greater phoenix 2100: building a national urban environmental research agenda jonathan fink vice...
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Greater Phoenix 2100: Building a National Urban
Environmental Research Agenda
Jonathan FinkVice Provost for Research
Arizona State University
Greater Phoenix 2100
• What kind of Phoenix do we want in 2100?• How do we describe Phoenix today?• How do we characterize explosive growth? • What tools can help forecast our future?• Can science help answer these questions?
What’s being done nationally?
• Los Alamos Labs Urban Security Project
• USGS Urban Dynamics Project
• NSF Urban Research Initiative
• Various university institutes
• State/regional “smart growth” initiatives
• Few Coordinated Activities
Plume dispersion over N. Dallas modeled with HOTMAC-RAPTAD-
GASFLOW system
Los Alamos Lab Urban Security
Initiative
What’s missing?
• Coordinated Federal effort
• Federal/state/private/academic collaborations
• Linkage of social, biological, physical
• Scientific foundation for growth debates
• Tools for forecasting impact of growth
NSF Central Arizona – Phoenix Long-Term Ecological Research
• Decade-scale monitoring project
• 48 co-investigators from 14 departments
• ASU partners with State, cities, federal labs
• Complement to Baltimore LTER
• Ideal platform for urban modeling/analysis
CAP is one of two urban LTERs
PhoenixBaltimore
young cityrapid growth
aridrugged
libertarian politics
old cityslower growth
humidflat
activist politics
53
CAP LTER Objectives
• Test ecological theory in urban settings
• Better understanding of ecology of cities
• Relate ecological and sociological factors
• Archive large body of scientific data
• Engage public (K-12) in scientific discovery
• Spin off additional research opportunities
LTER-related research projectsat ASU (most > $300K/year)
• Urban airshed modeling (DOE, ADOT)
• Remote sensing of 100 cities (NASA)
• Urban CO2 island (NSF-URI)
• Urban ecology grad. program (IGERT-NSF)
• SW Center for Env. Res. & Policy (EPA)
• Center for sustainable water reuse (EPA)
• SUPERPAVE (US DOT)
• Benign semiconductor manufacturing (NSF)
Why study Phoenix?
• Geographically delimited– Resource constrained (water, power)
– Relatively simple boundary conditions
• Change is very rapid (“An acre an hour”)– Fastest growing county in U.S.
– Second fastest growing & fifth largest city
• Typical of arid urban west– High tech jobs, little mass transit, cheap land
What are the boundary conditions for modeling Phoenix?
• Spatial: city strictly limited by infrastructure
• Population: well documented, rapid growth
• Cultural: built along Hohokam canals (AD 1000)
• Topography/Geology: Basin and Range
• Water: canals, reservoirs, streams, groundwater
• Air: eastward flow, CO2 dome, “brown cloud”
• Land Use: desert agriculture urban
• Economy: mining/agriculture high tech/tourism
PhoenixADEQ
APS SRP
ADWR
ADHS
ADOC
Intel
Motorola ASU
NIEHS
DOE
ADOTDOT
NSF
EPA
NASA
NOAA
USGS
USFS
DOC
DOD
AIR
HEALTH
HUD
HOUSING
WATER
TRANSPORTATION
MANU-
FACTURING
CLIMATE
URBAN SECURITY
FORESTS
LAND USE
USDABLM
POWER
AGRICULTURE
ADOALincoln Institute
Biosphere
MAG
Greater Phoenix2100
Greater Phoenix 2100 Targets
• Physical Environment – Air (ADEQ) (EPA)– Water (ADWR, ADEQ) (EPA, USGS)– Climate (Biosphere) (NOAA)– Forests (ADOA) (USFS)– Agriculture (ADOA) (USDA)
• Social Environment– Health (ADHS) (NIH)– Housing (ADOC) (HUD)– Education (AZ DOEd) (USDOEd)
• Infrastructure – Land Use (ASLD, Lincoln) (DOI)– Power (APS, SRP) (DOE)– Transportation (ADOT, MAG) (USDOT)– Manufacturing (Intel, Motorola) (US DOC)– Urban Security (LANL, DARPA, Nat Grd)