growthink, backing-profiting with entrepreneurs in your midst
TRANSCRIPT
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Identifying, Backing, and Profiting with theEntrepreneurs in Your Midst
Whats In Store in The New Decade for Private Equity?
December 31, 2009 10:00 am PST / 1:00 pm EST
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Overview
Webinar Protocol Purpose of this Webinar
The 00s - Worst Decade Ever
Where Do We Go From Here
Three Best Practices
Who Is It For?
The Growthink Investment Vehicle
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Conference Call Protocol
1. 30 Minute Conference Call2. Questions/comments as we go:
Type in utilizing GoToWebinar toolbar
3. After Call: Survey feedback
Within 2 hours after the call, you will receive, via email,copies of the reviewed slides and a recording of thepresentation
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Purpose of this Web Conference
1. To share with you best practices of investing in entrepreneurial,privately-held companies
Because it is good for you
Because it is good for America and the world
2. To introduce the Growthink investment vehicle
Tactical application of our core investment principles
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What Does This Mean?
Trillions lost Both in $$$ and opportunity costs
Retirement and wealth building plans
delayed / deferred
Heartache and heartbreak
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Where Do We Go From Here?
1. May venture capital rise again2. May, on December 31, 2019:
The NASDAQ and Dow be trading at,respectively, above 10,000 and above 30,000
Less than 5% annual 20-year return
3. May the nation's entrepreneurs lead theway
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3 Best Practices For The Decade To Come
1. Exploit the Pricing Inefficiency Gap2. Focus on Technology Companies
3. Embrace The Black Swan
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#1: Exploit The Pricing Inefficiency Gap
Pricing efficiency is the insurmountableobstacle to alpha public market returns
NOONE consistently beats the publicmarkets
Those that claim that they do are simplydata-mining
Early-stage private company investingstill provides significant opportunity toadvantageously price deals
HUGE information gaps between marketparticipants
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#2: Focus On Technology Companies
Only 1/3 of early-stage equityinvestment goes into technologybusinesses*
Clean Tech, Healthcare, ComputerHardware and Software
Likelihood of high technologycompanies having successful exits fortheir investors is more than 20x
greater than non-technologycompanies
ONLY invest in technology businesses
*Source: Scott Shane, Fools Gold: The Truth Behind Angel Investingin America
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#3: Embrace The Black Swan
Early-stage private company investingis driven and dependent on outliers:
93% of all early-stage private companyinvestments have a negative or break-evenreturn
7% of investments have returns greater than10x
*Sources: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/NationalVenture Capital Association MoneyTree Report,
Thomson Reuters, The Wiltbank Angel Report
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The Black Swan
Popularized by the great Lebanese thinker
and writer Nicholas Taleb:
Comes from the Enlightenment in Europe todescribe logical fallacy
Europeans assumed that all swans must be whitebecause they had never seen a black swan
Then in the 18th century black swans werediscovered in Australia
Logicians associated the term Black Swan to theconcept that a previously perceived impossibility
may actually come to pass.
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3 Attributes of A Black Swan
1. It is an outlier outside the realm of regular
expectations
2. It carries an extreme impact
3. Human nature makes us concoct explanations
for its occurrence after the fact
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How Does One Make Money With The Black Swan?
Bet on the unexpected The big outlier events - the 10
to 1 shots and beyond - arealways UNDER-PRICED in themarketplace
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3 Best Practices
1. Exploit the Pricing Inefficiency Gap
2. Focus on Technology Companies
3. Embrace The Black Swan
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The Growthink Investment Vehicle
1. Managed access to a portfolio of
entrepreneurial, technology-biasedprivate companies Cleantech, Healthcare, Software
Select, alternative investments
Digital media, entertainment
2. Less concerned about investmentamount than working with the RIGHTinvestors
Long-term, fundamental investors
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To Learn More
Return our survey
Contact:
Jay Turo: 310-846-5004
Email: