great eastern holdings limited · q1-20 profit from insurance business impacted by: (a)...
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5 May 2020
GREAT EASTERN HOLDINGS LIMITED
Unaudited Financial Summary for Q1-20
Disclaimer: This material should be read as an overview of GEH’s current business activities and operating environment. It should not be solely relied upon by investors or potential investors when making an investment decision. GEH accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document or its content.
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Overview of Q1-20 Financial Results
2
For more details on:a. Operating and Non-Operating Profit from Insurance business, refer to slide 8.b. Profit from Shareholders’ fund, refer to slide 9.
S$’m Q1-20 Q1-19 ∆%
Total Weighted New Sales 298.8 247.4 +21
New Business Embedded Value 126.1 109.8 +15
Operating Profit (net of tax) from Insurance Business
298.6 148.7 +101
Non-Operating Profit (net of tax) from Insurance Business
-222.8 75.9 nm
Profit (net of tax) from Shareholders’ fund
-41.9 124.2 nm
Non-Controlling Interest - -6.1 nm
Profit Attributable to Shareholders 33.9 342.7 -90
nm: not meaningful
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Q1-20 Financial Results
Note:1. Includes Non-Controlling Interest
Profit Attributable to Shareholders
Operating Profit: S$298.6m; +101% (Q1-19: S$148.7m)Driven by increased contribution from the core markets and reduction ininsurance contract liabilities in both Singapore and Malaysia.
Non-Operating Profit: -S$222.8m; nm (Q1-19: S$75.9m)Mark-to-market losses from unfavorable market conditions, partially offset by reduction in insurance contract liabilities in Singapore.
Loss/Profit from Shareholders’ fund1: -S$41.9m; nm (Q1-19: S$118.1m)Mark-to-market losses from unfavorable market conditions.
S$33.9m90%
Total Weighted New Sales
Q1-20: S$298.8m; +21% (Q1-19: S$247.4m)Higher sales for the quarter contributed by the core markets.
New Business Embedded Value
Q1-20: S$126.1m; +15% (Q1-19: S$109.8m)Growth in NBEV contributed by higher sales.
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Group TWNS was up 21% compared to the same period last year, driven by momentum fromSingapore and Malaysia.
TWNS –By Market
(S$ m)
Singapore
Malaysia
Emerging Markets (Indonesia & Brunei)
TWNS Performance by Market
4
150.4194.4
150.4 174.8204.1
251.8194.4
90.5
98.9
90.5
115.1106.9
136.2
98.96.5
5.5
6.5
6.96.5
6.5
5.5247.4
298.8
247.4
296.8317.5
394.5
298.8
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
+21%+21%
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Singapore TWNS – By Channel Mix
Singapore TWNS – By
ChannelMix (S$ m)
Agency
Banca
Others
TWNS increased 29% for Q1-20 contributed by all channels.
5
62.389.0
62.389.7 90.4
135.6
89.0
80.7
97.1
80.7
80.2109.7
111.6
97.17.4
8.3
7.4
4.9
4.0
4.6
8.3150.4
194.4
150.4
174.8204.1
251.8
194.4
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
+29%
+29%
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Malaysia TWNS – By
ChannelMix (S$ m)
Malaysia TWNS – By Channel Mix
Q1-20 recorded growth, with downward pressure from Movement Control Order in March-20.
Agency
Banca
Others
6
61.1 66.0 61.1
99.087.8
120.4
66.0
8.7 7.9 8.7
12.113.3
11.5
7.9
20.7 25.0 20.7
4.05.8
4.3
25.0
90.598.9
90.5
115.1106.9
136.2
98.9
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
+9%
+9%
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NBEV – By Market
Group’s NBEV increased 15% to S$126.1 million for the quarter, contributed by higher sales. NBEVmargin was lower at 42.2% as a result of lower margins in Malaysia.
NBEV Margin (%)
NBEV – By Market (S$ m)
Singapore
Malaysia
Emerging Markets (Indonesia & Brunei)
7
54.470.8
54.4 61.0 74.8110.6
70.8
53.253.7
53.2
87.980.4
80.3
53.72.2
1.62.2
2.5 2.2
2.5
1.6109.8
126.1
109.8
151.4 157.4
193.4
126.1
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
+15% +15%
44.4% 42.2% 44.4%51.0% 49.6% 49.0%
42.2%
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Q1-20 Profit from Insurance Business impacted by:(a) Mark-to-market losses on fixed income assets of the Singapore Non-participating business from
widening of credit spreads (-S$203 million).(b) Mark-to-market losses on asset-liability mismatch of the Singapore Non-participating business
from declining interests rates (-S$210 million).(c) Adoption of the RBC 2 framework in Singapore (+S$245 million), primarily from the application of
matching adjustment (+S$208 million) which offsets the impact of declining interest rates.(d) S$68 million from the release of unallocated surplus in Malaysia
Breakdown of Profit from Insurance Business
Note:MAS Notice 133 on Valuation and Capital Framework for Insurers and Insurance (Valuation and Capital) (Amendment) Regulations 2020came into effect on 31 March 2020, which formalized the RBC 2 enhanced valuation and capital framework for insurers in Singapore.Further impact on the financial results of the Group is expected for the remaining of 2020 as the Singapore insurance subsidiaries of theGroup continue to take asset-liability management actions permissible under the RBC 2 framework. This impact remains uncertaindepending on the movements in interest rates and credit spreads.
Breakdown of Profit
from Insurance Business
(net of tax) (S$ m)
8
148.7
298.6
148.7 159.4 178.5 173.2
298.675.9
-222.8
75.9
-23.7 -31.3
63.7
-222.8
224.6
75.8
224.6
135.7 147.2236.9
75.8
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
Non-operating ProfitOperating Profit
-66% -66%
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Profit from Shareholders’ Fund
Profit from Shareholders’ Fund for Q1-20 was lower than Q1-19 due to:• Mark-to-market losses in equities
Profit from Shareholders’ Fund (net of
tax)(S$ m)
9
Note 1:Includes release of unallocated surplus in Malaysia and contribution to the National B40 Protection Trust Fund ofRM2.37 billion in satisfaction of the local shareholding requirements applicable to insurance companies in Malaysia.
21.1 23.1 21.1 22.6 23.1 22.4 23.1
37.6 35.6 37.6 41.9 50.8 34.0 35.6
126.8
-88.5
126.8
14.7 16.1 69.0
-88.5-61.3
-12.1
-61.3-42.6 -27.7
-70.8
-12.1
124.2
-41.9
124.2
36.6 62.354.6
-41.9
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
Expenses and taxes
Investment Related Gain/(Loss)
Investment Income, net
Fees and other income
Note 1
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Profit Attributable to Shareholders
Profit Attributable to Shareholders down 90% for Q1-20.
Profit Attributable to Shareholders (net of tax)
(S$ m)
Profit from Insurance business
Profit (net of tax) from Shareholders' fund
Non-Controlling Interest
10
224.6
75.8
224.6
135.7 147.2
236.9
75.8
124.2
-41.9
124.2
36.662.3
54.6
-41.9-6.1 -6.1 -3.3 -4.4 -4.5
342.7
33.9
342.7
169.0
205.1
287.0
33.9
Q1-19 Q1-20 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20
-90%-90%
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Business update
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• Strict social distancing measures have restricted movements and face-to-face interactions,resulting in:
Restricted number of employees are able to work on premises in Singapore, Malaysia andIndonesia.
Full closure of our customer service branches in Singapore and Indonesia, and partial closure inMalaysia.
Closure of some bank branches of our bancassurance distribution partners or continuation ofoperations with restricted services or shortened operating hours in Singapore, Malaysia andIndonesia.
• Increased uncertainty and volatility in the global financial markets.
• Economic disruptions are expected to persist in the near term.
Business Update in Response to COVID-19
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Situation Update
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Business Continuity:
• Contingency plans have been activated, allowing all operations regionally to continue operatingas per normal. Split locations and telecommuting arrangements have been activated to ensurefull compliance with social distancing and movement control measures imposed by therespective governments.
• On premises, temperature screening, safe distancing and other health safety measures areobserved.
Interactions with Our Customers:
• Broad based digital capabilities have been activated, facilitating:
Non face-to-face sales and servicing by our financial representatives.
Straight through digital submission for new policy applications.
Expanded product suite for direct purchase online or through our digital affinity partners.
• Alternative contact points such as call centre and digital policy servicing platform are in place.
• Service standards for all customer interactions such as enquiries, claims processing, new policyapplications and policy renewals have been maintained.
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Great Eastern’s Response
Business Update in Response to COVID-19
Situation Update
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• In the near term, new business volume may slow down amid the weakened demand andrestricted face-to-face interactions. Sales from the bancassurance channel may see a moresignificant impact as sales activity is largely at bank branches. New business volume maydecline further if the economic slowdown and circuit breaker / movement control persists.
• Based on current statistics, the COVID-19 mortality rate is relatively low. We do not expect anymaterial impact on our Operating Profit arising from significant worsening of mortality risks.
• We expect continued volatility in the financial markets, resulting in fluctuations in the mark-to-market valuation of our assets and liabilities, which will impact our Non-Operating Profit andProfit from Shareholders’ Fund. Key factors are the direction of interest rates, credit spreadsand equity prices. As our bonds are mostly investment grade, the default risk is likely to be low.
• We expect the Capital Adequacy Ratios of the Group’s insurance subsidiaries in Singapore,Malaysia and Indonesia to remain above their respective minimum regulatory levels.
• We will monitor market developments closely to assess the level of dividend payment.
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Looking forward
Business Update in Response to COVID-19
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Reference Notes
1. Total Weighted New Sales (TWNS) = (Single Premium x 10%) + New Regular Premium
2. New Business Embedded Value (NBEV) is a measure of the long-term profitability of new sales.
3. NBEV figures for periods prior to Q4-19 have been restated to take into account revised actuarial assumptionsimplemented in Q4-19.
4. 2020 TWNS, NBEV and Operating Profit in foreign currencies are translated using the monthly spot rate for 2019for comparison on constant currency. In applying the constant currency translation for Q1-20, TWNS hasdecreased by $0.3m and NBEV has decreased by $0.1m.
5. Operating Profit (net of tax) is defined as premiums less claims, surrenders, commissions, expenses and changes inreserves, plus net investment income (dividends, coupons, etc).
6. Non-operating profit / loss (net of tax) mainly comprises changes in the fair value of assets and liabilities, realisedgains / losses on sale of investments, changes in liability discount rates, other non-recurring items.
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THANK YOU
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