ENDING:

    1984-JAN. 4111825 P

    FEB. 1 P

    rs, not seasonally adjijstedTerm RP's1

    atcommercial

    banks

    27.928.629.4

    30.332.731.5

    29.531.631.8

    30.435.335.2

    33.8

    33.531.034.434.635.7

    atthrift

    institutions

    12.612.212.3

    12,412.513.0

    13.313.714.3

    15. 116.317.4

    18.2

    total

    40.640.841.7

    42.745.344.5

    42.845.346. 1

    45.551.652.6

    52.0

    TermEurodollars 2

    81 .183.58S.9

    88.489.989.889.689.889.590.4

    Savingsbonds

    68.468.568.769.069.369.669.970.270.470.7

    Short-termtreasury

    securities 3

    221.3225.5231.1

    234.3234.5236.7

    246.5256.1258.4

    258.1

    Bankersacceptances

    45.443.541.5

    40.740.440.1

    40.943.143.8

    43.0

    7

    Commercialpaper5

    114 .1116.6119. 1

    122.8124.2123.3

    123.7123.9123.5

    126.4

    1/

    2/

    3/

    4/

    5/

    TERM RPS ARE THOSE WITH ORIGINAL HATUBITY GREATER THAN ONE DAY, EXCLUDING CONTINUING CONTRACTS AND RETAIL RPS.TERM EURODOLLARS ARE THOSE WITH ORIGINAL MATURITY GREATER THAN ONE DAY EXCLUDING THOSF HFLD BY DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS ANDHONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.INCLUDES U.S. TREASURY BILLS AND COUPONS HITH REMAINING MATURITY OF LESS THAN 18 MONTHS HELD BY OTHER THAN DEPOSITORY INSTI-TUTIONS, F.R. BANKS, AND MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.NET OF BANKERS ACCEPTANCES HELD BY ACCEPTING BANKS, F.R. BANKS, FOREIGN OPFICIAL INSTITUTIONS, THE FEOERAL HOME LOAN BANKSYSTEM, AND MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.TOTAL COMMERCIAL PAPER LESS COMMERCIAL PAPER HELD BY MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • H.6 (508)Table 4MEMORANDA ITEMSBillions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted

    Date

    1 9 8 3 - J A N .FEB.HAR.

    APR.HAYJUNE

    JULYA06.SEPT.

    OCT.NOV.DEC.

    1 9 8 4 - J A N . P

    MEEK ENDING:

    1984JAN. 4

    111825 P

    FEB. 1 P

    Demand deposits at banks due to

    foreigncommercial

    banks

    7 .87 .98 . 1

    7 . 98 . 18 . 2

    8 .38 . 18 .3

    8 .38 .68 .5

    8 . 5

    9 .68 .68 . 27 .7

    8 . 9

    foreignofficial

    institutions

    2 .12 .01.9

    2 .02 . 02 .0

    2 .02 . 12 .0

    2 .02 . 12 . 0

    1.9

    2 .02 .01.81.8

    1.8

    Time andsavingsdeposits

    due to foreigncommercialbanks and

    foreign officialinstitutions

    8 .78 .38 .1

    7 .97.77 .7

    7 .67 .67 . 5

    7 .47 .47 .4

    7 .2

    7 .47 .37.27 .2

    7 .1

    demanddeposits atcommercial

    banks

    2 .82 .82 .7

    3 .92 .53.4

    2 .82 .43.2

    2 .72 .83 .0

    3.1

    2.93.33.82 .9

    2.3

    U.S. government deposits

    balances atFederalReserveBanks

    3 .33 .23 .3

    3 .83 .63 .4

    4 . 23 . 57 .4

    7 . 12 . 93 . 5

    4 . 5

    3.43 .53 . 15 . 3

    7 . 2

    note balancesat commercial

    banks and thriftinstitutions

    13.57.4

    10.4

    10.310.0

    9 .8

    19.114.014.8

    22.05 .87 .6

    15.7

    9 .411.413.321.1

    21.6

    total demanddeposits and

    note andFR balances

    19.613.416.5

    18.016.016.6

    26.019.925.3

    31.811.514.2

    23.3

    15.718.120.329.3

    31.1

    time and saving*deposits atcommercial

    banks

    1.00 .91.0

    1.10 .90 . 8

    0.80 .80 .8

    0.70 .70 .7

    0 .9

    0 .80 .80.80.9

    0 . 9

    8IRA and Keogh Accounts

    commercialbanks

    19.320.722.8

    26.227.327.9

    28.428.929.5

    30.230.731.2

    32.7

    thriftinstitutions

    28.829.731.3

    33.634.935.6

    36.437.137.7

    38.238.840.2

    42.3

    moneymarket

    mutual funds

    4 . 74 . 84 . 9

    5 . 25 . 25 . 1

    5 .05 . 15 . 0

    5 . 15. 15.0e

    5. 1e

    total

    52.855.259.0

    65.167.468.6

    69.871. 172.2

    73.474.576.4e

    80.1e

    estiaated

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • SPECIAL SUPPLEMENTARY TABLE

    Monthly Survey of Selected Deposits and Other AccountsAt All Insured Commercial Banks and All Mutual Savings Banks^

    December 28, 1983 and January 25, 1984P

    (not seasonally adjusted)

    Liability Categories

    "Super NOW" accounts2

    (standard error of the estimate)

    Money market deposit accounts-*

    Interest-bearing time deposits withbalances of less than $100,000with original maturities of:**

    7 to 31 days(standard error of the estimate)

    32 to 91 days(standard error of the estimate)

    92 to 182 days(standard error of the estimate)

    183 days to 1 year(standard error of the estimate)

    over 1 year to 2-1/2 years(standard error of the estimate)

    2-1/2 years and over(standard error of the estimate)

    All IRA/Keogh Plan deposits5(standard error of the estimate)

    Retail repurchase agreements6(standard error of the estimate)

    Liability Categories

    "Super NOW" accounts2

    (standard error of the estimate)

    Money market deposit accounts-'(standard error of the estimate)

    Interest-bearing time deposits withbalances of less than $100,000with original maturities of:4

    7 to 31 days(standard error of the estimate)

    32 to 91 days(standard error of the estimate)

    92 to 182 days(standard error of the estimate)

    183 days to 1 year(standard error of the estimate)

    over 1 year to 2-1/2 years(standard error of the estimate)

    2-1/2 years and over(standard error of the estimate)

    All IRA and Keogh Plan deposits5(standard error of the estimate)

    Retail repurchase agreements6(standard error of the estimate)

    Amount Outstanding ($mil)Dec. 28

    28,769r

    (529)

    228,433r

    4,815r(449)

    14,653r

    (659)

    177,543r

    (2,417)

    22,720*(1.658)

    43,431*(1,560)

    lll,409r

    (2,384)

    30,144*(269)

    l,342r

    (185)

    Jan. 25P

    29,002(561)

    232,751

    4,655(398)

    15,573(849)

    174,824(2,505)

    26.522(1.764)

    46,823(1.602)

    112,731(2.450)

    31,927(302)

    1.145(164)

    [nsured Commercial BanksAverage RateDec. 28

    7.3Or

    8.36

    8.50*

    8.61

    9.42

    9.56

    10.07

    10.48

    (N.A.)

    8.19r

    State-Chartered MutualAmount Outstanding ($mil)

    Dec. 28

    951r

    (50)

    24,734r

    (62)

    198r

    (49)

    977r

    (105)

    27,646r

    (726)

    3,829*(457)

    8,776r

    (851)

    23,096r

    (865)

    6,579*(197)

    131(59)

    Jan. 25P

    954(52)

    24,908(64)

    187(50)

    829(94)

    27,23a(774)

    4,543(496)

    9,057(863)

    23,328(889)

    6,834(215)

    119(61)

    Average RateDec. 28

    7.51r

    8.71r

    8.31r

    8.85r

    9.72

    9.98

    10.54*

    10.78r

    (N.A.)

    8.42

    Paid (%)Jan. 25P

    7.28

    8.38

    8.49

    8.62

    9.33

    9.48

    9.99

    10.42

    (N.A.)

    7.99

    SavingsPaid (X)Jan. 25P

    7.60

    8.73

    8.44

    8.67

    9.67

    9.97

    10.44

    10.91

    (N.A.)

    8.71

    Number ofDec. 28

    12,164r

    12,465*

    7,741*

    12,952r

    13,868

    11,317*

    13,127r

    12,53Or

    13,141r

    3,282r

    Banks7

    Number ofDec. 28

    236r

    351r

    114*

    266*

    374

    283*

    355

    310r

    366

    103

    Issuing BanksJan. 25P

    12,198

    12,597

    7,396

    13,059

    13,804

    11,498

    13.058

    12,587

    13,073

    3,062

    [ssuing BanksJan. 25P

    236

    351

    114

    256

    374

    283

    355

    318

    366

    70

    p - preliminary.r - revised.N.A. - Data not available.1. Estimates are based on data collected by the Federal Reserve from a stratified random sample of about 550 banksand 75 mutual savings banks. Until the end of September 1983 data were collected concerning specific indexed-ceiiing and ceiling-free deposit accounts. Effective October 1, 1983, the DIDC deregulated time deposits, andthis survey now provides information on all small interest-bearing time deposits by maturity category. The datapresented for the end of October are not directly comparable to specific account data published previously, butinclude those balances.2. "Super NOW" accounts are NOW accounts containing an agreement between depositor and depository such that,provided certain conditionsIncluding a $2,500 minimum balanceare met, some or all funds deposited are eligibleto earn more than 5.25 percent.3. Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs)Deposits with a $2,500 initial and average balance requirement, norequired minimum maturity but institutions must reserve the right to require at least seven day's notice prior towithdrawal, no restrictions on depositor eligibility, or limitations on the amount of interest that may be paidunless the average balance falls below $2,500 during which period the NOW account rate ceiling applies; suchaccounts may allow up to six transfers per month, no more than three of which may be draft and may permit unlimitedwithdrawals by mail, messenger, or in person. Estimates for this category of deposits are based on data collectedby the Federal Reserve from weekly deposit reports submitted by about 10,500 commercial banks.4. All interest-bearing time cercificates and open account time deposits with balances of less than $100,000,Including those held in IRAs and Keogh Plan deposits.5. All IRA/Keogh Plan time deposits regardless of size, type of instrument In which held, or Interest rate paid.6. Retail repurchase agreements are in denominations of less than $100,000 wich maturities of less than 90 daysthat arise from the transfer of direct obligations of, or obligations fully-guaranteed as to principal and interestby, the U.S. Government or an agency thereof.7. Over the last several months the number of mutual savings banks has declined sharply largely due to the conver-sion of MSBs to federal savings banks. As a result month-to-month changes In th amounts outstanding in variousaccounts are distorted downward.Digitized for FRASER

    http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Appendix A

    Seasonal Adjustment

    Updated monthly seasonal adjustment factors for 1983 and 1984

    presented in Appendix Tables Al and A2.

    Seasonal factors have been updated using the X-ll ARIMA proce-

    dure adopted in 1982. All seasonal factors used to construct seasonally

    adjusted monthly data for Ml, M2, and M3 are presented in Table Al. The

    nontransactions portion of M2 on the new basis is being seasonally adjusted

    as a wholeinstead of being built up from seasonally adjusted savings and

    small time depositsin Qrder to reduce distortions caused by substantial

    portfolio shifts arising from regulatory and financial changes in recent

    years, especially shifts to MMDAs in 1983. A similar procedure has been

    used to seasonally adjust the remaining nontransactions balances in M3.

    Updated monthly seasonal factors for selected components of the broader

    money stock measuressavings, small time and large time deposits at com-

    mercial banks and thrift institutionsare presented in Appendix Table A2;

    in light of the regulatory changes and portfolio shifts affecting these

    components, special caution should be taken in using such factors. Finally,

    Appendix Table A2 also presents monthly seasonal factors for the experimental

    Ml series which are derived from a model-based procedure applied to weekly

    data.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Appendix Table AlSeasonal Factors Used to Construct Ml, M2 and M3

    Monthly, 1983-1984

    1983JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    1984JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    Currency1

    .9909

    .9869

    .9899

    .9971

    .99921.00171.00851.0020.9968.99791.00531.0173

    .9895

    .9870

    .9932

    .9978

    .99961.00481.00791.0036.9989.99711.00701.0183

    Nonbanktravelerschecks

    2.

    .9424

    .9480

    .9520

    .9536

    .97981.05261.11551.10271.05641.0043.9528.9400

    .9414

    .9470

    .9515

    .9541

    .98141.05451.11571.10181.0562.1.0048.9527.9390

    Transactionsdeposits*

    3

    1.0173.9757.9841

    1.0224.9841.9955.9999.9875.9933

    1.00281.00851.0276

    1.0179.9767.9848

    1.0222.9844.9954.9997.9870.9903

    1.00241.00801.0278

    Demanddeposits*

    4

    1.0194.9750.9811

    1.0110.9836.9951

    1.0017.9895.9957

    1.00491.00981.0323

    1.0202.9758.9812

    1.0105.9838.9949

    1.0017.9893.9957

    1.00461.00931.0326

    Nontransactions componentsinM25

    .9990

    .99991.00411.00211.00031.00141.00221.0012.9982.9995.9972.9936

    .99941.00051.00471.00241.00061.00151.00191.0008.9978.9993.9969.9934

    in M3only6

    1.00451.00821.0014.99401.0007.9939.9887

    1.00071.0005.99741.00401.0083

    1.00401.00541.0006.99401.0006.9945.98931.00121.0013.99801.00421.0081

    * In constructing Ml the seasonal factors for "transactions deposits" are used to derive the seasonallyadjusted sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits. The demand deposits seasonal factors areused to-construct seasonally adjusted demand deposits. Seasonally adjusted other checkable deposits isderived as the difference between these two series.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Appendix Table A2Seasonal Factors for Selected Deposit Components of M2 and M3

    Monthly, 1983-1984

    1983JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    1984JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    Commercial bank deposits

    Savings1

    .9925

    .99541.00561.01301.01161.01111.01291.0023.9929.9917.9822.9806

    .9934

    .99861.01031.01461.01321.01311.01231.0004.9906.9892.9809.9791

    Smalldenomi-nationtime

    2

    1.00271.00751.00811.00201.00081.0001.9967.9983.9973.9976.9966.9939

    1.00231.00731.00721.0015.9999.9992.9971.9993.9984.9983.9968.9936

    Largedenomi-nationtime

    3

    1.01181.00991.0037.9892.9918.9888.9849.9991

    1.00221.00201.00581.0153

    1.00951.00611.0013.9888.9911.9903.9871

    1.00121.00361.00341.00591.0145

    Thrift Institution deposits

    Savings4

    .9906

    .9912

    .99961.00551.00471.00781.01251.0015.9961.9998.9950.9904

    .9914

    .99321.00221.00711.00601.00981.0121.9996.9936.9982.9939.9901

    Smal 1denomi-nationtime

    5

    1.00541.0001.9968.9968.9931.9936.9969.9987

    1.00101.00671.00881.0060

    1.0049.9986.9946.9956.9924.9928.9974.9997

    1.00221.00771.00971.0065

    Largedenomi-nationtime

    6

    .9969

    .9967

    .9906

    .9890'

    .9962

    .9909

    .99091.00161.01201.02031.01741.0035

    .9947

    .9933

    .9888

    .9890

    .9958

    .9906

    .99081.00211.01311.02141.01941.0047

    Memo: FExperimental(Model-based) Seasonal

    Currency7

    .9928

    .9879

    .9918

    .99631.00001.00351.00611.0037.9987.9982

    1.00731.0169

    .9932

    .9884

    .9915

    .99601.00061.00321.00621.0038.9979.9993

    1.00671.0168

    Nonbanktravelers

    checks8

    .9412

    .9476

    .9570

    .9599

    .97861.04231.11101.10351.06011.0094.9595.9471

    .9412

    .9477

    .9570

    .9599

    .97991.04331.11171.10291.05991.0087.9596.9472

    AlternativeFactors for Ml

    Transact ionsdeposits

    9

    1.0203.9755.9822

    1.0174.9797.9954.9991.9892.9990

    1.00511.01121.0309

    1.0201.9764.9822

    1.0169.9806.9946.9989.9897.9984

    1.00631.01091.0 29 3

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Appendix B

    Revised and Old Monetary Aggregates*October 1982 - January 1984

    Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted

    1982 OctoberNovemberDecember

    1983 JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember

    1984 January p

    Ml

    revised

    470.2476.4480.5

    485.1491.1496.4497.9506.6510.9514.9517.4518.9521.6523.0525.3

    530.0

    old

    468.7474.0478.2

    482.1491.1497.6496.5507.4511.7515.5516.7517.1517.9518.3521.1

    524.3

    MS

    revised

    1928.81945.71965.3

    2017.52054.02067.42081.82102.22117.02126.62135.32148.02167.32182.22196.5

    2205.6

    >

    old

    1929.71945.01959.5

    2010.02050.82069.92074.82096.22114.42126.32136.92145.42161.62174.62184.1

    2191.9

    M32

    revised

    2432.92448.62460.3

    2489.92517.12532.32550.62571.02593.02604.02617.22636.52657.22688.52707.5

    2721.1

    old

    2352.02370.22377.6

    2403.32430.72447.12453.92476.22498.82510.32528.82544.92563.22588.72602.4

    2614.5

    ExperimentalMl

    revised

    469.6475.9479.2

    483.8491.1496.8499.7508.2510.8515.6516.5516.6520.7521.7524.1

    528.6

    old

    468.0474.8478.5

    481.0490.7498.8498.7507.6510.8512.2515.2515.0517.0520.0520.3

    523.7

    ppreliminary1. The revisions are described in Appendix C.2. Includes term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents,

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • Appendix C

    Money Stock Revisions

    Revised measures of the money stock shown in Appendix B reflect

    annual seasonal factor and benchmark revisions, as well as a definitional

    change affecting M3. This appendix discusses these revisions and presents

    tables comparing growth rates of the old and new series.

    Definitional Change

    The definition of M3 has been changed to include term Eurodollars

    held by U.S. residents in Canada and the United Kingdom, and at foreign

    branches of U.S. banks elsewhere. A recent reporting change provides data

    on term Eurodollars at a panel of branches of large U.S. banks on a Schedule

    similar to other M3 elements. The inclusion of term Eurodollars raised the

    level of M3 by about $90 billion but had a minimal effect on M3 growth in

    1983.

    Benchmark Revisions

    Deposits have been benchmarked to recent call reports; further

    revisions to deposits stem from changes to System reporting procedures made

    in 1983, largely related to reduced reporting under the Garn-St Germain Act

    of 1982. In addition, the currency component was revised to reflect revi-

    sions to figures on the amount of coin in circulation. The net impact of

    these revisions was to raise the levels and boost the growth rates of each

    of the aggregates in 1983.

    Seasonal Revisions

    Seasonal factors have been updated using the X-ll ARIMA procedure

    adopted in 1982. Nontransactions M2 has been seasonally adjusted as a

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • C-2

    wholeinstead of being built up from seasonally adjusted savings and small

    time depositsin order to reduce distortions caused by portfolio shifts

    arising from financial change in recent years, especially shifts to MMDAs

    in 1982. A similar procedure has been used to seasonally adjusted the non-

    M2 portion of M3.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • C-3

    COMPARISON OF REVISED AND OLD Ml GROWTH RATES(percent changes at annual rates)

    RevisedMl(1)

    OldMl(2)

    Difference(1-2)(3)

    Differencedue to

    Benchmark Seasonals(4) (5)

    Monthly

    1982Oct.Nov.Dec.

    1983Jan.Feb.Mar.Apr.MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.Dec.

    1984Jan.

    Quarterly

    1982QIV

    1983QIQIIQIIIQIV

    Annual

    1983QIV '82 toQIV '83

    Semi-Annual

    QIV '82 toQII '83

    QII '83 toQIV '83

    17.315.810.3

    11.514.813.03.6

    21.010.29.45.83.56.23.25.3

    10.7

    15.4

    12.811.69.54.8

    10.0

    12.4

    7.2

    14.213.610.6

    9.822.415.9-2.726.310.28.92.80.91.90.96.5

    7.4

    13.1

    14.112.28.92.1

    9.6

    13.3

    5.5

    3.12.2

    -0.3

    1.7-7.6-2.96.3

    -5.30.00.53.02.64.32.3

    -1.2

    3.3

    2.3

    -1.3-0.60.62.7

    0.4

    -0.9

    1.7

    0.50.8-0.4

    -2.40.20.01.70.51.40.90.00.61.60.0-1.0

    0.5

    0.2

    -0.70.80.80.6

    0.4

    0.0

    0.7

    2.61.40.1

    4.1-7.8-2.94.6

    -5.8-1.4-0.43.02.02.72.3

    -0.2

    2.8

    2.1

    -0.6-1.4-0.22.1

    0.0

    -0.9

    1.0

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • C-4

    COMPARISON OF REVISED AND OLD M2 GROWTH RATES(percent changes at annual rates)

    Revised M2(1)

    Old M2(2)

    Difference(1-2)(3)

    Differencedue to

    Benchmark(A)

    Seasonals(5)

    Monthly

    1982Oct.Nov.Dec.

    19 83Jan.Feb.Mar.Apr.MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.Dec.

    1984Jan.

    Quarterly

    1982QIV

    1983QIQIIQIIIQIV

    Annual

    1982--QIV f82to

    QIV '83

    Feb/Mar. f83to

    QIV !83

    9.310.512.1

    31.921.7

    7.88.4

    11.88.45.44.97.1

    10.88.27.9r

    7.99.58.9

    30.924.411.2

    2.812.410.4

    6.86.04.89.17.25.2r

    1.41.03.2

    1.0-2.7-3.4

    5.6-0.6-2.0-1.4-1 .1

    2.31.71.02.7

    -0 .10.40.5

    -0.6-O.9

    0.01.90.1

    -0 .10.00.00.60.90.00.3

    1.50.62.7

    1.6-1.8-3.4

    3.7-0.7-1 .9-1.4-1 .1

    1.70.81.02.4

    5.0

    10.6

    12.1

    8.3

    4.3

    9.3

    11.7

    7.8

    0.7

    1.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.3

    0.3

    0.6

    0.1

    1.0

    20.510.6

    6.98.5

    20.310.1

    7.87.0

    0.20.5

    -0.91.5

    -0.20.50.10.4

    0.40.0

    -1.01.1

    0.1

    -0.1

    rrevised.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • C-5

    COMPARISON OF REVISED AND OLD M3 GROWTH RATES1(percent changes at annual rates)

    Revised M3(1)

    Old M3(2)

    Difference(1-2)(3)

    DifferenceDue to

    Benchmark Seasonals(4) (5)

    Monthly

    1982Oct.Nov.Dec.

    1983Jan.Feb.Mar.Apr.MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.Dec.

    1984-Jan.

    Quarterly

    1982QIV

    1983--QIQIIQIIIQIV

    Annual

    1982QIV ?82 toQIV f83

    11.77.75.7

    14.413.1

    7.28.79.6

    10.35.16.18.89.4

    14.18.5r

    9.39.33.7

    13.013.7

    8.13.3

    10.911.0

    5.58.87.68.6

    11.96.4r

    2.4-1.6

    2.0

    1.4-0.6-0.9

    5.4-1.3-0.7-0.4-2.7

    1.20.82.22.1r

    0.0-0.8-0.3

    -1.21.41.22.80.50.2

    -0.2-0.3-0.5-1.0

    2.70.2r

    2.4-0.8

    2.3

    2.6-2.0-2.1

    2.6-1.8-0.9-0.2-2.4

    1.71.8

    -0.51.9

    6.0

    10.0

    10*89.37.410.0

    9.7

    5.6

    9.5

    10.28.18.49.0

    9.2

    0.4

    0.5

    0.61.2-1.01.0

    0.5

    -1.4

    -0.3

    -0.11.5

    -0.10.1

    0.5

    1.8

    0.8

    0.7-0.3-0.90.9

    0.0

    rrevised.1. Revised M3 includes term Eurodollars; the inclusion of term Eurodollars boosted M3growth in 1983 by no more than 0.1 percentage points.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis