greater focus on efficiency...sales were down 1% vs. q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and...

32
Greater focus on efficiency Presentation of the Q3/2015 result Martin Lindqvist, President and CEO Håkan Folin, CFO October 22, 2015

Upload: others

Post on 16-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Greater focus on efficiency Presentation of the Q3/2015 result

Martin Lindqvist, President and CEO Håkan Folin, CFO

October 22, 2015

Page 2: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Agenda

Q3/2015 in brief

Performance by division

Financials

Summary and outlook

Swedish Steel Prize 2015

Q&A

2

Page 3: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Q3/2015 in brief

Page 4: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Summary of Q3/2015 Weak result – further measures to increase efficiency

EBIT amounted to SEK -191m (409)

Main deviations vs. Q3/2014 − Negative currency impact

− Costs for blast furnace relining

− Lower prices in North America

− Partly compensated by lower costs

Relining of the blast furnace completed

Longer duration of debt portfolio and more balanced maturity profile

Additional efficiency measures announced

1) Pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during the period

2) Excluding items affecting comparability 3) The pro forma figures for 2014 exclude depreciation and

amortization on surplus values related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

4) Actual

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/20141

Sales 13 594 15 039

EBITDA2 751 1 246

% of sales 5.5 8.3

EBIT2,3 -191 409

Operating cash flow -160 774

Shipments, ktonnes 1 544 1 632

Key figures, SSAB Group Q3/2015

4

Page 5: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SSAB’s key customer segments’ development

Segment Q3 vs Q2 development

Comments on Q3 development

Heavy Transport Heavy Transport remained at a high level in Europe

Automotive Continued good demand in Europe and US but slower development in China

Construction Machinery

Stable demand at a low level in Europe

The US market did not improve and the Chinese market remained depressed

Mining Continued slow demand in all regions

Energy Continued good demand for wind towers in North America

Pipeline activity impacted by low oil price

Construction Material

Seasonally higher demand but lower than previous year

Good demand in Sweden and Poland. Weak demand in Finland, and very weak demand in parts of Eastern Europe and Russia

Service Centers (US)

Demand did not pick up in Q3 as expected

Destocking continued in Q3

5

Page 6: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Development by division

Page 7: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SSAB Special Steels Stable performance in slow market environment

Sales and EBITDA margin1

Sales increased 17% vs. Q3/2014 due to currency effects and higher slab sales internally

External shipments were down -17% vs. Q2/2015 (mainly due to seasonality), and -11% vs. Q3/2014 (mainly due to non-branded plate in the US)

Operating profit was up SEK 312m vs. Q3/2014 due to better capacity utilization and lower operating costs (running 2 BFs and no maintenance outage in Q3)

SEKm

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/20141 Change

Sales 3 743 3 203 17%

EBITDA 391 72 443%

EBIT2 251 -61 N/A

Shipments, ktonnes

216 244 -11%

Key figures

1) Information for the reference periods (2013 and 2014) is based on pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during those periods

2) Excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

-500

500

1 500

2 500

3 500

4 500

5 500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2013 2014 2015

Sales EBITDA %

7

Page 8: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower volumes

External shipments were unchanged vs. Q3 2014, but 17% lower vs. Q2/2015

Operating profit was down SEK 389m vs. Q3/2014 due to costs of relining BF in Luleå and lower prices. Lower operating costs (inc. synergy realization) improved profitability

SEKm

SSAB Europe Loss due to relining & outages, lower cost base going forward

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/20141 Change

Sales 5 965 6 006 -1%

EBITDA 36 408 -91%

EBIT2 -328 61 N/A

Shipments, ktonnes

823 829 -1%

Sales and EBITDA margin1 Key figures

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2013 2014 2015

Sales EBITDA %

1) Information for the reference periods (2013 and 2014) is based on pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during those periods

2) Excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

8

Page 9: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Improved flexibility in crude steel production with completion of blast furnace relining in Luleå

The furnace was closed for relining from June to mid-September

Start-up was delayed due to late supplier deliveries

P&L impact SEK 180m in Q3

− Total P&L impact (Q2-Q3) SEK 250m

The CAPEX for the project is in line with budget

SSAB has now better flexibility in crude steel production – one of the key reasons for the acquisition of Rautaruukki

9

Page 10: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SSAB Americas Continued destocking at Steel Service Centers and lower scrap costs

Shipments were down 10% vs. Q3/2014, but increased 7% vs. Q2/2015

Sales were down 17% vs. Q3/2014 due to lower prices and volumes, sales were 2% higher vs. Q2/2015 due to higher volumes (counteracted by lower prices)

Operating profit was down SEK 480m vs. Q3/2014 due to lower prices, but somewhat offset by lower operating costs

SEKm

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/2014 Change

Sales 3 080 3 716 -17%

EBITDA 235 689 -66%

EBIT1 78 558 -86%

Shipments, ktonnes 505 559 -10%

1) Excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of IPSCO

Sales and EBITDA margin Key figures

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2013 2014 2015

Sales EBITDA %

10

Page 11: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Tibnor Slow market development

Sales declined 24% vs. Q3/2014 mainly due to divested remedy assets in 2015, sales were down 16% vs. Q2/2015 due to seasonally lower volumes

Total shipments were down 13 % vs. Q2/2015 and unchanged vs. Q3/2014 (adjusted for divested remedy assets in 2015)

Lower volumes and lower margins explains the lower operating profit vs. Q3/2014

SEKm

Sales and EBITDA margin1 Key figures

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/20141 Change

Sales 1 593 2 109 -24%

EBITDA 9 59 -85%

EBIT2 -8 36 -122%

1) Information for the reference periods (2013 and 2014) is based on pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during those periods

2) Excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2013 2014 2015

Sales EBITDA %

11

Page 12: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Ruukki Construction Seasonally stronger demand – Restructuring continues and new cost savings announced

Demand was seasonally higher vs. Q2/2015. Sweden and Poland markets showed good development. Russia and Ukraine markets remained weak

Sales were down 19% vs. Q3/2014, due to due to lower sales in Russia and Romania, sales were up 1% vs. Q2/2015

Slightly lower operating profit vs. Q3/2014 due to lower volumes, partly offset by lower costs

SEKm

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/20141 Change

Sales 1 496 1 836 -19%

EBITDA 106 138 -23%

EBIT2 64 72 -11%

Sales and EBITDA margin1 Key figures

1) Information for the reference periods (2013 and 2014) is based on pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during those periods

2) Excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2013 2014 2015

Sales EBITDA %

12

Page 13: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Update on synergies from Ruukki integration

Status of synergy realization

Synergy program runs faster than initial plan

P&L impact of synergies during Q3 approx. SEK 175m

Run-rate SEK 750m at the end of Q3

Lower costs to realize synergies, now estimated to be SEK 200m (earlier estimate was SEK 550m)

SEK millions Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q1-Q3 2015

Run rate at the end of the period 450 525 750 750

Synergies, gross 100 125 175 400

Synergies, net 85 120 175 380

13

Recently announced or achieved activities

The coating line in Borlänge was discontinued in Q3 (10 weeks earlier than planned)

Negotiations of staff reduction in Virsbo and Borlänge concluded, reduction of 270 jobs

Negotiations of workforce reductions in Raahe, Finland announced impacting around 200 jobs

Page 14: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Additional measures to increase efficiency

Further cost savings in Ruukki Construction in addition to the ongoing restructuring − Reduced staffing in processing, administration, marketing

and sales in all geographies

− Will lower cost base by at least SEK 200m

− Impacting around 300 positions division-wide

Investment in coal injection in Raahe completed in Q3 − Pulverized coal injection (PCI) replaces more expensive oil

injection

− At current oil/coal prices, saving amounts to approx. SEK 200m annually from Q1/2016

− Coal injection is already in use in Luleå and Oxelösund

Pulverized coal injection plant in Raahe

14

Page 15: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Summary of actions to increase efficiency Lowering cost base by approximately SEK 2bn from 2014 level. Full impact in 2017

Actions Target Previous Target

Full run-rate

Synergies from Ruukki acquisition > SEK 1.4bn SEK 1.4bn Mid-2016

Savings program in Ruukki Construction > SEK 200m New target H2/2016

Coal injection in Raahe ~SEK 200m - Q1/2016

Total ~SEK 2 billion SEK 1.4bn

15

Page 16: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Financials Q3/2015 Håkan Folin, CFO

Page 17: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SEK million (except for EPS) Q3/2015 Q3/20141 1-3Q/2015

Sales 13 594 15 039 44 365

EBITDA2 751 1 246 3 498

Operating profit2,3 -191 409 674

Pre-tax profit2,3 -438 261 0

Net profit2,3 -285 41 206

Earnings per share (EPS), SEK 0.52 - 0.30

Operating cash flow -160 - 2 086

Strong cash flow in first nine months of 2015 Key figures

1) Pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during the whole of 2014 2) Excluding items affecting comparability 3) In the pro forma numbers for 2014, depreciation and amortization on surplus values related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki

are not included 17

Page 18: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Change in operating profit Q3/2015 vs. Q2/2015

Note: Excluding items affecting comparability. 18

301

-80

-191

2015 Q3 Other

3

Under absorption

FX

-150

COGS and Fixed cost

550

Volume

-570

Price

-250

2015 Q2

Page 19: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Change in operating profit Q3/2015 vs. Q3/2014

Note: Excluding items affecting comparability. Information for the reference period Q3/2014 is based on pro forma figures as if SSAB had owned Rautaruukki during the period. Q3/2014 is excluding depreciation/amortization on surplus values on intangible and tangible fixed assets related to the acquisition of Rautaruukki. 19

-191

-120

409

50

Under absorption

FX COGS and Fixed cost

860

Volume Price

-1 150

2014 Q3 2015 Q3

15

Other

-260

Page 20: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Strong cash flow generation in 2015

SEKm Q3/2015 Q3/2014 1-3Q/2015

Operating profit before depreciation/amortization 751 1 135 3 459

Change in working capital -293 -585 -97

Maintenance expenditure -609 -440 -1 396

Other -9 -33 120

Operating cash flow -160 77 2 086

Financial items -192 -408 -593

Taxes 25 -117 -310

Cash flow from current operations -327 -448 1 183

Strategic capital expenditure in plant and machinery -117 -89 -507

Acquisitions of shares and operations - -18 -36

Divestments of shares and operations - - 162

Net cash flow -444 -555 802

20

Page 21: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Stable net debt and gearing

Net debt amounted to SEK 24,814m, in line with year-end 2014

Net debt/equity ratio amounted to 55%, a decrease of 1 percentage point since year-end 2014

SEKm %

Net debt and net debt/equity ratio

21

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3/14 Q3/15

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

Net interest bearing debt, SEKm Net gearing ratio, %

Page 22: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Balanced maturity profile in the years to come - Significant cash and back-up facilities

SEK million

Debt maturity at September 30, 2015

The average term on the loan portfolio was 4.8 (3.7) years − Averaged fixed interest term

was 1.3 (1.4) years

Of the total maturities in 2016, commercial paper accounts for approximately 50%

Continued covenant free debt portfolio

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

Cash andback-upfacilities

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-

22

Page 23: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Longer duration and continued low interest rate

Debt cost and duration Duration increased to 4.8 years vs. 4.2 in Q2/2015

Average interest rate was 2.36% − (2.34% in Q2/2015)

Years %

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Avg duration (lhs) Avg interest rate (rhs)

23

Page 24: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2-J

an-1

4

28

-Fe

b-1

4

29

-Ap

r-1

4

26

-Ju

n-1

4

22

-Au

g-1

4

20

-Oct

-14

16

-De

c-1

4

12

-Fe

b-1

5

14

Ap

r 1

5

11

Ju

n 1

5

11

Au

g 1

5

8 O

ct 1

5

Platts-IODEX fines 62% Fe USD/dmt Platts-HCC Peak Downs region USD/mt

Iron ore − Pellet price for SSAB’s

shipments during Q3 was 1% lower in both USD and SEK vs. Q2/2015

− A new price agreement with Severstal was signed for supplies of iron ore

Coking coal − Average coking coal price for

SSAB during Q3 was 8% lower in USD and 5% lower in SEK vs. Q2/2015

Iron ore and coking coal spot prices were quite stable during Q3 after a drop in July

Iron ore and coking coal spot prices USD/tonne

Iron ore

Coking coal

Q3

24

Page 25: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2 J

an 1

4

3 M

ar 1

4

29

Ap

r 1

4

25

Ju

n 1

4

21

Au

g 1

4

20

Oct

14

17

Dec

14

17

Feb

15

15

Ap

r 1

5

11

Ju

n 1

5

7 A

ug

15

5 O

ct 1

5

Scrap / Shredded Midwest US / US domestic delivered $/l.ton

Scrap prices fell sharply during Q3 and into Q4 Prices now at lowest level since 2009

Scrap spot prices in US at the end of Q3/2015 were: − 30% lower vs. Q2/2015

− 46% lower vs. Q3/2014

Market price has continued down in October

Scrap spot price USD/tonne

Scrap

Q3

25

Page 26: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

3 J

an 1

2

28

Feb

12

25

Ap

r 12

20

Ju

n 1

2

15

Au

g 1

2

10

Oct

12

5 D

ec 1

2

1 F

eb 1

3

1 A

pr

13

27

May

13

22

Ju

l 13

16

Sep

13

11

No

v 1

3

9 J

an 1

4

6 M

ar 1

4

2 M

ay 1

4

27

Ju

n 1

4

22

Au

g 1

4

20

Oct

14

15

Dec

14

11

Feb

15

9 A

pr

15

4 J

un

15

31

Ju

l 15

1 O

ct 1

5

After a period of de-coupling, scrap and iron ore prices have converged

Price, indexed from 2012

26

Iron ore

Scrap, US

Page 27: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Outlook Martin Lindqvist, President and CEO

Page 28: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SSAB’s outlook for Q4/2015

In North America, the wait-and-see sentiment in demand for heavy plate is expected to continue during Q4

− Destocking at distributors is also expected to continue

− Underlying demand at end-customers is expected to be relatively stable, but with seasonal downturn towards the end of Q4

In Europe, demand is expected to remain stable

− Seasonal downturn towards the end of Q4

Demand for high-strength steels is expected to be unchanged during Q4

SSAB’s shipments during Q4 are expected to be somewhat higher than during Q3

Maintenance outage at Oxelösund in November (negative impact of ~SEK 100m on Q4 results)

28

Page 29: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

SSAB’s key customer segments – outlook

Segment Outlook for Q4 vs. Q3

Comments on outlook

Heavy Transport Heavy Transport expected to remain at high level in Europe

US market showing slowdown in railcar segment

Automotive Automotive is expected to remain at high level in Europe and in the US

Construction Machinery

Uncertain short term demand in main markets. Export of construction machinery from US is under pressure

Chinese market remains depressed

Mining Continued downward adjustments of CAPEX in the mining sector

Stable demand for after-market services

Energy Continued solid demand for wind towers expected in North America

Demand for pipelines continues to be subdued

Construction Material

Q4 is seasonally slower vs. Q3

Sweden expected to remain at good level, Finland stagnant. Good development in Central Europe, especially Poland and Czech, while Russia contracts

Service Centers (US)

No major changes in demand expected short term. Inventories at steel service centers are normalizing, but continued destocking expected in Q4

Page 30: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Innovative ways of using high strengths steels

Swedish Steel Prize 2015 finalists

Facil System, sugar cane shredder knives Brazil

Ponsse Plc, forest harvester, Finland

TEREX Cranes, adaptable crane section, Germany

Milotek Pty Ltd, rail transportation system, South Africa

30

Page 31: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower

Questions & Answers

Page 32: Greater focus on efficiency...Sales were down 1% vs. Q3/2014 due to somewhat lower volumes and weaker product mix, compared with Q2/2015 sales were down 16% due to seasonally lower