gulfsol workshop, 16 sept, 2015 - intersolar · concentrate product feed permeate carrier membrane....
TRANSCRIPT
© Copyright 2013, First Solar, Inc.
GulfSol Workshop, 16 Sept, 2015
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Water Emergency is Very Alarming
Energy & Water CRISIS
PRESERVING OUR
ECOSYSTEM
SINCE 1900 MORE THAN 11 MILLION PEOPLE DIED DUE TO DROUGHT
Over 1 Billion People Have No Access to Clean Water
One in nine people worldwidedoesn’t have access to improved sources of drinking water
Climate Change
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Oceans96.5%
Other Saline Water0.9%
Fresh Water 2.5%
Water Availability
• More than two-third of earth’s surface is covered with water
• Most of the available water is seawater or icebergs in Polar Regions
• About 97% of earth’s water is salty and the rest is fresh water
• Less than 1% of fresh water is within human reach
Source: Perlman, Howard, 2013
Breakdown of Earth’s Freshwater Reserves
Fresh Water 1.2%
68.7%Glaciers & Ice Caps
30.1%Groundwater
69.0%Ground Ice & Permafrost
20.9%Lakes
3.8%Soil Moisture
3.0%AtmosphereSwamps2.6%
River0.49%
Living Things0.26%
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Global Consumption of Water
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Renewable and RO Market Overview
Source: German Aerospace Center (DLR) , 2012
Markets Intent to Move to Renewable Energy Powering Desalination
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Return Flow Ratio Global Horizontal Irradiation
Regions of Water Stress are the Ones Rich in Solar Irradiance
Source: Gassert, Francis, et. al. (January 2013). Aqueduct Metadata Document
Sustainable seawater desalination relying on solar energy is the right approach
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The Global Need for Water Desalination
• The deployment of desalination plants has been led by MENA
— ~2,800 desalination plants produce 27M m³/day of water
— ~ 38% of the global capacity
• It is estimated that only 0.8%of global desalination capacity is currently supplemented by solar power
Source: IRENA EA-ETSAP, 2012 & MEDAD Executive Summary, 2014
Top 15 Market Potential for Desalination in the World From 2012–2016
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MENA is the Hub for Sea Water Desalination
The water desalination plants in the GCC currently have a capacity of ~33 million cubic meters of water production per day (m3/d), equal to 45% of the global capacity.
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Seawater Desalination in the GCC
GCC Countries GCC Desalination Capacities
Population
(million)
Total
(online+contract
ed)(m3/d)
Total
(online)
(m3/d)
MSF
(%)
MED
(%)
RO (%) Other
(%)
Saudi Arabia 29.9 14.5 11.4 37.6 10.4 49.6 2.4
UAE 9.6 11.4 8.9 68.2 12.2 19.4 0.2
Kuwait 3.6 3.2 2.6 72.7 0.1 27.1 0
Qatar 2.4 1.9 1.8 69.4 19.9 9.8 0.8
Oman 4.2 1.4 1.1 36.3 7.6 55.9 0.2
Bahrain 1.4 0.6 0.6 16.9 46.2 36.9 0
The whole MENA region has a desalination capacity totaling ~35 million m3/day from which 26.4 million m3/day is in the GCC countries
* Compiled from GWI, 2015 and Wikipedia, 2015
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Seawater Desalination in the GCC
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Saudi Desalination Plants & Water Allocation
KSA is a country of about 30 million people who are highly concentrated along the East & West coasts
Source: SWCC Annual Report, 2012 and Solargis, 2013
Desalination Plants & Water Pipelines
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Saudi Roll-out & Phases of Development
King Abdullah Initiative for Solar Desalination
Building a desalination plant with a production capacity of three hundred thousand cubic meters per day (300,000m³/day) at a site that will be chosen later. The implementation period for this is three years, and will start after the completion of the first phase.
PHASE II (2013–2015)
Building a desalination plant with a capacity of thirty thousand cubic meters per day (30,000m³/day) to meet the needs of one hundred thousand dweller of Al-Khafji City (Arabian Gulf). Power an RO Plane from a solar energy farm.
PHASE I (2010–2013)
The implementation of several water desalination plants using solar energy in various locations of the Kingdom. This phase will start after the completion of second phase.
PHASE III (2016–2018)
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MED15%
RO16%
MSF69%
Common Desalination Technology TypesTwo Broad Categories of Desalination Technologies
1. Thermal Desalination Technologies use heat to vaporize water
— Multi Stage Flash (MSF)
— Multi Effect Distillation (MED)
— Vapor Compression (VC)
2. Non-thermal Desalination Technologies use membrane based methods for water desalinations
— Reverse Osmosis (RO)
— Electrodialysis (ED)
Almost 80% of the world’s desalination capacity is provided by MSF & RO
Overview of Desalination Technologies
Source: KAUST, Volume 1, 2014
MSF+MED = 84% of Production ShareReverse Osmosis = 16% of Production Share
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RO Desalination Plant
The Salinity Content > 41,000 PPM in Arabian Gulf & Red SeaSource: EA-ETSAP. 2012
Concentrate
Product
Feed
PermeateCarrier
Membrane
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RO Desalination Process
Source: EA-ETSAP. 2012
Chlorination to control marine growth
Sulphuric Acid, Coagulant (FeCIs),
Flocculation
Antiscalant, Sodium Bisulphite,
Causticsoda
Potabilisation Chemicals
Screens & Pump Station
Seawater Intake
Pre-treatment Filtration
Desalination Reverse
Osmosis (RO)
Drinking Water Supply
Outline Chamber
Ocean Outlet
Solids to Landfill
SEA
WA
TE
R B
YP
ASS
Pre-treatment Waste
TreatmentMost of the
Energy is Consumed Here
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SWRO Plant Layout Example
Two-stage RO membrane system with 2 passes; a 41% recovery in the 1st pass and 90% recovery in the 2nd for an overall recovery of 35% (Fthenakis et al., 2015).
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• Solar Thermal Desalination Requires tremendous amount of water
• Photovoltaic Desalination Examples: Saudi Arabia (PV-RO, brackish water, 5 m³/d), & Japan (PV-ED, seawater, 10 m3/d)
• Wind Desalination Example: Canary Islands (Wind-RO, seawater, 5–50 m³/d)
• Geothermal Desalination Example: Milos Island Region, 1,920 m³/d
Renewable Desalination Technologies
40 % of the RES Desalination Plants are PV Driven
PV-RO32%
PV-ED6%
Hybrid4%Wind RO
19%
Solar MSF6%
SolarMED13%
WMVC5%
Other15%
Renewable Energy Powered Desalination Technologies
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Solar Desalination Processes
Source: Technology Brief, IRENA 2012
Relative Power Requirements for Various Solar Desalination Processes
MSF MED MCVRO ED
CSP thermal
PV electric
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Energy Requirements in Sea Water Desalination Plants
Desalination Method: MSF MED RO
Electrical energy (kWh/m3) 3–6 1.5–2.5 3–4.5
Thermal energy (kWh/m3) 50–110 60–110 None
Total equivalent+ electrical energy
(kWh/m3)
15-18 9-14 3–4.5*
Sources (Wikipedia, 2015; GWI, 2015)
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PV-RO Process
PV-powered RO or ED systems are feasible and attractive solutions. Nowadays, there are commercially available PV powered standalone systems.
Source: Al- Karaghouli, 2010
PV–RO Stand-alone Desalination System
Sea waterintake
High pressure
pump
Pre-treatment
storage
FRESH WATER
Reverse OsmosisMembrane
REJECT
Energyrecovery
Chargeregulator
Storagebatteries
DC/ACInvertor
PV solar panel
PV Grid Connected Desalination System
Sea waterintake
Pressurepump
Pre-treatment
storage
FRESH WATER
Membrane
REJECT
Energyrecovery
Battery Battery controller
PV solar panel
DC/ACInvertor
AC GRID
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PV-ED Examples
Source: Al- Karaghouli, 2010
PV–ED Stand-alone Desalination System
Saline Feedwater
Low pressure
circulation pump
Pre-treatment(if required)
Posttreatment
Concentratedischarge
FRESH WATER
Chargeregulator
PV solar panel
Storagebatteries
Electrode
Electrode
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Water Consumption Relative to Different Power Generation Technologies
Solar is How We Get it DoneEach Drop Represents 100 Liters of Water
CSP WETCooling
NUCLEAR COALCSP DRYCooling
PVFIRST SOLARPV
Water Volume used by Different Generation Technologies to Produce 1Mwh of Power
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Water Desalination Cost Analysis
6.5¢/kWh = grid electricity cost
+ 10% Solar PV penetration
@LCOE 13¢/kWh
Blended cost:
0.9 × 6.5 +0.1 ×13 = 7.15 $/kWh(10% increase)
ONLY 3% increasein water costs
COST ANALYSISAssume 30% electricity cost/m³ of water
$0.29
$0.24
$0.03
$0.10
$0.07$0.02
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
Parts
Chemicals
Labor
Membranes
Electrical Energy
Amortised Capex
US
$ pe
r m
3pe
r da
y
Seawater RO
$0.76
(Global Water Intelligence, Volume 11, Issue 9, September 2010)
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• Both CdTe PV systems resulted in lower LCOE costs than CPV system; lower capital costs of PV systems
• CdTe PV performs better over the CPV designs as tracking errors, atmospheric dust and dust accumulation would have a greater effect on the 2-axis beam
“New Prospects for PV Powered Water Desalination Plants: Case studies in Saudi Arabia” Vasilis Fthenakis et al.
HOMER Inputs CPVDual-axis tracking
CdTe I Fixed at 20.7° tilt
CdTe II 1-axis tracking
PV capital cost ($/kWdc) 2894 1750 2050
PV O&M cost ($/kWdc/year) 41 35 36
Global Horizontal Irradiation (daily inputs)(total kWh/m2/yr) 2128 2128 2128
PV module dc efficiency (%) 311 142 14
PV Lifetime (years) 25 25 25
Grid purchase price ($/kWh) 0.04 0.04 0.04
Grid selling price ($/kWh) 0.04 0.04 0.04
Average RO Load (kW) 1000 1000 1000
Discount Rate (%) 6 6 6
HOMER Outputs
GHI (kWh/m2/yr) 2128 2128 2128
Global Irradiation on plane (kWh/m2/yr) 2963 2235 2888
LCOE Solar Electricity ($/kWh) 0.155 0.100 0.089
LCOE Mix Electricity into RO ($/KWh)1MW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3MW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
0.0620.108
0.0510.075
0.0520.077
RESULTS - GRID CONNECTED SOLAR RO SYSTEMS
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1.25
1.21 1.22
1.42
1.3 1.31
$1.10
$1.15
$1.20
$1.25
$1.30
$1.35
$1.40
$1.45
CPV 1MW CdTe Lat-Tilt 1MW CdTe Axis Tracking 1MW
Wat
er P
rod
uct
ion
Co
st in
$/m
³
Total Water Production Costs for 6,550 m³/day RO Desalination
PV Electricity Costs ($/m3) is Lower for PV CdTe Modules than CPV
CPV 1MW CdTe Lat-Tilt 1MW
CdTe Lat-Tilt 3MW
CdTe 1-Axis
Tracking1MW
CdTe 1-Axis
Tracking3MW
CPV 3MW
CdTe PV has Lower LCOE
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Power Accounts for 20% of Water Production Cost for RO Desalination
Water Production Cost Breakdown for 6,550 M3 / day RO Desalination Powered by a 3MW CdTe PV Plant
Annualized Capital of RO Plant 56%
Management 3%
Labor 8%
Material 9%
Insurance4%
PV System Capital Costs13%
PV System O&M Costs 3%
Net Grid Purchases4%
Power20%
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Water Production Cost for Standalone RO/PV Scenarios
Fthenakis et al., “TECHNO-ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF STAND-ALONE, PV-POWERED, SEAWATER DESALINATION PLANTS IN SAUDI ARABIA”
RO produces 6,550 m3 of freshwater per day at 213 ppm TDS from seawater at 40,000 ppm TDS
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Fuel Consumption for Standalone RO/PV Scenarios
Fthenakis et al., “TECHNO-ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF STAND-ALONE, PV-POWERED, SEAWATER DESALINATION PLANTS IN SAUDI ARABIA”
Potential savings of 2.4 million liters of diesel per year, 6,408 metric tons of annual CO2 avoidance
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Significant Reduction in PV Module Price
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Solar PV Global Market Growth
GTM Research
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We’ve Come a Long Way!
WORLD RECORDModule
• 130 Watt
• 18.6% Efficiency
• Highest efficiency thin-film module in the world
FS Series 4V2
• 110 Watt
• 15.3% Efficiency
• Designed for 1500V systems
FS Series 3 Black Plus
• 95 Watt
• 13.2% Efficiency
• Lower degradation
• Thresher, Long Term Sequential Harsh Climate Reliability
FS Series 2
• 75 Watt
• 10.4% Efficiency
• Edge seal improved durability
Solar Cells, Inc.FS50
• 50 Watt
• 6.9% Efficiency
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• Basic foundation of PV module durability and reliability testing
• No longer the gold standard
• Now viewed to test ‘infant mortality’, but not extended module lifetime
• Thresher, Long Term Sequential, and Atlas25+ are extended lifetime tests that differentiate
Traditional IEC Tests
TC200200 Thermal
Cycles -40 to +85C
DH10001000 hrs Damp Heat 85C
@85% RH
HF1010 Cycles Humidity Freeze
-40 to +85C @ 85% RH
“Thresher Test”
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/pvmrw12_wedsam_tuv_tamizhmani.pdf
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/pvmrw2011_csi_thresher.pdf
Leading Edge Reliability
2X-4X
Raising the bar: Extended Reliability Testing
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First Solar Modules– World Leading Reliability
1-Panasonic HIT, Kyocera, Hanwha, Inventec, 2- Sunpower (residential module only, First Solar Production fleet)
• IEC 61646/IEC 61730 1500V Certification
• External Thresher Certification Pass!– <5% Power Output drop
• TUV Long Term Sequential Test Pass!— 1st thin film module to pass
— One of only 5 modules1 in the world to pass LST
• Atlas 25+ Pass!— One of only 2 modules2 in world to pass Atlas 25+
• PID-Free (+/- 1500V)
• IEC 60068 Desert Sand Resistant
1st Thin-Film PV Module to pass Thresher & TUV Long Term Sequential Test
— TUV Rheinland
Status Commissioned
Location
Owner Dubai Electricity & WaterAuthority
Developer First Solar
Modules FS Series 3 Black
Phase 1 of the landmark 1GW Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park using 152,880First Solar thin-film modules.
Power Output: 24million kilowatt hours of electricity per year
Yuma County, Arizona, USA (Agua Caliente)290MW Solar Plant
Status Commissioned
Location Arizona, USA
Completed 2014
Owners NRG Energy/MidAmerican Solar
Modules
Named “Solar Project of the Year” by Renewable Energy World
Reliable bulk power generation utilizing advanced plant controls and forecasting
TOPAZ SOLAR FARM — California, USA550MW (AC)
Status 550MW (AC)
Location San Luis Obispo, USA
Owners
Modules
Largest investment grade renewable bond in history.
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Greenough River Solar Desalination Farm, Western Australia
Owners Verve Energy & GE Energy Financial Services
EPC Contractor First Solar
Size 10MW (AC)
Modules 152,880
Angles Mounting Tilt: 20°
Azimuth: 0° North
CO₂e Displacement
ANNUALLY 20,00 metrictons
over 4,000 cars off the road
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INTRODUCTION & BACKGROUND
MARKET OVERVIEW
DESALINATION PROCESSES & TECHNOLOGIES
PRESENTING PV-RO CASE STUDY
KEY TAKEAWAYSKEY TAKEAWAYS
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Trends in New Installations
The near-term trend in the GCC is adding RO desalination plants in existing MSF
plants with solar energy increasingly being the power source in RO.
In the UAE, the new (2015) 590,980 m3/d plant in Fajairah is a hybrid MED-RO plant
coupled with a 500 MW power plant. In SA the hybrid Ras Al-Khair Power and
Water Plant is coming on line with 307,000 m3 /d and 728,000 m3 /d RO and MSF
capacities correspondingly (GWI, 2015).
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Value of Clean Solar Energy
PV CdTe can Displace Electricity from Diesel Power Plants
Solar Electricity
1 kWh
Diesel Power Plants
DISPLACES 0.08Gallons
AvoidFuel Subsidy
SAVES 12¢kWh
DISPLACES 0.8 kg CO₂
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If half the desalination capacity is RO and PV satisfies 44% of the annual load of each RO plant, PV-RO power plants have potential to annually:
By integrating PV powered-desalination plants, freshwater demand in arid and sunny regions could be met cost-effectively, while reducing air pollution from combustion.
PV-RO Potential in ME
2 BILLION barrels of diesel fuelin ME region
Reduce by 51.5 million tons in KSA
120 MILLION barrels of diesel fuel in KSA
Displace
Displace Reduce by 832 million tons in ME region