grip | sebastian carney
TRANSCRIPT
Regional Scale
• The sponsors• Scope
– Standards
• Sources of information and standards• Criteria• GRIP’s three approaches• Software tools
– Open Access, Free to Use
The Emission Tools
• Web based.• Return to points.• Consistent reporting.• Advice and support offered.• Colour coded clarification.
Inventory Results
• 6.7million people; 2.4million households• Cheshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, Greater
Manchester, Merseyside• GDP £77billion;
– GDP per head £11,273– GDP nationally £15,788
DOMESTIC30%
ENERGY INDUSTRY OWN
USE6%
TRANSPORT22%
FUGITIVE EMISSIONS
4%
OTHER2%
INDUSTRIAL26%
SERVICES10%
Inventory Results
• All emissions:– 11.2 tonnes CO2 eqv per person NW
– 11 tonnes nationally• Average household –
– 6.7 tonnes CO2 region
– 5.6 tonnes nationally• All emissions
– 0.87 tonnes per £1000 GVA regionally– 0.74 tonnes per £1000 GVA nationally
Inventory Results
Scenario Process
• Rationale– Group settings– Benefits– The question– The range– Additional feedback, learning environment.– Quantification
• Phase 1: Scenario generation-individual stakeholders• Phase 2: Scenario generation-groups• The tool
The Four Scenarios
• 40% - 4x4xbye • 50% - Hanging out the washing• 60% - Greening business is usual• 70% - Upwardly mobile
Electricity Supply Region 2050
On-Site8%
GRID80%
CHP12%
CHP Fuel Source
Gas92%
Coal / Oil2%
Biofuel6%
Electricity Supply North West
Coal CCS10%
CCGT 17%
Nuclear26%
Renewables19%
Biofuel11%
Gas CCS12%
Coal5%
Regional Renewables Supply
Wind Off Shore60%
Tidal15%
Wind on Shore25%
Non-Electrical Energy Fuel Split
Gas57%
Solid5%
Liquid25%
Biofuel11%
Hydrogen2%
Energy Fuel Split
Gas66%
Solid6%
Liquid13%
Biofuel13%
Hydrogen2%
Transport Fuel Split
Biofuel14%
Liquid67%
Electricity9%
Hydrogen10%
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
G W h
DOM ESTIC
SERVICES
HEAVY INDUSTRY
LIGHT INDUSTRY
ENERGY INDUSTRY
ROAD TRANSPORT
RAIL
AVIATION
M ARINE
Energy Characteristics
2000 Energy 2020 Energy 2050 Energy
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000
Thousand Tonnes
DOMESTIC
SERVICES
HEAVY INDUSTRY
LIGHT INDUSTRY
ENERGY INDUSTRY& FUGITIVE
ROAD TRANSPORT
RAIL
AVIATION
MARINE
2000 Emissions 2020 Emissions 2050 Emissions
Electricity Supply Region 2050
On-Site8%
GRID80%
CHP12%
Electricity Supply Region 2020
GRID86%
On-Site5%
CHP9%
Electricity Supply North West
Coal CCS10%
CCGT 17%
Nuclear26%
Renewables19%
Biofuel11%
Gas CCS12%
Coal5%
Electricity Supply Region 2020
CCGT 37%
Nuclear18%
Biofuel11%
Renewables19%
Coal CCS11%
Coal4%
Regional Renewables Supply
Wind Off Shore60%
Tidal15%
Wind on Shore25%
Regional Renewables Supply
Wind on Shore24%
Wind Off Shore57%
Hydro5%
Tidal14%
Where to next?
• Other regions • Smaller scales Suggestions? • Questions
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70% 2050 - Electricity Supply Region 2050
GRID68%
CHP19%
On-Site13%
70% CHP Fuel Source
Gas87%
Coal / Oil1%
Biofuel11%
Hydrogen1%
GRID Region
Nuclear21%
Biofuel18%
Renewables32%
Coal CCS13%
Gas CCS10%
CCGT 6%
Regional Renewables Supply
Wind Off Shore55%
Tidal19%
Hydro3%
Wind on Shore17%
Solar6%
Total Non Electrical Fuels Consumed 2050
Gas40%
Solid4%
Liquid15%
Biofuel22%
Hydrogen19%
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000
Tho us and T o nnes C O 2
DOM ESTIC
SERVICES
HEAVY INDUSTRY
LIGHT INDUSTRY
ENERGY INDUSTRY
ROAD TRANSPORT
RAIL
AVIATION
M ARINE
Emissions Characteristics
2050 Emissions2020 Emissions2000 Emissions
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
G W h
DOM ESTIC
SERVICES
HEAVY INDUSTRY
LIGHT INDUSTRY
ENERGY INDUSTRY
ROAD TRANSPORT
RAIL
AVIATION
M ARINE
Energy Characteristics
2050 Energy2020 Energy2000 Energy
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