good deedstalk leic_2013-06-11
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Energy and Buildings – the environmental impact
Dr Andy Wright
Institute of Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentDe Montfort University
Overview• Challenges
– Energy– Climate change mitigation
• Demand reduction is part of the solution
• Priorities
• Examples
• Solutions
Key messages
• Resurgence in oil & gas production (fracking), especially USA, falling prices
• The world is still failing to make the global energy system more sustainable
• Energy efficiency is widely recognised as a key option in the hands of policy makers but is not reaching its full economic potential.
– tackling the barriers to energy efficiency…can unleash this potential and realise huge gains for energy security, economic growth and the environment. These gains are not based on achieving any major or unexpected technological breakthroughs, but just on taking actions to remove the barriers obstructing the implementation of energy efficiency measures that are economically viable.
• The climate goal of limiting warming to 2°C is becoming more difficult and more costly with each year
– Almost four-fifths of the CO2 emissions allowable by 2035 are already locked-in by existing power plants, factories, buildings, etc.
Global energy use
International Energy Agency – Key world statistics 2010
Kyo
to
Fos
sil f
uels
Breakdown
not much has changed in 35 years except that consumption has doubled!
International Energy Agency – Key world statistics 2010
World energy system 2010
Source: World energy outlook 2012
Past & future energy demand
Source: World energy outlook 2012
Projections – total primary energy supply under two IEA scenarios
International Energy Agency – Key world statistics 2010
~50% fossil fuel reduction from 1990
Climate Change
• Need to limit ‘expected’ temperature rise to 2°C, with a 4°C rise very unlikely
• The world needs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 50% by 2050
• UK has committed to an 80% reduction on 1990 levels (=77% reduction on 2008 levels)
• Buildings have a major part to play
Source: Committee on climate change
all for buildings
mostly for buildings
Carbon dioxide target - UK
Climate change, not global warming?
New York: Hurricane Sandy, October 2012
2013: Coldest spring for 50 years
July 2012: 100 flood alerts as UK braces for a month's rain in 24 hours
May 2012: Worcester
Energy efficiency must be a priority
• it reduces energy costs
• it reduces carbon dioxide
• it improves energy security
• it is usually much cheaper than ‘clean energy’
• (sometimes it costs nothing)
• …so why is it so difficult?
“The agenda is now dominated by energy and security. It is relatively easy to cut carbon by using lots of clean energy, but it is no longer acceptable as it dramatically pushes up cost” – Ant Wilson, AECOM
• We need to make our new buildings much more efficient in use as well as in design
• But we also need to make the existing stock much more efficient
• These issues are now (at last) firmly part of government policy
Energy efficiency deconstructed
need?
building fabric
control
system efficiency
clean energy supply
Examples – non-domestic buildingsfrom analysis of half-hourly gas, electricity and water data
We now have unprecedented access to high frequency energy and environmental data
Are we using it effectively?
Failure modes
• Heating (or cooling) out of season– Winter cooling or summer heating
• Heating when building unoccupied– Typically overnight, weekends
• Baseloads– Gas – lack of control– Water – usually a leak (not obvious in building)– Electricity – equipment, lights left on
• Excessive consumption (continuous)– Often gas with no time control and poor thermostatic control
• Most of these are much less likely in dwellings, because occupants would notice
Library: Heating control – gas on when clearly unoccupied
1 week:
red summer
black winter
Office: heating outside occupancy, high electricity baseload
1 week:
red summer
black winter
Office: water as occupancy proxy
no water: unoccupied
Weekend unoccupied heating
Total 282 sites (2004)
Sites with complete data 168
Unusualconfigurations 114
Flatlining or missing channel 83
Gas water electricityFeb 2004 all available 85
No unnecessaryweekend gas heating 59
Unoccupied weekendheating gas 26
Saturday AND Sunday unoccupied gas:fixed 24 hour pattern 4
continuously on 4
Saturday OR Sundayunoccupied gas 18
Sunday unoccupiedonly gas
fixed 24 hour pattern 8continuously on 9
Saturday unoccupiedonly gas
fixed 24 hour pattern 1Key
Not usedWorking correctly
End nodes - faulty control
31% problems
100% data available
21%9%
1.2%20%
69% OK
Energy use in industry
Over the past few years, a wide range of cheap, reliable, non-invasive monitoring equipment has become available
These include standalone loggers
clip-on electricity CTs
infra-red cameras
wireless systems
Why is energy efficiency difficult?
which is more complex – the aircraft or the buildings?
Conclusions: How to make buildings more efficient
• Make better use of data we already collect• Exploit new monitoring technology to
understand what’s going really on• Understand what the occupants are doing,
and why• Revaluate investment decisions – why
demand a 2 or 3 year payback?• Treat buildings more like aircraft (then they
might function as they’re designed)