group e xecutive director philip scott - aviva · (aps + 1/10 sps) norwich union - market leader...
TRANSCRIPT
Philip ScottGroup Executive Director
Credit Suisse First Boston 17th Annual Insurance Seminar
14 November 2001
Agenda
� CGNU overview
� Savings is a major growth business
� Capturing the growth
� Leveraging P&C profitability to support savings growth
� 7th largest global insurer� Worldwide premium income and investment sales of £27 billion (2000)
� Largest insurer in the UK home market� 11% market share in long-term savings� 19% market share in property & casualty
� Over £200 billion in assets under management at 30 June 2001
CGNU Overview
15
20
25
30
AXA Generali Allianz CGNU
1999
2000
€Bn
+14% +18% +16% +21%
European life premiums (€Bn)
Source: Life Premi ums sourced from Europe. Morgan Stanl ey, Oc tober 2001. CGNU calculated using average rate of exchange for the period.
P&C31%
P&C31%
RoW 8%RoW 8%
ContinentalEurope
P&C8%
RoWLife3% Continental Europe
Life 29%
RoWP&C5%
Life69%Life69%
Europe92%
Europe92%
Premium mix - half year 2001
Note: Half Year 2001 numbers presented. Life includes retail investment sales and health premiums for ongoing business
UK Life37%
UK P&C18%
Strategy
� Grow long-term savings aggressively and profitably
� Build a world-class asset management business
� Focused approach to property & casualty with disciplined underwriting and efficient claims handling
� Build top 5 positions in each market
� Withdraw from lines of business or markets which do not offer the potential for market-leading positions or superior returns
Number 1 in UK, Ireland, Canada
Top 5 in Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands
Property & Casualty
Number 1 in UK
Top 5 in Netherlands, Ireland, Spain, Turkey,
Poland
Top 15 in France and Italy
Long-Term Savings
Number 2UK-based asset manager*
Top 10 European based asset manager*
Asset Management
A portfolio of leading businesses
*Source: ING Barings
Acute ageing of European populations
Source: Skandia
Demographic Pressures
Retirement savings underpins growth
0
20
40
60
80
100
Netherlands
US UK IrelandGermany
SpainFrance
Belgium
Italy
%
Source: World Bank
Private pension funds as a percentage of GDP
Strong growth in pensions savings
0
2000
4000
6000
UK Germany France Italy Spain
$ bn +10%CAGR
+16%CAGR
+13%CAGR
+12%CAGR +15%
CAGR
Source : Goldman Sachs
1999 2010
Projected retirement assets
CGNU: Capitalising on pensions growth
� Strong position in UK � Pensions sales up 37%� Flight to quality � Leading stakeholder player
� Top 5 in Netherlands� Pensions sales up 47%
� 30% of Polish pensions market
CGNU total new business9m 2001 *APE
Pensions
Annuities
European asset mix
0%
50%
100%
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Italian household financial assets 1991-2000
Insurance
Bank Deposits
Bonds
Equities
Mutual FundsOther
Source: ANIA/Merrill Lynch
� Long-term trend away from bond and deposits� Expect short-term reversal in current markets� Reforms and public awareness boosting pensions growth� Low interest rate environment increases attraction of
packaged equity products
Advice/Broker Bancassurance Salesforce Direct & Other
Spain
Italy
Germany
France
UK
Multi-distribution skills required across markets
Source: Datamonitor
Life
UK life & pensions sales for 2000(APs + 1/10 SPs)
� Norwich Union - market leader� Market share increased to over 11% (start 2000: 9%)� Achieved during major integration exercise
UK Life
0
0.5
1
Norwich UnionStandard LifeSkandia
Scottish EquitableAXA
PrudentialAIG
Scottish Widows
Legal & GeneralZurich
£billion
Source: Money Management
UK life - critical factors for success
� Low unit costs for the 1% world
� Good investment performance
� Strong brand recognition
� Leading product range
� High quality service
Norwich Union Life: strong distribution
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Direct (remote)
Banks & Building Socs
Direct sales force and tied agents
IFAs
Source: ABI
� UK is a multi-distribution market with growing IFA market share
� Norwich Union has leading positions in each distribution segment
%UK Life market distribution trends
Joint Venture Culture---
Low cost administration---
The UK’s leading product range---
Train sales force to CGNU standards---
Success with 21 building societies
10m customer base ---
2000 Branches---
Over 25% of small business market---
CGNU owns 50% stake in NatWest Life and Royal Scottish Assurance
UK’s largest bancassurance deal
� Bank brand for products avoids CGNU channel conflict� Building growth momentum into 2002
Source: Companies annual reports, Deutsche Bank analysis
NNNNo o o o ofofofofbranchesbranchesbranchesbranches
4,500
0500
1,0001,5002,000
La C
aixa
Caj
a M
adrid
Cai
xa C
atal
unya
Iber
caja
CAM
Caj
a Es
paña
Caj
a D
uero
2,500
Ban
caja
+ U
nica
ja +
C
aixa
Gal
icia
CGNU Spanish distribution network
� 4th largest banking network
� 2500 branches
� 6.7m bank customers� Spanish Working Population 27m
Caja networks CGNU Spain
LocalmarketshareCustomers
Bancaja 2.4M 24%
Unicaja 2.0M 18%
Caixa Galicia 2.3M 28%
Complementary branch networks
From Top 30 to Top 5 in 12 monthsFrom Top 30 to Top 5 in 12 months
Strong regional presence
CGNU in Italy - growing through bancassurance
� 3 main bank distributors
� Access to large customer base
� One CGNU manufacturing platform
� Sales growing strongly
� 9 months 2001 £585m (2000 £164m)
Development Bank of Singapore
g Largest bank in SE Asia & No.1 bank in Singaporeg 4m customers (> 90% of population)
g Attractive long-term savings marketg New transparency to favour low cost providers g Leverage Group’s bancassurance expertise
Significant step into long-term savings in South-East AsiaSignificant step into long-term savings in South-East Asia
CGNU bancassurance relationships
21 UKBuilding Societies
18 months. 8 new deals. Accessing over 20M customers18 months. 8 new deals. Accessing over 20M customers
Winning in the bancassurance channel
� Bancassurance track record
� Demonstrated profitability of partnerships
� CGNU bancassurance intellectual capital
� Local presence with cultural understanding
� Attractive proposition for regional banks to partner with a global player
Distribution expertise for new markets
Poland• 1992 £5m greenfield investment• In 2001:
•No 1 private pension provider•20% of life market•Over 2m customers
Poland• 1992 £5m greenfield investment• In 2001:
•No 1 private pension provider•20% of life market•Over 2m customers
New licenses pending in India and ChinaNew licenses pending in India and China
Turkey• Life launch 1996• Top-5 by 2001
Czech Republic• Launched 1997• Pension fund acquisition in 2000
Romania• Launched 2000
Hungary• Acquisition of Top-6 life assurer 2001Lithuania• Launched 2001
Turkey• Life launch 1996• Top-5 by 2001
Czech Republic• Launched 1997• Pension fund acquisition in 2000
Romania• Launched 2000
Hungary• Acquisition of Top-6 life assurer 2001Lithuania• Launched 2001
CGNU: Multi-distribution strengths
Bancassurance
Direct & Tied Agents
Advice
Total group sales: Q3 (discrete) 2001(APs + 1/10 SPs)
Life & Savings SalesInvestment Sales
Profitable life growth
1997 1998 1999 2000
Full Year 2000 23.9%*
9 months 2001 24.6%
6
8
10
12
14
£bn
42
09m
2001
* At 2001 assumptions
� 20% increase in worldwidenew business contribution to £399m for 9 months 2001
New business marginNew business sales
Strong life results
� Life achieved operating profit up 12%
� Benefits from bancassurance partnerships in Italy and Spain
£m
UK 462 473France 124 110Ireland 33 37Italy 11 24Netherlands 75 93Poland 45 44Spain 7 31Other Europe (18) 28International 15 17
_____ _____Total 754 857
2000200020002000£m
20016 months
Life achieved operating profit
Re-shaping the property & casualty model
USA
London Market
South Africa
Japan
Belgium
Chile
Brazil
� Focus on personal and small commercial risks
� Aiming for lower volatility and short-tail risks
Property & Casualty exits
Targeting 102% COR across the cycle
excluding UK & French storm costs in 2000
including UK & French storm costs in 2000
98
102
106
110
114
Q1 00 Q2 00 Q3 00 Q4 00 Q1 01 Q2 01
%
� Results responding to rating, underwriting, expense and portfolio actions
Discrete quarterly COR progression*
*Excluding results from discontinued US general and London Market businesses
6 months
2000 2001
UK 105% 103%France 154% 103%Ireland 107% 104%Netherlands 109% 104%Australia & NZ 105% 103%Canada 104% 104%
Group 109% 103%
Significant improvement in P & C performance
� Rating environment to remain firm
� Estimated maximum net loss from WTC remains at £35m
* Excluding results from discontinued US general insurance and London market businesses** Includes impact of French storms
**
Combined operating ratios*
Half-year results 2001
� Group operating profit1 up 42% to £977m
� Life achieved operating profit up 12% to £857m
� Worldwide long-term savings new business at £7.1bn
� Property & Casualty operating profit2 up 124% to £427m
� Interim dividend at 14.25p (2000: 14.25p)
1 Including l ife achieved operating prof it and stated before the amortisat ion of goodwill , exceptional items and discontinued businesses
2 Excluding results from discontinued businesses and PPB levy
Integration to complete by end 2001
LifeInsurance
Property &Casualty
OtherOperations
Achieved £233m[30 June 2001]
Target £275m[31 Dec 2001]
Target integration savings will be exceededEstimated £300m[31 Dec 2001]
� Fully provided for one-off integration costs of £425m in 2000
CGNU Summary
� Strong market positions
� Multi-distribution capability across markets
� New bancassurance joint ventures fully on stream in 2002
� Long-term savings growth dynamics remain in place
� COR of 102% across the cycle
� Profitable P&C business supports LTS growth
Philip ScottGroup Executive Director
Credit Suisse First Boston 17th Annual Insurance Seminar
14 November 2001